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Trend Line Break

GOLD - Formation of a bearish channel. Bounce before the fall FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is moving into a consolidation phase after a phase of strong sell-offs. The probable reason could be the news that the market is waiting for. What can happen in the market? The general fundamental background for gold is negative, therefore, it is worth considering further prospects downward. Technically, a descending channel is beginning to form on the chart, but the price is already forming a rebound from the trend support, confirming the presence of the channel boundary. As the news is ahead, before the fundamental data update, the gold market may test one of the key resistances to capture liquidity. Such target may be MA-50, 1998, or the boundary of the range 2000-2004. And the target on the background of the bearish trend may be the area of 1980 - 1976. Support levels: 1990 Resistance levels: MA-50, 1998, 2000, 2004 Traders are waiting for the news, analysts are generally expecting bearish numbers, but something tells us that the current US policy will not allow strong bearish data. Technically the trend is bearish and after the rally, the price may test the sellers' liquidity zones before falling further TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORT Hi Friends I'm back with another analysis, To begin with gold is in a downtrend and there are multiple supply levels which the immediate one is a 5 min supply level around 2025-2026. then above it we have 2027 level which this morning market reacted to. Currently market is above the demand level of 19 and has reacted to it multiple times already. incase market continues downward other levels do exist for a long trade. In case we go up supply levels are also drawn. * As always add your intuition and logic into this analysis and trade cautiously *Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
GOLD → News takes price out of uptrend and consolidationFOREXCOM:XAUUSD is leaving the range. It happened. Tuesday's news defines the medium-term outlook for the market and, amid selling pressure, the price reaches targets below 2000. Today we have no news, the fundamental background remains the same - negative for gold. The chart above clearly shows that the price is coming out of the consolidation phase and the uptrend. The strong support area is broken, and the closing of the daily candle on Tuesday defines the local boundary at 1990, if it is broken, the decline will continue. Actual targets at the moment are 1980 - 1976. A strong enough liquidity zone that beckons this wave of momentum. After the inflation report, the dollar continues to rise, and the markets are now betting that the Fed will not cut rates before June, which is a negative leverage for the forex, including the XAU. Resistance levels: 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004 Support levels: 1990, 1980, 1976 1990 plays a key role. There may be a correction or multiple retests before the breakout. But a pre-breakout consolidation or consolidation below 1990 may start further sell-offs towards 1980 TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Weak pound on negative fundamental backdrop FX:GBPUSD is finally coming out of a long consolidation. Tuesday's news determines the medium-term prospects for the market, and most likely the decline will continue. The target at the moment is 1.25000 - liquidity area and also an important psychological level. The bullish correction is coming to an end and the price is back in the bearish phase. After the inflation report, the markets are now betting that the Fed may start the interest rate cut phase in the summer. The forex market is plunging into the red corridor on the back of a rising TVC:DXY . The currency pair will technically reach 1.2500 in the near term and a correction may follow after a false breakdown. Resistance levels: 1.2615, 1.2650 Support levels: 1.2520, 1.2500 A break of consolidation support opens a bearish trend. Negative fundamental background will favor it. The nearest target is 1.25, further correction may follow before the subsequent fall to 1.2380. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
ENJ after the pullback can continue the uptrend ENJ after the pullback can continue the uptrend. It might get rejected from 0.3200 and continue to go up. 🔵Entry Zone 0.3086 - 0.3201 🔴SL 0.2902 🟢TP1 0.3455 🟢TP2 0.3709 🟢TP3 0.3975 Risk Warning Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments.
Long
by JosephMcKenzie
GOLD → False breakdown before the news. What to expect?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , amid the decline we were waiting for, reaches the target of 2015 and forms a false breakout. But the only thing that is constant is the range. What should we expect from the price at this point? Pic: False break of trend line support The dollar stops again and goes into consolidation before another series of news. Today the market is waiting for the CPI. Gold enjoys a very high interest from the Central Bank and traders are actively trying to buy and contain a possible fall. Thus, the false breakdown provokes the growth and strengthens the prices to the resistance 2064 and the trend line. A false breakdown may be highly likely to be followed by a small correction before further growth. Trading inside the range continues, so it is worth to follow the appropriate strategy. Since we have no actual trend, it is acceptable to sell or buy, but only if there is a strong reversal zone and a signal. Resistance levels: 2064, trend line, 2037 Support levels: 2018, 2015 Inside the range, the price is moving between the levels. Based on the situation, I expect a false breakdown of the nearest level, correction to support before further growth to the upper boundary of the range. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
EURJPY → Trend movement continues FX:EURJPY is recovering mainly on the background of the growing euro, which is reacting to the falling dollar. The currency pair has local resistance ahead. On D1 we see a weak uptrend, but, the bullish reaction in the market followed after the retest of the false breakdown of the 50-day moving average and this is quite a positive sign as the market is trying to consolidate above the strong support at 158.0. There is an ascending price channel forming on H4, which also coincides with the global trend in its direction. Hence, it is convenient for us to consider buying on this market. To buy, we should consider a rebound from support or a breakout of resistance. The target in our case is the border of the range 161.4. Support levels: 158.6, 159,25 Resistance levels: 160.0, descending resistance. The currency pair may continue the recovery stage. The breakout of the nearest resistance will only accelerate the distribution after the correction. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
GBPUSD → Consolidation breakthrough. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD is coming out of the longitudinal consolidation by breaking the lower boundary. The accumulation has been forming for two months. Price breaks support, updates the low and forms a correction to the previously broken level. The dollar index is in a bullish phase, after updating the local high, a correction is forming and the forex market is reacting to it. Most likely the dollar index will continue its growth. Today, at 19:00 the FOMC Bowman will speak, and the current situation on inflation and interest rate will be commented. Technically, from the currency pair we can expect a false breakdown of 1.2615 with the subsequent decline to the levels: 1.2506, 1.2380 Resistance levels: 1.2615, 1.276 Support levels: 1.2506, 1.2380 The currency pair is forming an attempt to change the trend. If the shift is confirmed, the phase of accumulation realization (distribution) may last long enough, the strengthening of the dollar may support the GBP bearish trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
GBPJPY → Level retest, market tries to break the boundary OANDA:GBPJPY is breaking through the 188.3 boundary, formed last year, on the back of another resistance retest. Consolidation of the price above this level will form the potential for further growth. The currency pair was in the phase of sideways movement (flat) for a long time. But, the movement of the last two weeks gives us a premise that this flat may be broken in the near future. Yesterday, the currency pair formed a bullish candlestick that overcame the mentioned flat boundary. The session closes above 188.3 and also at its highs, thus forming a local level - the high of the day - 188.5. A retest of this level is possible in the near future. Our task is to wait for price consolidation above 188.3 - 188.5. This will be a confirmation of the market's readiness to continue the bullish trend. The target in this case will be 190.0 - 191.0. Resistance levels: 188.3, 188.5 Support levels: 187.38, ascending support line I expect the trend to continue, the whales are forming a quick retest of 188.3, which signals the possible end of the flat and the market's transition to the distribution phase and bullish trend. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
EURUSD → Correction before the fall. The trend is still downwardFX:EURUSD is forming a counter-trend correction towards the liquidity zone and resistance. The currency pair is forming a bearish trend and may continue falling from the resistance. Pic: Key resistance and support zones on the current downtrend The currency pair reaches the support at 1.07254 and forms a correction towards the liquidity zone, presumably it is 1.0820 - 1.08215. On the background of a strong bearish trend, which is defined by the strengthening TVC:DXY , the euro may continue to lose its positions after the retest of 1.08200. At the moment there are no reasons for the end of the downtrend, as the general fundamental background is the same - the dollar is strong with the confident support of the US regulators. The trend may change on the background of news related to the interest rate, but there is no such news yet. Resistance levels: 1.08215 Support levels: 50-MA, 1.0780, 1.0724 There is an assumption that the correction may end in the trend resistance zone, then, based on TA and fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
$VIX Possible Breakout? $VIX Tightest Base since 2018Weekly Chart from COVID Highs Weekly Chart has yet to break out the trend line (green bar) from COVID Highs The bottom appears to be getting tight and has consolidated sideways for weeks June - September 2023 the chart was basing which rallied 10 points in the end of September The base in June - Sept was not as tight as the chart is showing now This is even with AMEX:SPY continuing to increase but VIX holding it's range (KEY) Weekly chart showing a rounding bottom Zoomed-In Weekly Chart First we would like to see the weekly break the short term white trend line To break to the upside into the green downtrend line from COVID Highs we would need VIX weekly to break through and close above $15.75 High chance if it breaks $15.75 we will hit the top line of the downtrend which the price will depend on when this break will happen We could see highs of TVC:VIX to $17-$18 if breaks $15.75
TVC:VIXLong
by Tillbob
GTCUSDT → Resistance Retest. Preparation before the breakthroughBINANCE:GTCUSDT is testing the trend and consolidation resistance and apparently has a chance to break through this boundary. The coin is forming a bottom at 0.300, after which the consolidation phase continues, but at the same time, relative to the trend resistance the coin is forming a pre-breakout consolidation. Growing capitalization of altcoins, green cryptocurrency market favorably affect GTC, which can provoke a breakout of the mentioned resistance area. The break of 1.344 level and price consolidation above this zone will form a bullish potential, which may trigger a bullish distribution after consolidation. Resistance levels: 1.344, 1.650, 1.915 Support levels: 1.210, 1.060 I expect that the pre-breakout consolidation will favor the breakout of resistance and the price will eventually start to change the bearish trend BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Sellers are testing trend support. What could happen?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been testing the local resistance area since the opening of the session and forming a false breakout with subsequent decline, but at the same time a symmetrical triangle is forming on the chart. Idea: GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation? On D1 the market is still neutral, there is no strong news that would affect the price, but as we can see, gold is testing the global trend support. At the same time, the dollar index continues to form a bullish trend, which is bad for gold. On H1, we can see the local trend change to a downtrend, but the continuation of the trend is hindered by the support of the symmetrical triangle. We have a chance to catch a breakout of this area. Consolidation of the price below the 2021 area will confirm the market sentiment, ready to decline to 2015-2010. Pic: Sellers are testing strong trend support Resistance levels: 2026.400, trend resistance Support levels: 2021, 2015, 2010, 2004 The gold market is under selling pressure, buyers are trying to hold this pressure, but against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, the bulls' strength is starting to wear off. Breakout 2021, then 2015 may trigger strong sell-offs on the background of possible liquidation. TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation?OANDA:XAUUSD closed the trading session with a bearish candlestick on Friday. The asset loses 0.8% for the week, but at the same time it continues to stay inside the range between the strong boundaries of 2067 and 2010. Pic: Uptrend in the market. Price is testing trend support The dollar continues to strengthen, testing support as part of the correction and apparently preparing for further growth, which may temporarily have a negative impact on gold. But, if you look closely, technically, gold, on the background of increased interest feels quite confident and the market is trying not to succumb to strong manipulations on the part of the growing dollar. On Friday XAU is testing the ascending support again, the session closes below the line, but it is a weak signal within the flat. The 2015 level may influence the sales, but only if this area is broken. At the moment, there are no signs that the market will break 2015.6 in the near future. We need to wait for the retest of this support and see how the price reacts. But based on the fact that 2015.6 is a strong liquidity area, gold will not be able to break this area the first time. Pic: Gold range on H1-H4 The chart above shows the current range. The price has not yet managed to update the local lows, as well as the highs, as evidenced by the neutrality of forces between buyers and sellers. Against the background of the local situation: dollar growth, negative fundamental background for gold, we can determine that in the coming week gold may test flat support before further rebound (or false breakdown), after which the price may continue trading within this range. The reason for continued consolidation: there is no strong news in the market, the dollar continues to rise as the Fed is not looking to cut rates anytime soon, but buyers are actively trying to contain the declines in gold. The interest in gold is also affected by the interest of the world central banks, as well as the geopolitical crisis, as well as rumors of a banking crisis in the United States. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
4
Bitcoin 2024 Hilarious Insights, Halving Hurdles 18k Bold ForcasBitcoin, oh dear Bitcoin, you're in a pickle! Picture this: Feb through April 2024, three months before the Bitcoin halving, and things are getting more complicated than explaining blockchain to your grandma. The Bitcoin ETF approval in January? Well, that turned out to be about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Instead of a price boost, we've seen Bitcoin taking a nosedive from 48k to a not-so-supportive 38500. 4HR CHART OVERVIEW: Now, let's peek at the 4-hour chart. Bitcoin buyers are tap-dancing around 42k like they're in a high-stakes dance-off. Rumor has it they want to tango with 44k, maybe even attempt a daring move to 45900. But watch out, because they might trip and fall back to 40k-39400. It's like a suspenseful dance, and if they break free from the current 4-hour chart shackles at 43900, the buyers will persist. Until then, it's a riskier dance than attempting the moonwalk in roller skates. On the sellers' side, they're lingering around like they just got front-row seats to a comedy show. Despite all the dollars poured into Bitcoin ETFs, they seem to be the ultimate party poopers, unimpressed and unyielding. If buyers can't break the 43900 barrier, it's cue the bear strike – back to 40k to 39k support, and it might get so bad that even Bitcoin buyers will need a lifeline. DAILY CHART OVERVIEW: Now, let's switch to the daily chart. Buyers are halted at 43800, contemplating life decisions after bouncing back from the 38500 support pitstop. It seems market makers on BTC ETFs are more into fees than making Bitcoin holders happy. Brace yourself for a revisit to the 40k to 39400 support range, and if buyers don't bring their A-game, it's bad news. Patience is a virtue, especially if you plan to join the support party. On the sellers' daily chart, it's a saga of indifference. If buyers lose interest and the price revisits 40k to 39400, brace for impact. Breaking below 38k could be the trigger for a sell-off extravaganza, with sellers and shorters throwing a grand party, pushing the price down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a rollercoaster, and the only way to enjoy the ride is by gripping your seat tightly. WEEKLY CHART OVERVIEW: Zooming out to the weekly chart, Bitcoin buyers seem stuck in a range, as if the market has them in a headlock. The return to 43800 was a slap in the face, signaling a potential return to 40k support and a quick smooch with 39200. While there's a glimmer of hope for buyers to take Bitcoin back to the 45k to 47k range, it's like waiting for a superhero in a rom-com – you're not sure if they'll show up. Weekly sellers, on the other hand, are circling like vultures. If buyers can't hold the price above 45k by Feb to March, sellers will seize the moment, dragging Bitcoin down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a high-stakes poker game, and the chips are on the table. MONTHLY CHART OVERVIEW: Now, onto the monthly chart, where buyers are looking indecisive. Despite the approval of BTC ETF, the price is playing hard to get, avoiding the much-anticipated 50k mark. It's the first sign of weakness since Bitcoin broke above 30k in Oct 2023. Buyers might have a shot at 45k-47400, but it's like trying to catch a unicorn – a little tricky. Sellers on the monthly chart are eyeing Feb 2024 like it owes them money. If it closes as a red candle, get ready for a 3-bar reversal extravaganza. The threat of visiting the 32k to 28k range before or after halving is looming, like a dark cloud over a picnic. And now, the grand finale – the monthly chart after Halving, sellers' edition. Brace yourself for a possible flash dump, like the grand finale of a fireworks show. Will it hit 20k, or will market makers go all-in for 14k to 12k? Nobody knows, but if you're holding Bitcoin, it's like being on a rollercoaster – hands up, eyes closed, and hoping for the best. The real pump might kick in around Oct-Nov 2024, so hang in there and buy more when you can. It's like waiting for the punchline of a long joke – it better be worth it!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by MachiavelliTrader
GOLD → Support retests continue. Weak fundamental backgroundOANDA:XAUUSD on the background of news on Thursday is declining, but does not reach the local minimum. On the background of the pullback the price also does not reach the local maximum. The range boundaries are narrowing. The fundamental background for gold still remains and is relatively negative at the moment. On the chart above we can observe a difficult situation in XAU. Volatility is very low, the price has been standing still for two days, as evidenced by the D1 candlesticks of Wednesday and Thursday. Technically, we can observe a global uptrend, but at the moment we should pay attention to the symmetrical triangle. The price continues to test the trend support. Each new retest of the support forms a weaker and weaker reaction, the price continues to squeeze against the support. Technically, we can assume that the market is preparing to break the lower trend boundary, which can form a volume surge and a strong momentum towards the lower levels, such as 2000. Fundamentally, although we have high interest in the metal, but locally, the fundamental background is weak, as evidenced by this week's news. Support levels: 2029.7, 2020, 2015 2004 Resistance levels: 2039 - 2942 It is logical to expect a decline based on the current data, from the opening of the US session, the market may test resistance before falling TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
GOLD → The calm (consolidation) before the storm ⚡︎OANDA:XAUUSD closes Wednesday's session with a minimal range of motion. The market is getting tighter and tighter every day, volatility as well as volumes are decreasing. The calm before the storm. Today, at 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims are published, at this time the dollar in the correction phase is testing the consolidation area and in all likelihood may strengthen if the market supports the index. Gold makes a false break of the resistance area 2039-2042 and forms a consolidation in a narrow range in the phase of waiting for news. Technically, the market continues to stand still. On D1 there is a global flat, but the borders of a symmetrical triangle are present, volatility is decreasing and the range is narrowing. It is interesting that trading volumes are decreasing, but the profile shows a different situation. The market is consolidating liquidity, because at the moment investors do not know what to expect and in the medium term they are aiming to hear some news about the interest rate reduction. Such consolidation may continue until March-April. But the distribution in one side or the other will be very strong, but when it will happen, nobody knows yet :) Resistance levels: 2039, 2042, 2048 Support levels: 2029, 2016, 2004 There is a chance to see bullish news for the dollar today, which could negatively, within a range, affect gold. But, before a possible fall, the price of the metal may test the resistance TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2