GOLD → Are the bears in doubt? Resistance aheadFX:XAUUSD strengthens to 2625, jeopardizing the local downtrend. Fundamentally, the situation is complicated, as well as technically...
The metal price is actively influenced by the escalated geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine. The market is also watching the Middle East, as despite the reduced news flow, the situation is still tense. In addition, expectations of additional stimulus measures from China also favor the growth of prices for this metal. It is still unclear whether gold will be able to hold on to the bullish momentum as the price is approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they await new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, as the price is still within the boundaries of the local descending channel, it is worth considering selling from strong zones and levels. The situation will change when the price breaks (it is not a fact) the channel resistance...
Resistance levels: 2626, 2643
Support levels: 2604, 2590
Most likely, the market seeks to test the resistance, relative to which a stalemate situation is forming due to the mixed fundamental background.
A false break of 2643-2626 will strengthen the selling and bring us back to the downside. But an unexpected resistance breakout will bring back the buyers' motivation
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
Gold --> Break out of channel and test low. Next target?OANDA:XAUUSD is in a strong downtrend after leaving the parallel channel. The price is preparing to update the local low. But! There are positive nuances from the news....
According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are forecasting an 82% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in December, up from around 58% before the data.
However, investors believe that the new presidency could cause the Fed to pause its easing cycle if inflation spikes after the expected new round of tariffs, which could have an overall negative impact on XAU.
Technically, gold is giving hints of a possible reversal by reacting to key support at 2550. In addition, H1 is starting to show a local down channel. Ahead of the key figures (PPI) and US weekly jobless claims, prices may still test these support areas, but then the market may reverse and find resistance, after which we can expect prices to start to decline gradually until the end of the market-wide euphoria....
SUI/SOL Trendline Breakout with 257% Upside PotentialAfter months of trading within a downtrend, SUI/SOL has broken out above its descending trendline, indicating a potential reversal in trend. Here's a closer look:
1️⃣ Trendline Breakout:
The downtrend that began in mid-2023 has now been invalidated by a decisive breakout above the resistance trendline.
This breakout is backed by strong price momentum and increasing volume, suggesting growing buyer interest.
2️⃣ Measured Move Target:
By measuring the previous swing range, the upside potential targets a move of 257%, as shown in the projection box on the chart.
The price could potentially rise to the 0.06 zone, aligning with historical price resistance levels.
3️⃣ Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 0.019 (breakout retest area).
Major Target Zone: 0.061.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Look for a retest of the breakout zone around 0.017 - 0.019 for confirmation.
✅ Stop-Loss: Place stops below the descending trendline 0.015
✅ Take Profit: Gradually scale out at 0.045 and 0.06.
Macro Context 🌏
With positive sentiment building across the crypto markets, SUI could see significant upside compared to other layer 1s like SOL, particularly if it sustains above the breakout zone.
GBPUSD → The fall after the breakdown will intensifyFX:GBPUSD continues to fall downwards. The price is testing the strong support at 1.267 and forms a false breakdown. The dollar is losing ground a bit in the meantime....
Theoretically, the currency pair after the false breakdown can form a correction (a trap or a crowd trick) before a further fall. Zones of interest in our case could be 1.272, 1.277, 1.28.
Fundamentally, the situation is not the best, the pressure on the pound, on the background of the dollar rally, is present more than enough, accordingly, in the medium term we should expect a continuation of the fall. The trigger for this could be a false breakdown of resistance or a breakdown of 1.267 and consolidation below this zone.
Support levels: 1.267, 1.261, 1,25
Resistance levels: 1.272, 1.277
We need to watch the price reaction to these key levels. If bears hold 1.267 and consolidate their positions below this zone, the fall will happen sooner.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDJPY → 92.00 - bull run triggerOANDA:NZDJPY continues to accumulate pre-breakout potential against 92.000 resistance. Japan's national currency continues to weaken amid inaction from the country's Central Bank and the dollar rally...
On D1 and H1, the structure coincides and generally tells us that the price is ready to go up. Trigger 91.950 - 92.00. If buyers can break this resistance area and hold their defenses above this zone, a quick distribution will not be far behind.
JPY confirms its downward course by breaking support, which generally defines the medium-term potential for us.
Resistance levels: 92.00
Support levels: 91.362
The overall structure will be broken when the support at 91.36 is broken, but there are no hints of that yet. The currency pair does not fall after the false breakdown of resistance, but continues to inflate the potential, which generally confirms the bullish intentions to go higher.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ OANDA:NZDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow.
Levels to watch: $20, $27
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NEIROETH → The coin is one step away from rallying ↑BINANCE:NEIROETHUSDT.P consolidates before a possible takeoff. The potential of the cryptocurrency market is beginning to unfold amid the excitement surrounding Trump's victory
While bitcoin is hitting all-time highs, some altcoins are still considered extremely undervalued.
NEIROETH is coming out of accumulation (triangle) but faces a strong liquidity zone. The coin continues to accumulate potential, but with a hint of resistance breakout. The key liquidity zone is 0.1150.
Technically, the picture on the chart is shaping up to be extremely bullish: no renewal of lows, strong consolidations and strong support levels.
Resistance levels: 0.1150, 0.1400
Support levels: 0.0923, 0.067
I do not exclude the possibility of support retest and formation of a false breakdown before further growth. But in any case, a break of the key liquidity zone at 0.115 may trigger a rally.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:NEIROETHUSDT.P ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Realization and distribution phase. Target 0.900FX:USDCHF comes out of accumulation and changes the market phase to realization phase. On the background of the dollar growth, the reason for which is mainly the excitement about the presidential election in the U.S., the currency pair also has a potential for growth
On D1, buyers are forming a bottom and a strong reversal base, indicating the potential and further interests. The zones of interest, in our case, can serve as areas of local highs, behind which there is a liquidity zone and money, to which the MM is directed....
Technically, in the European session the price is breaking the resistance of local accumulation. The emphasis is on 0.8774. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect a continuation of growth in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 0.887, 0.892
Support levels: 0.8774, 0.8748, 0.871
Accordingly, the key support at the moment is 0.8774 and it is from it we expect the continuation of growth. Formation of a false breakout is not excluded. In this case, after correction to the local 0.8748, the growth may continue
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Japanese Yen Weakens Against USD, USD/JPY Continues to RiseThe Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the USD during the Asian trading session after the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) meeting minutes revealed a divide over the timing of interest rate hikes. Domestic political concerns and fears of potential protectionist trade measures from Donald Trump further weakened the JPY. Meanwhile, expectations that Trump's policies will drive inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's ability to ease further have supported the USD, helping the USD/JPY pair rise.
Looking at the technical chart, the USD/JPY pair is also in an uptrend, trading around 153.33, up by 0.5%. Support at 152.23 is helping to strengthen the upward momentum, with resistance at 154.66. If the 152.23 support level holds, the USD/JPY pair could continue rising towards higher levels in the short term. However, investors should closely monitor technical signals and upcoming macroeconomic data to adjust their trading strategy accordingly.
CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020
The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic.
Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor.
Technical Perspective: Key Indicators
Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average
The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant.
Accelerating Downward Movement
The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair.
Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure
Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture.
Possible Sell Scenario
Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness.
A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region.
A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20.
The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries.
Disclaimer:
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BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
Ultra Bullish On Crypto - Especially BTCOver the last ewek we've seen signals jive in such a way that leans towards the most almighty bullish sentiment. Not only have ween seen an all time high on BTC, we've seen the upper trend line breached that we've been waiting for so long for. Equally, the cup and handle looks very much in play with a target in high excess of $250k. At this time, I'm super bullish on BTC and will be buying up all the dips from here on in until we get the terminal end of wave 5 of 5, which is months away. So, enjoy the up and down, know that up is the direction we're going in and goggle up all the dips like a raging Miss Pacman!
Gold : BUYGold bullish trading is a compelling option for investors and traders who aim to capitalize on the rising value of gold in global markets. Often considered a "safe haven" asset, gold tends to attract significant attention during times of economic uncertainty, inflation, and market volatility. A bullish approach to gold trading generally involves betting on its price increase through a variety of strategies, from spot trading and futures to gold ETFs and mining stocks.
One of the primary appeals of a bullish gold strategy is its potential to hedge against inflation. As fiat currencies lose purchasing power, gold's intrinsic value often holds steady or rises, making it an ideal asset to protect wealth. Furthermore, global demand for gold remains robust, with central banks, jewelers, and technology sectors consistently creating a strong foundation for its long-term appreciation.
In terms of trading, bullish positions in gold can be profitable, especially when paired with technical analysis and macroeconomic indicators. Many traders look for signs of economic instability, like geopolitical tensions or declining interest rates, as signals to enter bullish gold trades. In such conditions, spot prices often surge, rewarding those with bullish positions.
However, gold trading also requires caution, as the market can experience pullbacks due to profit-taking or shifts in monetary policy. Moreover, gold’s movements can sometimes be sluggish compared to other assets, so timing is essential to maximize gains. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, are essential in volatile markets to safeguard profits.
Overall, gold bullish trading is a reliable way to diversify a portfolio and hedge against economic downturns. With the right market insights and risk management, traders can benefit from this timeless asset’s long-standing value and stability.
SWEAT/USDT THE GOLDEN RETURNSWEATUSDT is exhibiting an intriguing volume trend that suggests potential for a break in the upcoming time frames. This coin is showing a distinctive increase in volume, signaling possible heightened market interest.
Given the current trend, there's a strong possibility that SWEATUSDT could target a return to $0.025, with potential upward momentum toward $0,0094 - $0.012 followed by $0,017. Keep an eye on this one—its volume movement could pave the way for notable price action in the near term.
As always this is crypto market with no guarantees.
If the trend is able to get new confirmations will be able to follow it with updates.
- Trade only when there is confirmations and depending on your plan only.
( if this coin shows the effect we expect then it can take days follow)
follow this update for daily adds.
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed.
The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly.
As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase.
The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044
Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25
The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead!
The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ...
Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe...
I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE.
Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032
Support levels: 0.900, 0.875
Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news
NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election?
It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment.
Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy.
Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305
Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310
Support levels: 1.284, 1.281
The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!