Gold trading strategy today, Buy trend returnsGold prices steadied early in the US session on more safe-haven demand after a weekend terrorist attack in Jordan left three US soldiers dead.
The recent attack on US forces in Jordan threatens to spread conflict in the Middle East, when US leaders are under pressure from Congress to take action in response.
The world is anxiously waiting for the US military's response. President Biden said the US will respond. Developments in the Middle East cause gold prices to continue to rise.
However, analysts say that the continuous adjustment of market expectations about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could hinder the rise in gold prices.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the greenback's fluctuations with 6 major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), at 103.48 points.
In China, a Hong Kong court issued an order to liquidate Evergrande Group after the company failed to reach an agreement with creditors. The liquidation will be closely watched by the market.
Trend Line Break
Buy XAUUSD, 1H - Form a Head and Shoulders PatternThe chart has formed a head and shoulders pattern.
The price has previously break the down-trend to retest form an up-trend.
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BITCOIN → Why the 42K level is important to usBINANCE:BTCUSD is not reacting to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges, and and the recovering interest allows the market to redeem the correction a bit.
Pic: Idea: BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?
The correction phase is not over, as the price has not yet left the boundaries that can confirm the end of this phase.
The market is recovering from a false break of the 40181 range support. Long-squeeze eliminated the buyers' orders in the support zone and within the range the price is testing one of the important 42K levels.
At the same time:
BTC for the second few days did not react to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges
Flagship absorbed the news that the US government intends to sell the coin for $130 million
Increased ineterest to BTC from traders and investors in China, who are looking for salvation in crypto instead of unstable stock and real estate markets within the country.
Pic: Important level. Demonstration on the chart
Interest in bitcoin is high, but there is quite an important event ahead for the market. Halving is expected in early April and statistically the market is shedding ahead of a possible rally. Whales have an interest to get in on more favorable positions, but at the same time the positive fundamental and technical background attracts investors even at current price levels.
Price positioning relative to the 42000 level will determine the future outlook for the market.
The consolidation of BTC above 42K may form the potential for strengthening the price to the range boundary - 44500, and the consolidation of the price below 42K will continue the decline to retest the support.
Pic: Value of the level for further perspective
When will the correction end?
At the moment this phase is still active, a break of support 40700 - 41K will form a continuation of the decline, which in the medium term may head towards 48K, then 37K and 34K, where there is a huge pool of liquidity from buyers. The market may be interested in liquidating some passengers before further rally.
But, in the current position, the correction phase may be over as the asset still has high interest. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 42K may confirm the market's intentions that it is ready for further growth in the near future, and Breakout and consolidation of the price above 44.5 - 45K will confirm the end of the correction. In this case the further target will be 48.2K and higher.
CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD, STALEMATEBefore any serious GOLD buy or sell, I think the yellow metal price must break out of the current 100 pips ranging zone (2027-2038). Here again, the Fundamentals for Tuesday (Jolt Job Openings and CB Consumer Confidence) will be key. Currently the market is neither a bearish nor bullish. It is a stalemate market, I think.
AAVE Bullish and aims 5% Higher!As you see on the chart, AAVE has reclaimed all support levels and looks to test the major liquidity levels above which is the POC and Weekly level above.
I would expect a nice rejection after that level is reached.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
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GOLD → Resistance Retest. What is the chance of a short-squeeze?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been testing trend resistance since the opening of the session. At the same time, the dollar index continues to consolidate, but within the upward trend.
Regarding the trend resistance XAU we observe a retest, if we pay attention to the volumes, they are absent. What is the probability of a short-squeeze in such a case?
The market may go from local downward movement to a sideways phase, as evidenced by the unclear market environment and global flat trading in the whole forex.
The new range in gold could be: 2035-2020, or 2060-2020.
There is an important resistance ahead - 2035, which may be of interest to the market maker because there is a huge pool of liquidity above it, which can be determined by the volume profile.
Resistance levels: 2035, 2039.4
Support levels: 2020, 2010
At the moment it is worth looking at the resistance at 2035 and 2039.4.
* A false break of the lower one will generate signals for the continuation of the range formation. In this case, the price will head towards the support.
* But a breakthrough and price consolidation above 2039.4 will form a signal for the continuation of growth to 2040-2060.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
Mastering Trend Analysis in Crypto Trading: Tutorial !Unveiling the Art of Trend Analysis in Bitcoin Trading
Welcome to a comprehensive guide that will empower you with the skills to master trend analysis in Bitcoin trading. In this extensive tutorial, we'll explore every nuance of identifying trendlines, understanding structural points, and navigating the complexities of different market scenarios. Illustrated with practical examples and annotated charts, you'll gain insights into distinguishing between ranging markets and trending channels, and how significant breakouts and confirmations signal trend changes.
Deciphering Trendlines and Structural Points
1.1 Defining Trendlines:
Delve into the essence of trendlines and their crucial role in technical analysis.
Understand the significance of structural points: higher lows, higher highs, lower highs, and lower lows.
1.2 Identifying Trends in Bitcoin:
Analyze Bitcoin price charts to identify structural points that signify the emergence of upward or downward trends.
Explore examples of higher highs and higher lows in bullish trends and lower highs and lower lows in bearish trends.
Ranging Markets - When Trading Takes a Pause
2.1 Recognizing Ranging Conditions:
Differentiate between trending and ranging markets, highlighting the characteristics of sideways price action.
Emphasize the challenges and importance of patience during range-bound periods.
2.2 Analyzing Range-Bound Bitcoin:
Illustrate Bitcoin charts during ranging conditions, showcasing the absence of defined higher highs or lower lows.
Discuss strategies for navigating range-bound markets and waiting for clear trend signals.
Section 3: Trading Channels - Dynamic Play of Bulls and Bears
3.1 Understanding Channel Dynamics:
Introduce channels as a distinct form of trending, encompassing upward (ascending) and downward (descending) trends.
Explore how channels create dynamic opportunities for traders.
3.2 Decoding Channel Breakouts:
Explore Bitcoin charts in ascending and descending channels, emphasizing the significance of breakout points.
Discuss how trend changes are confirmed only after a sustained breakout and closure beyond a trendline.
Section 4: Putting Knowledge into Action - Real-Life Examples
4.1 Example 1: Trading Higher Highs in a Bullish Trend:
Dive into a specific Bitcoin chart showcasing a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Discuss potential trading strategies aligned with the bullish trend structure.
4.2 Example 2: Navigating Lower Lows in a Bearish Downtrend:
Analyze a bearish trend scenario with lower highs and lower lows, emphasizing risk management strategies.
Discuss the psychological aspects of trading during downtrends.
4.3 Example 3: Channel Trading and Spotting Breakouts:
Examine a Bitcoin chart illustrating a channel, showcasing the dynamics of trading within the channel.
Discuss breakout scenarios and how to discern a genuine trend reversal.
Conclusion: Mastering the Art and Science of Bitcoin Trend Analysis
As you conclude this comprehensive journey through Bitcoin trend analysis, remember that expertise in this domain is a continual process. Regularly reassess your technical skills, stay attuned to market dynamics, and apply these principles with flexibility. Whether you're navigating ranging markets or identifying breakout points within channels, understanding trendlines is your compass in the vast landscape of cryptocurrency trading.
💡 Building a Solid Foundation | 📈 Trendlines Unveiled | 🔄 Navigating Ranges | 🚀 Channel Breakouts Decoded
💬 Join the conversation: Share your experiences in trend analysis, ask questions, and connect with a community dedicated to honing their Bitcoin trading skills. 🌐✨
GOLD → Pressure on XAU price. Consolidation below MA-50FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to forge a bearish correction amid a localized decline in interest due to a strengthening dollar index.
Pic: Bearish pressure on the 2025 level
On D1 we can observe the sawing of 2025 level on the background of strong struggle, buyers have formed quite a huge pool of liquidity below 2025-2020. But on the background of market pressure the price still enters the range 2025 - 1984. And we can see it on the background of confirmation in the form of price consolidation below the resistance.
There is a lot of strong news in the coming week, starting from the FOMC, FEC speech, which will obviously discuss the further situation with inflation and interest rate, and NonFarm Payrolls on Friday. This period is expected to be quite volatile, but only in its second half.
Pic: The priority trend on H1 is bearish. Downward price channel
Technically, on the local timeframe we see the formation of a bearish price channel, earlier the price overcame the 2035-2020 consolidation support, at the moment the market is in the correction phase and retesting the previously broken area.
On D1 the gold is consolidating below the daily MA-50 and essentially opens us a new path for a possible decline, as now the market and whales may be interested in the 2000-1984 area, before a possible further rise. From the opening the market may form another retest of the 2020-2025 resistance area before continuing the local trend
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
I Think the General Principles Work
These are the principles I have gained due to the reading materials.
1. Wait for Extreme Premium/Discount
2. Wait for Price to Exhaust Pressure
3. Wait for Any Chart Patterns Indicating Reversal
4. Wait for Trendline Break with Momentum
5. Wait for HARSI/WAE Above Explosion Line + Reversal Engulfing Candle Close
6. Entry on Trendline or Pivot Re-Test.
NO DISCOUNT/PREMIUM, NO PRESSURE, NO RE-TEST, NO ENTRY.
Advanced Trendline Trading TechniquesCheck out these advanced trendline trading techniques for NZDJPY.
If you're seeking a counter-trend trading opportunity, watch out for a Magic Candle Confirmation (MCC) on the Bearish Trendline.
This will signal an entry point for a short trade.
Once the pair touches the next trendline, consider shifting your stop to entry and decide whether it's a satisfactory point to exit the trade.
What's your trade plan for NZDJPY? Share your thoughts!
LUNC breaking out, looking at a possible 100% move?LUNC has been on a steady downtrend since 12/12/23.
Today LUNC on the 12hr, is finally breaking out of the downtrend and I saw two closes above the trend on the 4HR. I'm bullish on LUNC, we could see a potential dip back to re-test but I'd think no lower than 0.000008505.
My take profit points are listed here, each coinciding with major fib levels. I'll be looking to take profits steadily on the way up. Allocating at least 40% of my position slightly below the *0.618 Fib @ 0.00020529.
Join me on my quest, and run naked through lightning and long this b*tch at least 50x.
That's TA...bitch. No cap.
TP 1: 0.0015988
TP 2: 0.00018212 *
TP 3: 0.00020529
TP 4: 0.00023818
FTM Bullish After Breakout!FTM has broken out of the massive trendline and has now reclaimed the Anchored VWAP. if this bullish price action continues, we can see another 25% increase in price to the VAH. The POC is the next major resistance so if you enter a long that would be a great TP1.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
SILVER Trendline Resistance BreakHi Traders!
SILVER has broken its trendline resistance on the 1D chart.
Here are the details:
The market has found support around the 21.874 level, which is a previous swing low. Today's candle has opened above the trendline resistance and is currently on the 20 EMA.
We are looking for a close above the trendline resistance and a momentum push above the 20 EMA. The plan here is to buy market dips near the trendline resistance.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Resistance (FLAG CHANNEL): 23.25
Support (FLAG CHANNEL): 21.874
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
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Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
GOLD → Downtrend and fundamental background FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to forge a downward price channel as the dollar index strengthens on a positive fundamental backdrop. In general, this is a negative scenario for gold, but the bulls continue to keep the price from a strong fall as much as possible.
Pic: Consolidation of price below 2025 under pressure from downward resistance
Today Core PCE PI is published, a slight change for the worse is expected (by analysts and traders), but I don't think it will make a global difference against the backdrop of GDP and yesterday's news. BUT, only if the actual data is not released with a big difference to the expected data.
Technically, gold is testing the strong 2020-2050 zones on the back of the downtrend within H1-H4. Earlier we saw the price moving out of the range, at the moment the price is testing this area. Before a possible further decline, the price of gold may test the trend resistance, which in the mid-term may continue on the background of a rising DXY.
Resistance levels: 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035
Support levels: 2010, 204, 2000
Since gold is trading with a negative fundamental background (at the moment there are no fundamental or technical preconditions for growth or change of trend) and within a downtrend, at the moment the market has chances to test local lows up to 2004 (1985)
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
IOTXUSDT → The pair may rise to 0.065. Waiting for confirmation BINANCE:IOTXUSDT is showing bullish momentum amid a correcting cryptocurrency market along with the flagship. The price is trying to break trend resistance. What can come out of it?
On the high timeframe, the price forms a false breakout and a small correction relative to 0.04400. A retest is formed and the price returns to the resistance. On the background of pre-breakdown consolidation and another retest, the market has chances to break this line. Consolidation of the price above 0.04400 will show a bullish potential for purchases.
On H4 we see a local downtrend and the price going beyond the resistance, which is a good signal for the medium term. The next hurdle is to overcome 0.04400.
On H4, the price is trading above MA-50 and a retest of MA-200 is formed.
Support levels: MA50, 0.04110, 0.03900
Resistance levels: 0.0440, 0.04888
There is a signal for a possible growth of the cryptocurrency pair, but to confirm this signal the market needs to overcome 0.0440 and consolidate the price above this line.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold continuously adjusts downward, latest trading strategyWorld gold prices this morning inched up slightly with spot gold increasing by 7.9 USD to 2,019.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,021 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold inched up slightly in Thursday trading thanks to falling Treasury yields after US GDP data showed the US economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter thanks to strong consumer spending, with Growth for the whole year reached 2.5%, and inflation is "cooling down".
According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, although the economy is much hotter than expected, the report also shows us that inflation is falling, so we should not prepare for a rise in interest rates. spike. This is helping gold, the expert added.
According to CME FedWatch Tool, after the report, the market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting on January 30 and 31 and forecasts an 89% chance of cutting interest rates. capacity in May.
In addition, gold also received some support when a recent report showed that US initial jobless claims increased by 25,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 214,000 in the week ended January 20. . Economists had forecast 200,000 claims in the latest week.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15After breaking the bottom of 1,085, the selling pressure was not maintained, the buying force returned strongly and pushed the price beyond the downtrend line. Although there is still no clear bullish reversal signal, it can be seen that the buying side is strengthening through the frequency and size of bullish candlesticks. You should temporarily stop trading at this time, need to wait for clearer signals.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 26After breaking the short-term downtrend line, the buyers were unable to maintain the pressure and the sellers returned later, currently the price is being forced down to the resistance area of 1,082, a continuous change in buying and selling pressure. This shows that the two sides are struggling fiercely in this area without creating any really clear signals. You temporarily stop trading, pay attention to the boundaries of the range, the direction of the breakout can reveal the next direction of the price.
💡 XAUUSD: Retest the lower resistance zoneA sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve will have a negative impact on the US dollar, and even a moderate loosening policy can cause the US dollar to decline. If economic activity and inflation are lower than expected, the Federal Reserve could reduce interest rates. A strong USD is unlikely to return, and gold prices may continue to fluctuate amid clues about the FED's first interest rate cut.
We can see gold retreated after failing to recover and running near the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. In addition, the MACD double line and the energy column hover around the zero axis. If central banks maintain a common view that interest rate cuts will be implemented as soon as possible, this could put pressure on gold from yield perspective. Currently, the SELL strategy can be applied, requiring stop loss.
💡 XAUUSD: The decline slowed down after the GDP newsANALYSIS TODAY: The decline has slowed down and the gold price has recovered slightly in the past session. This move has not brought any significant change, so we continue to keep the old comments, expecting the price to continue to go down. According to the short-term downtrend, the targets are still 2000 and 1980 respectively.
Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD