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Trend Line Break

GOLD → Consolidation before a strong move...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a false breakout of resistance at 3365, awaiting economic data. The metal remains attractive to investors amid the economic crisis. Gold is supported by the weakening dollar amid increased trade risks. Today, US tariffs on steel and aluminum come into force, and Trump's ultimatum to trading partners expires. Investors are also awaiting news of a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping amid new accusations against China. The focus is on key employment data (ADP) and the ISM services index, which could influence the dollar and expectations for the Fed's actions. Technically, the market may test the 3323 liquidity zone before continuing its growth. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391 Support levels: 3345, 3323, 3303 Overall, both the global and local trends are bullish, with the price forming a local correction after a false breakout of resistance. If the bulls hold their ground above 3323-3345 after retesting support, growth may continue in the short to medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356 Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it... Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase. Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356 Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314 Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend. Best regards, R. Lind
Short
by RLinda
EURCAD's Triangle Hints Drop AheadThe correction looks like a contracting triangle, which is a common pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This kind of triangle usually forms during wave B or wave 4. It includes five smaller waves labeled A, B, C, D, and E, which move within two sloping lines that get closer together. There is also a demand zone marked in red on the chart. Triangles often show a pause in the market before the price continues in the same direction as before. In this case, the triangle suggests that once wave E is complete, the price may drop again to finish wave C. The expected target area is between 1.54900 and 1.54320. This outlook remains valid as long as the price stays within the correction channel.
by Money_Dictators
XAU/USD Update - Riding Wave 5 to the TopGold continues its bullish recovery, having completed Wave (4) at the channel low. We're now riding Wave (5) with strong momentum. 🔹 Entry Executed: Entered long at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement – $3,272.57, a key confluence zone with the EMA and previous structure support. 📈 Bullish Targets: $3,396.89 (0.27 extension) $3,463.25 (0.618 extension) $3,499.84 (1.0 extension / Wave (5) completion) The move is playing out cleanly, with RSI confirming upside momentum. As long as price holds above the 0.5–0.618 zone, bulls remain in control. Letting this one breathe — eyes on higher highs. 💰📈 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
1
GOLD → Correction to liquidity before growthFX:XAUUSD is in the realization phase after exiting the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. The price is supported by the trend and a complex fundamental background. Gold is retreating from its peak, remaining below risk support. The price of gold is falling moderately from $3,392, awaiting data on JOLTS job openings in the US. Gold is supported by trade and geopolitical risks: Trump doubled tariffs on metals, increasing pressure on the dollar. The conflict with China has escalated due to allegations of violations of agreements. Focus on US employment: Strong data could support the dollar and limit gold's gains, but the technical picture remains bullish. Resistance levels: 3365, 3391, 3409 Support levels: 3345, 3323 Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, gold may test deeper liquidity zones, such as 3345 and 3330. However, if trading forms between 3365 and 3345, followed by a retest of resistance and consolidation above 3365, this could trigger an early rise to 3391-3409. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
AAVEUSDT → A false breakdown provokes a change of characterBINANCE:AAVEUSDT.P maintains a bullish market structure. The coin is consolidating, with bulls trying to hold their ground above the key support line. Against the backdrop of a correction, the price is testing liquidity, with a false breakdown of support provoking a change in character to bullish within the local timeframe. Bulls are trying to maintain the bullish structure. The price is breaking through the resistance of local consolidation, forming a change in character, but before growth, the market may close the gestalt in the form of an order block or liquidity located in the 249.5 zone. Support levels: 249.11, 240.0 Resistance levels: 274.27, 280.47 Technically, the coin looks quite good and promising overall. If the bulls hold their ground in the 249-250 zone, then in the short to medium term, we could see good movement with the possibility of new highs... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Correction after distribution. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone at 3350 and forming a false breakout of resistance within the uptrend. A correction is possible before growth continues. The fundamental background is quite controversial in the market. In the current situation, the focus is on relations between Russia and Ukraine, especially after the escalation that took place over the weekend. Everyone is watching the ongoing negotiations in Turkey. In addition, we should not forget about the situation with tariffs, which is still quite tense. Gold has been rallying since the opening of the session and has reached the order block. A false breakout of resistance is forming, which could trigger a correction to the zone of interest. The dollar is hitting support, which could form a local correction before continuing its movement. This could also affect the price of gold, which remains bullish in the market. Resistance levels: 3350, 3365, 3409 Support levels: 3303, 3264 The price has broken out of consolidation, with resistance tested and liquidity above 3350 realized. Relative to the current level, a correction is possible with the aim of retesting support before continuing to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. Correction?FX:EURUSD is strengthening amid a decline in the dollar, but the currency pair is encountering strong resistance and forming a false breakout, which could trigger a correction. EURUSD is testing the resistance range as part of a distribution and forming a false breakout. The market structure is bullish, with the price breaking through local resistance and updating its high. The inability to continue growth and price consolidation below 1.1418 may trigger a correction. The dollar is also hitting support and may form a small correction, which will put pressure on EURUSD Resistance levels: 1.14246, 1.1418 Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343 If the currency pair fails to consolidate above 1.14246 during the resistance retest in order to continue its growth, then we can expect price consolidation below this level to open a short position. The correction may reach the specified support zones before continuing its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
$FI bounce coming off 30% ATH drawdown $170 targetHello, NYSE:FI Fiserv evidently got hammered to the downside the last month and last few months the name is down 30% from it's all time high from March 2025 and last month and change it is down 25% or so after downgrades. I have been watching the name the last week or so and I was looking for a drop into a zone of activity in the $152-$154 but it seems that $158-$160 is a strong area of support. Now I am tempted to grab some calls on this name but I am unsure the outcome. The latest Daily candle accumulated the most volume it's had in 2 weeks above 11 million. It bounced off the zone area highlighted. The calls I added to my watch were $170c for 7/18, last week they bottomed around $2.00-$2.20 and they closed (5/30/2025) at $3.30. That's a good move in itself. Will be watching. WSL
NYSE:FILong
by wallstreetloser001
1
BITCOIN → Correction or trend reversal? Why is 101K important?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is exiting the upward channel after a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K (previous ATH). Liquidation? Quite an interesting situation with James Wynn. As they say, money loves silence, especially when it comes to a highly manipulated market... A week after the whale's actions, Trump decided to play the market again by creating emotional swings: he announced tariffs on the EU, canceled them, then made claims against China and is now ready to reintroduce tariffs on the EU. Things didn't end well with James... Liquidation before the rally? On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is making a false breakout of the key resistance level of 110K. The phase and nature of the market are changing, the price is falling, breaking the structural support of 106500. The main question is where the stop and recovery will be. And will there be one... After exiting consolidation and the upward channel, the price within the distribution is moving towards liquidity and the order block. I would not rush to say that this is a change in the global trend; the current data fits the “correction” format. Support levels: 102000, 101400 Resistance levels: 106700, 108800 102-100K is a fairly important zone for the market; a breakout in this area could open the way to a (local) bottom. Bulls may not be able to hold the market, in which case a global sell-off could form. Therefore, I believe that retesting the 102000 level will end with a liquidity grab and a correction along the trend, during which the price may test the 106K - 108K level, which will determine the future of the market: consolidation, growth, or decline... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
29
Alibaba - This was just the obvious bottom!Alibaba - NYSE:BABA - will head much higher: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Ever since Alibaba actually retested the previous all time low in 2022, we have been able to see the textbook creation of a rounding bottom formation. Even the recent break and retest was perfectly playing out and if Alibaba confirmes the potental breakout, a rally of +50% will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $140, $220 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
GOLD → Retest support before news...FX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase amid a rising dollar. The price is heading towards the liquidity zone, which may support gold. Markets are awaiting PCE data... Gold is back in the red: PCE inflation and tariff news will decide everything. On Friday morning, gold fell, retreating from its recent rebound from weekly lows of around $3245. The price is under pressure from the strengthening US dollar, which was supported by court rulings on Trump's tariffs, but the situation around tariffs remains tense on all sides... The focus is on PCE inflation data. A weaker result could weaken the dollar and support gold. Traders remain cautious in anticipation of volatility. Support levels: 3282, 3270, 3260 Resistance levels: 3325 A retest of 3282-3270 could end in a false breakdown, but only if the fundamental backdrop is against the dollar, which would only support the price of gold. The price is most likely to be stopped by trend support, but no one can rule out the fundamental factor of surprise... As a target, during a bullish impulse, it is worth considering intermediate highs... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support... Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound... Support levels: 0.8858 Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897 Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure. ⸻ 🔍 Breakdown Highlights: 📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅ 🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅ 📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅ ⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗ 🧱 Next supports: • 106,146 = BB basis • 105,821 = BC Pole End • 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile ⸻ 🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View): • ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated • ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts • 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible • 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution ⸻ ⚠️ What to Watch Next: • Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup • A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation ⸻ 🧠 Final Take: The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMillio18
Bitcoin's Breakout Fizzles: Is a Major Reversal in Play...?Bitcoin Technical Analysis – In-Depth Breakdown Over the past two months, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong bullish trend, appreciating by approximately 51%. The sustained rally was primarily driven by bullish momentum, increased investor confidence, and broader market sentiment. Recently, Bitcoin broke through its all-time high (ATH) of 106,500, surging to a new peak near 112,000. However, this breakout was short-lived as the price failed to sustain above this level, indicating significant profit-taking activity by traders and long-term holders. This inability to hold the ATH region highlights a potential liquidity pocket where sell orders accumulate, resulting in a rejection wick and a subsequent reversal. From a Technical perspective: The price has now fallen back below 106,500, turning this key level into a major resistance zone. Historically, once a strong resistance level (like an ATH) is breached and subsequently reclaimed, it often acts as a formidable barrier to upward price movement unless there’s renewed bullish momentum. Additionally, Bitcoin has broken its ascending trendline (drawn from the lows of the uptrend) and has already retested this trendline from below. The retest was successful in confirming the breakdown, which further strengthens the bearish bias. The price structure is now forming a potential lower high pattern near the 106,500 resistance. This could signal a shift in market sentiment from bullish continuation to consolidation or correction. In terms of market psychology, the all-time high region represents a crucial psychological barrier. Traders and investors often exhibit heightened caution near such levels. Many choose to lock in profits due to fear of a double top or a false breakout. This behavior can create increased volatility, especially when combined with institutional and retail order flows. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Given the technical breakdown and the psychological factors at play: ✅ A short position can be considered, particularly around the 106,500 resistance, with confirmation from the trendline retest. ✅ However, exercise caution due to the high volatility typically observed near ATH levels. Whipsaws and fakeouts are common as both bulls and bears battle for control. ✅ Avoid high-leverage positions unless you have a strict stop-loss in place. Ideally, place the stop-loss just above the 106,500 - 107,000 zone, where a decisive breakout would invalidate the short setup. ✅ For profit targets, initial supports are seen around 100,000 - 98,000, and a deeper correction could test the 94,000 - 92,000 zone. ✅ Wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candle on the retest of the resistance, before entering the trade.
Short
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction... The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news. On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns... Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325 Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265 Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
DOGEUSDT → Long squeeze before growth?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is consolidating. A range with clear boundaries has formed. Before a possible breakout, a liquidation (false breakdown) may form On D1, the structure is quite positive. Earlier, the price tested the downward resistance, but there was no reaction (fall) as such. Instead, the price is consolidating within the range of 0.211 (0.205) - 0.23 - 0.253. Bitcoin, like the entire crypto market, is consolidating within fairly clear boundaries. Based on the current situation, it would be logical to wait for one part of the market to be liquidated before the price can move in either direction. Based on the bullish market, there may be a retest of support in the form of a false break... Resistance levels: 0.2308, 0.253 Support levels: 0.213, 0.2116, 0.205 DOGE is consolidating with a focus on the 0.23–0.211 range. Against the backdrop of a bullish trend, a liquidation (long squeeze) relative to the lower boundary of the 0.23–0.205 range is possible before growth continues. A false break of support and liquidity capture would be useful maneuvers before implementation. However, if the market is aggressive enough and resistance at 0.23 is broken with subsequent consolidation above this level, it could trigger premature growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
Trendline Breakout - SPARCCurrent Price: ₹169.82 Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout Pattern: This is a bullish technical signal. A breakout from a trendline, especially if it was a resistance trendline, suggests that the stock has overcome a significant hurdle and is likely to move higher. For confirmation, it's ideal to see the breakout accompanied by strong trading volume. Immediate Target: ₹233 Time Frame: 3 to 6 months (This suggests a medium-term horizon for achieving the target). Fundamental Analysis: Company Overview: SPARC is a pharmaceutical company engaged in research and development. It's important to note that R&D-focused companies often have different financial profiles compared to established, revenue-generating pharmaceutical companies. They typically have lower or even negative profits in the short term as they invest heavily in developing new drugs and technologies. Quarterly Results (Q4 FY25 - ended March 31, 2025): SPARC often reports losses due to its R&D heavy nature. For Q4 FY25, the company reported a consolidated net loss of ₹90.3 crore, higher than the loss of ₹60.8 crore in Q4 FY24. Revenue from operations also declined to ₹40.5 crore in Q4 FY25 from ₹51.4 crore in Q4 FY24. Yearly Results (FY25 - ended March 31, 2025): For the full fiscal year FY25, SPARC reported a consolidated net loss of ₹363.8 crore, significantly higher than the loss of ₹237.3 crore in FY24. Revenue from operations for FY25 also decreased to ₹182.2 crore from ₹236.8 crore in FY24. P/E Ratio: Given that SPARC often reports losses, its P/E ratio is typically not applicable (N/A) or negative, as a P/E ratio requires positive earnings. Investors usually evaluate such companies based on factors like pipeline progress, clinical trial results, regulatory approvals, and potential market size of their innovations rather than traditional profitability metrics. EPS Comparison: As the company is often in a loss-making phase due to R&D expenses, the EPS is typically negative. Comparing negative EPS values can be less insightful than tracking the progress of their drug pipeline. Corporate Actions: Dividend: SPARC typically does not pay dividends given its R&D phase and often negative profitability. Funding/Partnerships: Key corporate actions for SPARC would include fundraising rounds, strategic partnerships for drug development or commercialization, and announcements related to regulatory approvals or clinical trial successes. Company Order Book: SPARC, being an R&D company, generally does not have a traditional "order book" like manufacturing or infrastructure companies. Its future revenue visibility depends on successful drug development, licensing agreements, or commercialization of its patented products. Latest News: Q4 and FY25 Results: The latest news would likely focus on the company's increased losses and decreased revenue, along with management commentary on the progress of their various drug candidates in clinical trials. Clinical Trial Updates: Any announcements regarding the phases of clinical trials (Phase I, II, III), interim results, or regulatory submissions for its drug pipeline would be significant news. Research & Development: Updates on new research areas or technological advancements. Overall Assessment: SPARC presents a challenging fundamental picture with consistent losses and declining revenue, typical of an R&D-heavy pharmaceutical firm. Investors in SPARC are essentially betting on the future success of its drug pipeline. The Trendline Breakout pattern identified in your technical analysis suggests that the stock might be building momentum. If the market is anticipating a positive development (e.g., successful trial results, regulatory approval) that could fundamentally change its profitability, then the technical breakout might be a leading indicator. The immediate target of ₹233 would represent a significant upside. However, it is crucial to understand that for a company like SPARC, technical breakouts can be highly speculative without a corresponding positive fundamental catalyst related to its drug development pipeline. The stock's movement is heavily dependent on news flow regarding its R&D projects. Key Factors to Monitor: Confirmation of Technical Breakout: Ensure the breakout is sustained with strong volume. R&D Pipeline Progress: This is paramount. Track updates on their drug candidates, clinical trial results, and regulatory milestones. Cash Burn Rate: Given its losses, monitor the company's cash position and burn rate. Strategic Partnerships: Any new collaborations could provide funding and validation for its research. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in R&D-focused pharmaceutical companies like SPARC carries inherently high risks due to the uncertainty of drug development and regulatory approvals. Always conduct your own thorough research, understand the company's drug pipeline, assess your risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:SPARCLong
by sara54654
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11