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Trend Line Break

BITCOIN → The rally is manipulation. U-turn and down to 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT confirms the bearish market structure. After the 59K retest, the price rallies 7%. There is no technical or fundamental explanation for this market manipulation: $6K down, $ 4K up, $5K down, $ 4K up within the last two weeks... Bitcoin is still trading within a sideways range of 65K - 52K. The last resistance retest ended in a false breakdown and a price drop of 11% to 59K. Also, the local change of the market character (price confirms the downtrend) to bearish and formation of the downtrend channel (I remind about the downtrend on D1-W1) plays an important role. Emphasis on resistance 63400, 64130, 65000, possible retest or false breakdown followed by downside realization as we still have not reached the key liquidity zones.... Resistance levels: 63400, 64130 Support levels: 61320, 59000 The price is testing the resistance zone as part of the rally. There is no accumulation or technical potential to overcome this area for further growth. Within the bearish trend, the buyer does not show dominant signs and with high probability it will be stopped in the key zone. A reversal and decline to the lower zone of the sideways range is possible... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
120
GOLD → Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..FX:XAUUSD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI. Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November... Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices... The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data... Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600 Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump? Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns. Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ... If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction. A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637 Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585 Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead! On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue. Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form... Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364 Support levels: 1.353, 1.347 If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone... As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness. On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline. Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111 So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs. Levels to watch: $115, $80 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
6
BTC Primed for Explosive Wave 3 Rally: All-Time Highs in Sight?BTC looks to have completed its ABC correction for Wave 2 in the short-term impulse wave. The correction landed perfectly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a textbook setup for an ABC pattern. With this, BTC is now entering Wave 3, which historically offers the strongest price movements. In the immediate term, BTC is poised to break through Waves 1 and 2 of 3 quickly. But the real fireworks will likely come when we hit Wave 3 of 3, which could push BTC up to as high as $68k—a target that’s been on the cards for some time. If we manage to break through the upper trendline during Waves 4 and 5 of the higher degree trend, BTC could be set for new all-time highs within the next few weeks. With all eyes on this setup, it feels like November 5th could be a pivotal moment for BTC. Let’s see how the market unfolds, but it’s looking very bullish!
Long
by cryptechcapital
1
GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623.... Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows... Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market... Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631 Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585 News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
EURUSD → The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓FX:EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase... The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1). At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom... Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892 Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047 A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline.... The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system. At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5. Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44 Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5 Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
PEPE Prepares for Parabolic Growth: Bullish Momentum Building PEPE’s price action is following a classic Elliott Wave structure, with Wave 1 now complete, followed by an ABC correction, which also appears to have finished. This signals that we’re now entering Wave 3 of a larger degree trend (marked yellow), with Waves 1 and 2 behind us. Zooming in, the Roman numeral wave count (white) shows the completion of Wave 1 of 3 of the higher degree trend, with i (green) forming the current wave. Once i completes, we can expect a brief ABC correction, followed by parabolic growth in Wave 3. It’s exciting to see a meme coin like PEPE following such a strong bullish trajectory. The overall outlook is highly promising, and this setup could lead to significant upside potential!
Long
by cryptechcapital
2
GOLD → Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance.... The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech. Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels.... Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673 Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623 Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
BITCOIN → The flirtation with MA-200 ended in failure. To 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSD failed in its attempt to break the daily MA-200 and 64-65K resistance. A retest of the previously broken range boundary and strong liquidity zone amid a global descending channel is forming. The crowd was in the majority, but... On W1 the promising direction of the current trend is clearly visible. The price tested the upper boundary of the channel, but the bears pushed us down rather aggressively, making us realize that there is nothing to do in the zone above 65K yet. One of the reasons for the btc drop we caught earlier: 94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers noted high activity in buying call options on BTC with a strike of $75000. There were also high sales of puts. Trick question: How to make money if the crowd is buying? Resistance levels: 62745, 64955 Support levels: 60K, 59250, 57700 A correction after the impulse is forming and the price may test the imbalance and liquidation zone. Having broken 62342 area earlier, we entered the panic zone, where sellers managed to grab a piece before further failure at 60K. Before the further fall, the price may go after these lucky sellers before the asset goes after the buyers on the background of the general trend. This would be considered a retest after breaking the structure. I do not see any reasons for growth beyond 64-65K at the moment, I am interested in the zone of 60K, 57K, 55K, 52K. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
59
EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing.... On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support. EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089. Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115 Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100 ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the SMAFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range, within which it strengthens to 2673 with subsequent retracement and retest of SMA 200 & 50. Buyers are trying to hold their defenses above this area with the aim of further growth.... The complicated situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, which keeps the gold price from falling amid the rising dollar. Any de-escalation of the conflict (Israel's inaction on Iran's measures) could increase selling pressure... Nevertheless, the US employment change data from ADP as well as the Fed's speech will be the next important events for the US dollar and the gold price. Any hints of interest rate cuts will be viewed favorably... Technically, emphasis on 2665 resistance - if the bulls can consolidate above this zone, gold could go for a retest of ATH. Also - emphasis on 2643. A break of the support will reinforce selling. This could take the price to 2625-2600. Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2643, 2625, 2515 Bullish trend. Gold is not going to update the lows. The bulls are trying to consolidate above the SMA. Signs that the price is ready to grow. BUT, it is possible that unpredictable signs may appear in the market, which may lead to profit-taking and correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Nasdaq - Another +50% From Here!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) just broke out of a major channel: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It really seems like the Nasdaq is about to repeat the breakout behaviour of 2020. However, last month the Nasdaq showed some significant signs of weakness and vulnerability. The next couple of months will be very decisive, but the past of least resistance still seems towards the upside. Levels to watch: $20.000, $25.000, $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQLong
by basictradingtv
2
GOLD → Is it time for a correction? Retest of 2650 supportFX:XAUUSD is cooling down. Earlier the price updated local highs. Now the metal is testing 2650 as a support level. At the moment, the price is entering the panic zone, which may provoke profit-taking before Powell's speech. Technically the market is bullish, but after the formation of ATH 2685 the price is not ready to test and update these highs. The influence of the interest rate cut has cooled down and traders are starting to focus on the incoming actual data. But we should not forget about the situation in the Middle East. Chicago PMI and Powell's speech at 17:55 are ahead. Everything depends on his comments and the tone he will give to the markets. Based on the overall technical situation and technical overheating of the syuatation, we can assume that the price may extend the range and test the support at 2634-2623-2613 before the market returns to recovery. Resistance levels: 2660, 2675 Support levels: 2634, 2623 I am waiting for a correction with a possible retest of the key support zones. Most likely we should count on the confirmation of the range boundaries and the formation of a flat between 2600(2615) - 2685 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
USDJPY → No upside potential. Prepare to fall!FX:USDJPY is facing a sell-off at the end of last week, which proves that the currency pair is not ready to go up. The dollar still continues to prepare for a breakout of 100.0. The currency pair is not able to approach the local highs, however, after the reduction of interest rates in the U.S. Japan refrained from any economic decisions regarding this issue. The pressure on the dollar has a corresponding effect on the currency pair. At the moment the price is facing a strong support at 141.74, from which a small correction to the liquidity or imbalance zone may follow, but with a high probability (technical and fundamental nuances) we may see a continuation of the fall. Resistance levels: 143.25, 144.0, 145.18 Support levels: 141.74, 139.5 In the short term, I expect a slight pullback followed by a continuation of the fall, breakdown of the key support and price decline to 139.5-138 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8