CAD | CHF - Possible corrective phaseCAD | CHF primarily bullish for a while on HTF, although there is a potential FLIP control of SELLERS. On the other hand, if the price fails to stay above 0.62000, sellers may regain control, bringing the pair back down towards crucial support levels at 0.614000 and 0.61000. A breakdown below these levels would negate the optimistic prognosis for the future.
NOTE:
- this is just solely based on my knowledge and Technical Analysis.
Trend Line Break
NZDUSD → Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead... FX:NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...
On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.
Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544
Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel....
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Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → A sideways range is forming. Emphasis on resistance...FX:GBPJPY is strengthening after forging a double bottom at 184.0. It is also favored by the JPY correction on the back of the dollar correction after the unpredictable reaction to the US interest rate cuts...
The currency pair may continue its decline from the resistance zone 192-193.5. This is facilitated by a number of nuances: Japan still holds the course for further strengthening of interest rates in order to save the value of the national currency. The dollar may continue its fall after traders come to their senses after the US interest rate cuts....
Overall, this tandem can have a strong impact on the JPY strength and on the currency pair as a whole, allows to form a medium-long term strategy on the currency pair.
Technically, I am waiting for a false breakdown or bounce from the mentioned resistance zone with the subsequent decline to the liquidity zone....
Resistance levels: 191.4, 193.48, 193.97
Support levels: 190.5, 186.7
BUT! If the bulls manage to consolidate above 193.97, then an upward impulse may be formed, because at the moment the environment (technical and fundamental background) is still tense...
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Bounce from 1.1200 before further growthFX:EURUSD has been rallying since the beginning of the Asian session and is reaching the key resistance at 1.1200. The psychological level has quite a strong weight on the market and it will be difficult to break this area from the first time....
A rebound is forming on H4-H1. On D1, a rather wide range of 1.120 - 1.105 is forming in the market but after the price exits the descending wedge, which is a rather promising bullish premise. Due to the strong distribution to 1.1200 the market has no potential to break through this zone, accordingly, in the short (mid) term I expect a pullback or consolidation in the range 1.12 - 1.114 ( 1.111) and the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the range with the aim of breaking through and further growth to 1.127 - 1.135.
Resistance levels: 1.120
Support levels: 1.114, 1.111
There is a huge pool of liquidity above 1.12, which will not allow buyers to overcome this obstacle so easily. We are waiting for a correction and a further breakdown, which will be followed by growth.
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Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming....
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher....
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems....
It's also the most likely scenario
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking....
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Resistance Retest. A rebound or a breakthrough? FX:EURUSD is testing the resistance of the local correction, and instead of the expected rebound, I am waiting for an attempt of a breakout with the aim of further growth to 1.12757 on the background of the expected fall of the dollar....
There is important news ahead that traders have been waiting for months. A rate cut. And the question is no longer “when?”, but “by how much?”. 25 basis points or 50 ... But before that traders will have to endure Retail Sales, CPI, FOMC, which may also have an impact on both the market and the Fed.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance of the range, 1.112. The market is likely to fight for this zone, a correction is possible, but a gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. If the bulls hold 1.112, it will open the way towards ATH!
Resistance levels: 1.112, 1.12
Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1072
Globally the trend is bullish, on D1 the price is coming out of the correction phase and continues the upward movement. The news may have a big impact on the market, which will shape both medium and long term prospects... Targets are indicated on the chart
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on....
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing the highs. News ahead. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is getting shaken on the background of dollar growth on Monday. A false breakdown is forming relative to last week's high. The trend is bullish, but before the strong news there may be a minute of panic....
Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds are rising on the back of falling interest rates, boosting the U.S. dollar. This is an unpredictable scenario, because something is not going the way everyone was expecting. Further movement depends on the Euro and US PMI data. If the PMI will again cause fears of recession in the world, the recovery of the US dollar, will change the local structure of the markets, which will cause a new correction in the price of gold from record highs. Also the focus on the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East...
Resistance levels: 2625, 2631, 2650
Support levels: 2614, 2602, 2589
Technically, a correction may follow from 2625 as locally there are preconditions for panic on the background of approaching news. Traders may resort to profit taking, which will contribute to the correction. BUT, if gold continues its active recovery, a break of 2631 will open the potential for a rise to 2640-2650.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies|Strong Swing Trade Potential!📈 Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies Ltd. Shows Strong Swing Trade Potential! 🚀
Stock Analysis Report
Stock Name : Tata Technologies Ltd.
Timeframe: Daily
Current Market Price (CMP) : ₹1068
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Trade Type
• Trade Type: Swing Trade
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Technical Analysis
1. Trendline Breakout:
The stock has recently broken above a key trendline with increased volume, indicating a strong bullish signal.
Following the breakout, the stock has successfully retested the trendline, further
validating the upward momentum.
2. Indicators:
MACD: Buy signal confirmed.
Oscillator: Buy signal confirmed.
3. Moving Averages:
The price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
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Target Prices
• T-1: ₹1115
• T-2: ₹1150
• T-3: ₹1180
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Stop Loss
• SL: ₹1045
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Summary : Tata Technologies Ltd. presents a strong swing trade opportunity. The stock exhibits a bullish trend supported by a recent trendline breakout, successful retest, and positive signals from key technical indicators. With the price trading above significant moving averages, potential target prices are set at ₹1115, ₹1150, and ₹1180, while a stop loss is recommended at ₹1045 to manage downside risk.
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Disclaimer : " Please do not base your trades solely on the ideas mentioned above. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses that may result from applying this study or from taking any early entry or exit in trades. "
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.
“The pound gained strength”The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its policy interest rate at 5.00%, with no changes. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that since they lowered the policy rate in August, inflationary pressures have continued to ease. Bailey also emphasized the importance of avoiding rate cuts that are too quick or too large. Following this development, the GBP/USD pair rose above the 1.33 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 1.3355 level is permanently surpassed, the rise could accelerate toward 1.3430, followed by the 1.35 resistance level. On the downside, if prices fall below the 1.3270 level, the decline could extend first to 1.3150 and then further to the 1.3030 support level.
GBPUSD → A change of sentiment. What happened?FX:GBPUSD is moving into a flat phase, possibly into counter-trend correction on the background of locally changed sentiment, formed by the fundamental background of Thursday / Friday, the dollar is growing on this background.
The currency pair is forming a bull market wave on D1-W1. On D1, a clear transition from bear market to bull market is formed, which is confirmed by the breakdown of the structure and smooth confirmation by the subsequent impulse.
The fundamental background is (temporarily) negative, there is no news for the next two days, respectively, the sentiment from last week remains.
Technically, the zone of interest for MM is the support from D1 at 1.3044. On H1 we have a strong liquidity zone ahead, which may trigger a primary pullback to the equilibrium zone before a subsequent decline to the key support and liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 1.314, 1.3163
Support levels: 1.3088, 1.3081, 1.3044
Buyers decided to refrain for the time being, shorts on the currency pair are increasing on the background of the dollar growth. Ahead is an important event - CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed rate meeting on September 18. By this time the market may be neutral
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★
FX:GBPUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURCAD → One step away from a rally. High chance to break 1.5100FX:EURCAD exited from the accumulation of the “descending triangle” format, which is a favorable signal for the continuation of the trend.
A promising bullish structure is forming on W1.
Euro, despite the ECB interest rate cuts, is growing and the growth is mostly related to the dollar, which is falling after Friday's news of PPI and Initial Jobless Claims. Now it is not the fact of the action itself that is being discussed, but how much it will be cut...
Technically, the currency pair is consolidating in front of the global resistance at 1.51000. The strong level has been holding the market in the bearish zone for several years, but the fundamental background gives a chance to break and move into the realization and growth phase.
Resistance levels: 1.5051, 1.51000
Support levels: 1750238, 1.4935
The primary reaction at 1.505 may end with a rebound, but most likely the bulls will manage to keep the defense above 1.5023 - 1.505, which may have a very favorable impact on the further growth of the trend.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
“Gold Prices Target 2600 Level”After the Fed cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, the dollar index saw further declines. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dropped to 3.63% following the decision. This market reaction accelerated the push for gold prices towards the 2600 level. Additionally, the Fed indicated the possibility of another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that upward risks to inflation have decreased, while downward risks to employment have increased.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2580 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
“Dollar Index Declines After Fed Decision”The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and bringing inflation down to 2% sustainably. Additionally, the Fed lowered its federal funds rate projection for the end of this year from 5.1% to 4.4%, suggesting the possibility of a further 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year.
Technically, if the index falls below the 100.50 level, the 100.0 and 99.50 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 101.0 level, resistance can be observed at the 101.85 and 102.70 levels.
AUDUSD → A reversal set-up. Rebound before the fallFX:AUDUSD is breaking the bullish market structure amid the counter-trend dollar correction related to fundamentals. The currency pair is bumping into a strong liquidity area...
It will be difficult to pass the zone 0.6695 from the first time, because below this area there is a zone of high density of limit orders. Accordingly, as a reaction we see a false break of the support at 0.6699 (H4) and a rebound. Earlier there was a change of market character to bearish, rebound from the support may lead to recovery to 0.5-0.7 Fibo, from which further decline may resume to the key support from which 2 scenarios may develop. In a weak market the movement may continue, but if the general background starts to change (the dollar is in a bear market) the currency pair may start a recovery phase.
Resistance levels: 0.674, 0.676
Support levels: 0.6699, 0.6686
Technically, we are waiting for a pullback to the specified zone (0.5 - 0.7 Fibo), further it is worth watching the price reaction to the specified zones. A price retest of the support will increase the chances of a breakout and further decline, but strong bulls may continue to resist the bears, which may lead to growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:AUDUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
OPUSDT → Double top. How far can we fall?BINANCE:OPUSDT cannot get out of the bears' clutches. The market continues to form its movement under the pressure of the downtrend. There are important events ahead that could shake up the trading community....
Bitcoin, as well as the rest of the cryptocurrency market continues to decline. Cryptocurrencies are not reacting to Trump's speech in any way, but traders are waiting for the U.S. rate cut in the hope that the encouraging data (0.5% decrease) will increase interest. But the 0.25% decrease will add weight to the bearish paw, which can only strengthen the already current decline.
Technically OPUSDT is forming a global bearish trend, the price is not allowed to update the local highs. The last retest ended with the formation of a double top, which led to a sharp decline.
Resistance levels: 1.469, 1.510, 1.544
Support levels: 1.431, 1.393, 1.3
The 1.431 area is holding the market back from falling, but a strong pre-breakdown accumulation is forming near this area with a target to continue falling. Watch out for the 1.430 trigger, a break of this zone will give downward momentum
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golden wedge pattern gold price are rising very high for last two years
it started two years ago with uk crisis when fed started turning monetary easing by Financial condition.
in last two year fed pivot from 75 to 25 hike to doing QE meeting by meeting from november 2022 to march 2023
while now crowd asking fed will cut to make kamala win election.
to avoid recession in election year fed blindly ignore economic boomb like condition in market when everything was breaking out gold, bitcoin, silver, sp500
now just few days to election
fed will be tightening or easing
“Nasdaq's Target is 19,500”Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed meeting. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. This situation leads to a positive risk appetite being effective on the indices. On the U.S. side, retail sales increased by 0.1%. Meanwhile, industrial production in the U.S. pointed to a positivity exceeding expectations with a 0.8% rise.
Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.