USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement.
🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement.
🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support.
🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance.
📈 Trading Plan:
✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest.
🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain).
🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly).
📊 Conclusion:
If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.
Trendreversal
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Double Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup1. Market Structure & Context
The EUR/GBP daily chart presents a well-defined double bottom reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend shift from a prolonged downtrend to an uptrend.
The pair has been in a bearish phase, as reflected by the descending trendline.
However, price action suggests a possible trend reversal, as buyers are stepping in near a key demand zone.
A successful neckline breakout would confirm the bullish reversal, potentially leading to significant upside movement.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Technical Levels
A. Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
The double bottom is a powerful reversal pattern, often signaling the end of a downtrend. It consists of two similar low points, forming a "W" shape.
Bottom 1: The first low was established around 0.8200 - 0.8250, where buyers initially stepped in to push prices higher.
Bottom 2: Price retested this demand zone, but sellers failed to push it lower, confirming a strong support level.
Bullish Significance: The inability of sellers to break below the support zone suggests the exhaustion of selling pressure and increasing buy-side interest.
B. Neckline Resistance & Potential Breakout Zone
The neckline resistance is drawn around 0.8450 - 0.8500, a key level where previous price rallies were rejected.
A breakout above this zone, ideally with strong bullish volume, would validate the double bottom pattern and trigger a bullish breakout trade.
C. Descending Trendline Breakout Attempt
The long-term downtrend resistance (trendline) has been holding since mid-2024.
Price is currently testing this trendline; a clear breakout and retest would add further confidence to the bullish bias.
3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
A. Entry Strategy
There are two possible entry strategies, depending on risk appetite:
Aggressive Entry: Buy immediately upon a breakout above 0.8500, anticipating a strong rally.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout + retest of the neckline before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss & Risk Management
Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the recent swing low at 0.82029.
This level acts as the last line of defense for bulls; if price drops below it, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
C. Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: 0.86122 (first resistance zone, a previous swing high).
TP2: 0.87284 (higher resistance level, next supply zone).
These levels serve as potential profit-taking areas where sellers may re-enter the market.
4. Additional Technical Confluences Supporting Bullish Bias
✔ Key Support Zone Holding Strong – The price has bounced twice from the demand zone (0.8200 - 0.8250), confirming strong buyer interest.
✔ Volume Confirmation Needed – A breakout with high volume increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum.
✔ RSI & Momentum Indicators – If RSI crosses above 50, it would further confirm bullish momentum, supporting the breakout trade.
✔ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – A well-defined stop loss & take profit strategy ensures an optimal trade setup.
5. Summary & Final Trading Plan
Current Market Bias: Bullish if neckline breaks (Double Bottom Confirmation).
Entry Confirmation: Look for a breakout above 0.8500 with strong volume.
Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.8612
TP2: 0.8728
Stop-Loss Level: Below 0.8202 to protect against fake breakouts.
🚀 Final Tip for Traders:
Monitor price action & volume closely. A breakout without volume may lead to a false move. Confirmation with bullish momentum is essential for a high-probability trade setup.
Trend Reversal in Play?After a strong bearish channel that lasted several weeks, the market has finally broken out of the resistance level — a key technical signal. This breakout was followed by higher lows and higher highs, suggesting a possible shift in momentum. 📈
Volume has also increased noticeably around the breakout zone, which can signal stronger conviction from buyers. The question now is: Are we entering a new uptrend?
As long as the price holds above the broken resistance (now acting as support), bulls could take control. Traders should keep an eye on key support zones and potential continuation patterns to confirm the trend reversal.
👉 What do you think — new rally or a bull trap?
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup.
📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern
The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback.
Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback.
Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend.
This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway.
📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation
Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line).
The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing.
A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels
Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones.
📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area):
0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in.
If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss.
This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone.
📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone):
The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken.
If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades.
A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline.
📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward.
This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area.
If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play.
📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy
This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade.
✅ Entry Strategy:
Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline.
Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position.
🚀 Stop-Loss Placement:
Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern).
Ensures protection from a potential false breakout.
🎯 Take-Profit Strategy:
First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern).
Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward.
📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations
While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider:
🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment.
🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup.
🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance.
📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability
This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity.
💡 Key Takeaways:
✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal.
✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry.
✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776.
✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation.
🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview
This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation.
The chart clearly identifies:
✅ A Rising Wedge formation
✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections
✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction
✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones
This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup
The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker.
This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading.
Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend.
🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge:
📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength
📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power
📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move
2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone
The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement.
The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here.
The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted.
Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed.
3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In
After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted.
🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength:
✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling
✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control
✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed
4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones
A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively.
📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95)
Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts.
If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Profit Target (31.96)
The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point.
If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook
From here, we can expect the following price movement:
📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability)
The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96.
Each small rally should be met with selling pressure.
📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible)
If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid.
This could lead to a bullish reversal instead.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup?
This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it:
✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy:
Short after a retest of the broken wedge support
Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation
✅ 🔹 Risk Management:
Place Stop Loss above 33.95
Take profits around 31.96
✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
Lower highs forming after breakdown
Increased selling volume on bearish candles
Price respecting the downtrend structure
🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed
🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver.
🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions.
🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook.
🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Double Top Pattern & Bearish MoveThis EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a clear Double Top pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The chart displays key technical elements, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, a stop-loss placement, and a take-profit target. Let’s go through an in-depth professional breakdown of this trading setup.
1. Market Structure and Trend Analysis
Before identifying the pattern, it’s crucial to analyze the market structure:
✔ The price had been in an uptrend initially, making higher highs and higher lows.
✔ However, the trend began to weaken after hitting resistance at the 1.0950 zone.
✔ This failure to break higher created a double top, which is a strong bearish reversal signal.
A double top forms when the price reaches a high twice, fails to break above resistance, and then declines past the neckline (support level), confirming trend reversal.
2. Double Top Pattern Breakdown
🔹 First Peak (Top 1):
The price surged upwards, hitting the resistance zone at 1.0950, but faced selling pressure.
The rejection resulted in a pullback to the neckline (support level at 1.0800-1.0820).
🔹 Second Peak (Top 2):
The price attempted another rally but failed at the same resistance zone, confirming seller dominance.
The second rejection suggests a lack of bullish strength, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Neckline (Support Breakdown):
The key support zone around 1.0800 acted as a pivot level.
Once this level was breached, it confirmed bearish continuation.
3. Key Technical Levels & Price Action Signals
🟢 Resistance Level – 1.0950 Zone
This level has acted as a strong supply zone where sellers stepped in to push prices lower. The two failed breakout attempts indicate that buyers lost control.
🔵 Support Level (Neckline) – 1.0800-1.0820 Zone
Initially, this area provided buyer support, but once broken, it became a resistance level (previous support turns into new resistance).
⚡ Stop-Loss Placement – 1.09190
A well-placed stop-loss above the resistance zone protects against false breakouts.
If the price rises above this level, it invalidates the bearish structure.
🎯 Take-Profit Target – 1.06916
The projected target aligns with the measured move (the distance from the resistance to the neckline).
The price may find support at this level, where traders should look for a potential reversal or continuation.
4. Confirmation of Bearish Breakdown
For a high-confidence short trade, multiple confluences support the bearish bias:
✔ Break & Retest of the Neckline – After breaking support, the price attempted a retest and failed, confirming resistance.
✔ Trendline Break – The trendline supporting the previous uptrend has been decisively broken.
✔ Bearish Price Action – The formation of strong red candles and lower highs suggests sustained selling pressure.
✔ Momentum Shift – Increased bearish volume further confirms the reversal strength.
5. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
✅ Entry Criteria
Sell after the retest rejection at the previous support (now resistance).
Look for a strong bearish candle formation as a confirmation signal.
📉 Risk Management
Stop-Loss: Placed slightly above 1.09190, ensuring the pattern remains valid.
Take-Profit: Target set at 1.06916, aligning with previous structure support.
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
6. Alternative Scenarios & Market Considerations
Although the bearish bias is dominant, traders should be prepared for alternative outcomes:
🔸 Fakeout Risk: If price closes above 1.09190, it could indicate a failed breakdown, invalidating the trade.
🔸 Bounce from 1.06916: If the price reaches the target support zone, buyers might step in, leading to a potential reversal.
🔸 Fundamental Influence: News events (such as FOMC, ECB statements, or US inflation data) can increase volatility and impact price direction.
7. Conclusion – A High-Probability Short Trade
This Double Top pattern setup presents a textbook bearish reversal, offering an excellent short-selling opportunity. The combination of technical confirmations, price action signals, and a well-structured risk-reward ratio makes this trade highly reliable.
Final Takeaways:
✔ Bearish Confirmation – Double Top breakdown with a retest rejection.
✔ Sell Setup Validity – Below 1.0800 support.
✔ Stop-Loss & Target Defined – Risk-controlled strategy execution.
📊 Verdict: Bearish trade setup with downside potential toward 1.06916. Traders should monitor price action for further confirmations! 🚀
CHF/USD Bearish Reversal: Trendline Break Strong Sell-Off!his CHF/USD (Swiss Franc/U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart showcases a bearish trading setup, signaling a potential downside move after a failed breakout at a key resistance level. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the chart, highlighting key technical elements, potential trade setups, and risk management considerations.
1. Identified Chart Pattern – Cup & Handle (Failed Breakout)
The chart initially formed a Cup and Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup where:
The rounded bottom (cup) indicated accumulation and a gradual shift in trend from bearish to bullish.
The handle consolidation represented a minor pullback before a potential breakout.
However, the pattern failed to hold its bullish momentum. Instead of continuing higher, the price was rejected at the resistance level (ATH – All-Time High), signaling a shift in sentiment.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Level + ATH (All-Time High)
The price reached a significant resistance zone (marked in blue), aligning with an all-time high (ATH) level.
Multiple rejections at this level indicate strong selling pressure, making it a potential distribution area where smart money is offloading positions.
Support Level + Reversal Zone
After rejection from the resistance, the price retraced to a critical support zone, previously acting as a demand area (buyers stepping in).
A break below this level confirms bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Trendline Break – Bearish Confirmation
The trendline (marked in black) represents the primary uptrend support that guided price movement.
The break below this trendline signals a loss of bullish strength, increasing the probability of a trend reversal rather than a continuation.
3. Projected Price Movement – Bearish Scenario
Given the trendline break and rejection from resistance, the chart suggests a bearish wave with the following expectations:
A retest of the broken trendline and support zone before continuing downward.
Lower highs and lower lows formation – confirming a new downtrend.
A potential drop towards key downside targets (marked as TP1, TP2, and the final target).
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
✅ TP1 (1.1128): A minor support level where price may find temporary buying interest.
✅ TP2 (1.1111): A more significant support area that previously acted as demand.
✅ Final Target (1.1035): The ultimate downside objective, aligning with a major support zone and historical price action levels.
Stop-Loss Placement (SL):
📍 Above the broken trendline OR the recent swing high, ensuring protection against false breakouts or retracements.
4. Trade Execution & Risk Management
Entry Strategy (For Short Positions)
🔹 Aggressive Entry: Enter short immediately after the support zone break.
🔹 Conservative Entry: Wait for a retest of the support-turned-resistance area for confirmation before shorting.
Risk-Reward Ratio Consideration:
A properly placed stop-loss above resistance ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Ideal ratio: 1:2 or better, meaning potential reward should be at least twice the risk.
5. Market Sentiment & Possible Alternative Scenario
While the primary outlook is bearish, traders must remain flexible and monitor price action closely:
If price reclaims the support zone and breaks above resistance, it invalidates the bearish setup, shifting momentum back to bullish.
A sustained close above the trendline could trap early sellers, leading to a short squeeze rally back toward resistance.
6. Final Thoughts
🔹 Bearish Bias: This setup favors downside movement due to trendline break, resistance rejection, and market structure shift.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch: Support zone retest, trendline confirmation, and target levels.
🔹 Risk Management is Essential: Using stop-loss protection and proper trade sizing to mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Setup
🚀 The CHF/USD pair has shifted to a bearish structure after failing to break its ATH resistance. The breakdown of the trendline and key support level suggests a strong sell-off towards the 1.1035 target. Traders should look for short opportunities on pullbacks while managing risk effectively.
Would you like me to refine or simplify any part of this analysis for your TradingView post? 📉🔥
Bullish Pullback (Bullish Flag) or Trend Reversal**EUR/CAD (4H) Chart Pattern Analysis** 📊
Based on the **4-hour chart**, here’s a breakdown of the **current market structure and potential trade setups**:
**🔍 Chart Pattern: Bullish Pullback or Trend Reversal?**
- **Trend:** The market has been in a **strong uptrend**, with price consistently trading above the **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Recent Pullback:** The price has retraced slightly after making a **higher high**, but it is still respecting the **21 EMA (purple line)** and **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Possible Pattern Formation:**
- **Bullish Flag:** If the price consolidates and breaks above **1.5700**, we could see **continuation to new highs**.
- **Double Top Reversal:** If the price fails to break above resistance and drops below **1.5525**, the trend might reverse.
**📈 Bullish Scenario (Trend Continuation)**
✅ **Entry:** Buy on break and close above **1.5700**
✅ **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **1.5620** (recent support)
✅ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5750
- **TP2:** 1.5800
- **TP3:** 1.5850 (extended target)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- Strong bullish candle closing above **7 EMA & 21 EMA**
- Volume increase on breakout
---
**📉 Bearish Scenario (Trend Reversal)**
❌ **Entry:** Sell if price drops below **1.5525**
❌ **Stop Loss (SL):** Above **1.5650**
❌ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5480
- **TP2:** 1.5400
- **TP3:** 1.5350 (major demand zone)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- **Break of 50 EMA** with strong bearish momentum
- Increased selling volume
---
**📊 Summary**
🔹 **Trend is still bullish**, but price needs to hold above 21 & 50 EMA for continuation.
🔹 **Key Level:** **1.5700 for bullish breakout** OR **1.5525 for bearish reversal**.
🔹 **Wait for confirmation before entering a trade!**
NASDAQ 100 - Is the Downtrend Losing Steam? The market has been in a clear bearish trend, forming a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. However, we are now witnessing signs of stabilization as price action begins to consolidate at a critical level.
🔍 Key Observations:
- The price has tested resistance twice around 20,800, failing to break higher. This signals strong selling pressure at this level.
- At the same time, the market has established a short-term support around 20,000, holding the price from making new lows.
- The structure suggests a possible double top formation, which could indicate another rejection and continuation of the bearish trend.
Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: If the price manages to break above resistance, we could see a trend reversal, leading to a potential recovery towards 21,000+.
2️⃣ Bearish Rejection: If resistance holds strong, another drop could follow, with price targeting the previous support zone or even lower lows.
3️⃣ Range Formation: If the market continues to test this zone without clear direction, we might enter a sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
What do you think? Will NASDAQ break resistance or head lower?
#NASDAQ #Trading #MarketAnalysis #DoubleTop #BearishOrBullish
$COIN Spinning Stop Candle in Downtrend; ReversalWe have 7 days of straight beating, assault, slaughter and murder. Do I think this thing reverses 10 fold? No but do I expect a bounce into the mid 220’s? Yes. RSI is relatively low (sold) for its name, it fundamentally smashed earnings and the candle here that closed on the daily is known as a spinning stop with a green closure. Expect a volatile move soon - tomorrow or and into Friday. NASDAQ:MSTR held up well today. This is always a craps shoot, no matter the trade, no matter the look of the chart and all the indicators we use. It just creates an edge. Good luck. I’m going to look at calls here for a bounce.
Wall Street Loser.
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50
It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+%
If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up.
The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse.
How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom?
Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening.
The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA
A long term trendline has broken
Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000
DAILY CHART
On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction.
We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning.
The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350.
Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
TOSHI/USD Bearish Phase is Over! Is a Bullish Breakout Coming?After a prolonged bearish correction, TOSHI/USD is flashing signals of a potential breakout. If you're still stuck in a bearish mindset, you might be missing the next big move!
🔥 Key Bullish Signals:
✅ Higher Lows Forming – Buyers stepping in at stronger levels.
✅ Volume Surge
💡 Trading Idea:
🎯 Long Entry: Look for confirmation above with strong volume.
📢 Final Takeaway: If TOSHI/USD holds key support and breaks resistance, we could see a strong rally. Stay alert and trade smart!
💬 What’s your outlook on TOSHI? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#TOSHIUSD #CryptoTrading #BullishBreakout #TradingIdeas #TrendReversal #Altcoins #CryptoMarket
EUR/GBP Collapses Bearish Breakout SetupThis chart shows a short trade setup based on the price action and trendline analysis of the EUR/GBP pair on the 2-hour timeframe. The price was moving within an ascending channel, defined by two parallel white trendlines. The ascending channel suggests a temporary bullish trend where the price consistently made higher highs and higher lows.
At the top of the channel, the price experienced resistance, which led to a breakdown below the lower trendline. This breakdown signals a potential reversal of the bullish trend and marks the start of bearish momentum. The break of the lower trendline is the key signal for the short entry.
The breakdown also aligns with a shift in market sentiment, as the price failed to maintain its position within the channel. The sell-off that followed confirmed the validity of the breakout. The price is now trending downward toward a lower level, which could act as a support area.
The key levels to watch include the recent breakout point, which could act as resistance if the price attempts a pullback, and the lower support level near 0.82856. This support level aligns with a previous price range and serves as the potential target for the short position.
The descending movement following the channel break suggests strong selling pressure. To confirm the continuation of the bearish trend, the price should not re-enter the ascending channel. A retest of the lower trendline could provide further confirmation of the breakdown, while a failure to hold below it could invalidate the bearish bias. This setup reflects a clear trend reversal strategy focusing on trading the breakout of an ascending pattern.
#GOAT/USDT Short-Term Rally or Wave 5 Decline ?#GOAT/USDT is currently forming a descending channel with a 5-wave Elliott Wave structure. The price shows potential for a short-term upside move toward $0.69, which acts as a crucial resistance level at the upper boundary of the channel. If rejected at this level, the price may continue its downtrend toward $0.32, aligning with the lower channel boundary and Wave (5) target. Traders should watch for a breakout or rejection at $0.69, as it will determine the next significant move. A breakout could signal further bullish momentum, while rejection would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. BYBIT:GOATUSDT.P
$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
Gold Long Term Analysis Nov 15I published some trend analysis using the adaptive trend finder 2 weeks ago. I wanted to revisit this given the eventful couple of weeks we've had.
The previous analysis highlighted an ultra-strong uptrend over the previous 20 weeks on the weekly chart. Prior to the election, the rally in gold the price showed little sign of slowing down. In the last two weeks we've seen a fall in the gold price of 1.9% and 4.5% (the largest drop since 2021). Apart from the obvious, there appears to be several factors leading to the drop.
Donal trump's emphatic win and a number of his stated policies that could see interest rates stay higher for longer (think tarrifs, tax cuts)
Economic data that came in inline with expectations
A rate cut that had already been fully priced in
Essentially, the gold price is being weighed down by expectations on policies that are potentially months aways and stronger than exepected economic data. Jerome Powell also indicated in his speech that the Fed sees the pace of rate cuts slowing down in the near future.
Whilst higher inflation is typically seen as a positive for the gold price (gold as an 'inflation hedge'). Higher inflation is accompanied by higher interest rates which act as a negative for the non-yielding asset.
Last week's close broke the established 20 week price trend there is, however, a longer term trend that can be observed over the last 60 weeks. Last week's closing price respects this trend. Whilst the expectation of a technical correction hadn't eventuated, we may find that this is the bottom of the dip as long as there is not further negative news for gold. Central Bank and ETF demand is still strong. A shift from gold to risk assets following the Trump election does remain a risk for the short-term gold price.
There are a couple of key resistance points to watch this week to understand whether this is the bottom of the dip. I'll explore this in another post.
EURUSD: Intraday Trend Reversal PatternFollowing the low established on Wednesday, 6th November 2024, we have observed a completed bullish wave structure. Subsequently, the price traded the low at 1.0682, forming a bearish completed wave pattern. Based on this price information, a bullish phase is anticipated in the next movement.
We are entering a buy position, anticipating increased buying momentum at 1.0682, which could propel the price past the nearest internal momentum high of 1.0727. If this trade materializes, 1.0824 will serve as our momentum high target.
Stop Loss: 1.0676
Happy Trading!
Meme Magic on BRETT: Don’t Miss This Bullish Trend!THIS IS A MUST BUY! 🚀 As most memes are currently flipping bullish, this one just fired a bullish signal right off the lows.
What’s to like? This is just the beginning of the weekly trend. Sure, it might seem a bit late, but if everything aligns, the swing is safe to take.
I can’t see a chart more bullish than this at weekly prices. Price targets are indicated by the boxes, so adjust your risk and go long now! 📈
Grab It Now, Cash In by November!💰📈
Gold reached all-time high and hit weekly targetHello traders,
As you can see gold reached all time high time record.And reached the weekly target as anticipated, so the analysis went to our favor and gave us a Great trade. After gold broke the fourr hour level, it Made a break and a retest and made a rebound on the one hour time frame at exactly 2673 The bullish momentum took place againand buyers.Took control of the market and pushed gold higher and higher until reached the weekly target.
After this long run making a tree leg extension as you can see on the chart, there is a high probability that the market will reverse.And we might see a huge sell off of gold in order to breathe until.Buyers and bullish momentum comes back again and takes the gold market higher again because this is very normal. After a long run being bulish or bearish.There should always be a big.Correction. Remember.After every long run there is a steep pullback and that's what we gonna see in the coming days. So guys.Be prepared for selling gold, but not this week, probably next week or the following week.