Gold battles recovery point on US NFP DayGold extends early week recovery from March tops to poke 50-EMA ahead of the key US employment data. The expected recovery in the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), coupled with the forecasts of downbeat Unemployment Rate, keep weighing on the metal prices. However, firmer RSI and MACD’s teasing of bulls may propel gold prices in case of a negative surprise from the stated jobs report. It should, however, be noted that a clear upside break of $1,780 immediate hurdle needs to cross the $1,817-20 area comprising the previous support line and 200-EMA to consolidate the previous month’s losses and regain the $1,800 threshold.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the recent low near $1,750 has hopes to bounce off mid-April lows near $1,723, not to forget mentioning the immediate support close to $1,763. In a case where gold remains depressed below $1,723, the $1,700 psychological magnet may test the bears ahead of directing them to the double bottoms marked March around $1,677. Overall, gold sellers seem tired and hence any surprises from the US data should be reacted with wider moves.
Trendreversal
Silver floats above $25.65-60 key support, 100-DMA eyedSilver’s first weekly gain in four portrays the metal’s gradual recovery from 200-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement April-May upside. Not only the price but the RSI line also inches up from the oversold area, which in turn suggesting the firmer bullish bias. However, 100-DMA near $26.55 becomes the key hurdle to convince the silver buyers. It’s worth noting that the 50% Fibonacci retracement near $26.25 guards the bright metal’s immediate upside whereas the early month low near $27.00 will lure the bulls past $26.55 breakout.
Meanwhile, a daily closing below the $25.65-60 support confluence will aim for the mid-April lows near $24.65. Though, the $25.00 threshold may offer an intermediate halt during the fall. Even if RSI conditions don’t permit the metal’s declines below $24.65, any further losses will attack the yearly low marked in March near $23.75. Overall, silver seems to consolidate the monthly losses during the quarter-end days and hence the corrective pullback may prevail during the next week.
A reversal on EURUSD? Is it time to buy?In the last few days we saw a sharp drop on EURUSD.
We can see a strong USD pretty much everywhere after the news from FED.
Price has now reached significant support levels and it's important what will happen next.
On EURUSD we're expecting a test of next support level in the 1,1850 zone,
where we could see price slowing down and possibly going back up to 1,2000!
Entries to be made only when you have a rejection of support and candle close with a long wicks!
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Possible Trend Reversal for NZDUSDLooking at NzdUsd, we could finally be seeing this pair break its range its been in for a while now. Looking on the daily timeframe, we could notice that the bullish momentum that this pair once had, has faded away. With this being said, we could start to predict that a trend reversal is in sight.
Focusing on the 4H, price is beginning to break market structure that signals bearish bias. I've outlined a level of significance that would trigger a bearish break of market structure. If price manages to break this level, it is showing the presence of sellers and I'll wait for a retest before executing sell orders. But for now, have my alert set under the level and just waiting.
CEI Trade SetupDeep value areas, stop loss at or below all time low, easy place to manage risk and simple targets based on previous highs.
May consider setting 1st target closer to 200MA (maybe $1.2) if your ok with lower R:R and concerned about pump-n-dump (which this one tends to do often)
Not really a valid harmonic, but close. Solid XABCD stuff tho, IMO
Possible Reversal Setup on USDCAD
On UsdCad, we could be seeing a potential reversal forming. Price has been in a steady downtrend for quite some time now, but it may seem like we're losing some bearish steam. If we look on the monthly timeframe, we could identify a clear support level that price is sitting at right now. This is a major factor that identifies price may reverse at this point.
Looking at the 4H timeframe, we could see that price is having difficulty breaking the current support level to continue bearish structure. This could identify that sellers cannot take over and buyers could come into play soon. I've identified a significant resistance level that could be useful in the future. If price manages to break this resistance level, I'll be looking for more uptrend structure before trying to capitalize on the bullish reversal. For now, just patience.
Bitcoin back on the upswing?Over the last few days bitcoin has shown us a number of reasons to indicate that this short term down swing has reversed. The good news is that:
Bitcoin has broken out of the triangle to the upside
The MACD's histogram has been moving in a positive direction since the 19th of May
The RSI left oversold territory and has stayed above 30 - indicating upward momentum
The MACD has crossed the signal line - indicating upward momentum
However, the $40,000 line is not only a historic resistance level, but it is also a psychology significant number. It would be great news if we were to break that 40k level. And as we have learned about Bitcoin, the news can have a MAJOR affect on the price of bitcoin.
There is also the 200 day MA to contend with. There will still be bearish sentiment in the market as long as we are under that level. We are "In a bear market" according to many.
So if Bitcoin does not break 40k, and does not break the 200 day moving average, than we could see another retracement back down.
This is all in the short term though. Since the beginning of the year and continuing now, there has been huge institutional investment into Bitcoin.
I am not sure where bitcoin is headed in the next month or two but, I'd be shocked if it does not hit 100k by the end of the year.
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Possible Reversal Setup for EURUSDLooking at EurUsd, we could be seeing a potential reversal setup. Looking at the larger timeframes, price is in a bearish downtrend channel. I've created a non-horizontal resistance/support levels to use for context. Price is currently sitting at the monthly non-horizontal resistance level, signaling long-term sell opportunities.
Scoping into the 4H, we could see that price is having difficulty to try and break the current resistance level. This cease of creating new higher highs could signal to us that our reversal could be coming soon. If price drops below the current support level and begins to create some downtrend structure, we could start changing our bias to bearish. But just patience to wait and see what she does for now.
Possible Trend Reversal on GBPUSDOn GbpUsd, I'm still anticipating a trend reversal of some sort. Even though the triple top pattern didn't play out, it seems as if the weekly resistance level is holding up very well. Price has tested the level almost 6 times, with no success of closing past it. This is showing me that price is having a real difficult time continuing it's bullish trend, and could possibly be in store for a reversal.
Considering price is ranging between the weekly resistance and significant suport level, I'll still be awaiting a bearish movement past the support level to trigger a bearish reversal. For now, just patience.
SHK looks Good as investmentSHK on weekly breakout a d also formed inverted Head and Shoulder.. buy above 168 for the target of 200/250/300/350... SL 20 SMA WCB/MCB..
Note:- I am not Sebi registered analyst.. before entering in to trade ask your Sebi registered advisor.. Chart is for learning purpose only..
#LearnToEarn
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Jun21,Wk1If you have been waiting for the Bearish Bat shorting opportunity(chart at the bottom) and you had missed it, well, it looks like a better opportunity might present itself for a trading opportunity. After the candlestick pattern has confirmed, I will short the Bearish Shark Pattern at 1.4228 regions for a counter-trend or trend reversal opportunity.
Coincidently, my student has the same view on the GBPUSD market movement, you can check out his analysis below.
SUNPHARMA FUTURE LOOKOUTSunpharma today for the 10th consecutive session has failed to sustain above 700. With a completion of the 5th wave at .618 of the fibo and multiple failed attempts Sunpharma is ready for a short.
My view short for risky traders @cmp with a Sl of 720 and targets of either the support zone marked (trend and horizontal line) or you're appetite.
Safe traders can short below 685 with SL 705-720 and same target zones.
Possible Reversal Setup on USDCADOn UsdCad, we could be seeing a potential reversal forming. Price has been in a steady downtrend for quite some time now, but it may seem like we're losing some bearish steam. If we look on the monthly timeframe, we could identify a clear support level that price is sitting at right now. This is a major factor that identifies price may reverse at this point.
Looking at the daily timeframe, we could see that price is having difficulty breaking the current support level to continue bearish structure. This could identify that sellers cannot take over and buyers could come into play soon. I've identified a significant resistance level that could be useful in the future. If price manages to break this resistance level, I'll be looking for more uptrend structure before trying to capitalize on the bullish reversal. For now, just patience.
GBPUSD - Structure TradeIn about 11mins, I'll make a decision should I short GBPUSD again? Well, what would make me enter my trade?
Only 2 conditions I'm looking at,
1. The candle cannot break and close above 1.4172, not even 1pip.
2. A long shadow candle with the long wick above the candle body. Let's see how it rolls out.
VIX - TREND REVERSAL IN PROGRESS !M1 : In an ongoing bearish downtrend channel.
Watch clouds resistance (31.20) & 23.6 % Fib ret(31.90) as pivot levels
on this long term time frame
W1 : Below the clouds and currently attempting to recover above
the Mid Bollinger Band with TS, slightly above it
A weekly closing level above those 2 levels, above mentioned, would be a first warning confirmation
of the trend reversal in progress.
D1 : Failure a couple days ago to confirm the clouds upside breakout triggered a
selling pressure which pushed down the VIX towards, both the bottom zone of the clouds
support and the Mid Bollinger Band which for the time being rejected the breakout attempt.
Watch the clouds as a good leading indicator.
H4 : Above the clouds which rejected twice a downside breakout attempt (potential double bottom,
trigger level @ 21.60. Target : 24.50, which would be above the cluster of MBB and KS and which would
open the door for higher level towards the former high @ 28.90 (intermediate targets @ 25.00 (61.8% fib ret ahead
of 26.70)
H1 : Entering within the clouds resistance area. Currently in a sideways channel . Watch breakout on one or on the other side.
M30 : Above the clouds
M15 : In a uptrend price action, above the clouds
M5 : Former clouds breakout, triggered a natural pullback towards the clouds which hold and triggered an ongoing upside move
CONCLUSION :
A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY ABOVE THE 25.00 AREA ON A DAILY BASIS WOULD BE SEEN AS A VERY POSITIVE SIGNAL FOR FURTHER UPSIDE
AND ON THE DOWNSIDE A FAILURE TO STAY AND HOLD SUSTAINABLY ABOVE THE MID BOLLINGER BAND (@ 19.20) WOULD BE SEEN AS A
NEGATIVE SIGNAL CALLING FOR LOWER LEVELS
BTC - MULTI TIME FRAMES - AT A GLANCEM1 : Ongoing trend reversal in progress
W1 : Currently, below the Mid Bollinger Band
D1 : Below the clouds. Recovery attempt. Pivot level @ 45000 (D1 closing basis)
H4 : Potential double bottom in progress ! Trigger @ 45'850
H1 : Above cluster. Double bottom trigger level (45'850), also coincides with H1 clouds resistance area
M30 : Attempting to breakout the clouds resistance
M15 : Above the clouds. In a slightly uptrend channel and above cluster
M5 : In a sideways channel , watch the cluster ahead of clouds zone (45000-44000), as support
levels.
CONCLUSION :
ON A DAILY BASIS, A CLOSING LEVEL ABOVE 45'000 WOULD NEUTRALISE TEMPORARY THE ONGOING DOWNSIDE RISK
STILL IN PLACE,CALLING FOR LOWER LEVELS TOWARDS A RETEST OF FORMER LOW @ 42'100 AHEAD OF 34'372 AS A
FURTHER TARGET.
Have a nice trading day
All the best
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Ironman8848
AUDUSD risingAt the beginning of last week we saw a decline in AUDUSD.
It seems to be over, as we have a break above the trendline and previous peaks.
The downward trend of H1 ended with an inverted head and shoulders.
We now expect an upward movement to start, with the first resistance being 0.7811.
The ultimate goal is to reach 0.7887
Breakout and reversal on USDCADThis is the hourly chart on USDCAD.
Here we can see that price broke outside of this H1 trend and if it goes above 1,2137 we will have a reversal.
This will confirm an upside direction and market reaching 1,2240.
At the same time we have a reversal candle on a Daily chart which also confirms this direction.
On a Monthly chart you can see that price is currently bouncing of a serious support.