USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices!
The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation.
The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671.
In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3.
Target 1: 1.3780
Target 2: 1.3838
Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
Trendreversal
GU needs to give us a directionLast week was impulsive and continuing to push bullish. The dollar has not has any significant news to push it in either direction so the rest of the market is moving in response to the dollar. As this week opens we are getting close to summer months. Will allow price to open and find a direction before reacting.
Buy the wave of disbelief - GBP/USDThe downtrend has been confirmed after a break of 1.2466.
We have just seen the Official Bank Rate in the GBP, the news summary is below:
Bank Rate held @ 5.25%
Monetary policy is working as expected and inflation is expected to reach its target of 2%.
However, they do not feel the time is right to cut the interest rate.
Andrew Bailey said he cannot rule out a small rate cut in June.
GBPUSD:
The idea is to buy the current swing (wave of disbelief), this is expected to be a strong reversal to clear all the stops above the current price. This wave should not take the high of last week's 1.2634, but we are expecting the 1.2564 to be broken before we can start to think of selling again.
4015_Possible Trend reversal (Bullish setup)4015
**Bullish Points:**
Price at significant support level (Volume profile) confluence with 78% fib level
Bullish divergence is observed
Small entry can be taken now (Aggressive)
Further entry can be taken after descending channel breakout, or
at next support level 118.6 (DCA strategy)
**Bearish Points:**
Price is moving in downtrend, series of LH/LL
H&S pattern breakdown and retest of neckline
Current stop loss is specified
Trail stop loss if price goes up
Place SL below 118 (DCA strategy)
Downside Participation - AUD/USD Buy Now, Sell laterHi Traders,
Based on my Weekly Trade planning session, we have seen an indication that the USD is strengthening again. The AUD/USD has broken down two consecutive structures (Downside Participation), a clear indication that the trend is resuming to the downside.
However, immediately after participation, the traders will demand a discount. The simple reason is; that the price is too low and doesn't represent a good value. If the request is successful, the price will rally to the last structure without breaking the high that created the Downside participation.
This is the scenario that is currently happening in the AUD/USD.
This is a low-risk trade; Stop Loss:0.6464, profit target: 0.6537.
USDCAD Analysis: Shorting Opportunity with Head and Shoulders Se- Trade Strategy: Head and Shoulders Trading
- Key Levels: Retest of Right Shoulder at 1.3778
- Profit Potential: Initial target of 50 pips, with potential for further downside
Analysis:
- Trade Strategy: Shorting Opportunity with Head and Shoulders Setup
- Key Levels: Looking for a retest of the right shoulder at 1.3778 or neckline
- Profit Potential: Initial target of 50 pips, with potential for greater downside movement
Trade Plan:
- Shorting Opportunity: Consider shorting upon retest of the right shoulder at 1.3778 or neckline
- Profit Target: Initial target set at 50 pips, with potential for further downside movement
- Risk Management: Implement effective risk management techniques to mitigate potential losses
Insights:
The USDCAD presents a compelling shorting opportunity with the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hourly chart. While the initial target offers a modest profit potential of 50 pips, the broader setup indicates the potential for further downside movement. Exercise caution and closely monitor price action for confirmation of the trading setup.
📉 Seize the shorting opportunity presented by the USDCAD's Head and Shoulders pattern, with potential for significant downside movement beyond the initial target!
NASDAQ: Potential Bearish Reversal - Short SetupThesis:
Geopolitical uncertainty (war) may trigger risk-off sentiment.
Sideways price action suggests distribution pattern forming.
Bearish divergence on higher timeframes indicates weakening momentum.
ABCD pattern supports a potential reversal from the distribution zone.
Entry:
Short below the distribution support level (yellow rectangle on your chart).
Stop Loss:
Above the distribution resistance level (yellow rectangle on your chart).
Target:
Open to interpretation based on your risk-reward profile, but consider key support levels below.
Risk Management:
Clearly define your risk tolerance and position size before entering the trade.
Notes:
This is a swing trade idea, so a longer time horizon may be required.
Keep an eye on news and economic data releases that could impact market sentiment.
Manage your trade actively and adjust your stops as needed.
SMCI LONGBullish Context: Monthly uptrend, weekly uptrend
Price Position: Near last month low
Pattern: price has shaped daily uptrend (higher low and higher high); weekly higher low is set
This is an opportunity for LONG play with profit target near previous month high. In order for this setup to work price must first break through synthetic diagonal resistance; in case of pullback bulls must protect last daily low (881)
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Tencent Major Trend ReboundHKEX:700 after years of down trend it is showing some sign of trend bottoming. Mainly supported by company share-buyback in the past few weeks.
While selling pressure from the market is not strong to pull the price lower after each selling. This is indicating that the selling pressure is weak. Which supports the kick start of a bullish trend.
In short term, the price movement continue to show bullish where the selling pressure erased with price marking back higher after sell down in the past 3 trading days. A short term rebound from recent retrace is on the way.
S&P bears attack, bulls still holdLast week was marked by the aggressiveness of sellers and the resilience of buyers. On Monday Buyers were ideally positioned for another break out but they didn’t have enough steam to accomplish it. Sellers, long awaiting their opportunity, pushed the price down, breaking the weekly support. However, they couldn’t develop this into something more significant, as the bulls returned with a firm "no". The rest of the week continued in the same tug-of-war fashion.
The most confusing days were Thursday and Friday. Thursday started very bullish but ended with a dramatic bearish turn. Friday, expected to be bearish, unfolded under the bulls' control.
This was a story. Now, let’s now review all the signals more formally:
Bearish Signals
• Confirmed downtrend on the daily chart, indicated by a lower high and lower low.
• Weekly consolidation has begun.
Bullish Signals
• The week closed right at the previous week's low after price shaped hourly higher low
• Friday’s value zone is within the value zone of the previous four days.
The context remains very bullish – price is in a strong weekly uptrend, last month closed very strong. Overall, it is a very ambiguous case with neither side having a clear advantage. Buyers are exhausted, yet not willing to capitulate. Bears are attempting to play their game but lack sufficient strength.
The short-term outlook is neutral. From this position market can go in any direction. We need additional signs of one side gaining an upper hand. Until then, it is not advisable to place big bets on either side.
Wednesday is a very important day, with both the release of inflation data and the FOMC meeting
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
ZS short term upward reversal. ZS is trying to reverse downtrend. Bearish upthrust has been weakening over the last two weeks and price has already set daily higher low on the pre-market. For reversal to happen bulls must protect 192.5 and build value above 196.
If the reversal happens it will probably not to last long as we're in a monthly consolidation. But it still can provide some nice profit
Example of a possible trade is shown on the graph.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
🔥Ethereum's Tightrope: Will the Bear Flag Break? 📉 Levels 👀 🐻 Bear Flag Formation: The chart shows a bear flag pattern, outlined by yellow lines, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward trend after the consolidation. Watch for a price rejection at the upper trendline of the bear flag before a possible move down.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Critical Fibonacci zones are plotted:
The 38.2% level at about $3,307 could be the first resistance test.
The golden ratio at 61.8% retracement, $2,823, is likely to offer considerable resistance.
The 100% retracement at $2,039, marking a full return to the start of the price move, might serve as a strong support in a sustained downtrend.
🔵 Resistance Levels: The 'Shibunacci' blue lines indicate potential resistance points, with the highest at $4,451 signaling a significant barrier.
🔴 Support Levels: Marked levels hint at possible support zones, with the bottom level at $1,521 suggesting a pivotal area for bears.
📈 Price Action: Ethereum’s movement within the bear flag and around these key levels will be critical to monitor.
🔄 Indicator Analysis: 'Shibunacci' uses pivots to visualize support and resistance, and price crossing these trendlines could indicate breakouts or breakdowns.
🔮 Potential Outcomes: A break above the bear flag and past $4,451 might change the trend narrative, while a rejection and a drop through supports would confirm the bearish sentiment.
🕵️♂️ In essence, the 'Shibunacci' provides a mathematical approach to market pivot points. The bear flag points to a possible downtrend continuation, but price action near Fibonacci levels and resistance/support will offer clearer signals. Traders should also consider volume and other indicators for confirmation.
🛑 For a short, a stop loss could be considered just above the bear flag pattern or the nearest 'Shibunacci' resistance level to minimize potential loss if the trend reverses.
🚀 If the price climbs above $3,600, scalping opportunities may arise, taking advantage of smaller upward price movements while maintaining tight stop losses to protect against sudden declines.
Is the correction over? are we headed to 80k?what I see from the CRYPTO:BTCUSD chart we've had a good correction and it might be the time that we get a last push to the upside before the halving .
I have bought some more alts but i still don't have a trade position set incase that of another liquidity sweep . but i believe that the correction is mostly over .
DAX (DAX Index): Waves of uncertainty 🌊DAX (DAX Index): XETR:DAX
We recognize that our analysis might diverge from other analysts', but our assessment clearly indicates that the DAX is currently in an overarching Wave 4, visible on the weekly chart within a multi-year scenario. This holds unless we surpass the 18,000 level. If we move beyond 18,000, a reevaluation and recount would be necessary. Until then, we anticipate a decline in the DAX over the coming weeks, months, and possibly years. The exact timing, whether it rises or falls, cannot be pinpointed to a specific year. However, it's important to note that as long as the DAX doesn't exceed 138%, or the 18,000 mark, we expect to be in an Expanded Flat scenario. This aligns well with our expectations for Wave C or the overarching Wave IV, which should fall below Wave (A), fitting the pattern where both B and C waves overshoot in an Expanded Flat.
Examining the 4-hour chart, we encounter the same scenario. Without flipping this key level, no significant change is expected. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts suggest an imminent rise, not immediately obvious on the daily or weekly charts, predicting a climb to around 17,500 euros before a downturn in the DAX. We do not anticipate an immediate reversal today or tomorrow but expect a final upward impulse before a corrective move downwards.
XAUUSD 100% CONFIRM ANALYSISDiscover an enticing Selling opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key resistance area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.