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Trendreversal

Bitcoin Next TA: $26k buyers next plan is like Reading Tea LeaveThe Bitcoin price today landed on an important decision zone indicated on the chart above by the yellow horizontal zone at the 19500 range. The support between 19400 to 19600 presents a buying opportunity, with a potential mini bounce back up to the 22k resistance range, possibly reaching 24k. If there is a return back to the 22k-24k resistance range, it is a clear sign to avoid shorting Bitcoin. short term 1hr chart While the current primary trend is a bear trend, buyers are expected to attack 26k to 28k soon. Time is fluid when the price is in a range, and the entire 15200 to 25300 is a range on a higher timeframe, which requires patience as the buyer's pull-up is not over. For the primary trend to resume, buyers need a stronger rejection, and the current resistance level is unlikely to hold the buyers if hit repeatedly. The 19400 support is the control line for both buyers and sellers, meaning a deception game is likely to be played by a break to touch the lower blue line at the price range support of 17600 to 16k range, but this is likely a market maker's trick, and a quick reverse up will hit here. More dump is expected to come to Bitcoin in 2023, but BTC buyers are not done with the pullup. If bears break below 16k, expect a catastrophic dump to hit the 12k range, but this possibility will likely happen by late mid-2023. It is best to buy in percentages if you intend to buy the control line at the current price of the 19500 range. However, it is essential to note that a much stronger support range is the 17600 down to 16k, so be aware that the control line bounce might be short-lived.
Long
by MachiavelliTrader
Big Breakdown on FTSE 100/ UK 100After ATH for the FTSE100, the development of bearish divergence within a rising wedge has occurred. This bearish pattern has broken down now and I AM SHORT at the current levels. I am looking for the price to come down to 7700 where I will take some profits. Followed by 7600, 7400, and finally 7000 I don't have a stop loss in place as I think it could put in another confirmation high just sub 8100, which would still keep me bearish. I will close the position if a bullish edge develops
FShort
by SynergyTradingSetups
NAS100$NAS100USD NFP had the markets in shambles and unclear of direction today 3/10/23. Now that the dust has settle i'm looking for a push to the upside in the coming week. Everyone have a safe and enjoyable weekend. Disclaimer: This is not trade advice. Trading foreign currencies, stocks, indices, etc can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the financial markets, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose!!! Good luck and Happy trading!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by DTradesFX2
US30$US30 NFP had the markets in shambles and unclear of direction today 3/10/23. Now that the dust has settle i'm looking for a push to the upside in the coming week. Everyone have a safe and enjoyable weekend. Disclaimer: This is not trade advice. Trading foreign currencies, stocks, indices, etc can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the financial markets, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose!!! Good luck and Happy trading!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by DTradesFX2
1
Possible beginning of a new bearish leg for SPXSummary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to surpass the last low (oct-13-2022). Set target @3,330.00. Timeframe expected: 3 to 4 months. Detailed explanation: 2022 was a very bearish year for stock markets, and prices have navigated under the 200-days simple moving average (200-SMA) for the most part of the year. On the other hand, the first months of 2023 had some attempts of breakout to this widely known indicator. By December, 2022, prices tried to break-up the 200-SMA, but failed, then pulled back and tried a new breakout in January, 2023, that succeeded and provided some hope for a reversal. Arrow #1 is signaling the top of this bullish leg. After this, prices developed a little bull flag (orange lines) , near a resistance level. I have been closely following the price movement on this flag, to try to catch a trading opportunity, bullish or bearish. The bullish case was the most evident, and would happen with the breakout of the flag, confirming the continuation of the main trend reversal. But if it didn’t come true, prices could continue on a longer range or even breakdown the 200-SMA, providing, hence, a bearish trade. It turned out that the second case is being developed. On February 21st the bull flag was undone, by a very bearish -2% candle, then some days passed and the 200-SMA offered a support for the prices, this movement came along with some doubt candles (tiny ranges, long wicks), their in the area near arrow #2. This arrow points specifically to a bullish engulfing candle, that signaled a possible return of the bull and that the 200-SMA would indeed sustain the prices. After that, a bullish candle confirmed the engulfing pattern, and I considered that now it was a “make or break” situation, that either had to continue with strong buyings or finally give away and return to the main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) . The second scenario happened, with a classical shooting star candle denoting a top, indicated by arrow #3 and followed by a relevant -1.53% bearish candle. I consider it can turn out to be the beginning of a new bearish leg in favor of the main market trend. If it breakdown the 200-SMA (and the previous bottom, of arrow #2) we will probably be full gas back to the bearish trend, reverting that secondary bullish trend indicated by the purple line. Predicting the future is impossible, but trading is a probability game, and to my criteria the odds are high enough to make a bet now. So, I started a trade yesterday near the market close. The stop zone is a little above the high of the shooting star candle of mar-06-2023, and my target is @3,300.00, I chose this number considering that this is a movement with the main trend, and that the last low (oct-13-2022) is usually surpassed in this kind of situation. PS: I know there’s a whole FED policy/interest rates discussion going on, and that it provides much of the ultimate reasons for the market movements I described, but I will stick to technical analysis here and to the principle that the chart sums it all up, hence I considered only price patterns in my analysis.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
1
Gold Analysis and Trade Idea for 02-Mar-2023GOLD As on last day of Feb gold showed trend reversal and was unable to break 1800 sentimental support level, and broke 1830 resistance level. it is a clear indication of bullish trend and this metal will start bullish journey from here. I am waiting for it break 1846 level to go further long or break support level of 1828 to go further short. So until market makes a clear direction i am not going into trade. Generally market is test 1840 right now and it is still unable to break it. so if it breaks it the next level is 1846, 1852, 1859. so focus on these levels before taking any entry. And for any reasons if price can stable under 1828 then it will try to reach 1813, 1798 and 1785 level. Resistance level:1846 , 1852 , 1859 Support level: 1828 , 1823 , 1813
FX:XAUUSD
by xeshaan
BTC: Good times ahead?Bears have had it their way with the Bitcoin for well over a year now, as a result, the most popular crypto was brought down from sky-high prices to nearly under-ground levels in a matter of weeks. And it's probably gonna take months for this thing to completely recover and reach a new all-time high, if ever. But regardless of what happens in the distant future, current price-levels seem to be offering a great opportunity for those looking to accumulate Bitcoins in 2023. Here's a brief: - The price for the first time in months has found some respectable resistance(support in this case), and is gradually moving into a nice accumulation phase. This is where we can expect serious buyers to start creeping in to almost secretly take hefty positions at certain levels, neutralising the selling pressure and curb the trend over a period of time. - Accumulation can obviously go on for an extended period of time, given the strength of the down-trend and the kind of volume required to turn that around. I think we have just entered the same accumulation phase with Bitcoin too, and we can now expect a back and forth tussle between the buyers & the sellers, before one of the parties over-powers the other. - I'm in the favour of a trend reversal here, meaning my outlook is bullish towards Bitcoin, and that is mainly for two reasons: 1. Higher volumes in last six months or so, resulting in more frequent green candles, albeit narrow ranged ones. This indicates good absorption at recent levels, and a stronger intent from the buyers. 2. Given the volatile nature of the crypto market, this one offers a great upside potential with a manageable amount of risk. - Technical indicators aren't really giving any strong signals yet, though weekly RSI has moved up by about 50% in last month or so, we can expect it to cool down a few times before it actually locks in with ADX & Stochastic(I use these three in conjunction, but one should see similar convergence with other indicators too). Final Note: - This is just my personal opinion, please do not consider this as a financial advice. - This is a long-term trade, which can probably take several weeks to unfold. - Go slow & steady, mark your levels, and have fun hunting!
CME:BTC1!Long
by sudoMode
CABLE H&S UPDATECABLE has been very interesting lately. Sterling has surprised with decent data but the overall outlook for the sterling fundamentally remains the same, the market is expecting one more rate hike. The strong data however is creating a very RANGY environment for this pair. We saw this when the last bearish move was RETESTED all the way to the 68 fib zone. My bias on this pair remains BEARISH however, and i believe that the USDX will continue to control the OVERALL DIRECTION of this currency pair. From a short term standpoint we can see a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern forming, with the HEAD being the afformentioned 68 retest of our bearish momentum. this is a strong indication that the pair will continue to move downward, so long as our NECKLINE is protected by price action. Look for a formation of a RIGHT SHOULDER here potentially coming, before the true trend takes over. Trail your stops on this pair folks it has been swinging back and forth and i expect it to CONTINUE to do so.
Short
by NakedTrading4U
5
USDJPY M15 UPDATEUSDJPY seems to be losing some STEAM on this current uptrend, which is to be expected as we have gained some significant value and rather quickly since USDJPY hit its bottom around the 128 area. Multiple tests of the upper channel trend line, and a consolidation of the price action give clues to the next move. A retracement and retest of the BOTTOM CHANNEL TRENDLINE on our h4 chart is very highly likely. Look for another rejection of the upper channel and subsequent bearish momentum candle for short entry. ALTERNATIVELY, Swings can safely be resumed around the bottom of the channel, near the 133 zone. Some traders MAY mislabel this pattern as a HEAD AND SHOULDERS, although the structure is similar, labeling this pattern as such can cause confusion as the price action could easily retest and return to the top of the channel. NECKLINE of a "potential" Head and Shoulders pattern has been drawn to illustrate the break of the neckline and the invalidation of said pattern. Remember traders, keep it simple, trade what you see, dont over analyze
by NakedTrading4U
2
Collapse of ethereum starting 17-24 February 2023SPY and DXY indicate crypto is probably topped. If eth doesn't hold 1650, I reckon this will be the start of the leg down to sub 1k. Next target is 1420 and I think 1420 will be violently sold into. There's very little chance 1100 will hold again. next supports at 980 potential support at 875 Strong potential support at 620 All in all I think on the balance of probabilities we will see 470 and maybe a short trip to 250-300 on a wick basis.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by konosmgr
2
BTC Bottomed? This reversal pattern could indicate soHi All There is a very clear Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 1 day. The inverse H&S pattern is commonly associated with a reversal in trend. If this is the case then BTC may have already bottomed out. To confirm there needs to be a clear break above the neck line followed by a retest of the previous resistance. I would also expect to see a surge in volume when the neck line is broken. Good luck Blockbullder
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Blockbullder
CADCHF: potential long moveHere is my view on CADCHF- 1.A long position can be made now as we broke the DTL and now price is retesting it again + 4H 50EMA. It is riskier because the price has not yet broken the daily 50EMA and the current resistance zone (~0.69200), but it gives a slightly better entry for a long position 2.If you want to be more conservative, just wait for a breakout of the current resistance zone and Daily 50EMA and the retest of it for entry Here is how daily looks like:
Long
by JivkoXristov
Bull Bear Power Void with a Killer Exit IndicatorWelcome to the coffee shop everybody and this is your host and baristo Eric. the bull bear power void has had a massive update since the last time I have been in the shop. So thanks for joining me on this one. THE BACKGROUND: I have recalculated the background to show you when you are looking for Longs and when you are looking for short trades. It's simple enough and the background is either red or green to tell you early that the trend has changed. just because the background color is red doesn't mean enter short it means that a retest is coming and a Divergence is about to complete. The same thing goes for green. when it changes to Green it means that a retest is coming or that I Divergence is about to complete and you trade into that direction. The light blue filter is called the Volume regression moving average. this does a really good job of telling you exactly what's happening with volume as it's moving along. it calculates against the highs and lows of the immediately closed volume bars so when you break a previous high or a previous low then you know you have broken a range and you have maintained a new structure. breaking a previous high or previous low also means that you can either trade to the long side or to the short side. This is just an added confirmation to layer into your background and your volume bar colors. VOLUME BAR COLORS. Speaking of the colors of the volume bars. I've changed them to make them a little bit more intuitive for people. Now it's really simple. if you have dark colors like dark green and dark red then you know volume is moving to the upside. if you have light colors like light green and light red volume is moving to the downside. These colors are irrelevant to the location of the bar meaning it doesn't matter if the bar is liked or dark color above zero or below zero. if you get a dark color below zero you're still moving up anyway because up is always up and down is always down. the short of it is dark colors mean long light colors mean short. The final Clincher of the updates to the bull bear power void is another filter using a hull moving average calculation. in this oscillator it's shown as a purple moving average. this does an excellent job of telling you when a pullback is over or a trend is over or a trend has lost its momentum. it is the final layer of Confluence to tell you that the move you were in is over or it's on pause. the bottom line is that this purple moving average is to be used as an exit indicator not an entry indicator. When the light blue and the purple moving averages cross each other above closing volume or below closing volume is when you have a strong move in the opposite direction. These two moving averages combined are always pushing volume away from it. as you watch your charts you'll notice that primarily volume will exist inside of these two moving averages in other words you will have these two moving averages at the bottom of your panel volume will exist above them and then the zero level would be there if this is the case you have an uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CoffeeshopCrypto
15
$SPY $SPX $ES_F Kagi chart trend change $SPY $SPX $ES_F Analysis, Key levels, and Targets I honestly don’t use Kagi Charts enough… they are EXTREMELY efficient and powerful at showing trends and reversals without the noise of regular candlestick charts…. they are independent of time and only track price... Now I never trade with regrets, because I still did really well even trading against the trend lately, but if I had remembered to check the trusty kagi, well honestly, I still would have traded the same… perhaps its my bias due to fundamentals…. BUT the kagi chart is truly amazing and I will make a video tutorial on how to read it with some tips and tricks that will blow your mind. It's really a neat tool... I will make a video this week... AND, the trend just turned bearish on the kagi chart… 🐻... I suppose that was the whole point of this update...
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
5