How Do You Build A Position With Pyramiding?As a trader, it’s a general rule of thumb that we should always be looking to maximise potential returns (per unit of risk) with each transaction. We should always be looking to squeeze as much out of the market as we can.
There are times when this can occur by simply letting the trade run its course. However, sometimes market conditions align perfectly for savvy traders to “press the trade” or Pyramiding into the trade.
Don’t press your luck; press the trade instead!
Attempting multiple entries in the direction of a trend is one strategy savvy traders use in an attempt to maximise return (otherwise known as Pyramiding). The problem with this tactic is that while it may increase the potential reward, having a larger position in the market also opens you up to more risk. As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance of pressing the trade while not pressing your luck.
There are a few ways to achieve this:
If the market is moving at a snail’s pace, and not much movement has been made from the initial entry, any additional entry should be minor. If, however, a decent distance has been travelled, a trailing stop will secure more profit, and any additional entry can be larger. In essence, any additional position sizes are partly dependent on the distance between the initial entry position to stop loss.
Ensure you have a strong driver that pushes prices along. Simply pressing trades at random is not good risk management.
Reduce risk on entry by only adding additional positions when the stop loss on the first position can be trailed.
Pick your battles carefully when Pyramiding
You may find that as time wears on, you’re left with a large portion (>2% of total equity) in a single trade. The tactic of adding exposure will generally make for a “short” pyramid, which typically won’t grow over 2.5% of overall equity. This Pyramiding tactic ensures you’re exposed to additional upside while minimising downside to a level with which you’re comfortable.
Here are a few things to be wary of:
Keep an eye out for drivers that influence market psychology: This is when momentum and volatility will be high, allowing you to pyramid into a move more easily. For the technical traders, you may prefer to avoid day-to-day shifts by taking in a broader market view.
Diversify: as with any investment, don’t place all your eggs in one basket. Diversification is key to keeping overall risk low.
Have strict risk limits in place: With 2.5% in one pyramid, another 2.5% in another – next thing you know, your overall portfolio heat is close to 10%. That’s a high amount of risk to carry around with you. Consider minimising position sizes of certain trades to reduce overall risk.
Consistency is key with position sizes: If your initial entry is $100k and your second is $300k, you’re off to a lousy start in building your pyramid.
Final Thoughts on Pyramiding
Remember always to start small and slowly. There’s no need to rush in. Experiment with pyramiding until you’re comfortable with your approach. Always remember the two key elements to consider:
Resist the temptation to take profit early when the opportunity arises. Sometimes it’s best to sit on an existing trade.
Be wary of adding to your trade at “worse” levels. Trends will always end at a certain point, so you don’t want to be pyramiding into an extended, ongoing trend. Look for new trends to pyramid in, which will reduce your overall risk.
Trends
Chart of the Day: AXSUSDAfter some consolidation period in August and September, AXS broke out and made new ATH , following announcement of a staking program.
It got extremely overbought ( RSI > 80) and now it’s consolidating but overall remains bullish .
Nearest Support Zone is $120, which it broke, then $95.
The nearest Resistance Zone is $150 ( ATH )
My 8OC trend indicator on MSFT dailyFor many years traders have had a love-hate relationship with closing based moving averages. Such crossovers tend to be extremely inaccurate, frequently getting whipsawed and achieving low profits. This approach tends to be more stable particularly in longer time frames. Of course it also requires a stop, profit target, and profit maximizing strategy. If this interests you please let me know and I'll provide more granularity and detail
RBT
Chart of the Day: Percentage of Stocks Above the 50-Day AverageThe pressure on the market is mostly down. The number of stocks above the 50-day Average is moving downwards and that shows weakness. At the same time, it can act as a contrarian indicator.
Do you think the market will go further downwards before it finds a bottom?
I appreciate if you write in the comments all your questions and instruments which you would like to see analyzed.
Thanks for pushing the like button, write your comment, and share with your friends. I would like to thank in you for all your support.
P.S. It's important that you make your own analysis and trade within your risk parameters.
S&P Likely Road ForwardNothing to write, the price was wedging and broke lower, no surprise. Hopefully it corrects more now and we can
kill some of the excesses in price and washout the speculation now and not later from higher cliffs. Likely Mid to high 4200's,
a bit less likely is close to 4000 and even less likely but still possible and my favorite scenario is 3700 - 3900. Before ultimately bottoming to start the next extended cycle higher into 5000's+ over the next 3 - 5 years. Likely to end year close to 4500 or 4600.
Look for a slow and steady decrease in the standard deviation day to day in prices. High vol days should be behind us for a while beginning fairly soon or possibly this may already be under way.
XAUUSD ...The market is clearly forming lower highs and lower lows , as characterized by the trendlines its a down channel
from the most recent price action we are seeing a potential double bottom, we are waiting to short after the retest of the higher resistance ..
later we look for an entry position with lower timeframes .
FTSE 100 1-day classic patternsWhat has the highest probability of occurring?
Since early May 2021 price has rotated from 7200 resistance to 6800 support and back again on 2 occasions.
There are two classic patterns forming within these rotations.
The broadening top is currently valid with 3 tests of the upper trendline. The recent rejection at 7200 appears to be what Bulkowski describes as a partial decline having tested the 50% fib retracement.
This projects a target of 7700.
There is also a triple top that would need to test 6800 support again to become valid.
Further a breakout from the triple top projects a target of 6350, the low of the year. This would fulfil the tape chatter of "a healthy 10% correction".
N.B. these patterns are forming over a 4-month period. It is probable that the eventual outcome will be a powerful move.
Objectively the triple top is not confirmed until a test of 6800 has occurred. So the bias is long in the framework of the broadening top. Given the partial decline it is probable that market participants are already getting long. The long trade is invalidated once price touches the lower trend, validating the triple top. Using 6800 as a stop loss from current levels yields 2R to 7700. If this is too large a stop classic patterns on a lower timeframe should be employed to fine tune stop placement.
BTCUSD - Squeeze but can it really go 9 days?Latest Note:
So we are entering another squeeze here with a slightly bullish signal. This is a pretty unfathomable run at 8 straight days green. I can't see this continuing the streak however it could cool off and wait a whole day going slightly red in a squeeze before taking off again. Watch and hold here. 38.5 is about the possible breakdown area. 40.8 is around the Uptrend area.
Previous Replay Notes:
1) This has been on an insane ride up after 2 Uptrend signals. Profits would have been at 20% here so a good place to exit but also would have been difficult to refrain from entering when you see the next pump and drop.
2) The hold squeeze was very short lived and bulls regained quickly after just 1 bounce. I didn't catch it till the 2nd bounce, but didn't matter as I was still long in a hold pattern. If you exited at comment 1, the squeeze would have been a good place to get back in.
3) The Uptrend was also short lived. There was still plenty of money to grab in the short stint, especially if grabbed back in at the last squeeze.
Litentry Accumulation One word= Accumulation
Might retest the $6.5 level again before heading back to ATH.
One of the few coins that haven't made any big moves yet.
+61% back to ATH.
PD Chart patternWhile PD is in a bullish trend, it appears to have failed to break above the line, resulting in a decline. I see a great swing buy near the bottom if it does not break below the lines. People believe the stock is down because the CEO sold 200k shares, however the major reason is that shares of PagerDuty (NYSE: PD) were trading down today after the cloud-computing firm's first-quarter earnings report failed to impress investors. PagerDuty's company is benefiting from the rebound, as both macrotrends and the market environment continue to favor us. 9 analysts provided 12-month price estimates, with a median goal of 53.00, a high estimate of 59.00, and a low estimate of 35.00. The consensus forecast is a +24.06 percent gain over the previous price of 42.72.
Not a financial advise. DYOR
Ripple in a Bearish trend still !!Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
We are gonna look at a 1W chart and gonna use technical analysis tool to understand the Ripple XRP movement .
the market seems to be in a descending triangle pattern , with a lot of the indicators showing weakness in the ripple market . i used different indicators to confirm whats going on :
1_ Ripple price is trending below the MA on both 10MA and 20MA showing us a bearish signal in the market (do know that when i used 100MA and 200MA market seems bullish which could indicate the market going up in the long term)
2_MACD creating a Sell signal when the market price crossed over the MACD showing us a that the bears are still in control
3_Stoch is in oversold zones and created a sell signal when %D crossed over %K (%D 10.25 and %K 7.81 ) .and no divergence was found to indicate a reversal ( if u need to learn how the Stochastic Oscillator works then watch this)
Ripple’s XRP fell through the first major support level at $0.6034 before rising to a mid-afternoon intraday high $0.64521.
In the event of another breakout, Ripple’s XRP could test the second resistance level at $0.6783, A fall through the $0.6253 pivot would bring the first major support level at $0.6054 into play.
I do need to say that cryptocurrency is under a lot of influence from big coin holders and public figures , the market could change if one of the big players made a big move
Fundamental point of view :
Ripple (XRP) may have suffered in recent weeks, but it’s still one of the top cryptocurrencies to buy for long-term returns. It’s down by 2% in the past day, to $0.614. It’s also down by 7.5% in the past week, by 8% in the past fortnight, and by 30% in the past 30 days.
This obviously isn’t very good going. That said, XRP has a real chance of surging massively towards the end of 2021 or early 2022. This is likely when its case with Securities and Exchange Commission will end. And for a growing number of lawyers operating in the cryptocurrency and fintech space, this case will end positively for Ripple.
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This is my personal opinion done with analysing of the market price and research online , not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask
Thank you for reading.
The diamond formation explained in terms of ADA's price A bearish confluence has arisen among all the current bullish signals. This formation is theoretically seen as a reversal pattern and is bearish based on the fact that the price originated from bullish movement. Although the price target of this formation is at $1.29, does not mean it will reach these levels tonight, however knowing crypto assets a 10% retracement is not an irregular occurrence.
In order for the price to hit the TP, it will firstly have to break below the $1.40 mark which is a strong resistance level of the previous formation the price broke out of. Then the price would have to move below the 50% fib retracement level which is an extremely strong level of support and resistance. Only then would the path be clear for a movement down to the TP which happens to be a strong support level.
I am seeing this current market as a strong accumulation phase and if the price falls to the TP it would just be a sign of the continuation of this phase, which is great news for those who are in the market for the long term. The further accumulation would benefit the ADA market as a reversal and breakout to the bulls will roll out with the release of smart contracts which will bring in further hype into the space resulting in a huge move to the bulls.
My current opinion on the market in the short to medium term remains neutral with a bias towards the bulls on a slightly longer time frame, how ever there will be some blood in the street leading up to this point of course.
A question for those of you who are scared based on the current situation with regulation over the crypto space. Don't you think that regulation is one of the best things that could come out of the crypto space?
some would think I'm crazy for saying this, BUT hear me out. Regulation is only scaring in this sector because it has never been regulated before based on the fact that it was not as wide spread adopted than it is today, and regulation is just a sign from institutions and governments that the sector is more serious than one would think and this is a way of showing the mainstream that even they are starting to take crypto seriously, But in order to do so they will obviously want to be compensated for the rise of this revolutionary financial system of assets, which is fine, unless this news has the effect on you that temps you to sell your assets. This is not a good idea as you will dearly regret this decision, maybe not now but in the near future.
Just remember that all sectors associated to any financial system or third party intermediary are taxed and regulated any way, so why is regulation in this sector so frowned upon... don't let the media cloud your logic to believe what is said is true.
How do you feel about regulation in the crypto space? leave a comment and like and we can discuss this topic, related to any asset.
How I Find Trends In Markets Finding Trends in the market is a tool needed to stay on the right side of the trade.
Here I attempt to help you out by giving some tips that I have found through my 7 years of looking at the charts.
I have noticed that while the focus is on the avg close of the markets that isn't where trends take place in fact aiming for the avg is a good way to continuously lose on trades. In the video I show how to place trades based on the extremes Highs and Lows to aim for better returns while providing my insights on why looking at the market in these terms is better than standard way of looking at markets
APPLE inc 1D analysis 23/06/21Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :) as we all saw from the video we have multiple patterns and indicators telling us that the Apple stock is moving in a bullish way , it looks like it could be a good buy point since the price is at 133.85 , we might be looking at the price reaching the 137 range in the next few days .
Fundamental analysis :
The recent decline in Apple (AAPL) stock of more than 13% from its peak might be just what the doctor ordered for long-term growth investors. After all, buying the dip on this stock has proven to be a winning long-term strategy for investors, historically-speaking.
Those who bought the dip following the COVID-19 outbreak have seen gains of approximately 133.8% since the stock’s March 2020 lows. That’s certainly not a bad return for 15 months’ work.
Investors in AAPL stock seem to come for the growth, but stay for the innovation. Indeed, Apple’s next “big thing” is always right around the corner. Accordingly, this is a stock that never seems to fail when it comes to aggressively tackling new segments.
The next “big thing” investors seem to want to see is an Apple Car. Entire websites have been set up to discuss rumors around what’s potentially going on with “Project Titan” and Apple’s work on autonomous driving technologies. (Chris Macdonald)
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