Most Recent Powell Appearances & PA Hello Traders, -----------> (see picture below for better view) <----------
I just wanted to take a look with you on how Powell Appearances or Fed Minutes & Press conferences have affected price action.
Above is a quick look at that and a very near-term prediction of SPY.
Of course, Powell is a very well spoken man, and he chooses his words very carefully. He said exactly what was expected and exactly what the markets wanted to hear, hence the rally. However, when do we move past the idea that the rallies will be followed by drops in the days following? Are we there? Are we almost there? No way to really know. Even with a strong ear to the pulse of the markets and every analysis you can think of, it can be difficult to time the markets.
Luckily there are tools like you see on my chart that can help to stay consistent even when you aren't entirely sure when we've hit bottom or when the rally rug will pull. Not all technical tools are the same and there isn't a holy grail per se; but some tools of the trade are much sharper than others. For example, some tools may help you catch tops and bottoms really well when combined with a strategy.
How have you been doing-- are you Consistent-- are you Confident in your trades-- do you stick to your Strategy and Stop-loss?
Never stop sharpening your sword.
As retail traders, we must be constantly evolving and sharpening our toolbox to compete against the institutions and whales out there.
Happy trading.
Cheers,
Mike L.
(UPRIGHT Trading)
The Powell Catalyst
Trends
Gold, close to confirming new leg lower?Things have taken a turn back to safe havens with heavy selling resuming into today’s European session. After a small push at a fightback, the floodgates reopened. Stock indices and Crypto markets have been the heaviest hit, with some coins dropping over 11% lower.
Sellers haven’t overlooked Gold as sellers moved back into the yellow metal knocking back below 1862. We see a little bit on-demand around this area, but this may not offer much resistance if this level of selling continues. For now, price looks to have confirmed a LH, but will we see a new LL continuing the current trend with a new point of normal trend behaviour. Furthermore, a move below the trendline would also be a sign that the current fast downtrend controls the market.
A lot will come down to USD demand and continued exit from risk assets as US recession fears continue.
4H USDJPY buyers setting sights on resistance retest?
Hi, trading view community. Looking at the $/J, the current 4-hour uptrend continues to trade above the range high, but the real test for us is above at 131.00.
Price looks to be struggling at this stage close to the European open. If we did see a new move back to and above 131.00, you would think that buyer momentum is back on track, and the current trend has further to run.
Today’s US employment figure could be a make or break after a very choppy two days of trade for the USD.
Good trading
Market Unpredictability This is a perfect example of the market sometimes not going your way. I shorted on the first bearish flag thinking of course that this is one of the strongest indicators of market direction and I got burned (lost a little money). My mistake: Not looking for other signals. In this case the 20ema crossed over 50ema sending the price up. Sometimes you have to look at more than 1 indicator or pattern, this isn't always the case but it is better to have 2 signals than one.
The second time both the indicator and chart pattern aligned perfectly together and as a result the market dropped as expected.
I want to be clear that you should never jump back in so fast in a trade, personally after a loosing trade I step back for a day or two or trade another pair. But in this case the analysis was strong and it led me to some profits.
The market is always going to do what it wants, all we can do is analyze, prepare our risk management and execute.
Ftch daily daily chart for a strong fundamental company as we are in bearish trend line ! this is a major play we should profit from it in the way down and in the way up
ETH/USDTOverview ETH/USDT
1. Fibonnaci - rejected from 0.618 hoping to bounce again to 0.702 retracement. BTC is king here.
2. VPVR - resistence at 3100$
3. Volume is decreasing. (FOMO disappear slowly from the market)
4. Macro overview of the market is neutral-bearish. Maybe we'll see parabolic run or maybe massive crash.
5. Strategy + Patience = Success.
Smart Money vs Retail tradersIn this Chart I show you the Universal Trading narrative of the FOREX Market. By simply knowing that the trend signifies the market is reaching for liquidity and to fill imbalances you will always be able to catch a entry or two or three daily on your pair. The market makers make money when the Smart Money pulls their profits creating order blocks aka consolidation. When the market makers accumulate enough buy and sell stop orders they continue the move often with the trend. The Big Trend Moves are always the Smart Money. Trade with them and you will always eat!
Happy Trading Family!
ETHUSD CRITICAL STAGeETHUSD par is at a critical stage to move towards a new bullish trend.
The .382 fibonacci retracement was successfully overcome, i.e. the bearish trend is weaker right now.
Next big step is break the 200 periods moving average with over mean volume.
The key these days is not to lose 3300 level.
Speculating the Bottom for Bitcoin around $10,000 to $13,000KMany analysts I've listened to over the couple of months have said a bottom in for Bitcoin around $10-$13K because they use the previous ATH at $68,000 ish as the top of this Bull Market season. That would mean a break in pattern from previous cycles where the bottom is lower than the previous Bull Season top out. This is one of the reasons why I'm leaning toward another month or so of upward action, setting a new all time high so the bottom would fall around $22,000 where and unclosed CME gap is. We shall see. If this Full Moon sees a dump to create a higher low I'll lean toward a supercycle on the way. If we see it create a lower low then I'll concede $68K was the top.
BTC GO UP orrrr DOWN?interesting 15 min. fib wedgies are and bull print are looking identical. I got 1000$ going up, any takers? oh yeah macd used as well. RSI i still question till this day, might stop using it.
ooh yea, sorry for the chart mess, just needed to know what i was looking at. Notice the time frames in between highs and lows. keep in mind about 2-3 hour on major reversal. Hour on smaller ones.
dontforgetthebasics
Confirming Trends with the Lower Time Frames NZD/USD ExampleHey Guys!
As you guys know, for the past 2 weeks I've been taking multiple trades on the Nzd/usd, both short and long.
First I was taking short trades with the daily short bias, then long trades along with the bias change into long on the daily chart.
In this video, I explain how I knew the daily bias has changed into long thus aborted my initial short entry and began entering long trades.
These lower confirmation tactics play a huge role in my trading, and even if you don't trade with price action, it can be a great addition to your current strategy.
I hope it helps!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Bitcoin's Crossroad - FOMC March 2022I believe this is the only way to view what may happen in the near term future with BTC price speculation.
I know twitter is full of perma-bulls saying that 32/33k will never be seen again, they could be correct, but regardless their bias shows because they are making their decision too early...
Perma Bears said we were going to 18-14k even 11k last week on Russia Fears, and the War is turning out to be worse than expected, while the market as well as BTC has shown resiliency in the face of the worst potential conflict in the modern era... Super Power Conflict... even with Gold Spiking... BTC pumps??? (STRANGE)
We will know soon what is going to happen, but anyone calling it today is at best, an over-eager trader. This point today, makes a great short opportunity... March 15th, we will see what happens...
Buy the Rumor, Sell the News? - Goodluck!
(Near Term Short, (1-3 Days out) - 35-37k retest possible... we are at major macro resistance here...
COMP Trade zones Taking a look at this stock because of a screener alert.
Here's a chart with zones marked. It looks like in the really long term you might see upwards of $13, but I wouldn't expect it to be higher than $18.
I think currently, $9 seems to be where this stock is heading.
A Monday morning dip could definitely be a buy opportunity to $9.
I also, am noticing a lot of trends in the market leading to march 17th through the 23rd which are showing a possible big movement (crash maybe). I'll keep watching, but just be careful around those dates.
DOGE Weekly chart (the $1 climb)Here's the weekly doge chart that I used in the video the other day.
Something to think about.
If Bitcoin starts to hit the highs that everyone was talking about (200k,500k,700k, 1.2mil).. What would the altcoins start to look like?
$.10-$.12 starts to look pretty cheap