META at Trendline Support - Will Buyers Push Toward $696?NASDAQ:META is currently undergoing a corrective phase following a sharp rejection at the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent pullback has driven the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in.
If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at $696. A break above this midline would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially bringing the price back toward the upper boundary.
However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move.
Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Trendtrading
SPAIN 35 Trending Higher – Will It Reach 13,912?OANDA:ESPIXEUR has broken above the key resistance level within the ascending channel, signaling potential bullish continuation. This breakout suggests that buyers are in control, and price could now look to retest the previous resistance as support before continuing toward the upper boundary of the channel.
If price confirms support at this level, we could see a push toward the 13,912 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This move would reinforce the ongoing bullish structure and offer a buy opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the momentum toward the upper boundary.
However, if the price fails to hold above the previous resistance and falls back into the range, it could indicate a false breakout, potentially leading to a deeper retracement toward the trendline support. Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals, such as a successful retest with strong buying pressure or bullish candlestick patterns, before entering long positions.
Do you agree with this setup, or do you see any alternative scenarios? Let’s discuss! 🚀
SPY Technical Outlook - Will Buyers Step In?AMEX:SPY is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers may step in to defend the trendline support.
If the price holds at this dynamic support level, a bullish reaction could send AMEX:SPY toward the midline of the channel, with the next target around 607.00. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. Monitoring price action, volume, and confirmation signals will be crucial in determining the next move.
QQQ at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $532?NASDAQ:QQQ is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel.
If buyers regain control at this point, we could see a rebound toward the $532 resistance zone, which aligns with previous price reactions and the midline of the channel. This area could act as a short-term target within the existing bullish structure.
However, if price fails to hold this support and breaks below with momentum, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, let’s discuss! 🚀
BTCUSD 1H | POI Reaction Setup After Sweep – Short Flow by CelesBTC tapped into a clean POI zone after sweeping highs.
A market structure shift (MSS) formed, showing early signs of bearish intent.
Price is now reacting from the zone, and we’ve mapped the clean flow toward the 2H demand base.
Invalidation is clearly marked — a clean break above 88,005 would flip the bias.
Precise POI, projection, and target laid out.
— CelestiaPips
Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA)
The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution.
The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation.
The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio.
Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range
Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position.
However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD.
Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
GOLD 1H | Bearish POI Reaction Setup – Clean Flow by CelestiaPipPrice is reacting to a high-probability POI formed via supply + imbalance on GOLD 1H.
After the sweep and minor bullish correction, we’re now back into the rejection zone.
As long as price holds below 3030 , we could see continuation toward 2981 .
Key levels, invalidation zone, and structure mapped clearly.
Watch how price responds — setup in motion.
— CelestiaPips
USOIL To Retest $70.5I'm watching TVC:USOIL for a strong push towards at least the $70.5 level, though this area presents significant resistance.
A confirmed break of the bearish trend could fuel strong buying momentum, but patience is key.
Ideally, I’d like to see a solid rejection off the $68.5 level as confirmation before a move higher.
If we get a decisive breakout above $70.5 with sustained bullish momentum, my next target would be the major resistance around $75.
S&P500 Next Key Levels I will be waiting to see if we get some short term buying before continuing down to $5,200 levels.
Waiting for price to reach the $5,800 area and anticipating a strong rejection to continue the bearish trend.
After confirmation of the rejection, I will be looking for simple lower lows, lower highs before entering a sell, preferably around the $5,600 mark.
What are your thoughts on the AMEX:SPY and the THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX in general?
GOLD Trending Higher - Will Buyers Push Toward 3,012?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,012 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPJPY still bullish for expect
GBPJPY price is bounce 3 times on trend line, we are have and strong, long zone, which is be and breaked, we are not see some to long bullish push, price is revers what is done, currently from here expecting to see new bullish trend.
SUP zone: 190.150
RES zone: 194.250, 195.400
CADJPY having strong bullish signs
OANDA:CADJPY PA based trade, currently price on bottom line, JPY showing signs of losing power, with some other currencies it's already confirmed bearishness. We are have and event GDP from JPY today, which looks like its have impact here.
Here now expecting strong bullish push till top trend line (RES zone) and having look we will see and break of top trend line and higher bullishness is exepcted here
SUP zone: 101.200
RES zone: 104.550, 105.500, 106.300
S&P 500 Reaches Major Support – Will Buyers Take Control?SP:SPX is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a key demand zone. This confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand increases the probability of a bullish reaction from this level.
If buyers maintain control at this level, we could see a rebound toward the 5,936 level, which aligns with the midline of the ascending channel. This level could serve as a short-term target within the current bullish market structure.
However, failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, and signal further downside. Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
NAS100: Likely rebound at major point within Ascending ChannelCAPITALCOM:US100 is likely to be undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as shown on my chart. This boundary serves as dynamic trendline support and a significant bullish reaction could happen if buyers step in at this level.
A successful rebound from this support could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at around 22,000 . This scenario would maintain the overall bullish trend structure.
However, a clear breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
How to Draw Trendlines Like a Pro – Rulers Out, Rules In!Hi everyone!
If you don’t have any rules for drawing a trendline, then this is by far the most subjective technical analysis criterion of all. So, grab your ruler, and let’s dive in! ;)
Without clear guidelines, you can draw it however you want, shaping the narrative to fit your bias. This makes it the perfect tool to talk yourself into a trade or justify staying in a bad one—there’s always a new “support” coming…
If you don't have rules, you can always find some dots to connect, making it look "perfect" for you.
In this post, I'll discuss buying opportunities using trendlines, share key rules for drawing them correctly, and highlight common mistakes to avoid - all with a focus on mid- and long-term investment opportunities.
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The Basics: How to Draw a Trendline
The trendline is a highly effective tool for mid- and long-term investors to find an optimal buying zone for their chosen asset. I always take a full view of the chart, analyzing its entire history to find the longest trendline available. The longer the trendline, the stronger it is!
To draw a trendline, we simply connect two points and wait for the third touch to confirm it. Easy, right?
The strongest trendline comes from points that are easily recognizable—you should spot them in a split second.
Maximum view, if possible Monthly chart, connect the dots and wait for a third one.
For me, the third and fourth touches are the most reliable.
If you have to look deeply to find where to draw a trendline, then it's already a first sign that it’s not strong! The best ones appear instantly.
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Two Myths About Trendlines
Myth #1: "You cannot draw a trendline without three touching points."
Don’t even remember from where I heard that kind of bs but as you see in the images above, yeah I can. If I have a correct lineup, the third touch is the strongest.
Myth #2: "The more touches, the stronger the trendline."
Yes, a trend appears stronger with more touches, but each additional touch increases the odds of a break or trend change. To buy from, let’s say, the sixth touch, there must be strong confluence factors, and fundamentals should support the investment.
“The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.” — Ed Seykota
Sure, I’ve had great trades from the fifth or seventh touch, but as said, the area has to be strong, combining multiple criteria. Think of a trendline like 3-5 cm thick ice on a lake. You can’t break it with one hit, or the second, or the third. But after the fourth or fifth, it starts to crack, and by the sixth—boom!
From my psychological perspective, the more touches, the weaker the trendline becomes.
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Rule #1: Wick to Wick or Body to Body
If there aren't any anomalies, the trendline should always be drawn from wick to wick (image below) or body to body.
Here was the trendline draw from wick to wick
I mostly use body-to-body when there is a lot of noise on the chart and many large wicks that don’t show the real price behavior—whether from a panic sell-off or other unexpected market moves.
Candlestick chart, the trendline drawn from body-to-body
Tip! Body-to-body means drawing trendlines from closing prices to remove unnecessary noise from the chart. To make the chart even clearer, I often use a line chart (it tracks closing prices), which filters out the noise and gives a cleaner view of the price action.
The same chart as above using line chart.
Mistake to avoid: If you start from the wick but the second point is from the body, it's wrong. This can lead to misleading breakout trades or confusing rejection trades.
If there are no significant large wicks, go from wicks.
If a chart offers a lot of huge panic-sell wicks, use bodies instead to get a cleaner setup.
Quite often, I use a hybrid version as well. We are investors, not traders. We need a price zone, not an exact price!
In these cases, I combine wicks and closing prices to find the optimal trendline, which stays somewhere between them.
Light-blue is the zone
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Rule #2: Higher Highs Strengthen the Trendline
A trendline is more reliable if the price makes a new higher high (HH) after the previous rejection, and before it approaches a trendline.
The third and fourth touch came from higher high (HH) levels
This confirms that the recent trend is strong. If it all lines up, we can step in!
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Rule #3: Even Timing Between Touches
A trendline rejection works best when the timing between touches is symmetrical. They don’t have to be perfectly equal but they also shouldn’t be wildly different - one touch being very small and another very large can weaken the trendline’s reliability.
A good combinations is when the price comes from higher high levels, the next touch has an equal or fairly similar distance between previous ones.
Yeah, there are quite a lot of touches, but you get the point; market symmetry plays an important role in making decisions.
Warning: If the next touch comes too soon, especially from a lower high (LH) levels, which signals that momentum may be fading, and the touch happens at an uneven distance, it weakens the trendline’s reliability. So, watch out for that.
Two alerts: uneven length between touches & comes from lower highs.
Next red alert: When there are huge uneven gaps between touches, as shown in the picture below.
The first and second touch compared to the second and third touch are out of balance, weakening the trendline's reliability.
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Trendline Summary: Key Criteria for Mid- to Long-Term Analysis
Open the maximum chart view – analyze all available data for the asset.
The higher the timeframe, the stronger the trendline.
A trendline needs two clean and clear points to be drawn.
The highest probability rejection happens at the third and fourth touch.
If there are large wicks or panic sell-offs, use closing prices (body-to-body).
Remove noise and wicks by using a line chart for a clearer view.
A trendline touch is strongest when the price approaches from a higher high (HH).
A trendline touch is strongest when the distance between touches is symmetrical.
A slight flex in the trendline is ideal; it should be between 20 to 35 degrees, not too steep in its climb. ;)
These are the main criteria for a trendline that I use when analyzing stocks or any asset from a mid-to long-term perspective.
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Trendlines Alone Are Not Enough
Now, here’s the interesting part. Even if a trendline looks perfect and meets all criteria, I still won’t rush to share an analysis. Why? Because a trendline alone isn’t enough.
A trendline is just one piece of the puzzle. We need multiple confluence factors in a single price zone to make the setup truly strong and reliable. Usually, I need at least 3-7 criteria to align before making a move or recommendation.
So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. Feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts!
Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Trade smart,
Vaido
EURJPY still bullish for expect
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish push we are have on start of month, thoughts are strong bullish volume is gathered and the we can see still here bullish trend.
Currently price is in ASCENDING CHANNEL, expecting to see break of same and new bullish push.
SUP zone: 158.500
RES zone: 164.500
AUDNZD strong bullish expectations
AUDNZD pair which I am watching last 5 months, other my analysis on AUDNZD are attached, plus I am attach and CADCHF analysis its interesting to look, its almost same based on SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL.
AUDNZD price is make bounce on trend line, its break upper trend line-SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL, plus CHANNEL on 4h TF is visible and its also breaked.
Technicalls on medium and long term are strong bullish, when take all this parameters i am here still bullish.
SUP zone: 1.09200
RES zone: 1.11500, 1.12400
GOLD ROAD MAP 3000 TO WATERFALL ALERT!🔥 Attention Traders! 🔥
XAUUSD is on fire! 🔥 Here's the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch out for a potential drop if price falls below 2979. Targets: 2940 & 2960.
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above 2989 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for targets: 3000 & 3020.
📈 Stay Tuned: Share your thoughts and strategies as we navigate this golden market! Let's hit new highs! 💰🚀
GBPNZD Bullish Continuation - Will Buyers Push Toward 2.28000?OANDA:GBPNZD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish impulse suggests that buyers are maintaining control, indicating a potential continuation toward the upper boundary.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward 2.28000, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a failure to hold the support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and open the possibility for a deeper pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
BTCUSDT: Signals a 2-Week Retest—Trend Still Alive
BTC’s been wild, but zoom out to the 2-week chart— we’ve got a solid uptrend with higher highs and lows. Last week’s dip isn’t a reversal—it’s a retest of the 50-day EMA (around $64.8k as of March 10, 2025). Volume’s thinning, RSI’s looks oversold. Indicators flashed a ‘hold’ here—no sell signal yet, which tells me the trend’s got legs or at least a bounce.
Bullish Case : If BTC holds the retested level (e.g., a prior resistance-turned-support), it could resume upward momentum. A two-week stabilization suggests accumulation, and a break above the recent high could target the next psychological level (e.g., $90,000).
Bearish Risk : If the retest fails—price breaks below the key level with high volume—it could signal a deeper correction, potentially revisiting lower supports (e.g., $70,000 or $60,000). A two-week trend turning into a failed retest might indicate profit-taking or macroeconomic pressure with all the news.
It's worth just taking a zoomed out look, no panic just yet and let it play out a little more.