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Trendtrading

💡XAUUSD:Strong increase thanks to economic policies from the US➡️ Recent trends in gold prices are primarily influenced by US monetary policy. Gold has successfully surpassed the $2,000 level and is anticipated to conclude the week with positive gains for the second consecutive time. Despite this, some organizations hold the view that the potential for further increases in gold prices is limited. The Federal Reserve's commitment to tightening monetary policy suggests that overcoming the current resistance level could be challenging for gold. Additionally, the agreement on a limited ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has diminished the attractiveness of gold. ➡️ On the H4 chart, gold made an attempt to break out but faced resistance, with the MACD histogram bar and double line indicating a potential peak divergence. The most significant risk for gold is associated with a strengthening USD, driven by rising bond yields and overbought conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
💡 GBPUSD: Wait to sell at the reversal signal➡️ GBPUSD has approached the weekly resistance zone and we see the price weakening in momentum. That means the price forms a higher peak, but it is clear that neither the candlestick nor the distance to create the peak is strong. However, this is not a reversal signal. If we want a reversal trade from this zone, we need more confirmation. ✔️ So with this currency pair, you should first monitor the price action around the current area. If the price forms a strong reversal signal, you can consider selling. In case the price continues to rise and breaks the current resistance, we will continue to buy.
Short
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Strong increase due to weak USD➡️ Gold held its ground in the final trading session of the week, securing its second consecutive weekly gain. The upswing in gold prices was driven by a softening dollar, with analysts increasingly speculating that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) had concluded its interest rate hike. The decline in the US Dollar Index renders gold more affordable for holders of alternative currencies. ➡️ Senior analyst Lukman Otunuga from FXTM noted that gold has entered a holding pattern as investors anticipate further insights into the Fed's monetary policy stance. Hovering around the $2,000 per ounce mark, gold is currently seeking a catalyst to strengthen its momentum. ➡️ Recent data revealing a larger-than-expected decrease in new unemployment claims among Americans last week tempered expectations for a Fed rate cut in 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
4
XAUUSD: short-term BUY XAU strategyXAU has increased dramatically this morning, specifically in 2018 due to recognition from the FED, the end of the interest rate hike cycle, experts say that XAU will continue to increase in the near future Experts say that the current headwind for gold is still rising bond yields. Therefore, the market may be sensitive to important reports this week, including US third quarter GDP data. Although the US economy is expected to grow strongly in the third quarter, there are growing concerns about a slowdown in activity in the quarter. Looking at gold's technical picture, analysts note investors and traders should watch for initial resistance at $2,010 an ounce. If this level is broken, gold could rise steadily to $2,050/ounce, before hitting an all-time high of $2,082/ounce, predicts Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
💡 GBPUSD: Predicted November 23➡️ The market experienced a steep decline in the initial half of the session, followed by a resurgence of buying activity that resulted in long candle shadows below. This indicates that sellers did not exert strong dominance. The overall situation has remained relatively unchanged since the last session. Our expectation is for the price to continue its upward movement, approaching the target set by the double bottom pattern. It is advisable to steadfastly maintain your existing long positions.
Long
by Stone_Haven
Convergence of PatternsTraders, I've spotted a compelling shorting opportunity on AUDCAD, presenting itself differently across various timeframes. Specifically, the daily chart indicates a trend trading setup, showcasing the convergence of both the Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns in the same region. My strategy involves waiting for the market to reach the 0.9000 region before considering engagement. At this level, I anticipate price action traders joining in, amplifying the trade potential. What are your thoughts or trade plans for AUDCAD? Share your insights or potential strategies below!
Short
by RaynLim
1
Contradictory Patterns & Potential Buy SetupIt seems that the USDJPY is presenting challenges in trading decisions. Despite the presence of a valid bearish fib-3 bat pattern, your interest lies in seeking a buying opportunity, expected to materialize potentially by Tuesday based on further market development. You've also noted the invalidation of a Bullish Gartley Pattern on the 1-hourly chart, cautioning against trading this setup without proper understanding, suggesting seeking guidance if unclear. What trade plan or strategy are you considering for USDJPY? Feel free to share your insights or plans below!
Long
by RaynLim
AUDUSD - Trend Formation?Early last week, traders started taking profit on US dollar long positions in anticipation of an end to rate hikes. The Federal Reserve shared a sentiment that there likely won't be any further rate hikes, but they will remain elevated depending on how inflation figures come out. From a technicals perspective, I am beginning to see some major shifts happening. Over on the AUDUSD pair, there are two key points I'd like to point out. Price breaches above a consolidation, which I mark in a style similar to the Darvas box system. Simultaneously, the moving average crossover is a further confirmation that price momentum is accelerating to the upside. This pair closed off strong last Friday so I do anticipate seeing a smaller pullback on Sunday's open before a further rally to the upside.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
#USDCNY long term selling opportunityPrice in Daily timeframe seems like to complete 5 wave bullish move and also we can see bearish standard divergence between price and MACD which is a very good signal for pinpointing the top. But the important thing to remember before taking position is to see market structure shifting to the downside with forming a lower high or creating a new low which at the moment non of this signals has been given by the price. So its best to wait for the price to confirm the bearish signals its giving to us before jumping to trade. Please also look at the other analysis in the weekly timeframe that I have posted for higher time frame confirmations which is also tagged.
Short
by mohemati
1
#USDCNY long term selling opportunityAs you can see in the chart massive bearish divergence between price and MACD indicator in weekly time frame which can cause a long term selling opportunity. Also price is testing bullish trend line acting as resistance since its connecting the tops and every time price test this trendline sellers jumped into market and drive price lower. Also as you can see we already had bearish divergence in the price before and caused prices to come lower in previous tops
Short
by mohemati
💡 XAUUSD: Gold accumulates sideways, waiting for a breakthrough➡️ Gold saw an increase in value yesterday, but the daily chart (D1) formed a bar with a very narrow range and an upper shadow, indicating the presence of selling pressure at higher levels. The D1 bar, characterized by a limited price range, was part of the preceding inside bar pattern, representing a "double" price combination with the inside bar + narrow range bar price action combo. Despite these fluctuations, gold on the D1 chart is currently facing resistance and has not been able to breach the 2,000 mark. The chart structure suggests a sideways accumulation pattern for D1 gold. ➡️ On the hourly chart (H1), gold is also consolidating sideways and encountering resistance at higher levels. It is advisable to consider buying gold below the current levels, as attempting to buy above may face obstacles, especially around the 2,000 mark. If the price breaks below the current levels, one might consider waiting to initiate a selling position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
Very critical area for Silver Silver is currently at a critical juncture, and a breakout above this resistance could lead to a rapid shift in the overall market sentiment. It's essential to note that we are analyzing a daily chart featuring a bearish channel. In the event of a bullish breakout, the price target would be the width of this daily channel. Given the high correlation between silver and gold, we may anticipate a similar behavior in gold. Considering that both gold and silver are often considered risky assets, particularly gold, if they are poised for such a movement, it suggests there might be a significant news release providing the necessary momentum for a breakout above this crucial resistance. However, it's crucial to remain cautious, as any breakout without substantial news support could be deemed a false breakout, potentially leading to a reversal.
TVC:SILVER
by mohemati
1
💡 EURUSD: Unpredictable➡️ EURUSD recently approached the support zone near 1.0890 and experienced a rebound. However, there are currently no clear buy signals. ➡️ On the shorter timeframes, the upward trend hasn't materialized yet, making it challenging for us to initiate buy positions. Therefore, it's prudent to adopt a cautious approach and observe further price action. The likelihood of the market continuing its downward trajectory remains significant. For those engaged in short-term trading, selling could be considered around the resistance area near 1.0925. It's essential to pay close attention to price movements. If the price convincingly surpasses the mentioned zone with strong momentum and fails to generate any sell signals, it would be wise to stay on the sidelines.
Short
by Stone_Haven
2
💡 XAUUSD: Strong increase around 2000 level➡️Gold prices surged to a three-week high of approximately 2,000 USD per ounce due to a boost from short-selling activities among gold futures traders and discouraging reports on home sales in the US. This upward trend persisted even after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) hinted at maintaining higher interest rates in the immediate future. ➡️In the minutes from the November monetary policy meeting, the Fed underscored that, despite interest rates hovering near their peak, there was no indication of an imminent reduction. Nevertheless, the Fed acknowledged escalating risks to the economy. ➡️Furthermore, the US Central Bank is closely monitoring bond yields, as heightened volatility has left its mark on financial markets. Some analysts posit that the Fed's involvement in the bond market to stabilize yields could serve as a catalyst for a substantial increase in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
Crude Oil Correction - Bearish Scenario (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL Recent sessions saw a surge in Brent crude futures, hitting the top of a descending channel and undergoing huge correction currently. This paves the way for potential fall from 82.00 to 80 then 79. The bearish trend remains strong as price got rejected from the 100-day moving average (4H timeframe). A break above 83 could signal bullish move. Note: Keep an eye on unexpected movements due to Fed's meeting minutes and ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel. Support lines: 80.00 Resistance lines: 83.00 Comment down below your thoughts about my analysis, Thank you!
TVC:UKOILShort
by InvestScale
2
#USDCAD buying opportunity As seen in the chart, we have a symmetrical triangle chart pattern formation on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price may move higher to test a bearish trendline associated with the chart pattern. Simultaneously, in the lower timeframe, the price is forming a bearish corrective move after a prior bullish impulse on this pair. The price has been unsuccessful in breaking below the support. If the price manages to break the bearish trendline in the lower timeframe, we could anticipate a follow-through, with the price moving at least towards the trendline. From that point, we can evaluate the potential for the next price move. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
Long
by mohemati
1