Trendtrading
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/10/2023) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY . After opening if banknifty sustain above 44050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 44450 Level. And this rally can extend for another 400 points if it gives breakout of 44550 level. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 43950 level.
Too much supportWe could the return of the DOW. Price is just landing on a strong support zone. Next week we could see a big, fat green candle (engulfing) and heading higher from there. I may buy a few calls on Friday, I want to see if the support holds. BTW I pulled up a 2 weeks chart for better visualization but it reads the same in a weekly chart.
spyThe next real support level on MY charts is that $417 range. However, there is an upward trendline that the entire sp500 spx is just now hitting that goes back to the lowest wick of the bottom that started this Bullish uptrend move months ago. We may very well bounce short term from here and go back retest the drop if the spx can hold the line. In the bigger picture im using pops to load puts for another move down this month before we think about a bigger move back up to test the R's.
GBPUSD | More Than a 1:1 Reward To Risk TradeThis is bearish potential on GBPUSD
12 hour timeframe is bearish. A new high was made on today.
Price can go lower overnight. If it does
we can adjust the take profit.
Stop loss and entry will stay the same.
Stop loss and entry are noted as
Entry: 1.21813
Stop loss: 1.22719
TP: Open but preferably the lower low after price pulls back and beyond.
You can move stop loss higher if you prefer more room for the trade to breathe.
Belief: For God did not give me a spirit of fear, but of power, love, and a sound mind.
Rather this trade wins or losses, I pray God for the opportunity.
Hey! Like the analysis. Much Love. ❤️
NZDCAD's 2:1 Reward To Risk Trade IdeaThis is bullish potential on NZDCAD.
12 hour timeframe is bullish. A new high was made on Friday.
Price can go higher overnight. If it does
we can adjust the take profit.
Stop loss and entry will stay the same.
Stop loss and entry are noted as
Entry: 0.80362
Stop loss: 079827
TP: back up to highs unless price creates new fluctuation in price action.
You can move stop loss lower if you prefer more room for the trade to breathe.
Belief: For God did not give me a spirit of fear, but of power, love, and a sound mind.
Rather this trade wins or losses, I pray God for the opportunity.
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Beware of Shorting OpportunitiesAs we continue to analyze the market, it's become clear that avoiding bad trades is just as important as finding the next big one. This is particularly true when looking at the bottom 2 charts of NZDJPY's daily and weekly charts.
On the daily chart, we can see that the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern is over-extended, meaning it took longer than expected to complete the trading setup. As a result, the market may not respect the level and could bash through the resistance level.
On the weekly chart, we also see that the Bearish Shark Pattern retest, doesn't give us an RSI divergence. Once again, the market may extend further before any significant retest.
Despite all of this, if you're still interested in shorting the market, do it with caution.
On the 4-hourly chart, waiting for the market to retest at the 90.03 level could attract price-action traders to jump in for the counter-trend move.
Personally, I prefer to head in for a buying opportunity at the key support level of 89.05. My initial stop-loss would be at 88.67 (-38 pips) or approximately -380USD/lot. The first target is seen at 90.08 (+103pips) or approximately 1,030USD/lot.
Remember, it's important to plan your own trade and never follow any trader blindly. Let's continue to monitor the market closely and make informed decisions.
Awaiting Shorting OpportunityThis week, I have been closely monitoring the movement on GBPUSD. While there are similarities to EURUSD, I am still waiting for an aggressive shorting opportunity. As of now, there is no iconic trading setup available, so I am patiently waiting for a retest at the key resistance level of 1.2368 before making any moves.
For more conservative traders, it may be wise to wait for a double top with an RSI divergence as an additional confirmation before engaging in the trade. The initial stop is at 1.2462 (-94 pips) or 940 USD/lot, while the first target is seen at 1.2124 or 2,440 USD/lot.
I cannot stress enough the importance of planning your trade and not blindly following anyone else. Keep this in mind when considering your options.
Potential Bullish ContinuationAs we analyze the charts, we can see that the highest timeframe is affecting our overall analysis. If we look at the weekly chart, we can see that there is a bullish run. This means that we should look for a buying opportunity on the 1-hourly chart. Our preferred entry price is at 1.0550, with an initial stop-loss at 1.0521 (-29pips) or -290usd/lot. Our target 1 is at 1.0614 (+64pips) or 640usd/lot.
However, if we see that the daily chart is our highest timeframe, we should look for a shorting opportunity as a trend trading opportunity. The possible selling price is at 1.0631, with the initial stop-loss at 1.0663 (-32pips) or -320usd/lot. Our Target 1 is at 1.0502 (+129pips) or 1,290usd/lot.
It's important that we do our own independent analysis and plan our own trade. By doing this, we can take advantage of the opportunities presented to us and make the best decisions for our trade.
Nifty 50: October week 1 Weekly Market SetupWeekly Review
Nifty 50 declined by 0.18% last week to close at 19,638. The major meltdown was seen on last Thursday (weekly expiry) where the index lost close to 200 points where it touched its key support around 19,495 as per our expectations too. While broadly market is now showing mixed sentiments and is largely looking to be a stock specific trading only.
Week Ahead:,
On Daily charts, technical indicators shows bulls giving a good fght to pick up pace for what all the gains were lost in previous few weeks. Momentum is starting to build u but higher levels at 19,740-795 remains key hurdle to continue the larger rally. On the lower side 19495, 19438 and 19376 are important support to hold on.
From levels perspective, I believe it has been quite a downfall and we should see some uptick or a sideway markets now but to say further the outlook would completely depend on how Q2 numbers starts rolling out and what holds post RBI’s MPC meeting results.
*Disclaimer*: I am not SEBI registered analyst and hence the above market outlook is for only educational study and research purposes only. In no way do I endorse this opinion to take a trade or for any investments in markets in any form by any Participant. Be a responsible investor with proper risk management and keep learning as a true focus.
XAUUSD OAK Spider Trend Analysis and 2023 Closing ForecastXAUUSD Gold trend lines, support and resistance level slings over a 4H fibonacci grid analysis preceding my price forecast strokes for the last quarter. A year away from my best trading day so far (23.09.29), I think I should have been posting my analysis way earlier.
With great power comes great responsibility. Trade responsibly.
OAK
#USDCAD looking to sellPrice bearish impulsive move broke Daily bullish market structure to the downside so we believe that our current trend in USDCAD is to the downside.
After forming a low price is testing a broken previous support area which now will act probably as a resistance.
For other bearish confluences we can see price is just below 4H timeframe EMA and close to 1h timeframe EMA.
#USDCAD another selling opportunityIf you remember we already took one successful short trade from the previous red arrow and although we were expecting price to move further down and create new low for higher timeframe this didn't happen.
As a result price went up and giving us another selling opportunity.
As you can see in the picture price is at important static resistance area and just below 4H and 1H EMA which both acting as resistance.
But the thing that we should be consider before taking position from the area that price currently is sitting on is the possibility that if price wants to come and take liquidity from the local top that formed earlier and since there is a lot of stop losses could be a good target for price to reach and take out liquidity.
So if you want to take position from this area keep in mind the possibility of price moving higher to take out loquidity.
GBP/USD - A BEARISH OUTLOOK
GBP/USD Fundamental and Technical Analysis for 28 September 2023
Subtitle: GBP/USD remains under pressure as the US dollar continues to strengthen against a basket of major currencies. Technical indicators on the 30-minute, 4-hour, and daily charts suggest that further downside is likely in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis:
The British pound has been under pressure in recent weeks due to a number of factors, including:
Rising inflation: Inflation in the UK hit a 40-year high of 10.1% in July 2023, putting further pressure on household budgets and businesses.
Weak economic growth: The UK economy is expected to grow by just 0.5% in 2023, according to the IMF, which is the slowest pace of growth among the G7 economies.
Political uncertainty: The UK is currently facing a number of political challenges, including the ongoing war in Ukraine, the cost of living crisis, and the ongoing negotiations over the Northern Ireland Protocol.
Technical Analysis:
On the 30-minute chart, GBP/USD is trading below both its 50- and 100-period moving averages, which is a bearish sign. The RSI indicator is also below 50, suggesting that the pair is oversold. However, the MACD indicator is crossing below its signal line, which is a bearish signal.
On the 4-hour chart, GBP/USD is trading below a descending trendline. The pair is also below its 50- and 100-period moving averages. The RSI indicator is below 50, and the MACD indicator is crossing below its signal line.
On the daily chart, GBP/USD is trading below a descending triangle pattern. The pair is also below its 50- and 100-period moving averages. The RSI indicator is below 50, and the MACD indicator is crossing below its signal line.
Overall, the technical indicators on all three timeframes suggest that GBP/USD is likely to continue to decline in the near term.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD remains under pressure due to a number of fundamental factors, and the technical indicators on all three timeframes suggest that further downside is likely in the near term. Traders should be cautious going long on GBP/USD at this time.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents is based on the information at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
USD/CAD: Resistance Levels to Watch in the Short TermUSD/CAD Fundamental and Technical Analysis for 28 September 2023
Fundamental Analysis
The Canadian dollar has been under pressure in recent weeks, falling to its lowest level against the US dollar in over two years. This is due to a number of factors, including:
Higher US interest rates: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates aggressively in an effort to combat inflation. This has made US dollar assets more attractive to investors, leading to a sell-off in the Canadian dollar.
Weaker oil prices: Oil is Canada's main export, and a decline in oil prices can have a significant impact on the Canadian dollar. Oil prices have been falling in recent months due to concerns about a global recession.
Risk aversion: Investors are becoming more risk averse due to the ongoing war in Ukraine and the rising cost of living. This is leading to a flight to safety into US dollar assets.
Technical Analysis
On the technical charts , USD/CAD is in a bullish trend. The pair has broken above its downtrend line and is now trading above its 200-day moving average. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the pair could continue to move higher in the short term.
On the 30-minute chart, USD/CAD is facing resistance at 1.3600. If the pair can break above this level, it could target 1.3650 and 1.3700. On the downside, support is at 1.3550 and 1.3500.
On the 4-hour chart, USD/CAD is facing resistance at 1.3650. If the pair can break above this level, it could target 1.3700 and 1.3750. On the downside, support is at 1.3600 and 1.3550.
On the daily chart, USD/CAD is facing resistance at 1.3700. If the pair can break above this level, it could target 1.3750 and 1.3800. On the downside, support is at 1.3650 and 1.3600.
Overall Outlook
The Canadian dollar is under pressure against the US dollar due to a number of factors, including higher US interest rates, weaker oil prices, and risk aversion. On the technical charts, USD/CAD is in a bullish trend. The pair is facing resistance at 1.3600 on the 30-minute and 4-hour charts, and at 1.3700 on the daily chart. If the pair can break above these resistance levels, it could continue to move higher in the short term.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents is based on the information at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!