Bitcoin Correction Maturing – Long Setup Brewing!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has fallen by more than -4% over the past day.
Let's take a look at the reasons for the decline.
One of the key reasons behind Bitcoin’s decline in the past 24 hours ( July 25 ) could be the reduced likelihood of Jerome Powell being replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
In recent days, market participants were speculating that Donald Trump might replace Powell — a scenario that was considered bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin. However, recent reports of a meeting between Trump and Powell, and signs that Powell might not be dismissed, have weakened this fundamental narrative.
This meeting may signal a truce or reduced tension between Trump’s team and Powell , which could imply a continuation of current Fed policies. That’s bad news for Bitcoin, as it removes a potential psychological tailwind from the market and dampens speculative sentiment.
As a result:
Over $500 million in liquidations(Long Positions) occurred
Weak inflows into Bitcoin ETFs
A stronger U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY )
And declining Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) prices over the past two days
all added additional selling pressure on BTC. Now let's take a look at Bitcoin's conditions on the 4-hour time frame .
Bitcoin currently appears to have broken the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Support lines , 100_SMA(4-hour TF) , and the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern with a bearish Marubozu candle .
Note : In general, trading was difficult when Bitcoin was inside a symmetrical triangle (about 10 days).
It also seems that the pullback to these zones has ended and Bitcoin is waiting for the next decline .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave C of major wave 4 . There is a possibility that main wave 4 will create a descending channel and complete at the bottom of the descending channel (at Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) ).
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after completing the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) from Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($114,480-$114,000) or Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($113,284-$112,603) near the PRZ and Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $117,904-$116,665
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,046-$119,761
Do you think Bitcoin has entered a major correction, or does it still have a chance to create a new ATH?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
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Triangle
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone...
On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits.
Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400.
Support levels: 3345, 3320
A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure.
However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold will rebound from support line of triangle and rise to 3430Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Following a sequence of significant upward trends and the subsequent downward corrections that defined its range, gold has entered a broad market zone of consolidation. This battleground is clearly anchored by the historically significant buyer zone around 3285 and a formidable seller zone near 3430. Currently, the asset's price action is coiling and contracting within the confines of a large symmetrical triangle, a classic pattern that signifies a period of equilibrium and energy build-up before a potential high-volatility breakout. After a recent upward rebound was decisively rejected by the upper resistance line, the price is now in a corrective descent, heading towards the crucial ascending support line of the triangle. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which is based on the expectation that this downward move will find strong buying interest on this key trendline, respecting the pattern's integrity. A confirmed and strong bounce from this level would signal another complete upward rotation within the triangle is underway. Therefore, the tp is logically and strategically set at the 3430 resistance level, as it not only aligns with the formation's upper boundary but also represents the major seller zone, a natural magnet for price on such a rebound. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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SUI – Preparing for a Breakout? Symmetrical Triangle in PlaySince the beginning of the year, SUI has been consolidating inside a classic symmetrical triangle — marked by higher lows and lower highs, a sign of tightening price action and growing pressure.
This kind of structure doesn’t last forever.
Usually, it ends with a strong breakout — especially if supported by volume.
🔍 What to watch:
- A break above the upper trendline could trigger a strong move, with potential targets in the $5 area and even a new ATH, if altcoins enter a real revival phase.
- On the flip side, $2.80 remains the key support level.
As long as it holds, bulls remain in control of the structure.
📍 My game plan:
I’m watching the $3.25 area as a potential buy zone —a great spot inside the pattern, offering tight risk and strong upside if the breakout comes.
Until then, it’s all about patience.
Pressure is building. The triangle is tightening.
And the market is waiting for a reason to move.
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPAUD breakdown targets 2.00GBPAUD broke below key triangle support, confirming a bearish pattern with a target near 2.00. A failed retest strengthens the case for further downside. Bounces toward 2.06 may face selling pressure. Reward-to-risk remains attractive around 2.55x.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
TSLA weekly coiling into something powerfulNever doubt the power of TSLA. Recently broke out of a huge pennant, and now nearing the end of another pennant while simultaneously holding support above the daily 20EMA(overlayed on this weekly chart).
Also recently found support off of the monthly 20EMA (overlayed on this weekly chart) and took 2 direct hits on the monthly 50EMA (overlayed on this weekly chart) before that and rallied up. It will take a lot to crush this setup but anything can happen. Possibly a longer pennant formation.
I'm just a cat not a financial advisor.
ARTYUSDT → A breakout of resistance could trigger another rallyBYBIT:ARTYUSDT is forming a cascading bottom as part of consolidation before a possible breakout of resistance. The decline in Bitcoin's market dominance gives altcoins a chance.
( (Idea from September 29, 2024!) We previously discussed this coin before its 300% rally. The root causes of its emergence from accumulation and readiness for strong growth were correctly identified).
The dump phase is coming to an end, a cascading market bottom is beginning to form, and a pre-breakout base relative to the triangle resistance is forming, which overall hints at a bullish behavior pattern.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after the rally, and the Bitcoin dominance index is declining, which generally indicates a flow of funds into altcoins. The situation is such that the altcoin market has another chance for the season. The correction across the entire market may end in the near future, and under favorable conditions (the fundamental background is strengthening, Trump has announced another important event for cryptocurrencies), the market may return to strong movements...
The focus in ARTY is on the intermediate resistance at 0.1770 and the consolidation resistance at 0.2368. Consolidation above this range could trigger a rally.
Resistance levels: 0.2368
Support levels: 0.1235
Technically, a few days ago, the coin tested the consolidation resistance, but the decline did not continue, which generally indicates that buyers are showing interest and holding the market. Consolidation in the near term may end with a retest of 0.1770, 0.2368, a breakout, and further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold: ascending triangle sets up big opportunityGold has traded sideways for 93 days, but breakout traders should take note. A clear ascending triangle is forming, offering a high reward-to-risk setup. I walk through the key levels, breakout zone, and why this could lead to a 6x return. Bulls may be frustrated, but momentum is building. Are you ready?
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold. How to "kill" bull or bear (triangle)? 24/July/25XAUUSD. are you betting (gambling) OR trading for bull/bear triangle? With or without "active lost/cut lost"?.. No stop lost = passive (cut) lost = Let the "gambling" games end for you. Not you end the "trading" any time actively. The "happy ending" always come with good risk management with good risk/reward ratio where ONLY happened when we have T.P and S.L plans.
$RNDR/USDT – Breakout Setup Alert!RNDR has officially broken out of the long-standing descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal structure. This breakout comes after a sustained consolidation phase and successful retest, indicating strength in buyer momentum.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Descending triangle breakout confirmed
Previous breakout from similar structure yielded a massive 160% rally
Currently retesting the breakout zone, providing a high R:R long entry opportunity
Clear invalidation point below the recent local support
🟢 LONG Setup:
Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.30
Stop Loss: $3.60 (below breakout retest & structure)
Targets:
TP1: $6.00
TP2: $8.00
TP3: $10.70+ (full breakout projection zone)
🧠 Strategy Insight:
This setup aligns with a broader bullish market structure across multiple altcoins. If momentum continues, this could mirror the prior explosive leg. Always manage risk accordingly.
⚠️ This is not financial advice. DYOR and use proper risk management.
💬 Let me know your thoughts or if you’re riding this wave!
Gold Tests Year-to-Date TrendlineGold is getting a breather from recent newsflow and is now testing the trendline on the daily timeframe. The Japan deal, some positive developments in the EU–US negotiations, and yesterday’s Trump–Powell "sitcom" have helped ease concerns about the economy.
Although the trend began in December, when viewed from April, it clearly forms an ascending triangle pattern. Ascending triangles typically break to the upside, which could favor gold bulls. However, the lower support line is being tested very aggressively and has been challenged multiple times, which is not a good signal.
Today could be decisive, potentially leading to a downside break or an upward move that sets the tone for the weekly close. For gold traders, today and Monday could be key in determining the medium-term direction.
IMV Multiple analysisIMV, Argentina's Merval Index valued in pesos, has been in a downtrend since jan-25. Due to electoral process, noise has been increasing this last week, amidst some shade on what seemed as an easy win for Milei's gov.
The amount of chatter the Merval has brought up is inmense. This psychology is similar to that expected in IVth elliott's waves. Also, jul 2022 - dic 2024 saw huge gains, signaling IIIrd elliot´s wave behavior.
This long and extended IVth can be seen after such huge rallies. Anxiety begins to build up and retail investors begin to be shaken out. This IVth wave seems to be a triple-three type. Volatile and fast, this structure destroys an investor's patience.
Recent developements in the money market seem to have calmed down and peace seems to be partially restored. September elections are around the corner and this little Pax may be threatened.
I'm inclined to believe NOTHING WILL HAPPEN in these elections the govt faces, nor will the gov succeed enourmously, nor will it fail badly. So, I believe the index will likely test previous (W) wave bottoms, to then breakout for a final Vth wave. This analysis is compatible with a triangle-shaped breakout.
ZENUSDT | Triangle Breakout Setup Brewing!#ZEN is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, following a strong bearish move. The price action has shifted to a sideways range, signaling a potential trend reversal or continuation setup in the making.
What to Watch:
We’re closely monitoring a bullish breakout from the triangle or resistance zone.
A confirmed breakout with a successful retest will trigger our long entry.
As always, proper risk management is key – wait for confirmation before entering.
Trade Plan:
✅ Wait for breakout above resistance
✅ Look for volume confirmation
✅ Enter on retest with a tight stop-loss
✅ Target recent highs for a solid R:R setup
What’s your take on #ZEN? Do you see a breakout coming or more chop ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
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#ZEN #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TrianglePattern #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ZENUSDT #Altcoins #TradingSetup #CryptoTA #BullishBreakout #SwingTrade #4hrChart #TradingViewIdeas
Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action.
How to Confirm a Valid Breakout
Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky.
Final Thoughts
BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy.
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GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump...
After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold.
Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted.
Resistance levels: 3433, 3446
Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375
As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation and compression to 116K. Correction?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate, with the price testing support at 116K, leaving behind the zone of interest at 120K-121K. Are there any chances for further growth?
(Alternative scenario (if growth to 120K does not occur))
Fundamentally, there is nothing particularly new, and the hype surrounding Bitcoin is stagnating. Technically, on D1, consolidation is underway with pressure from bears against the backdrop of an outflow of funds into altcoins. However, the dominance index is starting to rise, which could trigger some correction in the market. The price on the working timeframe, without updating local highs, is testing lows, and the latest retest of the liquidity zone is provoking a fairly aggressive reaction that could bring the price to retest the zone of interest at 120K-121K.
But! If the price is squeezed between 116K and 0.5 Fib with a gradual squeeze towards support, the chances of a breakdown and a premature fall will increase.
Support levels: 116370, 115860
Resistance levels: 119650, 120100
Technically, the market needs a breather or correction, which is generally a sign of health. The nuance with Bitcoin is that below 115860 there is no support until 112K, and if the market breaks the current consolidation boundary, the further correction could be quite deep. In the current situation, I do not yet see any drivers or reasons for another rally.
Best regards, R. Linda!