Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: ˇ+18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Triangle
EURO - Price can bounce up from triangle to $1.0430 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price rose to the resistance area, after which it dropped to support area inside wedge.
Euro turned around and started to grow near support line of wedge and later it reached $1.0390 level and broke it.
Next, price rose to resistance line of wedge and then made a correction movement to $1.0390 level and exited from wedge.
After this, price broke $1.0390 level and made a strong gap, after which it started to grow inside a triangle.
In this pattern, Euro rose to resistance line, some time traded near, and then in a short time fell back to support line.
In my mind, Euro can bounce up from support line to $1.0430, exiting from a triangle and breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
PEPE Deep dive before pumping? To what price?CRYPTOCAP:PEPE Script: A potential deep dive might be on the horizon before the next pump.
Right now, it’s forming a structure that looks a lot like the pattern we saw from March to May, which I’ve marked as points 1 to 7.
Both of these structures showed up after breaking out from the near-end of a symmetrical triangle.
Currently, we’re sitting at point 6.
Using Fibonacci retracement, we can estimate how deep the dip might go.
Last time, it reached Fib 1.618. If history repeats itself, PEPE could pull back to around 0.00009485.
This potential drawback would also break the uptrend line, which could shake market confidence and flush out weaker hands—perfect for accumulating liquidity to fuel a future price surge.
I’ve already set a buy order at this level, just in case this scenario plays out.
Of course, this is just one potential script among many. I’ll share more as they unfold.
Follow me for more insights and updates! 😊
100 SMA REBOUND (?) - $135,000 / $140,000 As illustrated, I'm trying to visualize a potential rebound off of the 100SMA that matches the resistance line of what looks to be an ascending triangle that has been broken and retested.
Price is showing support at such line that happens to overlap with the 100SMA.
I might be "wanting to see" bullishness in the market, but you be the judge of these observations.
The long rejection wicks at the bottom seem manipulative... almost as if there was selling pressure to shake off HODLERS and new investors (?) ...
Will the US approve the famous BTC reserve? ...
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LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPENS!
what is happening to BTC right now ?! 🐺 "Hello, KIUCOIN family . I hope you're doing well. 🐺
In this analysis, I've decided to explain what's likely to happen to the BTC price in the immediate short term and the long term. Be sure to stay tuned with me until the end, as it's going to be mind-blowing." 🤯
"First of all, let's examine the monthly chart. In my opinion, this is one of the best timeframes, especially for this analysis, because it reveals extraordinary price targets. Let's dive into it :
As you can see on the monthly chart , BTC is between two uptrend curves that have acted as support and resistance since 2015 . These curves are fairly strong, justifying their classification as strong support and resistance lines on the monthly timeframe.
As you may already know, the higher the timeframe we examine, the more accurate results we can achieve. Therefore, the patterns on the monthly timeframe are much more accurate than those formed on the daily or even the weekly timeframe. In this case, we have a clear and perfect bullish flag pattern . This is a bullish pattern, and its main target, which aligns with our resistance line, is around $165,000. 🔥🐺🚀
So let's reveals more details for you dear 🐺KIUCOIN🐺 family :
In the chart above, on the weekly timeframe, we have a clear AB=CD pattern . This is a well-known pattern in harmonic trading and, in my opinion, is quite accurate. Seven out of ten times, these patterns reach their targets, making them a valuable tool for traders .
So I think there is another secret reason for us to pay attention to it :
BTC.D
As you can see in the chart above, BTC.D is currently within a symmetrical triangle, which could also be considered an ascending triangle in this case. It appears to be on the verge of breaking out. In my opinion, if BTC.D breaks through this resistance level, it could be incredibly beneficial for the BTC price , potentially leading to a significant rally up to $165,000. However, this could also be challenging for altcoins and ETH . While they might also experience pumps alongside BTC, these pumps are likely to be less substantial. After such a BTC-led rally, we could expect a massive altcoin and ETH season. So, stay tuned with me until that time, as we could potentially make life-changing money together during this market cycle.
Now finally it's time to take look at the lower time frame :
As you can see on the daily timeframe , if BTC breaks through the orange resistance line , we could consider entering a long position with a target of the previous all-time high. You could also take some profits at a predetermined level and set your stop at the entry point to protect your initial investment. The remaining position could then potentially continue to generate profits, leading to a higher target of $165,000.
I hope you enjoy this idea dear KIUCOIN family , also always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , But almost always profitable 🐺
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Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
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CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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OMUSDT → Consolidation in a triangle before the rallyBINANCE:OMUSDT is a paranormal coin in this case, as it is one of the few projects that shows bullish dynamics while all altcoins are finding bottom after bottom.
Perhaps the situation partly depends on BINANCE:BTCUSD . If it starts to fall even deeper, nothing and no one will help here. But locally bitcoin is forming a resistance breakout and if the bulls hold this trend, the BINANCE:OMUSDT.P coin may have a bullish driver that can support the bullish movement.
At the moment, the focus is on the triangle (wedge) resistance and the base of the 5.6756 pattern. Two bullish scenarios should be considered: Growth after a resistance breakout or growth after a false breakdown of support.
Resistance levels: 5.9821, 6.30
Support levels: 5.75, 5.6756
At the moment, a consolidation within the triangle boundaries is being formed. But when the resistance is broken, the market may move to the realization phase and the impulse may be quite sharp. Ahead, beyond 6.3, there is no resistance...
Regards R. Linda!
Breaking: $BERA dips -50% Just A Day After Listing. The cryptocurrency market is no stranger to volatility, and the recent performance of BIST:BERA , the native token of Berachain, is a testament to this. Launched just yesterday, BIST:BERA has already experienced a whirlwind of price action, capturing the attention of traders and investors alike. After an initial surge of 650%, the token has since dipped by 50%, currently trading at $7 per coin. This dramatic price movement has left many wondering: Is this a temporary shakeout or a sign of deeper issues?
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, BIST:BERA ’s price action is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on its daily chart. This pattern is typically a continuation signal, suggesting that the asset is consolidating before making its next significant move. The key levels to watch are the upper resistance (ceiling) and the lower support (floor) of the triangle.
- Bullish Scenario: If BIST:BERA breaks above the triangle’s ceiling, it could trigger a bullish run with an estimated upside potential of 107%. This would likely attract fresh buying interest, pushing the price toward new highs.
- Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price fails to break out and instead falls below the triangle’s support level, BIST:BERA could test the $5 support zone. This scenario would likely be driven by profit-taking from early investors and airdrop participants.
The current price dip of 28.06% in the last 24 hours may seem alarming, but it could also be a healthy correction after the initial euphoria. The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests that the market is undecided, and the next major move will depend on whether buyers or sellers gain control.
Berachain’s Innovative Approach to Blockchain
Beyond the price action, BIST:BERA ’s underlying technology and ecosystem are worth examining. Berachain is not just another Layer 1 blockchain; it introduces several innovative features that set it apart from its competitors.
1. Proof of Liquidity (PoL): A Novel Consensus Mechanism
Berachain’s Proof of Liquidity (PoL) is a groundbreaking consensus mechanism that aligns network security with liquidity provision. Unlike traditional Proof of Work (PoW) or Proof of Stake (PoS) systems, PoL incentivizes users to provide liquidity to the network, ensuring a more robust and efficient ecosystem.
2. EVM Compatibility and Modular Design
Berachain is fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), making it an attractive option for developers looking to build or migrate decentralized applications (dApps). Its modular design allows for the creation of customized Layer 1 blockchains without sacrificing interoperability or performance.
3. Two-Token Model: BERA and BGT
Berachain operates on a unique two-token model:
- BERA: Used for gas fees and staking, BERA is the utility token that powers the network.
- BGT: A non-transferable governance and rewards token, BGT aligns the interests of network participants by incentivizing long-term engagement.
Market Sentiment and Exchange Listings
The current market cap of $806 million and a circulating supply of 107.48 million BERA coins indicate that the token is still in its early stages. With a max supply yet to be determined, BIST:BERA has room for growth as the ecosystem matures and adoption increases.
Conclusion
While the 50% dip may deter some investors, the technical and fundamental factors suggest that this could be a buying opportunity for those with a higher risk tolerance.
As always, it’s crucial to conduct thorough research and consider your risk appetite before investing in any cryptocurrency. BIST:BERA ’s journey is just beginning, and its future will depend on both market dynamics and the team’s ability to deliver on its ambitious vision. Whether you’re a trader or a hodler, BIST:BERA is undoubtedly a coin to watch in the coming weeks and months.
GOLD → Price enters buying zone ahead of NonFarmsFX:XAUUSD resumes gains Friday after brief pause, retesting liquidity accumulation support, but traders cautious ahead of US NFP release
NFP decline may support gold - if the actual NFP comes in below forecast (169K), it will reinforce expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut.
Weaker labor market → pressure on the dollar → gold rises.
Fed and policy:
At 15:00, the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which could clarify the regulator's future course.
If signaling easing → gold up. If there will be hawkish notes → pressure on XAUUSD, but we should also take into account Trump's policy on economic risks
Conclusion on XAUUSD:
In the medium term there is every chance to reach $3,000, locally it all depends on the news: weak NFP and lack of wage growth could send gold above $2,900.
If the data turns out to be strong → a downward correction is possible
Resistance levels: 2870, 2882
Support levels: 2858, 2848
Technically, the focus is on the 2870 resistance. If the price can break this resistance and consolidate above, this maneuver will open the way to further upside. I do not rule out a retest of the channel boundary or 2858 before further upside.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY triggers bearish triangle patternThe Bank of England (BoE) has reduced its interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.5%, marking the third cut since August. This decision reflects concerns over economic stagnation and persistent inflation. Concurrently, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has increased its short-term policy rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, the highest level in 17 years, signaling confidence in achieving its 2% inflation target.
These contrasting monetary policies have exerted pressure on the GBP/JPY currency pair, which has recently broken through a triangle pattern, indicating a potential sharp decline of approximately 1,000 pips.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
ETH/USDT Breakout Watch: Bullish Momentum Building?ETH is forming an ascending triangle , a bullish pattern . The price is testing the resistance near $2845 . A breakout above this level could push it toward $2900-$3000 .
- Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $2845 with strong volume may trigger an uptrend.
- Bearish Scenario: If ETH breaks below $2737 , it could drop to $2611 .
Watch for a decisive move—momentum is building!
XAUUSD - Gold need correction till golden zone of retracement!Hello Mates!
As we all watching XAUUUSD making ATH from last Two weeks and every time breaking its Higher Highs but here we need a good correction in gold to continue its trend here i have shared my analysis for gold read chart carefully and description.
As gold has made two parallel channels in bullish trend internal and external parallel channels and following respecting external channel for impulsive wave and internal channel for pull back/retest/ and correction.
i have drawn those both channel and marked all levels of movement!
Gold Next Move
Gold needs to take a corrective move till internal channel's down trendline which is very good zone of support and buying zone. where market can react with high volume candle to make a new ATH.
Key Points
Support: 2791
Resistance: 2895
Fib Golden Zone: 2815-2827
OB and FVG Level:2771-2792
Gold will give good move till 2791 and this is my target for sell, and buying zone for gold
if you like my analysis support me and like my ideas
ADANI GREEN The stock can't be predicted clearly as there are abnormal moves due to various news.
However, it's likely forming an ascending triangle (not clearly).
look for bearishness if it closes below 870 on a weekly TF, and the target would be 600 again. Bullishness is only visible above 2300 or the breakout of the trendline.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
Ascending traingles on AMD higher time frame chartLooks like AMD will be bottoming soon (~90's)
AMD is following the ascending triangle pattern and the descent it is experiencing right now is very similar to the ABC it had before. Similar projection from the top of ABC and if the similarity continues, it will fall on the green/support trendline and bounce. The stock might hit the trendline when the price is around 90's or it might just wick down to the trendline and bounce too.
Anything in the 90's should be a BUY in my opinion. Feel free to share your thoughts.
Time to get out or.. to get in?The price reaches the bottom of the symmetrical compression triangle in which it has been moving for weeks.
A break downward brings the price back to the lows for a retest, while a possible (and I would say probable) rebound brings it back to the upper edge to attempt a breakout.