If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling.BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis: Navigating the Range-Bound Market
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in a range-bound market, showcasing a delicate balance between buying and selling pressures. As traders, it's essential to identify key levels and potential trading opportunities.
Key Selling Area: $88,490
We've identified a crucial selling area at $88,490, where sellers are actively participating. This level has the potential to cap upward movements, and we're waiting for the market to reach this zone.
Trading Strategy:
1. Sell Setup: If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling opportunities, targeting lower levels and taking advantage of potential downward momentum.
2. Alternative Scenario: If the market doesn't reach the $88,490 zone, we'll wait for a clear breakdown from the current range, with a candle closing below the range. This would signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
Market Outlook:
The range-bound market presents both challenges and opportunities. By monitoring key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
What to Watch:
1. $88,490 Level: A key selling area that could determine the next move.
2. Range Boundaries: Monitoring the current range and waiting for a breakdown or breakout.
3. Market Sentiment: Keeping an eye on market sentiment and adjusting our strategy accordingly.
By staying vigilant and adapting to market conditions, we can capitalize on potential trading opportunities and navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
Triangle
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then make impulse upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke through the $79500 zone after a long phase of flat consolidation and sharp shakeout.
Once bulls reclaimed control, price formed a clean breakout and started building structure inside a wedge.
Momentum carried the price upward, with buyers defending each local dip and creating a stair-step rise.
Now BTC is moving steadily inside the wedge pattern, holding the lower trendline with no strong rejection.
Price is slowly grinding toward the key resistance around $88500, where volatility might return.
If this tempo holds, I expect BTC can grow higher and tag the $91000 points in the next impulsive leg.
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EURO - Price can fall to $1.1200 points, exiting from triangleHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price first broke out of a falling wedge pattern, kicking off a sharp rally that gained serious momentum.
The move ran into resistance at $1.1440, where price began stalling and transitioned into a triangle setup.
Since then, price has been wedged inside the triangle, testing highs but struggling to break convincingly.
The support trendline still holds, but each push upward is met with rejection near the resistance ceiling.
Momentum is fading, and with volume drying up, a downside move is becoming more likely from this zone.
I expect that the Euro can break lower from the triangle and fall to $1.1200 points in the upcoming sessions.
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Crude Oil - Bearish longer term biasCrude has recently broken its multi-year support level at $67. A retracement back toward that level is probable to cap any upside. The aligning overhead previous POC, Fib, and bearish descending wedge breakout argues for further continued weakness over the medium term.
The longer term target level of $45 coincides with previous resistance following the all time lows rebound in 2020, and also an untested POC at ~$43.75.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will drop, thereby breaking trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Recently, price has been trading in a narrowing structure, forming a triangle pattern with a strong ascending trend line acting as support. This bullish line began developing after the price reversed from the 78500 - 79000 support zone, where buyers showed a clear reaction, initiating a sustained upward move. As the price kept bouncing along the trend line, it gradually climbed toward the upper boundary of the triangle. Eventually, Bitcoin reached the resistance area near 86500, which aligns with the broader resistance zone between 86500 and 87000 points. This zone has previously acted as a ceiling for price action, and once again, it triggered selling pressure. After the rejection from this area, the price corrected back to the trend line and is now hovering near it, testing its strength. Given the structure of the triangle, the repeated rejection from the resistance zone, and the current consolidation under resistance, I expect BTCUSDT to break below the trend line and decline. That's why I set my goal at 82000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BNB What will happen in the future?Currently, BNB is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range.
Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high.
After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum.
Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure.
Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout.
In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant.
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GOLD → Correction to support. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates a new high to 3357. A correction is forming after Powell's speech. On the background of the bullish trend it is worth looking for stronger support levels
Gold halted gains at $3,358 as traders take profits and assess the implications of Trump's tariff policy.Gold's gains on the week were driven by the escalating trade war between the US and China, fears of a US recession and a flight from risk assets. However, cautious rhetoric from Fed chief Powell and positive signals from trade talks with Japan temporarily curbed further gains in gold. But the level of risks and possible escalation of the conflict is still at a high level.
It is too early to talk about the trend change. At the moment the correction to liquidity zones is forming on the background of the bullish trend. The focus is on 3296, 0.5 fibo. The price may bounce from these levels.
Resistance levels: 3344, 3457
Support levels: 3320, 3296, 3275
The correction after Powell's speech may be quickly exhausted if the politicians from China and the US fuel the conflict. But any hints of negotiations and tariff cuts could be taken very positively by the market, which could lead to a reversal of the local trend.
Regards R. Linda!
RARE/USDT: LOW RISK, HIGH REWARD SETUP!!🚀 RARE Breakout Alert – 150%+ Potential Incoming?! 👀🔥
Hey Traders! If you're all about high-conviction plays and real alpha, smash that 👍 and tap Follow for more setups that actually deliver! 💹💯
RARE/USDT just broke out of a symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart and is now perfectly retesting the breakout trendline. If this level holds, we could be gearing up for a massive upside move in the coming days. 📈🔥
🔹 Entry: CMP
🔹 Targets: 130%–150%
🔹 SL: $0.0538
🔹 Leverage: Low (Max 5x recommended)
💡Strategy Tip: Go in with tight risk management. Consider adding on spot for a safer ride!
💬 What’s Your Take?
Jumping in early or waiting for confirmation? Let’s chart this journey together—drop your analysis, targets, or questions in the comments! 💰🧠
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The chart shows how the price previously made a strong decline, followed by a sharp rebound from the buyer zone between 77800 - 79000 points. This recovery formed a short-term uptrend, which led the price back into the seller zone, where bullish momentum slowed down. After testing resistance, BTC formed a wedge pattern that eventually broke to the downside, causing a new wave of correction. Following this drop, the market rebounded again from support and began forming a triangle pattern. The triangle developed inside the same larger resistance area that had already rejected price action before. The structure of the triangle shows lower highs with clear resistance along the 88500 level, reinforcing bearish pressure. Currently, BTC is trading near the apex of this triangle, and the price just bounced down again from resistance. This reaction suggests that the market is struggling to push higher and could be ready for a breakdown. Based on the triangle structure, the seller zone rejection, and the multiple failed attempts to break higher, I expect BTC to move downward toward the 80000 points, which I consider as TP1. The 79000 - 80000 area also coincides with the next major support and previous accumulation zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD → If you didn't catch the train, what should you do?FX:XAUUSD in a rally. Running into a train that is already in motion is prohibited due to the lack of ability to calculate risks. Ahead of the news, a correction is possible, which will allow us to find a place to trade
Gold continues to update an all-time high on the back of expectations of retail sales in the US and the speech of Fed chief Powell. Price growth was supported by strong data from China, increased demand for “protective assets” due to geopolitical tensions and trade risks between the U.S. and China. Additional support was provided by forecasts of gold price growth from ANZ to $3,600 by the end of the year
Technically, the psychological zones of interest 3325 - 3350 are ahead, from which a correction may form. The ideal scenario is to wait for a correction to local or intermediate support levels and only there look for an entry point.
Resistance levels: 3318, 3335, 3350
Support levels: 3275, 3265, 3244
On the background of a strong bull market it is worth using as a productive strategy to trade on the breakdown of resistance in order to continue growth, but in this case we need to wait for consolidation, we do not have it.
Or wait for correction, support retest and only then consider buying.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Is there a chance for continued growth?FX:NZDUSD within the framework of the rally, which is associated with a strong decline in the dollar, is exiting the ascending channel and testing the resistance at 0.5922.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, which is associated with economic factors, the New Zealand has good chances to continue to grow. Consolidation of the currency pair above the level will indicate the readiness of the currency pair to continue to grow.
But! Today is quite a day full of economic news. Traders are waiting for Core retail sales & retail sales, as well as Powell's speech at 17:15 UTC. High volatility is possible!
Resistance levels: 0.5922, 0.6038
Support levels: 0.5853
A small correction may be formed from the resistance, but another retest and price consolidation above 0.5922 may be a good signal for both the bulls and us to make decisions. The currency pair has all chances to reach 0.6000
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY breakout setup: 969 pip move ahead?EURJPY has traded sideways for 257 days, forming a descending triangle. A breakout could trigger a move of nearly 1,000 pips. We discuss bullish and bearish scenarios, trade setup, risk-reward, and what could trigger the move.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
EURUSD - Break out of triangle can lead to another rallyThe pair is trying to break out of a triangle which could lead to further gains in the short-term. If we take the projected target out of a triangle, the Euro could test 1.1550. On the downside, a break below the bottom trendline at 1.1295/75 would invalidate this scenario
How Can You Use the Ascending Triangle in Trading?How Can You Use the Ascending Triangle in Trading?
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern traders rely on to identify potential breakouts and further price movements. Recognised for its versatility, this pattern can signal trend continuations across all types of markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. In this article, we’ll break down how to spot and trade this formation.
What Is an Ascending Triangle?
An ascending or rising triangle is a bullish chart pattern that usually signals a trend continuation. It is framed by two trendlines. The upper line connects highs placed at almost the same level, while the lower line is angled and connects higher lows.
The triangle’s appearance is explained as follows: buyers try to push the price up, but they meet a strong resistance level, so the price rebounds. Still, buyers have strength, which is reflected in higher lows. Therefore, they continue pushing the price until it breaks above the resistance level. The period during which the price bounces back and forth between the two lines depends on the timeframe. On daily charts, the triangle can be in place for over a week.
Note: The ascending triangle is a continuation chart pattern but sometimes it can be used as a reversal signal. It happens when the ascending triangle occurs in a downtrend. It’s the biggest challenge of all the triangles.
The rising triangle is one of the setups in the triangle group. There are also descending and symmetrical formations.
Ascending, Descending, and Symmetrical Triangles: The Differences
The triangle group of patterns comprises ascending, descending, and symmetrical formations.
The ascending triangle is a bullish formation and the descending triangle is bearish. At the same time, the symmetrical triangle is a bilateral setup that signals a rise and a fall in the price.
To distinguish between them, traders draw trendlines. In a rising triangle pattern, an upper trendline is horizontal and connects equal or almost equal highs, while the lower trendline is rising as it connects higher lows. In a descending or falling triangle pattern, the lower trendline is horizontal and connects equal or almost equal lows, while the upper trendline declines, going through lower highs. A symmetrical triangle has a falling upper line that connects lower highs and a rising lower line that connects upper lows.
How Traders Spot the Ascending Triangle
It’s quite easy to identify the formation on a chart. Still, there are a few rules that may help a trader determine its strength.
- The trend strength. Although the setup may appear on any timeframe, traders look for strong long-term trends as risks of a fakeout on low charts are higher.
- Consolidation. Triangles appear when the market consolidates within an overall trend.
- Trendlines. Trendlines must be drawn through at least two points. Still, the larger the number of points, the higher the possibility the setup works.
- Breakout. Can the ascending triangle pattern be bearish? No. It is a bullish formation that appears in a bullish and a bearish trend but always signals a potential price rise.
How Can You Trade Ascending Triangles?
The rising triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation setup formed in an uptrend. Still, if the ascending triangle is in a downtrend, it may signal a trend reversal. The trading rules will be the same in both cases.
As with most chart patterns, triangles have specific rules that help traders place entry and exit points.
Entry
The theory suggests trades go long when the price breaks above the setup's upper boundary. In a conservative approach, traders wait for the price to form at least several candles before entering the market. In a risky strategy, traders open a position as soon as the breakout occurs, and the breakout candlestick closes.
It's worth considering trading volumes as breakouts often turn into fakeouts, meaning the market returns to its previous trend. The chance of a strong breakout is higher if the volumes are high.
However, increased volumes aren't the only tool used to confirm a breakout. Many traders consider trend indicators and oscillators to potentially limit the risks of bad trading decisions.
- If the triangle serves as a continuation setup, it may be helpful to look at the signals of trend-strength indicators, including the average directional index.
- If traders use the ascending triangle as a reversal setup, they usually implement indicators that may signal a trend reversal, including the moving average, the relative strength index, the moving average convergence divergence, and the stochastic oscillator.
Take Profit
A standard take-profit target equals the size of the largest part of the setup and is measured just from the breakout trendline.
Stop Loss
Traders consider several options when placing stop-loss levels. In a conservative approach, they implement the risk/reward ratio, which is usually 1:2 or 1:3 but depends on the trader's willingness to take risks. Also, traders utilise the upper trendline as a threshold and place the stop-loss order just under it.
Note: These are general rules. However, traders can develop their own trading strategies and adjust the pattern's parameters and rules according to their trading approach.
Ascending Triangle: Strategy
In this strategy, traders observe an existing bullish trend and the formation of an ascending triangle, which suggests the potential for a continuation pattern. Incorporating a short-term moving average, such as a 9-period EMA, provides dynamic support, aligning with the trendline to strengthen the setup.
Entries
- Traders typically wait for the price to break through the top trendline of the ascending triangle.
- A strong candle breaking the resistance level adds confidence, though any move above the top trendline can serve as an entry signal.
- The price should also trade above the moving average, offering additional confirmation.
- An order is often placed at the top trendline, anticipating a retracement to this level, which now acts as support.
Stop Loss
- Traders place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low within the triangle.
- For more conservative traders, the stop may be set at any prior swing low, depending on risk tolerance.
Take Profit
- Many traders aim for a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3.
- Profits might also be taken at the next strong resistance level, aligning with the market structure.
Rising Triangle: Benefits and Drawbacks
This formation has advantages and pitfalls that traders consider when developing their strategies.
Benefits
- It can be used on any timeframe. Triangles are formed on charts of any period. Still, they might be more effective if the setup appears in a solid trend on a high timeframe.
- It can be used for any asset. Another advantage is that the ascending triangle pattern is used for stock, commodity, cryptocurrency*, and Forex trading.
- Easy to spot. A trader only needs to draw two trendlines to define this setup on the chart.
- Exact entry and exit points. Although traders can develop their entry and exit points, the setup assumes there are specific rules traders with any experience utilise.
Drawbacks
- It can confuse traders. As the rising triangle is used as a reversal and continuation formation, traders with less experience may be confused with its signals.
- False breakouts. The setup works when a price breakout occurs. However, there is a high risk the breakout will appear to be a fakeout, and the price will return.
- The pattern may fail. Aside from a fakeout, there is another risk when trading with triangles. The price may break another side of the formation, and the formation will fail.
- The trading rules may not work. Although specific rules indicate where a trader should place entry and exit points, buyers may be too weak to push the price to the take-profit target.
Final Thoughts
The ascending triangle is one of the more common chart patterns traders use when trading various assets. Still, there is no 100% guarantee that it will work every time you spot it on a price chart. It's vital to remember that every signal must be confirmed with other indicators, chart patterns, and candlesticks. Also, it's a well-known fact that any trade involves risks that should be considered every time a trader enters the market. Improve your skills by practising on different assets and timeframes.
FAQ
How Do You Form an Ascending Triangle?
An ascending triangle is formed when the price action creates a series of higher lows while facing a resistance level, resulting in a horizontal upper trendline and a rising lower trendline. The price consolidates between these two lines before potentially breaking out above the resistance, signalling a bullish continuation.
Is an Ascending Triangle Bullish or Bearish?
The ascending triangle is a bullish pattern. It suggests that buyers are gaining strength as higher lows form, increasing the likelihood of a breakout above the resistance level. There is a descending triangle pattern that usually appears in a downtrend, signalling a downward movement.
How to Enter an Ascending Triangle?
According to the theory, in triangle pattern trading, it’s common to enter the market when the price breaks above the upper trendline of the triangle. In a conservative approach, traders wait for confirmation through several closing candles after the breakout. The increased volume also adds confidence to the trade.
What Is the Ascending Triangle Pattern Retest?
A retest occurs when the price breaks out of the triangle but then briefly falls back to test the former resistance level. A successful retest confirms the breakout and can provide an additional entry point.
How Long Does an Ascending Triangle Pattern Take to Form?
The formation of a bullish triangle pattern can vary based on the timeframe. On daily charts, it can take several days to weeks, while on shorter timeframes, it might form within hours.
What Is the Difference Between an Ascending Triangle and a Rising Wedge?
In comparing the ascending triangle vs. the rising wedge, it’s key to recognise that the rising wedge has converging trendlines, signalling a possible weakening trend, often leading to a bearish reversal. In contrast, an ascending triangle trading pattern typically signals a continuation of the uptrend.
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GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling!
Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response
Resistance levels: 3219.5
Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167
Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range.
But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically.
Regards R. Linda!