Triangle
HelenP. I Bitcoin will continue to move up inside triangleHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After rebounding from the support level, the price initially showed strength and moved upward. However, the bullish momentum was short-lived, and the price began a downward correction, forming a well-defined descending channel. During this decline, the price dropped below the support zone, confirming short-term bearish dominance. Despite this breakdown, bulls regained control, and the price started forming a series of higher lows, resulting in the development of a symmetrical triangle. This structure signals compression and potential preparation for a breakout. The current price action confirms that BTC is now recovering within this triangle, supported by the upward trend line drawn from the recent lows. Given the strength of this recovery and the stabilization above the support zone, I expect the price to make a small correction and then continue climbing toward the resistance level at 110000. That’s why my current goal remains focused on this level, representing both a psychological and technical barrier aligned with previous local highs. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
📊 EUR/USD Triangle Pattern – 1H Timeframe
🕐 Date: 17 June 2025
📌 Chart by: GreenfireForex
🔷 Pattern: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE)
🔍 Context: Forming inside Wave (4) – possible breakout before Wave (5)
📈 Upside Potential: Break above triangle → target near 1.16500+
📉 Downside Risk: If fails to break up → revisit demand zone around 1.15000
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🔮 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
Breaks above wave (e)
Clean rally toward target zone
Ideal for a long setup with tight SL
❌ Bearish Fakeout:
Rejection from triangle resistance
Falls back into demand zone
Look for reversal or retest opportunities
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🎯 Strategy Tips:
Wait for a breakout candle
Use SL outside triangle zone
Entry based on confirmation – avoid early trades
💬 Let’s discuss live market reaction as price nears triangle edge. Stay ready .
Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
📚 Wedge Pattern – Simple Explanation
A wedge pattern is a shape on the chart that looks like a triangle or cone. It tells us that the price is getting ready to break out — either up or down.
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🔻 Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Looks like price is going down, but slowly.
Lines move closer together.
Usually means the price will go up soon.
It's a bullish signal (good for buying).
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🔺 Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Price goes up, but losing strength.
Lines get closer together.
Usually means the price will go down soon.
It's a bearish signal (good for selling).
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💡 Easy Tips:
Wait for breakout (big move out of the wedge).
Use a stop-loss below/above the pattern.
Target = height of the wedge.
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📌 In Short:
Wedge = Squeeze pattern.
Falling wedge = Buy chance.
Rising wedge = Sell chance.
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Let me know if you have sny doubt in comments
GBPJPY breakout confirmed: what comes next?GBPJPY just triggered an ascending triangle pattern with a 450-pip upside. We dive into the pattern, key levels to watch, and how to manage risk with a 4.8 risk-reward setup. Will it retest before heading higher? Let us know your view in the comments.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.
Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.
Support levels: 3408, 3400
Resistance levels: 3446, 3500
A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
At monthly supportSymmetrical triangle at a monthly support. Breakout is coming soon, could be either way but I think is most likely to go to the upside following the previous two continuation patterns. Price is just over the lower vertex of the triangle, so we have a tight SL, it triggers if a weekly candles breaks down the triangle. I have calls that expire 3 months from now strike 200. Buying the stock is much safer. Good luck.
Descending Triangle in Apple?Apple has struggled all year, and evidence of a downtrend may be growing in the tech giant.
The first pattern on today’s chart is this month’s lower high relative to mid-May. Combined with the May 7 low of $193.25, some traders may think a descending triangle is taking shape. That’s a potentially bearish formation.
Second, TradeStation data shows that AAPL is the only trillion-dollar company now trading below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 200-day SMA has also turned lower. Those points may confirm long-term price action is less bullish.
Next, prices remaining below the falling 50-day SMA may signal intermediate-term weakness.
Fourth, short-term trends may be weakening: The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA and MACD is falling.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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CADCHF new view, still bullish expectations
OANDA:CADCHF first analysis till TP1 (attached), having thoughts we are not see to much here and expecting higher bullish push than in previous analysis.
We are have break of zone, price is start pushing, at end its revers on first res zone (0.60600), in meantime DESCENDING CHANNEL is be created, on 22.Jun is be breaked, currently price is break and ASCENDING TRIANGL.
SUP zone: 0.59600
RES zone: 0.60800, 0.61200
Gold prices look set to reach a fresh ATHGold prices are up on Israel's attack on Iran, as traders and investors buy to hedge against inflation and the higher geopolitical war. Watch the video to learn what levels traders are watching.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
SYRUP consolidates for rallySYRUP - is testing ATH while the crypto market is in correction. We can conclude that this coin is stronger than the whole market and can continue its rally after accumulating the right potential.
Focus on the mirror support level 0.4600 - the round number gives strength to this level. After a false breakdown, the coin is consolidating in the buying zone. A break of the downside resistance will trigger a rally
Scenario: If the consolidation above 0.4600 continues and the coin breaks the downside resistance, a breakout and consolidation above 0.49450 will attract new buyers, which will only strengthen the rally.
Ethereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really HappenedEthereum’s 19-Day ETF Inflow Streak: What Really Happened to Price, Structure, and Sentiment
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape
3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance
4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained
5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle
6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens: Funding, OI, CEX Balances
7. Fundamental Undercurrents: Dencun Afterglow, L2 Fees, Staking Yields
8. Risks & Catalysts: ETH vs. Macro, vs. BTC Dominance, vs. SEC Noise
9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators
10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold
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1. Executive Summary
• Ethereum received 19 consecutive days of net inflows into spot-linked exchange-traded products (ETPs) totaling $1.37 billion, the longest positive streak since the 2021 bull-run.
• Over the same period ETH/USD rose 18.4 %, printing a local high at $2,750, but has since pulled back to $2,575 amid broad crypto risk-off and Middle-East tensions.
• The latest weekly candle morphs into a “pre-tower top” pattern—two tall green candles followed by a small-bodied doji—often a harbinger of heavy distribution if confirmed by another red week.
• Short-term structure improved Monday: price pierced a contracting-triangle ceiling at $2,550, reclaimed the 100-hour SMA, and now eyes $2,620 as the gatekeeper to renewed upside.
• Funding rates flipped neutral, exchange reserves hit a 7-year low, and staking deposits outpace withdrawals 1.7 : 1—on-chain signs that the sell-off is more leverage shakeout than top formation.
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2. ETF Backdrop: How the 19-Day Inflow Wave Took Shape
2.1. The Players
Unlike Bitcoin’s mammoth U.S. spot ETFs, Ethereum’s inflow streak drew from Europe and Canada, where physically backed ETPs have traded since 2021. The three biggest contributors:
Product Country 19-Day Net Flow AUM Growth
21Shares Ethereum ETP (AETH) Switzerland +$502 m +38 %
CI Galaxy Ethereum ETF (ETHX) Canada +$458 m +29 %
WisdomTree Physical Ethereum EU +$227 m +24 %
Rumors of an SEC approval window “after the U.S. election” sparked pre-positioning; asset managers figured it was cheaper to accumulate now than chase later once liquidity explodes on Wall Street.
2.2. Flow Mechanics
When an ETP issues new shares, it must buy spot ETH or tap an AP that can supply coins—direct demand unmatched by equivalent selling pressure. Over the 19-day window, the net 396 k ETH of creation equaled 57 % of all new issuance from block rewards post-Dencun, creating a measurable supply squeeze.
2.3. Historical Context
The only longer stretch was January–February 2021 (27 days), which culminated in ETH exploding from $1,400 to $2,000. The key difference today: market cap is six times larger, so identical inflows exert a milder percentage impact, explaining why price “only” added ~18 %.
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3. Chronology of Price: Day-by-Day Performance
Day Date ETF Net Flow Price Close % Δ vs. Prior Day
1 Mar 18 +$58 m $2,110 —
5 Mar 22 +$73 m $2,265 +7.3 %
10 Mar 27 +$94 m $2,430 +2.4 %
15 Apr 1 +$125 m $2,690 +3.8 %
19 Apr 5 +$81 m $2,750 +0.9 %
Across the stretch, realized volatility rose from 32 % to 46 %, but skew stayed positive, showing call demand outpaced puts until the very end, when geopolitical headlines flipped sentiment.
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4. Weekly Chart Anatomy: The “Pre-Tower Top” Signal Explained
4.1. What Is a Tower Top?
In candlestick lore, a tower top comprises:
1. A tall green candle (strong breakout)
2. Another tall green candle (exhaustion)
3. A narrow doji or spinning top (equilibrium)
4. A large red candle (breakdown confirmation)
We currently have the first three pieces: the last two weeks of March delivered back-to-back 10 % advances; the first week of April closed as a +0.6 % doji. The pattern is not confirmed until a decisive red week engulfs the doji body (< $2,540).
4.2. Indicators
• RSI (weekly): 59 → ticking down from 68 high; still shy of overbought.
• MACD histogram: Positive but flattening.
• Bollinger bands: Price mid-point of upper band, room for one more expansion.
Conclusion: the candle warns of fatigue, but momentum hasn’t rolled over—yet.
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5. Intraday Technicals: From $2,450 Low to the $2,620 Hurdle
5.1. Hourly Chart (Kraken Feed)
• Triangle Breakout: Price sliced through descending trend-line at $2,550, tagging $2,590.
• Moving Averages: ETH trades marginally above the 100-hour SMA ($2,575) but below the 200-hour ($2,610).
• Fibonacci Zones: $2,620 aligns with 0.5 retrace of the $2,750→$2,450 fall—classic reversal pivot.
A clean hourly close >$2,620 opens the door to $2,680 (0.618 Fib) and psychological $2,700. Failure rejects to $2,520 support cluster.
5.2. Order-Book Heat Map
Coinbase Pro data shows 1,300 ETH ask wall at $2,620 and a thinner 890 ETH bid at $2,520. Liquidity skew favors dip-buying, but bulls need market orders >1 k ETH to smash the ask block.
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6. On-Chain & Derivatives Lens
6.1. Exchange Reserves
Centralized exchanges now hold 12.9 million ETH, lowest since July 2017. The 19-day ETF harvest accelerated an already extant down-trend of roughly 60 k ETH/week outflows, mostly into staking contracts and L2 bridges.
6.2. Staking Flows
• Beacon deposit contract: +188 k in April’s first week.
• Withdrawal queue: 11 k ETH—tiny relative to deposits.
• Effective deposit APR after Dencun: 3.2 %, still beating U.S. 2-year T-notes post-tax for many investors.
6.3. Perpetual Funding & OI
• Funding normalized to 0.007 %/8 h (≈ 3.2 % APR), down from 9 % at March highs—spec longs flushed.
• Open Interest shed $420 m in the two-day dip—liquidations, not fresh shorts, drove the wash-out.
6.4. Options Skew
• 25-delta risk reversal (1-month): flipped to –4 % (puts pricier than calls) for first time since January—hedging demand but nowhere near panic-level (–12 % in 2022 bear).
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7. Fundamental Undercurrents
7.1. Dencun Afterglow & L2 Fees
Proto-danksharding (EIP-4844) slashed L2 data costs by 85 %, pushing average Arbitrum and Optimism transaction fees under $0.02. Cheaper blockspace fuels on-chain activity:
Metric Pre-Dencun Post-Dencun Δ
Daily L2 Txns 2.4 m 4.1 m +71 %
Bridged ETH to L2s 6.8 m 7.9 m +16 %
More usage → more gas burned → structural tailwind to ETH as a fee-burn asset.
7.2. DeFi TVL
Total value locked rebounded to $61 billion, led by EigenLayer and restaking hype. ETH comprises 68 % of TVL collateral—every lending loop pins additional demand.
7.3. Competing Narratives
• Solana season siphoned retail mind-share; SOL/ETH ratio popped 42 % YTD.
• Bitcoin L2s (Stacks, Rootstock) attempt to mirror Ethereum’s smart-contract moat, but dev tooling remains nascent.
•
Net: Ethereum retains developer supremacy (70 % of new GitHub commits among smart-contract chains) and therefore garners institutional comfort.
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8. Risks & Catalysts
Factor Bearish Angle Bullish Rebuttal
Macro Sticky U.S. CPI halts Fed cuts → higher real yields weigh on non-yielders ETH staking yield + MEV is real cash-flow; Dencun lowers L2 costs → adoption offset
SEC Spot ETF Delay past Jan 2026 or outright denial kills U.S. inflow dream 19-day streak proves ex-U.S. capital is hungry; approval >0 is all it takes for supply shock
BTC Dominance Halving FOMO may keep Bitcoin’s share >55 %, starve ETH rotation Historical pattern: ETH rips 6-10 weeks post-halving as beta plays catch-up
Tower-Top Pattern Weekly confirmation could spark drop to $2,200 support Pattern fails if bulls recapture $2,750 quickly, turning doji into bullish flag
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9. Playbooks for Traders and Long-Term Allocators
9.1. Short-Term Momentum (0–7 days)
• Bias: Range-trade $2,520–$2,620 until breakout.
• Instruments: ETH-perp on Bybit/Deribit, 3× leveraged tokens for reduced funding bleed.
• Trigger: 15-minute candle above $2,620 with ≥ $50 m aggregated CVD buys.
• Stop: $2,560 (triangle retest).
• Target: $2,680 then $2,700.
9.2. Swing (1–8 weeks)
• Bias: Accumulate dips as long as weekly stays >$2,350 (0.382 Fib of Oct→Mar leg).
• Tools: 1-month $2,500-$2,800 call spreads; spot with 25 % collar protection.
• Catalysts: SEC commentary May 23, FOMC June 18.
9.3. Position (6–18 months)
• Bias: Dollar-cost average into staking nodes; carry 4 % ETH on portfolio NAV.
• Thesis: EIP-4844 usage boom + probable U.S. ETF = $4–5 k fair value by 2026.
• Risk Control: Hedge 25 % notional via BTC-perp short if BTC.D >58 %.
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10. Conclusion: A Pause, Not a Peak—If Key Levels Hold
The 19-day ETF inflow streak proves that institutional demand for Ethereum exists even without a U.S. spot vehicle. Price responded vigorously but not parabolically, reflecting the asset’s growing market-cap gravity. The nascent “pre-tower-top” weekly candle warns of exhaustion; confirmation, however, requires another bearish week that cracks $2,540 support.
Short-term order-flow shows willing dip buyers, staking metrics scream supply sink, and the macro backdrop—while shaky—fails to dent ETH’s relative value proposition versus fiat yields. Translation: Ethereum is vulnerable to headline-driven squalls but structurally sound.
If bulls recapture $2,620, the path to retest $2,750 and ultimately $3,000 reopens. Lose $2,450 and the tower top will complete, sending ETH toward $2,200 where ETF inflow buyers likely reload. For now, the balance of evidence favors consolidation with an upward skew—tower construction, perhaps, but no wrecking ball yet.
USDJPY – 4H . [[ TRIANGLE PATTERN ]]Technical Breakdown:
Symmetrical triangle pattern clearly formed with clean ABCDE wave structure.
The price has broken out from the upper resistance (trendline), confirming a bullish breakout scenario.
Next key area to watch is the supply zone near 145.800 – 146.200, where price may either:
Face resistance and retrace,
Or break through for continuation.
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🔍 Key Levels:
Support Base (Retest zone): ~143.000
Breakout Entry Trigger: Above 144.200
Supply Zone Target: 145.800 – 146.200
Invalidation Level (Break Below Triangle): <142.500
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🧠 Analysis Insight:
This is a classic triangle consolidation breakout, with price respecting both ascending and descending boundaries before thrusting upward.
Look for possible pullback retest entries before continuation to the supply zone.
Volume and momentum confirmation on breakout is key for sustainability.
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🎯 Strategy Note:
Use low-risk entry setups on breakout retest.
Ideal for scalp to swing trades, with strong risk-reward structure.
Naturalgas long tradeNaturalgas is resisting downside movement as witnessed on chart.
If you see the downward movement of Naturalgas, it is with relatively high volume but it is not coming down as expected from sellers and bouncing back up again as seen 3 times.
Now naturalgas has reached short term resistance zone of 307-310 from which it took support on 9th June, broke it on 10th June, took resistance on 11th and 12th June.
This might be a Change of Character zone for Naturalgas.
And now that Naturalgas is resisting downward movement, we might see breakout of this zone and probable upside movement.
Lastly it is also forming Ascending triangle which is still premature but just for reader's consideration.
Let's watch it on coming days.
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish violation of its neckline.
To confirm a breakout, we will need a daily candle close above 1.362.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1.37 level then.
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XAUUSD LongWe can see that Gold is bullish in the Higher Time Frame. From picking the Day FVG gold bounced up and then formed a triangle pattern breaking 3250 resistance this week.
I'm seeing the Trendline acting as a support now for the Gold and Expecting gold to push to ATH in coming days.
I feel Gold will finish this week between 3320-3330 and then a breakout to the upside next week targeting 3430 and 3500 being the targets.
Happy Trading!
TRBUSDT on the Verge of a Major Move – Breakout or Breakdown?Yello, Paradisers! Is TRBUSDT gearing up for a bullish breakout, or is a deeper retracement coming? Let’s break it down.
💎TRBUSDT is forming an ending diagonal while showing bullish divergence, increasing the probability of an upward move. But for this bullish scenario to play out, we need confirmation.
💎If TRBUSDT breaks out and closes candle above the resistance level, the probability of a bullish move strengthens, setting up a potential wave 4.
💎However, if the price retraces further, we could still see a bounce, but given the broader market conditions, this would be a low-probability setup.
💎On the flip side, a breakdown and candle close below support would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling that it’s safer to wait for a better price action structure before taking any positions.
🎖Remember, patience and disciplined execution are what separate winners from the rest. Stay sharp, Paradisers, and don’t let emotions dictate your trades!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00
Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April.
The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May.
Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise...
Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall...
Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461
Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377
If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCHF: Another Pullback Trade 🇳🇿🇨🇭
I see one more pullback opportunity on NZDCHF.
My confirmation is an ascending triangle pattern
formed on a key horizontal support.
Goal - 0.4896
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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 12 June 2025
- USDCHF broke support level 0.8170
- Likely to fall to support level 0.8050
USDCHF currency pair recently broke the key support level 0.8170, which stopped the previous waves B and 1, as can be seen below.
The breakout of the support level 0.8170 coincided with the breakout of the daily Descending Triangle from the end of April.
USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8050 (low of the impulse wave (1) from April).