NZDUSD → Is there a chance for continued growth?FX:NZDUSD within the framework of the rally, which is associated with a strong decline in the dollar, is exiting the ascending channel and testing the resistance at 0.5922.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, which is associated with economic factors, the New Zealand has good chances to continue to grow. Consolidation of the currency pair above the level will indicate the readiness of the currency pair to continue to grow.
But! Today is quite a day full of economic news. Traders are waiting for Core retail sales & retail sales, as well as Powell's speech at 17:15 UTC. High volatility is possible!
Resistance levels: 0.5922, 0.6038
Support levels: 0.5853
A small correction may be formed from the resistance, but another retest and price consolidation above 0.5922 may be a good signal for both the bulls and us to make decisions. The currency pair has all chances to reach 0.6000
Regards R. Linda!
Triangle
EURJPY breakout setup: 969 pip move ahead?EURJPY has traded sideways for 257 days, forming a descending triangle. A breakout could trigger a move of nearly 1,000 pips. We discuss bullish and bearish scenarios, trade setup, risk-reward, and what could trigger the move.
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EURUSD - Break out of triangle can lead to another rallyThe pair is trying to break out of a triangle which could lead to further gains in the short-term. If we take the projected target out of a triangle, the Euro could test 1.1550. On the downside, a break below the bottom trendline at 1.1295/75 would invalidate this scenario
How Can You Use the Ascending Triangle in Trading?How Can You Use the Ascending Triangle in Trading?
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern traders rely on to identify potential breakouts and further price movements. Recognised for its versatility, this pattern can signal trend continuations across all types of markets, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. In this article, we’ll break down how to spot and trade this formation.
What Is an Ascending Triangle?
An ascending or rising triangle is a bullish chart pattern that usually signals a trend continuation. It is framed by two trendlines. The upper line connects highs placed at almost the same level, while the lower line is angled and connects higher lows.
The triangle’s appearance is explained as follows: buyers try to push the price up, but they meet a strong resistance level, so the price rebounds. Still, buyers have strength, which is reflected in higher lows. Therefore, they continue pushing the price until it breaks above the resistance level. The period during which the price bounces back and forth between the two lines depends on the timeframe. On daily charts, the triangle can be in place for over a week.
Note: The ascending triangle is a continuation chart pattern but sometimes it can be used as a reversal signal. It happens when the ascending triangle occurs in a downtrend. It’s the biggest challenge of all the triangles.
The rising triangle is one of the setups in the triangle group. There are also descending and symmetrical formations.
Ascending, Descending, and Symmetrical Triangles: The Differences
The triangle group of patterns comprises ascending, descending, and symmetrical formations.
The ascending triangle is a bullish formation and the descending triangle is bearish. At the same time, the symmetrical triangle is a bilateral setup that signals a rise and a fall in the price.
To distinguish between them, traders draw trendlines. In a rising triangle pattern, an upper trendline is horizontal and connects equal or almost equal highs, while the lower trendline is rising as it connects higher lows. In a descending or falling triangle pattern, the lower trendline is horizontal and connects equal or almost equal lows, while the upper trendline declines, going through lower highs. A symmetrical triangle has a falling upper line that connects lower highs and a rising lower line that connects upper lows.
How Traders Spot the Ascending Triangle
It’s quite easy to identify the formation on a chart. Still, there are a few rules that may help a trader determine its strength.
- The trend strength. Although the setup may appear on any timeframe, traders look for strong long-term trends as risks of a fakeout on low charts are higher.
- Consolidation. Triangles appear when the market consolidates within an overall trend.
- Trendlines. Trendlines must be drawn through at least two points. Still, the larger the number of points, the higher the possibility the setup works.
- Breakout. Can the ascending triangle pattern be bearish? No. It is a bullish formation that appears in a bullish and a bearish trend but always signals a potential price rise.
How Can You Trade Ascending Triangles?
The rising triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation setup formed in an uptrend. Still, if the ascending triangle is in a downtrend, it may signal a trend reversal. The trading rules will be the same in both cases.
As with most chart patterns, triangles have specific rules that help traders place entry and exit points.
Entry
The theory suggests trades go long when the price breaks above the setup's upper boundary. In a conservative approach, traders wait for the price to form at least several candles before entering the market. In a risky strategy, traders open a position as soon as the breakout occurs, and the breakout candlestick closes.
It's worth considering trading volumes as breakouts often turn into fakeouts, meaning the market returns to its previous trend. The chance of a strong breakout is higher if the volumes are high.
However, increased volumes aren't the only tool used to confirm a breakout. Many traders consider trend indicators and oscillators to potentially limit the risks of bad trading decisions.
- If the triangle serves as a continuation setup, it may be helpful to look at the signals of trend-strength indicators, including the average directional index.
- If traders use the ascending triangle as a reversal setup, they usually implement indicators that may signal a trend reversal, including the moving average, the relative strength index, the moving average convergence divergence, and the stochastic oscillator.
Take Profit
A standard take-profit target equals the size of the largest part of the setup and is measured just from the breakout trendline.
Stop Loss
Traders consider several options when placing stop-loss levels. In a conservative approach, they implement the risk/reward ratio, which is usually 1:2 or 1:3 but depends on the trader's willingness to take risks. Also, traders utilise the upper trendline as a threshold and place the stop-loss order just under it.
Note: These are general rules. However, traders can develop their own trading strategies and adjust the pattern's parameters and rules according to their trading approach.
Ascending Triangle: Strategy
In this strategy, traders observe an existing bullish trend and the formation of an ascending triangle, which suggests the potential for a continuation pattern. Incorporating a short-term moving average, such as a 9-period EMA, provides dynamic support, aligning with the trendline to strengthen the setup.
Entries
- Traders typically wait for the price to break through the top trendline of the ascending triangle.
- A strong candle breaking the resistance level adds confidence, though any move above the top trendline can serve as an entry signal.
- The price should also trade above the moving average, offering additional confirmation.
- An order is often placed at the top trendline, anticipating a retracement to this level, which now acts as support.
Stop Loss
- Traders place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low within the triangle.
- For more conservative traders, the stop may be set at any prior swing low, depending on risk tolerance.
Take Profit
- Many traders aim for a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3.
- Profits might also be taken at the next strong resistance level, aligning with the market structure.
Rising Triangle: Benefits and Drawbacks
This formation has advantages and pitfalls that traders consider when developing their strategies.
Benefits
- It can be used on any timeframe. Triangles are formed on charts of any period. Still, they might be more effective if the setup appears in a solid trend on a high timeframe.
- It can be used for any asset. Another advantage is that the ascending triangle pattern is used for stock, commodity, cryptocurrency*, and Forex trading.
- Easy to spot. A trader only needs to draw two trendlines to define this setup on the chart.
- Exact entry and exit points. Although traders can develop their entry and exit points, the setup assumes there are specific rules traders with any experience utilise.
Drawbacks
- It can confuse traders. As the rising triangle is used as a reversal and continuation formation, traders with less experience may be confused with its signals.
- False breakouts. The setup works when a price breakout occurs. However, there is a high risk the breakout will appear to be a fakeout, and the price will return.
- The pattern may fail. Aside from a fakeout, there is another risk when trading with triangles. The price may break another side of the formation, and the formation will fail.
- The trading rules may not work. Although specific rules indicate where a trader should place entry and exit points, buyers may be too weak to push the price to the take-profit target.
Final Thoughts
The ascending triangle is one of the more common chart patterns traders use when trading various assets. Still, there is no 100% guarantee that it will work every time you spot it on a price chart. It's vital to remember that every signal must be confirmed with other indicators, chart patterns, and candlesticks. Also, it's a well-known fact that any trade involves risks that should be considered every time a trader enters the market. Improve your skills by practising on different assets and timeframes.
FAQ
How Do You Form an Ascending Triangle?
An ascending triangle is formed when the price action creates a series of higher lows while facing a resistance level, resulting in a horizontal upper trendline and a rising lower trendline. The price consolidates between these two lines before potentially breaking out above the resistance, signalling a bullish continuation.
Is an Ascending Triangle Bullish or Bearish?
The ascending triangle is a bullish pattern. It suggests that buyers are gaining strength as higher lows form, increasing the likelihood of a breakout above the resistance level. There is a descending triangle pattern that usually appears in a downtrend, signalling a downward movement.
How to Enter an Ascending Triangle?
According to the theory, in triangle pattern trading, it’s common to enter the market when the price breaks above the upper trendline of the triangle. In a conservative approach, traders wait for confirmation through several closing candles after the breakout. The increased volume also adds confidence to the trade.
What Is the Ascending Triangle Pattern Retest?
A retest occurs when the price breaks out of the triangle but then briefly falls back to test the former resistance level. A successful retest confirms the breakout and can provide an additional entry point.
How Long Does an Ascending Triangle Pattern Take to Form?
The formation of a bullish triangle pattern can vary based on the timeframe. On daily charts, it can take several days to weeks, while on shorter timeframes, it might form within hours.
What Is the Difference Between an Ascending Triangle and a Rising Wedge?
In comparing the ascending triangle vs. the rising wedge, it’s key to recognise that the rising wedge has converging trendlines, signalling a possible weakening trend, often leading to a bearish reversal. In contrast, an ascending triangle trading pattern typically signals a continuation of the uptrend.
*At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling!
Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response
Resistance levels: 3219.5
Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167
Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range.
But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Xau (tf1M) Last Phase AccumulationGold Xau Last Phase Accumulation incoming 👇
"Way from 1500 to 4100" (+175%)
OANDA:XAUUSD
⏰ TimeFrame 1 Month
👉 Go to last phase accumulation
👉 White Trace
👉 Green Trace
👉 EMA 200 1M (White)
👉 Fib Measure as pattern "ExPanding Triangle" ( blue stick )
👉 Potential +175%
✔️Logarithmic (Log) Chart & Fib
GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line of triangleHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago, the price moved inside a rising channel, steadily growing and forming higher highs on the chart.
Then Gold touched the upper boundary, made a reversal, and exited from the channel with a sharp impulse.
After that, the price reached $2970 support level and bounced, forming a triangle pattern with a narrowing range.
Recently, it made a breakout above $3095 zone but quickly faced resistance at the upper line of triangle.
Now, Gold trades inside triangle structure and shows weakness near resistance area without strong breakout.
In my opinion, Gold can decline and reach $3015 support line of triangle during the next corrective wave.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming
Following Gold, Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame.
I found the ascending triangle formation and a breakout of its neckline
as a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect growth at least to 31.7 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
RENDER Descending Triangle 4HBINANCE:RENDERUSDT seems to be forming a descending triangle on the 4H timeframe.
3 clear touches on resistance, and well-defined two-tap horizontal support at $2.50.
Key Levels to Watch 🔑
• $2.50-$2.75 Main support and daily demand zone
• $3.80-$4.20 Daily sell order block (potential resistance)
• $5.00-$5.20 4H sell order block (potential resistance)
Breakout Targets 🎯
⬆️ $5.00
⬇️ $1.50
Still in a No-Trade Zone, wait for confirmation (breakout candle close with good volume).
Learn These Patterns And You'll Never Regret ItEVERYTHING ON THE TRIANGLE PATTERN
a triangle chart pattern involves price moving into a tighter and tighter range (like a consolidation phase which has a triangle-like shape) as time goes by and provides a visual display of a battle between bulls and bears.
The triangle pattern is generally categorised as a “continuation pattern”, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared.
note: the triangle pattern depends on the trend however don't hold on to that thought since fake-outs are possible. the point i am trying to make is that you should not be obsessed with which direction the price goes, but you should be ready for movement in either direction.
there are three triangle patterns:
a) the ascending (upward slope consisting of higher-lows and a consistent resistance),
b) descending (downward slope consisting of lower-highs and a consistent support)
c) symmetrical (equal slopes the market is forming lower-highs and higher-lows)..
the triangle is different from a wedge. however, a wedge can be in a triangle or better put the general formation of a wedge is a triangle-like shape (in some cases).
point to note:
• you need at least two points (bullish or bearish) to connect for a triangle to be considered, and a consistent support or resistance.
• the volatility of price of any instrument decreases when there's a triangle pattern and increases on breakout of the pattern.
• measuring the size of the triangle can serve as a good profit target (will explain in meeting)
• keep an open mind at all times.
📝..
COMI Egypt can exceed 104 in 6 monthsWeekly chart,
The stock EGX:COMI has formed a symmetrical triangle chart pattern, and crossed the Resistance line R.
One more week above R, to confirm, the target will be 104.3 - passing through several resistance levels as shown on the chart.
A new entry (buy) can be made immediately before confirmation with higher risk, and consider a stop loss below 76.0
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are positive.
NOTE: Keep a near Profit Protection/ Stop Loss level.
GOLD → Global economic risk indicator consolidates ahead of CPIFX:XAUUSD , rather quickly changes the market structure to bullish and continues its aggressive rally. The economic risk indicator is working perfectly. Technically, the focus is on the range 3135 - 3099
Gold is consolidating around $3,100 in anticipation of US inflation data. The escalating trade war between the US and China keeps demand for defensive assets alive despite the pause in price gains. Trump imposed 125% tariffs on Chinese goods and China retaliated with duties of 84% on U.S. imports. Increased tariff tensions are raising recession expectations and encouraging bets on a Fed interest rate cut, which supports gold. However, a rise in March CPI inflation (expected 2.6% y/y) could trigger a downward correction, although the impact could be short-lived - tariff news remains the main driver
Technically, the price failed to reach the 3135 liquidity zone and reversed, which attracted the crowd willing to sell (deceptive maneuver). But, after correction the price may return to the target quite quickly
Resistance levels: 3135, 3167
Support levels: 3100, 3090, 3077
Emphasis on the range boundaries, possible retest of 3100-3090- 3075 before continuation of growth. On the news or before the opening of the American session there may be a long squeeze before the continuation of growth.
Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → Will the market hold strength or lose it all?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing the liquidity and resistance zone amid a downtrend as part of a news-induced rally. Will the market hold this trend or return to a sell-off?
The downtrend continues. As part of the correction triggered by the news backdrop, bitcoin strengthened and pulled the altcoins with it. But the market may lose all its growth quite quickly, as bearish pressure on the market is still very strong (There are no fundamental positive changes for the market). The fall of BTC may be followed by DOGE as well.
Technically, the price is forming a false break of the resistance zone 0.1622 - 0.15700, consolidation of the price below this zone will provoke the continuation of the fall to the nearest zone of interest 0.13646.
Resistance levels: 0.157, -0.1622
Support levels: 0.13646, 0.1277, 0.1154
A retest of the trend resistance is possible, but price consolidation below the key zone will be a good signal indicating the seller's strength, the decline may continue. On the weekly timeframe we have a trigger at 0.14217, break of which will open the way to 0.1277 - 0.1025.
Regards R. Linda!
Nickel Commodity Quote Settings | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Nickel Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((Triangle Structure)) | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature & Ongoing Wave (3)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 17.100 USD
* Entry At 14.600 USD
* Take Profit At 10.900 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
GOLD → Bounce back to accumulate energy before growthFX:XAUUSD confirms interim bottom at 2970 after a false breakdown and as part of the escalating trade war, price is strengthening from support to the important medium-term level of 3054.
Further dynamics will depend on the market reaction to the minutes of the March Fed meeting and the introduction of reciprocal tariffs between the US and China. The introduction of 104% duties on Chinese goods increases trade tensions, reduces investor confidence and supports the price of gold against the background of a weakening dollar. Even with the Fed's cautious rhetoric, gold may keep rising due to the escalating trade war.
The medium-term situation depends on the Fed (namely hints or actions on rate cuts), the trade war and negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe
Resistance levels: 3054, 3077, 3099
Support levels: 3033, 3013 (0.5f), 2995
Since the opening of the session (the price has passed the daily norm) gold has exhausted the technical potential and the 3054 area may push the price down (false breakout). As part of a technical pullback, gold may test 3033 - 3013 before looking at upside attempts again.
Additional scenario: pullback to the fvg zone (0.7 - 0.79 fibo) before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCNH - 30 months ASCENDING TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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EURUSD Forms Triangle Just Below 17-Year Long-Term TrendlineAfter a strong rally from around 1.03 to the 1.10s, EURUSD traders now appear undecided. The white line shown is the 17-year-long trendline, which is currently acting as major resistance. However, this is not a typical short-term resistance level, it's more appropriate to focus on weekly and monthly closes around this area.
Still, its presence alone is enough to give Euro bulls something to think about.
For more context about long-term outlook, please check our earlier post below:
In the short term, the chart has taken the shape of a descending triangle. If the TVC:DXY bounces, EURUSD may face some downward pressure. 1.0880 seems to be the support to follow for direction. Although descending triangles are typically bearish patterns, this one still has a chance to break to the upside due to supportive fundamentals.
In either case, the medium- to long-term outlook for EURUSD is turning increasingly bullish.
USDCNH Tests Key Pattern Resistance on PBOC’s Loose Yuan FixThe trade war between China and the U.S. is escalating, and the Chinese yuan is starting to feel the pressure. After the U.S. raised tariffs to a total of 54%, China responded with a 34% increase of its own. Now, Trump has threatened an additional 50% tariff hike if China doesn’t withdraw its retaliation.
It appears unlikely that either side will back down at this stage, and the trade war is set to intensify further.
In addition to retaliating, China is also preparing to defend its economy. According to several news reports, Beijing is planning to frontload stimulus measures aimed at boosting domestic consumption, subsidizing exporters to cushion the blow from reduced U.S. trade, and supporting stock market stability. The People’s Bank of China will likely play a central role in this effort, using tools such as rate adjustments and daily yuan fixings.
The latest yuan fixing came in above 7.20, the highest level since 2023. With this looser fixing and ongoing trade war pressure, USDCNH is pushing higher. The ascending triangle formation which typically breaks to the upside is also supporting bearish bets on the yuan.
If China proceeds with a small and controlled devaluation, as many expect, a breakout from this triangle pattern is likely.
The potential target for the breakout could align with one of the parallel lines of the lower boundary of the formation, which are currently around 7.61 and 7.75, and gradually rising. With time, a move toward 7.80 is well within reach by the end of the year.
CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming
The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range.
The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures.
Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline.
Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74
Support levels: 104.525, 103.56
There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market.
The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD bearish view
OANDA:GBPCAD whats next?, we are have two times bounce on trend line,
currently on D is visible DESCENDING TRIANGL,
in triangl we have RECTANGLE PATTERN 4h which is breaked,
below rectangle pattern we have on lower TF better visible BEARISH FLAG pattern 1h (violet doted), which currently looks breaked,
here expecting bearish push now till next trend zone.
SUP zone: 1.85000
RES zone: 1.82250, 1.81600