ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View
NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below.
Support Zones
$50-53
Target Zones
$60
$77
Fundamental View
ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease.
The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand.
The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027.
Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.
Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
Triangle
ETHEREUM Massive Move Ahead!!!Currently #ETHEREUM Is facing a resistance of It's triangle and FVG.
If #eth successful breakout above triangle and FVG and holds above it, We can see #ETH making bull move towards over 5k.
According to micro elliott wave count and triangle targets, micro count III and triangle both targets above 5k.
GOLD, Long, 8hentry: Current Market Price
take profit: 2821
stop loss: 2710
GC1! (Gold Futures) has already broken out of a triangle pattern, successfully breaking the resistance. Bullish momentum suggests further upside toward the target level at 2821.
BUY 🚀
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compressing in a symmetrical triangleSince last summer, the price has started compressing within a symmetrical triangle.
Volumes are also perfectly balanced with the POC located in the middle of the triangle
Next week's earnings could give the price the definitive direction, confirmed by a close above or below the two red and green lines
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise....
158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94.
Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22
Support levels: 155.1
Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation....
Regards R. Linda!
The Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: What It Is and How to Trade ItHello, Traders!
Yes, we know that we’re not in math class, but have you ever noticed triangles forming on your trading charts? These aren’t random shapes — they’re symmetrical triangle patterns, and they hold some of the market’s best-kept secrets. Think of them as the market’s way of hitting “pause” before making its next big move.
These patterns might look simple, but they can be useful for traders who know how to use them. In this article, we’ll explore what a symmetrical triangle is, how it forms, and how to master symmetrical triangle trading for both bullish and bearish opportunities.
What Is a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern?
A symmetrical triangle pattern is a chart formation that signals a period of consolidation, where the market shows indecision before making a decisive move. It forms when an asset’s price creates a series of lower highs and higher lows, converging into a triangle shape.
Key features of a symmetrical triangle chart pattern:
Converging Trendlines: The highs and lows get closer together as the pattern progresses.
Volume Decline: Trading activity often decreases as the triangle narrows.
Breakout Potential: The price typically breaks out before reaching the apex of the triangle, leading to a strong move in one direction.
This symmetrical triangle arrangement is considered a neutral pattern—it doesn’t favor bulls or bears until the breakout happens. However, the context matters: if it forms during an uptrend, it’s often a bullish symmetrical triangle; during a downtrend, it could be a bearish symmetrical triangle pattern.
How Does a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Form?
Strong Initial Move: Symmetrical triangles usually form after a sharp price movement, acting as a consolidation phase.
Lower Highs and Higher Lows: Buyers and sellers battle for control, causing the price to move within a narrowing range.
Volume Contraction: As the price approaches the triangle’s apex, volume often dries up, reflecting market hesitation.
Breakout: The price finally breaks out of the triangle, accompanied by increased volume, signaling the market’s next direction.
This breakout is where traders find opportunities, making symmetrical triangle pattern trading a valuable skill.
How to Trade Symmetrical Triangle Patterns
Trading a symmetrical triangle effectively requires patience and discipline. Here’s how you can do it:
1. Identify the Pattern
Spotting a symmetrical triangle stock pattern is your first step. Draw trendlines connecting the lower highs and higher lows, ensuring they converge symmetrically.
2. Wait for the Breakout
The key to success is waiting for the breakout, which typically occurs before the apex.
Bullish Breakout: The price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a potential upward move.
Bearish Breakout: The price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating a potential downward move.
3. Confirm with Volume
A breakout without increased volume is risky. Look for a significant spike in volume to confirm the breakout’s validity.
4. Set Your Entry, Stop-Loss, and Target
Entry: Enter the trade after the breakout is confirmed.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just outside the opposite trendline for risk management.
Target: Measure the height of the triangle and apply it to the breakout point to estimate your price target.
Bullish vs. Bearish Symmetrical Triangles
Bullish Symmetrical Triangle: Forms during an uptrend and often signals continuation.
Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: Appears in a downtrend and suggests further downside potential.
Knowing whether the symmetrical triangle arrangement is bullish or bearish can help you prepare for the breakout more effectively.
Why Symmetrical Triangles Deserve Your Attention
The symmetrical triangle pattern is more than just a shape on your chart — it’s a signal of market indecision that can lead to significant opportunities. It can help you capitalize on breakouts and navigate consolidation periods with confidence.
But remember, no pattern is foolproof. Always confirm breakouts with volume, set proper stop-losses, and combine symmetrical triangle trading with other analysis tools for the best results.
So, traders, how do you approach symmetrical triangles? Have you caught a symmetrical triangle breakout recently? Share your experiences!
TRUMP'S WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM SPEECH - $120K NEXT (?) As illustrated, I'm visualizing what could be the breakout of a symmetrical triangle.
Because this structure formed above key pivot areas and psychological price level of $100K, there is reasons to believe it indicates a healthy and adequate uptrend, being such pattern a continuation with a potential new bullish impulse that could drive price to new ATH at least just below $115,000 , and in extension to $120,000 in the near future.
Price should hold the psychological barrier of $100K and in extension to the downside, $95K should serve as a major support.
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GOOD LUCK!
MOCA/USDT: READY FOR A BIG PUMP!!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If you’re loving this setup, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for proven trade ideas that actually deliver! 💹🔥
MOCA is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour chart and bouncing perfectly off the lower trendline. A solid breakout from this structure could lead to a massive pump! 🚀
Here’s the plan:
📌 Entry Range: Current Market Price (CMP); add more on dips.
🎯 Target: 200%–250% gains.
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): $0.158.
⚙️ Leverage: Keep it low (max 5x).
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you bullish on MOCA’s breakout potential? Drop your analysis, predictions, or strategies in the comments below! Let’s crush this market together and lock in those gains! 💰🔥
Litecoin's 48-day stalemate could be a blessing in disguiseLitecoin has been trading sideways for approximately 48 days, frustrating investors and traders who were hoping for more gains following Trump's return to the White House.
Instead, the price has remained range-bound. However, I see this as a potential blessing in disguise. The price action is currently forming a large ascending triangle, offering two potential trading strategies.
My preferred strategy is to trade the breakout at $139.36, targeting a 36% move to around $190 per coin. While this may seem modest, the risk-to-reward ratio could be highly favorable, depending on the breakout timing and stop-loss placement. For example, with a 4% stop loss below the breakout point, the reward ratio could reach 8.31.
An alternative strategy is to buy near the trendline, currently around $92 per coin. This approach suits those with strong conviction in Litecoin and the willingness to remain bullish as long as the price stays above $85. This method offers a higher risk-to-reward ratio of 14. However, the downside is that the price could remain stuck in sideways action for many months, with a significant risk of the price trading below 85.
What is your take on LTC?
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XAUUSD - LTFs have shifted bearishXAUUSD is strongly bullish on HTFs - The pair has shifted bearish on the lower timeframes signaling a potential retracement downwards to the 20 area.
This presents an opportunity to both scalpers and short term traders to short the market as soon as they get the necessary confluences.
XLMUSDT: Bearish Pressure Rising – Breakdown or Fakeout?
💥 BINANCE:XLMUSDT.P continues its downtrend, struggling under a descending trendline, currently trading around 0.42018 USDT . The price has failed to break above resistance, strengthening the bearish momentum. Will we see a breakdown or a reversal soon?
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🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
0.41998 USDT — immediate support currently being tested.
0.41651 USDT — a key level where buyers may step in.
0.40268 USDT — if price reaches here, bears are fully in control.
Resistance:
0.44319 USDT — critical level, a breakout here could break the downtrend.
0.44763 USDT — liquidity zone, potential upside target.
0.50000 USDT — longer-term target, requiring strong demand.
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🚩 Trading Strategy:
Entry Points:
- A short setup if price breaks below 0.41998 USDT with strong volume confirmation.
- A long setup only if price shows a clear reversal above 0.44319 USDT .
Stop-Loss:
- Shorts should have SL above 0.44319 USDT .
- Longs should place SL below 0.41651 USDT to avoid liquidity traps.
Take-Profit Targets:
0.41530 USDT — first target for shorts.
0.40268 USDT — potential bottom where buyers may appear.
0.44763 USDT — in case of a bullish breakout.
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📈 Technical Analysis:
The downtrend remains intact as long as price stays below the descending trendline.
Low trading volume suggests weak bullish momentum.
A breakdown could accelerate selling as long positions get liquidated.
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💡 Conclusion:
Price is at a critical zone – if support fails, bears could push it below 0.40 USDT. The big question is: will this be a liquidity grab with a sharp reversal, or will bears keep the pressure on? Let's discuss! 🐻📉
SOLANA What will happen in the short term ?According to my calculations, the price will reach $260 in the short term.If triangle not broke from down!!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Stimulus Hopes Test Downtrend Resistance as Bulls Eye BreakoutChinese policymakers have unveiled another round of measures aimed at boosting sentiment and valuations in mainland stock markets, pushing insurers and state pension funds to increase future allocations.
Who knows whether it will work—the headlines are essentially recycled with a bit of extra detail. Previous stimulus attempts have also fizzled fast, as the price action over the past six months shows. But the announcement is timely, providing a catalyst to spark a bullish breakout.
A50 futures sit at an interesting juncture, sandwiched between downtrend resistance dating back to October’s stimulus euphoria and the critical 200-day moving average.
The price has already taken a couple of looks above the downtrend only to reverse back lower, including earlier Thursday after the details of the plan were released.
However, given the risk state funds may be ordered to buy to drum up excitement among retail investors, it will be interesting to see whether we see a rally into the close.
If we do and the price closes above the downtrend, one setup to consider would be to buy targeting 13200/50-day moving average, 13727, or even the double-top of 14366 set late last year.
Depending on your target and risk tolerance, a stop could be placed beneath the downtrend or 200-day moving average for protection.
Momentum indicators have turned bullish, potentially improving the probability of a breakout sticking.
Good luck!
DS
#BEARISH BIAS (SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE)We are currently trying to find a trade opportunity in the GBPJPY currency pair. On the 1D time frame, the market has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which indicates that there are chances of the price moving downward. For now, we will wait for the price to reach our resistance level and observe how it reacts at these key levels. Once the price reaches these key levels, we will look for some bearish confirmation, such as candlestick patterns or price action signals, before taking action. Let's work together to seize this opportunity when the price reaches the key levels. Trigger your trade after confirmation.
Further update will be provided time to time. Follow on T-G .
GOLD → bulls are aiming for ATH. The odds are high...FX:XAUUSD is in a rally phase aiming for ATH. Based on geopolitical data, we have a pretty good chance. The focus is on 2750. From this point the northbound train can continue its journey.
Trump's policies are putting quite a bit of pressure on geopolitics due to creating trade problems for major nations like China, EU, Canada, BRICS countries. Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexian has warned of the negative effects of a trade war, which has further increased demand for safe havens like gold and the US dollar. Gold is also facing pressure because of the Fed, but the dollar correction is becoming another driver for the metal.
Technically, the price is trying to consolidate above a rather important level. 2749. If the bulls manage to keep the defense above 2750, the metal may continue its growth in the short and medium term
Resistance levels: 2759
Support levels: 2750, 2737, 2732
Emphasis on 2750. If the bulls keep this area under their control, the gold will go higher. But, I do not exclude a retest of 0.5 Fibo liquidity zone or 2732 before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Semiconductor Index May Be Starting to MoveSemiconductors have outperformed by a wide margin since late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect the uptrend to continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the series of higher lows and lower highs since the summer. Prices began the year escaping to the upside and are now approaching their October peak. Clearing that level could be viewed as a potential breakout.
Second, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are essentially on top of each other after months of sideways movement. Could that convergence open the door to expansion?
Speaking of sideways movement, Rate of Change (set to 21 bars) in the lower study illustrates how SOX has more or less stopped moving over the last month.
Finally, the news flow may help chips after Broadcom (No. 2 in the index) and Taiwan Semiconductor (No. 3 in the index) rallied on strong earnings. Expectations could remain positive as industry leader Nvidia ramps Blackwell production.
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FIL/USDT on the Verge of a Bullish Breakout $6+ Target FIL/USDT forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, typically a continuation or breakout pattern.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The price is consolidating within a narrowing range, forming higher lows and lower highs, indicative of a symmetrical triangle. This is often seen as a neutral pattern, but given the previous uptrend, it leans bullish.
Potential Breakout Zone
A breakout is expected once a 4-hour candle closes above the upper trendline. This would signal bullish momentum and provide an entry opportunity for a long position.
Key Levels
Current price is $5.107.
The immediate target after the breakout is set around $6+ based on the pattern's height and prior resistance levels.
Confirmation
Wait for a confirmed close above the trendline with strong volume before entering the trade. This minimizes the risk of a fake breakout.
Risk Management
Set stop-losses below the triangle's lower trendline or near recent lows to manage risk effectively.
Keep a close watch on the breakout level. If the price closes above the triangle with momentum, a move toward $6+ becomes a likely target.
EURUSD → An attempt to change the trend could be successfulFX:EURUSD gets a chance for a bullish run. The currency pair breaks the prolonged downtrend and consolidates for a chance to continue the upward movement
The global trend is downtrend and at the moment it is too early to talk about a change of trend, as the price is under pressure from the strong resistance at 1.044. BUT! A pre-breakout base is forming around this area, so if the dollar continues its corrective course, EURUSD will have a chance to confirm the trend change. If the bulls are able to overcome 1.0448 and consolidate above this level, we will have a chance to rise to 1.06 and possibly higher....
Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.0607
Support levels: 1.033, 1.0222
Technically, the focus is on the nearest trigger at 1.0448. A breakout and consolidation of the price above this zone may provide a convenient entry point to open long positions.
Regards R. Linda!