USDJPY Triple bottom, long positionsUSDJPY has formed a triple bottom, hugely respecting the 111 level. We also have a fibonacci 61.8% on 110.4, so the zone 110.4-111 works as a really strong support. The price is also respecting the TL from 2013, making the current zone really strong and the pair would need a huge momentum to push the price below these levels.
The TPs are based upon fibonacci and resistance from 2001.
Entry: 112.4
SL 110.2
TP1: 116.2
TP2: 117.5
TP3: 119
Triplebottom
Triple bottom suggests trend reversal for BTCUSDLooking at the 2 week chart we can see a clear formation of a triple bottom. Such a pattern is used to predict the reversal of a prolonged downtrend.
This whole month has been full of volatility so we may see more movement soon. I am remaining positive that we may see upward movement soon.
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Did we just hit the bottom? Corn has been diving over the last 3 years since it's peak in 2012.
Beside small correction move in 2014, it was pretty much a nose dive that cut corn value in more than half.
Since October 2014, Corn has been bouncing around the 22-23$ support zone, which is also the 127 extension for the first part of corn's decline (Aug 2012- Jan 2014).
The second time corn bounced from the 22$ it also broke out of a minor weekly downtrend line.
Last week, Corn spiked below 22$ and closed above it, creating a weekly false break and a weekly Outside Bar that could be a trigger for a bullish entry for those who seek to trade this bullish triple bottom setup. The bullish divergence we see in the RSI and the Stochastic being oversold can support this bullish scenario.
With stop loss below 21.5$ the initial target level will be the 50 SMA line near 25$ (assuming it'll break above the Fast SMA line - the first confirmation signal)
If the price will close above 25$, it could provide a longer term bullish signal for a deeper correction move in corn prices.
A Change In Sentiment - GBP/USDTechnical View:
GBP/USD has broken out of a 6 month descending channel on the weekly chart to the upside. The initial bullish surge occurred at the key psychological level of 1.5 forming a triple bottom formation.
This suggests that the bearish pressure is diminishing and that we may see an established bullish reversal. A retest of the backside of the channel and 1.52 as new support will be confirmation of a change in sentiment.
Fundamental Picture:
1. Expectations for a timely Fed Rate-Hike are diminishing on dovish Yellen.
2, Expectations remain strong for a U.K Rate Hike
3. Governor Mark Carney retains Hawkish Tone
4. UK GDP within expectations for Q4 at 0.5%
5. U.S. GDP expanded by 2.2% in the fourth quarter of 2014, below initial estimates for a growth rate of 2.6% but above expectations for 2.1%.
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Potentially Fund a New Phone with 250 Apple Shares & This IdeaHi all Risk Takers,
Here's an idea written for short term traders, tech stock investors and all Apple fans.
(1) On the 1 Hourly Chart, we observed clearly that price is trading in a general uptrend line, since May 2014.
Evidence of Support are found during May 2014 and Oct 2014 (Up arrows).
There are also signs of potential support around Jan 2015 period but requires a further move on the upside to confirm. Hence the dotted lines.
In short, we establish that price is trading in a bullish environment, on the hourly chart.
(2) We note a Triple Bottom patterned with a slanted neckline formed.
This Triple Bottom is confirmed as price has traded past the slanted neckline and closed over the weekend above resistance level of 112.00.
Since Triple Bottom is a reversal pattern, therefore it indicates that the party's over for the Apple bears and price has switched back to full on bullish mode.
Psychologically, we humans are inclined to attached importance on the number "3", hence Triple Bottoms are a much more significant reversal pattern by nature.
To explain the thinking, simply put yourself in the shoes of an Apple bear.
Assumed you had went against the bullish trend and shorted heavily Apple 3 times, yet price refuses to go lower than 105.00, you will most likely stop trying for a fourth attempt to short.
This might also explain the absence of a so called "Quadruple Bottom Chart Pattern" in Technical Analysis literature.
To summarize point (2), we spotted a confirmed Triple Bottom Chart Pattern.
(Projection)
Since the trend is overall bullish (1) and we have breakout confirmation of a significant Triple Bottom Pattern (2), price is projected to trade up higher.
(Entry Condition)
Anytime from now, as long as price is trading above 112.00.
(Stop Loss)
Below 111.30.
The stop may be a bit tight.
However if this is a true to form Triple Bottom Breakout, then price should not even be thinking of going back any lower.
(Take Profit)
Take profit is set at 118.90.
The triple bottom will most likely drive the price to at least try to match previous high of 118.90.
(Risk)
There is a risk of a false break out, where price gets sharply resisted at 115.00. and fail.
From personal experience, Weighing the strength of a simple resistance line vs triple bottom breakout, I will say advantage to triple bottom.
There is also a risk that fundamental information disclosed during the upcoming Earnings Announcement, on 27 January 2015, may cause prices to move in an averse manner.
Technical Analysis simply cannot project fundamental events (Example: CHF/EUR).
(References)
Triple Bottom> thepatternsite.com
www.youtube.com
(Trivia)
If you bought 250 Apple Shares at 114.00 and managed to sell it off at 118.50, you will most likely have enough profit for a new iPhone 6 Plus without contract.
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Gold up 30 dollars since entry - Now needs to break 1220In the Weekly Markets Analysis, I mentioned that 1180 will be a good entry level if the Gold will reach it. As the gold opened the week lower, I sent to the members an email that I'm buying gold at 1190. Since than, the gold rallied back above 1200 and now it is trying to break minor resistance near 1220.
We are back inside the weekly bullish harmonic PRZ. In case that $XAUUSD will manage to close above 1220$ it has the potential to climb all the way to the pattern's target near 1260.
Weekly Triple Bottom and Bullish harmonic pattern are quite good reasons to be bullish Gold.. at least for the short term
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EUR/CAD Interesting 1.4000 LevelWhat will happen next? Will EUR stabilise and rise up from the Triple Bottom,
or will the Big Level of 1.4000 get broken?
And if it breaks below 1.4000... will it be a quick, nasty sell-off - just to reverse within next 24 hours?
(Im not going to trade this with real money or just with a very small lot size)
Crude Oil Wedge or Triple Bottom?Coming off from a bearish AB=CD pattern, Crude Oil is probably now zigzagging along a Wedge pattern. With price just bounced off the 78.6% fib and RSI above 30, I am looking for a long position with target price just below the channel's ceiling if it breaks the ceiling I will hold long playing the triple bottom pattern with target just below the previous high.
GRCU Double Bottom Bounce WatchClear Double Bottom; Less than clear triple bottom on daily chart. News released on 15:22 today caused a nice move into close. There was a low volume selloff to close at .0140 red on the day. I will be watching for a strong open and break of .0150 area on volume to break above down trend line. Or a possible weak open to wash out and test .0125 support area and then bounce going red to green on the day.
Good luck!