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Tripletop

NZDCAD Daily Triple Top w/ Slanted Neckline3 times price on this pair retested the resistance zone surrounding 0.96 seen above. The first time price reacted bearishly (the first top), however it did not go far down as it did previously (see 2015-12-29 date on chart). The second time price broke above the zone but then fell some - forming a second top and then going down to make a higher low. Then again, the third time it formed ANOTHER higher high and is currently going down from that. The fact that there has not been a lower high followed by a lower low suggests that this pair is technically still up trending. This is key, however, because that means that we can get a position in on time. The white support trendline is in fact the formation neckline. Price will definitely head to the TL next week, and then maybe to the 0.9290 area. We must wait for a lower low and then for a lower high to short this pair, or at least I am, you do what you like.
Short
by MtxTrader
AUDJPY Shorting Possibilities AUDJPY has a lot of shorting potential at the moment, however any position we are going to take needs to be confirmed due to the subjectivity of the trades on offer - meaning I am expecting an overall selling direction but there are more than a couple of things price can do first which can be seen on the chart. Sell any breakout as and when it occurs - this is not my ideal setup but one I would like to get into IF it occurs before our other, more idealistic setups which I am going to mention now: My ideal setup consists of either getting in short at the red resistance level or, preferably, at the higher trend line at sell zone 2. The latter of the 2 will give us more confidence that price wont continue up any further allowing for tighter stops and better RR = more profitability. We will be expecting a breakout of this downtrend in the future (we have a lot of divergence on the daily to suggest this is the case) just like on other JPY pairs however we will not be looking for this long set up yet. As usual, take trades only after confirmation & good luck!
Short
by jamiekent123
USDCAD: Triple Top Reversal?!Hi Traders, I have been eyeing this setup for most of the week. There is a 2618 selling opportunity very close to market. This pair has made a triple top (see marked on chart), which is a sign that we may see a bearish reversal and downside continuation in the coming week. I have a position ready to sell at the 61.8% fibonacci retracement, it has extra confirmation as this level comes in line with previous support turned resistance. I place my stop above the triple top highs, because if price breaks this level I will be wrong. Targets are at the 100% and 127.2% extensions of the move (See green boxes) Good trading and have a great weekend all. Luke
Short
by Beebags
6
AUDUSD: FUTURE DIRECTION? BUY THE BREAKOUT; SELL THE TRIPLE TOPPost RBA has left Aussie in a somewhat uncertain direction; whilst the 25bps cut last week should have seen us offered to at least the 0.74 low support level, instead weve seen persistent aussie bids, even despite the strong USD employment report and consequential increased rate hike odds. Much of this Aussie topside is a function of investors shifting macro strategies from a monetary policy stance to a yield seeking/ rate differential positionings; further aussie downside was unhelped by the RBA's rate statement & SOMP which failed to offer any forward guidance regarding further policy, or hint at any FX levels which they thought were too high. Despite this I have seen several sell-side houses offer particularly dovish outlooks for the RBA - with 2 or more rate cuts and potentially new unconventional methods being used by end of 2017. My personal view is a mixed one. Whilst Aussie lower at these levels makes sense e.g. rate cut last week seemingly yet to be priced, we are at a double top resistance level that has held when the rate was 1.75 so should hold now the rate is lower. However, whilst this is the case in the immediate term aussie is still trading better bid, which is interesting given kiwi is trading with a slightly biased offered tone even though kiwi still has the better carry at 2.25% vs 1.5% - this could be a signal the market expects the RBNZ to be more aggressive in their policy decision on the 10th and/ or they will be more dovish and assertive with their forward guidance, which i agree is likely given the RBNZ has said several times it is not happy with kiwi at these levels and is likely to use policy tools to combat this. So on this note, if AUD$ holds the 0.768 level and fails to close on the daily above this (and shows 1/2 red dailies lower) this wiLl show the bias has confirmed to the downside and I will sell aussie to 0.750tp1 and 0.743tp2. Alternatively, given aussies topside bias, and the factors mentioned above, it is highly possible that the bulls win and AUD$ breaks higher - if we see a daily close above the 0.768 highs this imo will likely confirm the breakout and my bias until 0.778 is bullish thus I will buy the break with a 0.775tp1 and 0.778tp2. Today USD strength is firming as the fed funds rate implies a sept p=18% that the fed hikes up from 12% yesterday - though on the data side we are pretty quiet, with retail sales the only notable print which is on Friday. On the AUD side Gov Stevens from the RBA will be speaking later this week... hopefully he sets a bearish aussie tone and helps us move lower, but either way i think AUD$ is a solid trade. The breakout will see alot of momentum imo as a high % of bears will have stops ust above the 0.768 level (given the double top resistance) so we would likely short squeeze those stops 30pips higher immediately once their level has broken. Further, a confirmed rejection at the 0.767 level should see the bears take over (as they have done in the past 2 times), hence my high conviction on this trade.
by QuantumLogicTrading
3
Nifty : Potential Triple Top Shorting ChanceHi Guys, We have potential triple top in Nifty which is currently in formation now and once we get valid confirmation for downside move we can initiate short positions.If you check RSI its giving bearish divergence as of now but we need to check what happens when triple top is completed. If everything goes as planned we can short Nifty and in this particular setup risk is very less as you can see from the chart. You can also initiate short positions if the current candle ends as bearish engulfing, but enter small positions only ( for aggressive traders only) Thanks for your support... Happy Trading... !
NSE:NIFTYShort
by InsiderB
8
SP500 TRIPLE TOP, HIDDEN BEARISH DIV LONGER TERM OUTLOOKwhy did we test 2100? your short stops were there and citadel punched them the fuck out. reflexive rebound should be over unless we breakout to the upside for whatever reason. this should mark the beginning of the drawn-out, fundamental sell off. in summation: - hidden bearish divergence - MACD rolling over - bad economic data rolling out slowly but surely (energy junk bonds defaulting at highest rate on record) - REMEMBER: the econ data is the strongest at the END of the business cycle i swing trade levered ETFs on an intermediate time horizon for that daily compounding on the trend. not to say we cant hit 2100 again, but any move above it should be used for de-risking. i'm short when the 12EMA closes under the 36
FX:SPX500Short
by johnrhoekstra
CRUDE OIL TRIPLE TOPFirst and foremost one should know I am very bearish on oil, as it has paid tremendously the past year to be on the short side. But a true bear should know when to prey and when to hibernate. At this moment I consider myself in hibernation. I am looking to sit out until June of this year before I initiate my big short on crude. So far my analysis has been inaccurate and predictions have been in accurate the past 2 months. I will admit this. But when I put my bias aside and actually listen to my chart as well as my technical analysis, I can admit to myself that oil has more room to run. Most bears wont admit this, but I will admit crude has room to run but one must take the good and bad with this. The GOOD in this is that the more oil runs up the more green in our pockets when it meets its maker. One chart is not sufficient so i tend to make several charts. In this chart here we have a clean triple top. Previous triple top was formed July 29th 2015 and triple topped in oct 9th 2015. The most recent triple top was formed dec 15 2015 and triple topped today march 17th 2016. in each of these triple tops it took exactly three months to form. COINCIDENCE? I DON'T THINK SO!. Does this mean we should initiate a short? well not necessarily maybe if your'e scalping yes. We should deff be pulling back before taking one last swim up before JUNE.
NYMEX:CLJ2016Short
by bouadvisors