$SPY TRIPLE TOPNote of my overall sentiment of the market. It's going down.
All the chop over the last year has made a (ugly ass) triple top. $SPY is just a few ticks away from reaching the neckline @ $415ish. I think one of two things will happen.
1. It will bounce maybe to the $420s to $430 and retrace back to the neckline then ultimately break the neckline
2. It will close with a full daily candle under the neckline before the week is up and head towards the price targets in green then the gap from 403.80 to 400 (blue lines) made back in April 2021.
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Not financial advice
Tripletop
DYDXUSDT wants to retest the Weekly supportThe price is creating a descending channel on the daily timeframe .
The price created a double bottom on the weekly support, 4.35$
on the 4h timeframe the price is creating another descending channel.
How to approach?
The price is going to retest again the 4h support on 4.60$, if the price is going to lose it we could see a new retest of the weekly support, thus the market is going to create a triple bottom, so According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Mon 28th Mar 2022 NZD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/CAD Sell. As you can see by al the lines and note son my chart, I have been busy on this pair. The main thing is that I am still in a partial Buy trade also, which gives me some protection. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
GBPUSD - Possible Triple Top? What To ExpectFX:GBPUSD In our earlier post, we identified a short setup when price broke below ascending trendline AND retested resistance with confirmation. As it turned out, it was a false breakout and I got stopped out of my trade as well.
This is why a consistent strategy and risk management is so important; As attractive as a setup may be, it simply reduces the element of chance in every execution. Apply that over a large number with a consistent strategy and proper risk management (risk-reward ratio), the odds of a trader being successful is as sure as the saying goes: 'The house always wins'.
Now, back to the chart. We see a clear and strong rejection at resistance, resulting in an bearish evening star doji pattern. While it does not necessarily mean that price will go under, we are setting ourselves up for an attractive Risk-to-Reward ratio.
Typically, for a double/triple top pattern, a good gauge for our Take Profit level would be 1x the size of the neckline (As shown on chart). Stop-loss would no doubt be above previous highs, which gives us a Risk/Reward Ratio of 3.45.
Are the odds in our favor? Well, yes. Could the price continue to push and stop us out of our trade? Definitely a possibility. The point is, as a trader we should always prioritize proper risk management instead of simply our winrate. Let's see if the trade can go in our favor this time.
Happy trading
Fri 18th February 2022 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified A new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
BTC Short-Term UpdateGood Evening Everyone! 😃
My short-Term view remains the same as last week despite a decent performance in the markets the last couple of days. Here I broke down the what I expect from Bitcoin in the coming days!
Fibonacci:
The 0.382level at 37k forms the current local support. The 0.5 area just above 38k is the level that we are yet to see a candle close above. The local Fib. retracement shows us the golden pocket (0.618-0.65 ) just below 40k. if we manage to break above the 0.5, we have to watch out as the area between 0.5 and 0.618 is common territory for bull traps. If we were to break above that area, macro targets such as the bull market support band and the 200 sma come into play. On the downside we can see perfect alignment with the Fibonacci retracement levels and our horizontal support lines.
Double top, broken channel and lower low:
Here you can see my post from the past weekend where i posted about a potential double top for BTC which later was comfirmed and BTC broke down from the ascending channel which resulted in the first lower low on the 4h since Dec. 24th.
Volume:
The double top was formed due to lack of volume in the area just below 39 and upwards from there. (See the VPVR bars on the right side)
Until we see more volume at the levels above 38k, I remain short-term bearish as far as breaking above 39k goes and I think it's more likely that we move down to the 33k support level in the next days/weeks and maybe get a local rally before we eventually drop down to 29k.
Stock Markets:
The recent mini ralli was iniciated by a strong performance and close from the US stock msrkets, that mini rallie is continuing today after stock markets are showing strength again. Although Bitcoin and the crypto market also have been looking healthier in the past week or so, in the most recent weeks and months we have seen that the close correlation between the price movement of Bitcoin and the US stock markets has been derailed at least temporairly as Bitcoin has dropped 36-40% more than those markets in the last 3 months.
Let's see if recent history can repeat itself and things hopefully turn around soon.
If you would like to know more about Bitcoin and larger timeframes, stay tuned for my weekly update video 🎬 tomorrow and until then you can check out my last Bitcoin update here below👇!
Thanks for stopping by, I hope you liked my post, and if you did, please drop a like or comment, it helps me to improve my ideas and puts a smile on my face! 😃🙏
KOG - BASIC CHART PATTERNSThis is our first post in a series of posts about chart patterns. Followers of KOG will know we are technical traders so we are always looking out for candlestick and chart patterns as part of our trading plans and analyses.
These are what we feel the 6 most common and basic chart patterns that you will find almost daily on the smaller time frames. During the course of this series we will look at each and everyone in more detail and give you live examples of how they work.
TIP: When trading chart patterns its always best to wait for the neckline of the pattern to break, this confirms the movement in the chosen direction. Chart patters also work best at key levels of support and resistance and at the top or bottom of trends. For example, if you see the price is at the top of the trend and a Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, this is the first sign of a reversal on price.
Below is a live example of one of our favorite chart patterns, the Adam and Eve. You can see how we identified the pattern and looked for the neckline to break which confirmed the movement in the direction we wanted.
Hope this helps traders.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
That darn crypto playing games But for real though I see it’s going to pop back down and test that support spot but not before some normal level of the Fibonacci like .618 or .5 or maybe but I feel is not likely is hitting the .382
Be reactive traders! Never predictive! Your not a fortune teller because if you were you wouldn’t be reading this lol
Triple top?SP500 seems to be hitting its head against 4700 and forming triple top. They are still doing QE, FED promised to lower their asset purchases, but their balance sheet shows an increase. We will see if it will break, go higher and then I would be fearful of the next CPI numbers, but I think there is a technical case for going short.
Triple top Bearish for ChainlinkAnother drop for chainlink in the next day or so. Take your profits and buy something nice for Christmas. Looks like it will hit at the $15 range or if the support hold we can be testing $20-$25. Just a guess as I'm not a Psychic. Just a study of patterns, I'm no Stock guru by any means. Good luck either way.
BITCOIN... WERE ARE YOU GOING ?The Market was all red this afternoon but bitcoin held up his position by staying green today - I am still believing in the head and shoulder scenario I have shown before.
Here on the chart we can see:
- a small support that keeps bitcoin up
- lower day highs for the past week.
I think that bitcoin is for now not ready to get out of this zone, but if the support stays, we will (hopefully) see bitcoin shoot up to complete his second shoulder and then undergo a huge correction.
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Veeva triple top and break of weekly trendAnalysis of Veeva triple top
See chart for:
Triple top
Confirmation with sell volume increasing at peaks
Weekly trend
Support / Resistance
Bearish Divergence
Moving averages
Shorted retest of support now resistance.
Want to see a break of the Weekly 200EMA
If price is supported, keep an eye on volume and add to short at wicks of retest of previous support / resistance if buy volume remains low
Stop loss at your discretion
Possible Head and shoulders *LONG*
Keep an I on the possibility of this being an outcome for Chainlink. Even though it has been on a pure uptrend testing it's highs and lows and pushing forward. There is always another side to every success story. No matter what I believe, Chainlink will push through eventually. Keep an eye on resistance levels through the week. $27 specifically, if we find it causing resistance it is possible we can end back up we we are currently sitting at $22 - $22. 40 . Which in turn if this forms the infamous H&S , this may in turn push us further down to the $19- $17 range. Just hypothetical but possible. Good luck and Happy Tuesday!!
ETHEREUM FOLLOWING BITCOIN INTO A HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN ???As we can see bitcoin is forming a head and shoulder pattern. And we can also see that Ethereum is following a very similar pattern.
We are currently in a bull trend at the second shoulder base which will reverse at around 3400 to undergo a correction to complete the head and shoulder pattern.
The course of Ethereum could still go completely differently from my prediction.
"this is not an investment advice"
GBPJPY | Perspective for the new weekA hawkish BoJ rate hike amidst a strong UK GDP and Industrial Production figures might propel the Yen to new heights as the Pound looks set to end the following week(s) in the trenches.
Technically, with the sight of reversal set-up (triple top look-a-like) at the JY156 zone, It is becoming obvious that the demand zone has lost the momentum to push the price above JY157.5 and the successful breakdown of Key level @ JY156.5 during last week trading session gives a significant clue to the strength of sellers at this juncture in the market. This could be as a result of "quick sell" activities from traders who took advantage of the bullish run... Let's see how it goes!😁
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Triple Top)
Observation: i. With a 5.5% growth in the value of the Pound; It has been a Bullish run in the last 3 weeks and the price appears to have found a peak at JY157.8 - an area that has a memory for selling opportunity (as far back as 2013 - see weekly or monthly chart).
ii. And since price hit peak @ JY157.8, we have witnessed multiple rejections which culminated in a breakdown of Key level @ JY156.5 during last week trading session to signal a downtrend continuation.
iii. The appearance of a reversal set-up in the form of a Triple Top pattern - three peaks moving into the same area @JY156, with pullbacks in between indicates a possible slide in price in the coming week(s) after the price moved below pattern support (key level).
iv. In this regard, I have created a new supply niche around JY156.5/157.0 should the price climb in the early hours/days of the new week with the objective of looking for reversal set-ups for a signal.
v. Below Key level @ JY156.5 remains a comfortable area to open a short position with the option to add to our existing position at a breakdown/retest of JY155.5.
CAUTION: Considering the bullish momentum in the 3 weeks, it is appropriate that we remain open to the possibility of a significant breakout of JY157.5 which shall be enough to negate the bearish narrative... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4.5
Potential Duration: 5 to 12days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.