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TRUMP - High volatility, no highs to be seen - yetIt looks as though the TRUMP coin is trading within a range. Lots of chop, but no clear sign of a breakout to the up or downside. The recent red candle shows an 85% correction in one day. That's hugely impressive and will low liquididy this 'meme' coin could also fall off a cliff to the same degree. Sorry but there's too much at risk here, especially being connected to geo-political events and instability. Either way, it looks to be bouncing off the bumbers for now in a succinct WXYXZ fashion. Either trend line breach will signal a higher high or lower low. Follow and share for more.
by cryptechcapital
1
TRUMP'S INAUGURATION → $120.000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize the possible outcome for the next couple of days. Anything could happen, but the more "obvious" sentiment is bullish to "very" bullish. The targets of $110,000 - $120,000 are very realistic within just a few hours into Trump's inauguration. Now, one must expect anything during the most volatile conditions, and a possible liquidation near ATH or even at new ATH MIGHT occur. WHY? ... Honestly... it's just one of those " too good to be true " type of things that I just simply can't ignore the probabilities that are involved in this game. It's not a crazy theory about liquidity nor am I trying to go against what we all expect and desire for BTC (which is to continue breaking ATH and beyond).. I'm simply being realistic about the different scenarios during my projected outcome. Hopefully, we get a MASSIVE BULLISH Daily bullish candle; right? (did I say bullish?)... but... hey... it's 2025. -- GOOD LUCK!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
TradeCityPro | LTCUSDT Potential Approval of ETFs👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s delve into the analysis of LTC, one of the oldest coins in the market. Recently, there have been rumors about its potential inclusion in ETFs, which could attract a good amount of capital and lead to promising movements in the future. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting today’s altcoin analysis, let’s look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714. Yesterday’s correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, Litecoin’s chart reminds me of forex charts because it’s one of the oldest coins that has survived and spent a significant amount of time in a ranging market. As a reminder, don’t develop emotional attachments to your coins. Don’t assume that any coin is guaranteed to rise. We are here to trade and improve our lives through trading. The chart is what matters. Many coins that were in the top 10 during previous bull runs no longer exist, and Litecoin remains due to its role as a payment coin. If you entered at the 75.91 breakout trigger, I suggest holding your position for now. It seems like the news of ETF approval is being priced in, but be aware of the risk and continue holding. Breaking the 135.55 trigger will be challenging. For a new buy entry, the current trigger is the 135.55 breakout. Until the price drops below 47.19, holding is a viable option. Personally, I wouldn’t buy into it, as even the founders of this project seem to have abandoned it. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, Litecoin shows an upward trend. After breaking the 74.72 resistance (the top of its daily box), it moved far from it without even a pullback, indicating its relative strength compared to other altcoins. Following the 74.72 breakout, the price reached the critical weekly resistance of 136.97 and then corrected to 97.91. Drawing a Fibonacci retracement reveals that the 97.91 support aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. A breakout from this level could spark a sharp new upward movement. Currently, the price is below the critical 136.97 resistance. Buying after a breakout here would be logical and worth the stop-loss risk. Given the recent strong volume, a breakout above 136.97 with a stop-loss at 97.91 is a reasonable entry strategy. In case of a drop, the price could pull back to the 116.76 level initially and potentially further to 97.91. However, momentum would likely weaken at this point. If 97.91 breaks, deeper corrections could occur, targeting 83.53 and 74.22, though a drop below 97.91 seems unlikely for now. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, after a false breakout below the 97.91 support, Litecoin began a sharp upward movement, shifting its cyclical trend in this timeframe. 📈 Long Position Trigger I plan to open a futures position after a breakout above 137.99 or earlier if I observe strong momentum. I’ve partially locked in profits from my entry at 104.95. 📉 Short Position Trigger I won’t consider it as long as the price stays above 115.42 unless the price forms lower highs and lows. Even then, I’d focus on coins still in their daily range boxes rather than those with an upward trend like this one. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
5
XRP - Next Target => $4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📌 According to our last analysis (attached on the chart), XRP has reached our $3 target. What’s next? 🏹As long as the all-time structure marked in green and the $3 round number hold, the bulls will remain in control, potentially pushing towards the upper bound of the red channel around $4. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
14
Solana's "Impulse" ATH Bound To ContinueWave 1) Low @ $110 to All Time High @ $264.63 - Wave 2) Golden Ratio Retracement from ATH to $169.22 - Wave 3) Price Exhaustion around $323.54 After Valid Break - Wave 4) Retracement to Previous Break of Structure - Wave 5) Final Leg Before Correction - The announcement of the Official Trump coin being launched has started an interesting turn of events and may be helping usher COINBASE:SOLUSD into an Elliot Impulse Wave! With the Solana-based meme coin reaching $8 Billion in Market Cap, value increase by 300% and $1 billion in trading volume we see COINBASE:SOLUSD at an $118 Billion Market cap, currently 15% value increase on the day and close to $14 Billion in trading volume! In a couple of days, the Pro-Crypto Trump Administration who plan to make "US the Crypto Capitol of the World" is pegged to take Office in just a couple days with expectations of actions being taken that will start to boost the Crypto Market. I suspect we will see the Extension of Wave 3 that will break Wave 1 confirming the sequence in which we will be looking for Price to Exhaust around the $323 area to then start Wave 4 by Pulling back to Retest the Break of Previous Structure being the High of Wave 1. IF support is then found, we could see the Final Leg of Wave 5 with a Range Target @ ( $418 - $477 )
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
EURUSD Sellers have an advantage towards Trump's Inauguration After carefully following up on US and EURO Zone data. We can positively say that the data has been favorable to the dollar. As at now the Fed has reduced the number of expected cuts this yr while ECB maintains a dovish tone promising a series of cuts even if they are not to be consistent. Also we have seen the NFP Data high and unemployment declining. If Trump maintains his stand on tariffs we should expect the EURO to be hurt.
Short
by WisdomArnold
Trump’s Inauguration: What Lies Ahead?Capping a decisively sweeping victory on 5 November 2024 in what many called a ‘historic comeback’, Republican Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States (US) on Monday at 5:00 pm GMT (midday EST). This marks his second run for the highest office. The ceremony is set to take place at the Capitol building. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts is expected to oversee Trump's oath of office, followed by an inaugural address that the incoming President himself has said will be a message about ‘unity’ – very different from his 2017 speech that portrayed the country as ‘American carnage’. Outgoing president Democrat Joe Biden has said he will attend the ceremony, a courtesy not extended by Trump for the former’s inauguration four years ago. Additionally, and in a break from tradition, world leaders have been invited to the ceremony for the first time, including China's President Xi Jinping. Although he will not be attending, Vice President Han Zheng will do so in his place. In addition to world leaders, several influential figures are expected to attend. Elon Musk confirmed his attendance – who, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy, was recently nominated to head up the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). We can also expect Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, and Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, to be present. What Can We Expect from Trump? Trump has assured the world of a hard-hitting approach towards illegal immigration, which is anticipated to include plans for the mass deportation of undocumented migrants. He stated he ‘will launch the largest deportation program in American history to get the criminals out’. Trade tariffs are another key policy that the global economy can expect, as he is anticipated to increase the protectionist policies his administration introduced in the first term. About a year ago, Trump noted that ‘except for day 1’, he would not be a ‘Dictator’; this, as you would expect, sparked outrage from critics. However, if we know anything about Trump, he has a long – some would say ‘colourful’ – history of making incendiary statements that trigger both support and anger as well as generate a torrent of headlines. Undoubtedly, the first 24 to 48 hours of the Trump administration will be eventful and likely elevate volatility across key asset classes, such as Currencies, Bonds, Stocks, and Commodities. The new government is expected to sign over 100 executive orders on day one. Although not usually as many orders, this is a regular practice for incoming Presidents as part of the transition process. I expect Trump to make a statement on his first day in office that may make ‘a few heads spin’. We will likely observe executive orders directed at a crackdown on the US-Mexico border, along with orders focussing on issues such as energy, trade, and actions affecting Federal workers. Additionally, he is expected to roll back any executive orders initiated by the Biden administration that have not yet been finalised. Markets Ahead of Trump’s Inauguration I do not expect to see much price action ahead of Trump’s big day; however, technically speaking, US dollar (USD) bulls remain in control. According to the US Dollar Index, the USD is on track to finish the week moderately lower, snapping a six-week winning streak. The Team and I have been banging the drum about monthly resistance on the US Dollar Index at 109.33 for a while now. This level entered the fray following a three-month rally just north of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA), currently trading at 101.12. With the Relative Strength Index progressing above the 50.00 centreline (positive momentum), this could eventually nudge the USD beyond current resistance towards the 2022 high of 114.78. As seen from the daily chart of the US Dollar Index, the 200- and 50-day SMAs (at 104.68 and 107.32, respectively) are pointing to the upside; you will also note that price action is comfortable north of both dynamic values and that a Golden Cross (50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA) developed in late 2024 – all of which are considered bullish indications. Current price action is shaking hands with resistance at 109.29 (Quasimodo resistance), and sellers have displayed limited enthusiasm as of writing. Absorbing willing offers here pave the way towards another layer of neighbouring resistance at 110.78 (another Quasimodo resistance), followed by the 2022 pinnacle at 114.78, as mentioned above.
TVC:DXYLong
by FPMarkets
Anticipating 2025Happy new year, traders! A few year-end wobbles not withstanding, Bitcoin has remained steadily within, or just above, the $100k price range over the past weeks. Bears briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90k but the dip was slurped up quickly and Bitcoin bounced upwards. Just as in the summer of 2024, when it was clear that Bulls had run out of steam, the same can be said of Bears in this moment in time. For now, Bulls remain at the wheel. As Bitcoin builds up momentum before hopefully going on the next leg of its cycle growth, the stage is open and capital available for Altcoins to have their moment. So-called 'Boomer Coins' including Litecoin, XRP and others have rallied 30-40%+ over the past week alone. On the other end of the spectrum, memes, AI agent coins in particular, have seen parabolic growth. Market participants are chasing the 'next' pump narrative. But none of the typical 'top' indicators have yet been hit. The Coinbase app is not number 1 in the App Store just yet. From a regulatory perspective, traders are positioning themselves for the incoming pro-crypto Trump administration. As SEC chairman Gary Gensler is handing in his resignation on January 20th, a new crypto-friendly SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is poised to take over once confirmed by the Senate. This will mark a major step-change from an SEC that brought at least 83 enforcement actions against crypto companies such as Coinbase or Uniswap. Macro-wise, the outlook is more mixed. On the one hand, latest US inflation readings have come in soft. That keeps the door open for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. On the other, both retail sales and job data came in below expectations underperforming. The impact of possible Trump tariffs on the economy and trading partners such as China, Mexico and the EU is a great unknown that spooks markets. In a worst case scenario, tariffs could hurt partner exports which would result in an overall economic backlash for everyone. Nonetheless, crypto is entering the 2nd year of its Boom Market cycle with more cause for optimism. The regulatory uncertainty is slowly lifting. Institutions including giants such as Blackrock have embraced crypto markets. Beyond the usual noise of crypto markets, Blockchain technology is improving. Areas such as performance, encryption, interoperability and User experience are starting to reach a point where actual adoption becomes feasible. There is certainly a lot to look forward to in 2025. May we all have a great year ahead of us.
Long
by Coinrule
SOL on the edge ETF Decision & Strategic Reserve News to TriggerTechnical Analysis 1. Descending Channel The price has been consolidating within the descending channel since November, consistently bouncing off the upper and lower boundaries. A breakout above the channel would signify a bullish reversal and a possible surge toward higher resistance levels, such as $220 and $240. 2. Current Momentum The price is near the upper boundary of the channel at $204. A successful breakout accompanied by strong volume would confirm a bullish move. 3. Targets After Breakout Immediate target $220 (previous support turned resistance). Extended target $240-$280, depending on momentum and news impact. News/Event Driven Catalysts: 1. Solana ETF Decision The U.S. SEC decision on a Solana ETF within the next 8 days is a crucial factor. If approved, this would open the doors for institutional investment in Solana, significantly increasing demand and price. Historically, ETF approvals for assets have led to sharp price rallies, often breaking technical resistances. 2. Trump’s Strategic Reserve Plans The announcement that the U.S. President-elect is considering cryptocurrencies like Solana for a national reserve creates a bullish sentiment. If implemented, this could position Solana as a strategic asset in the crypto space, attracting major investors and long-term holders. 3. Market Sentiment: Positive news about an altcoin reserve and Solana’s inclusion could further amplify its status as a leading blockchain in the market, pushing prices higher. Potential Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario (Breakout) If the SEC approves the Solana ETF and positive sentiment continues, the price is likely to break above the channel. Key levels to watch post-breakout: $220 (immediate resistance), $240, and $280. 2. Bearish Scenario (Rejection) If the ETF is rejected or market sentiment turns negative, the price might face rejection at the upper boundary of the channel. Downside levels to watch: $180 (support within the channel) and $165 (channel bottom). This chart and the accompanying news strongly indicate that Solana is at a pivotal moment. Traders should monitor the channel breakout closely and pay attention to ETF-related news and market reactions. With the potential approval of the ETF and increasing institutional interest, Solana could experience a significant rally, making it a key asset to watch in the short term.
Long
by wolfchemist
US100 Trade LogMarket Context: - The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum. Trade Parameters: - Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum . - Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions. - Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher. Missed Entry: - Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity. Retracement Importance: - Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades. Conclusion: - Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera
2
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !? TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle. YES the markets will still go to Valhalla. LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP. Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield. Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down. THE SETUP We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office. M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY. Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded. To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES. This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long. In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years. As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018. THE PLAYBOOK M2 Global Money Supply: Higher Dollar: Lower Fed Funds Rates: Lower 10YY: Lower Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral Inflation: Neutral TOOLS Tariffs Deregulation Tax Cuts Tax Reform T-Bills HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR? Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS. Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar. The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing. The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE. At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation. Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting. WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY? In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt. THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt. In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T. That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense. The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt. As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa. It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)… hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting. HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING? We’ve seen this before. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook. In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations. Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity. Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply. We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world. The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US. Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks. Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities. Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity. Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING ! That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
TVC:DXYLong
by jonnieking
Trump Media Target $100 Possible. Days Away from being in OfficeSomething is up with Tiktok, Donald Trump Jr., Elon Musk, Twitter and Facebook meetings with Trump, Trump WILL reward his shareholders, I know this FOR SURE. One of the best buying opportunities I have seen in a long while. I am buying the March $100 call options on any dips. Right now, as we speak, this is pushing the trend resistance at $42.63. Support at $40.00 - Volume is building over the past few weeks. Trump going into office will propel this big.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by Trance-Man
1