US100 NASDAQ SHORTThe US dollar is broadly firmer, though the Japanese yen is proving a resilient ahead of the BOJ deputy governor's speech
Nasdaq slide as key tech stocks get hit
All three benchmarks are down for the last two weeks, with tech shares causing most of the damage
With the 10-year yield potentially getting to 5%, it’s going to be very hard for the equity market to really gain any meaningful traction here until there’s — at minimum — stability in interest rates
Interest rates rise? iN 2025 it will be possible:Inflation, signs of recession.
Trump
Can DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Hit 171? Hey, trading family
DJT from Trump Media & Technology Group is hovering around $42 right now. If we can rally it up to $62.50 and break out of that triangle, we're in for an epic run. We're talking potential jumps to $106, then $142, and if the stars align, we could see $171! With all the buzz around the inauguration, this could be DJT's moment to shine.
If you're as excited about this potential breakout as I am, please give this post a boost, leave some love in the comments, or share it around! And if you want to chat more about this or need more trading insights, feel free to DM me or check out my profile for more.
Let's watch this one together and see if we can hit those numbers!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Can the Dollar Index Predict Global Chaos?In the intricate dance of global finance, the U.S. Dollar Index has emerged as a pivotal player, reaching heights unseen in over two years. This surge, coinciding with Donald Trump's anticipated return to the White House, underscores a market bracing for significant policy shifts. The index's climb is not just a number; it's a beacon reflecting the resilience of the U.S. economy amidst high interest rates and a low unemployment rate, painting a picture of optimism where investors envision a 'goldilocks' scenario under new economic policies.
However, this rise is shadowed by tariff threats, hinting at potential global trade disruptions. The depreciation of European currencies against the dollar signals a market in flux, with investors recalibrating their strategies in light of possible protectionist measures. This scenario challenges us to ponder the broader implications: How will these tariffs reshape international trade dynamics, and what does this mean for the global economic order that has favored open trade for decades?
The Dollar Index's ascent also prompts a deeper reflection on currency as a barometer of geopolitical stability. With the U.S. potentially stepping into a new era of economic policy, the world watches closely. This moment invites investors and policymakers alike to consider global economic relations' immediate impacts and long-term trajectory. Will this lead to a reevaluation of the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, or will it strengthen its position amidst global uncertainties? This question is not just about economics; it's about understanding the undercurrents of power and influence in a world at a crossroads.
Trump and the Impact on the Forex MarketTrump and the Impact on the Forex Market: Which Currencies Are Affected?
Donald Trump's election as President of the United States has often had a significant impact on global financial markets, including the forex market, which is particularly sensitive to political, economic and geopolitical developments. Forex is the largest and most liquid market in the world, where currencies are traded in real time, and any global event, such as a presidential election, can generate volatility.
In this article, we will analyze the impact that Trump's return to the White House could have on the forex market and which currency pairs could see the most movement.
The Context of Trump's Election
Donald Trump is known for his economic approach focused on economic nationalism and expansionary fiscal policy. During his previous administration, the focus on tax cuts, deregulation and a trade war with China had a profound impact on global currencies. Trump has also repeatedly expressed his willingness to keep the dollar weak to boost US exports, often criticizing the Federal Reserve for its monetary policies.
With his return to the presidency, one could expect a further push towards aggressive economic policies, such as tax cuts, fiscal stimulus and a greater emphasis on protectionism. This could have a knock-on effect on the US dollar and other related currencies.
Most Affected Currency Pairs
Below, we analyze the major forex pairs that could be most affected by Trump's inauguration:
1. EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)
The EUR/USD, the most traded pair in the world, is likely to be one of the most volatile.
Trump Effect: If Trump continues to push for expansionary fiscal policies, the dollar could weaken in the short term due to expectations of rising government debt. However, in the event of a more hawkish agenda from the Fed, the dollar could strengthen.
Geopolitical Focus: Any tensions between the United States and the European Union (related to trade tariffs or regulatory policies) could lead to a depreciation of the euro against the dollar.
2. USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen)
The Japanese yen, considered a safe haven currency, will be strongly affected.
Trump Effect: An increase in global uncertainty or geopolitical tensions could strengthen the yen against the dollar. However, a rise in US Treasury yields could push the dollar higher.
Likely Scenario: Trump's aggressive pro-growth policies could initially weaken the dollar against the yen, but a rise in US interest rates could reverse the trend.
3. USD/CNY (US Dollar/Chinese Yuan)
The trade war between the United States and China has been a central focus of the Trump administration.
Trump Effect: A return of protectionist policies, such as tariffs on Chinese goods, could lead to a devaluation of the yuan. This could push the USD/CNY pair to new highs, increasing tensions in the Asian markets.
Trader Focus: Traders will need to closely monitor Trump’s statements regarding trade relations with China.
4. GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar)
The British pound will be influenced mainly by post-Brexit trade relations.
Trump Effect: If Trump takes a more hawkish approach in relations with the UK, a devaluation of the pound could occur. However, an improvement in Anglo-American trade relations could support a strengthening of the GBP against the dollar.
5. AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar)
The AUD is often considered a proxy for global growth, given Australia’s dependence on exporting raw materials.
Trump Effect: Trade tensions between the US and China could hurt the Australian dollar. However, higher US infrastructure spending could support commodity prices and strengthen the AUD.
6. USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc)
The Swiss Franc, another safe haven currency, is sensitive to global uncertainties.
Trump Effect: If Trump’s inauguration leads to political or economic instability, the CHF could appreciate against the dollar.
Thanks for reading this article, as always, if you have any questions, please feel free.
Sincerely,
Andrea Russo
XRP IS STILL RANGING!!!!!!!FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
I hope all is well traders. These are the fundamentals/hype that have the XRP community buzzing.
1. Ripple vs SEC Update – Judge Approves Sealing of Key Documents
2. Gary Gensler, the Chairman of the SEC, has announced his resignation effective at noon on January 20, 2025
3. CEO Brad Garlinghouse met with President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago on January 7
The approval of sealing key documents definitely brings huge buzz for the community. In my personal opinion, if you are willing to hide any type of information then it is considered ALPHA. What kind of alpha that might be? Only the judge will ever know but if they are insisting on sealing some information then best believe it has pivotal data (technology, price predictions, future involvement with other companies/tech etc).
Gary Gensler leaving will also “potentially” send XRP to new highs since he was the main catalyst on why crypto was heavily regulated. There is a probability that price will sky rocket on 1/20 which on a technical outlook agrees (bias wise) to that theory. Now Brad Garlinghouse having dinner with the Donald Trump also has everyone going crazy. I see this both bullish and bearish as sometimes making it too obvious is too obvious. However this meet up gives positive conviction on the SEC vs RIPPLE case finally ending. As you can see, there is a bunch of moves being made with positive speculation but the charts will always tell it all.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
We are still ranging. On a technical standpoint price has not made any significant changes to give us a conviction for price to reach ATH. With that being said, this price action translates to the whales moving price sideways in order to prepare for the following big dates (SEC vs RIPPLE outcome and or Gary Genslers date of resignation). With those 2 major headlines weeks away, we can theorize that this accumulation is being created for this next leg up/down. As for my approach portfolio wise, I will be observing on the sidelines with my active buy limit orders on standby. Pro tip: This is a unit game, accumulate as much UNITs as you can because UNITs will buy you FREEDOM.
As always, trade safe.
Mr.Oazb
TRU or TRUfi Chart predictionTRU is in a multi-month support zone. You can buy more TRU at $0.077.
Hold term - Long Term.
Future Potential: TRUFi's decentralized finance (DeFi) platform enables efficient and transparent borrowing and lending. As the DeFi ecosystem grows, TRU could play a crucial role in addressing liquidity issues and offering financial services to the unbanked.
Latest News: TRUFi Partners with Major Financial Institution for Increased Liquidity
The SEC alleges that nearly half a billion dollars in TrueUSD (TUSD) is not properly backed, affecting pairs on major exchanges like Binance, Bybit, Gate.io, and Bitget.
TrueUSD is accused of using phony attestation reports, having opaque ownership structures, and secretly investing backing assets in risky, illiquid ventures.
The SEC's complaint suggests that since March 2020, TrueUSD's "commodity fund" misappropriated user funds, with 99% of TUSD's backing assets being illiquid as of this month.
Major investors like a16z, BlockTower, and Alameda Research invested $12.5 million in TrueUSD's governance token, TRU, despite the alleged misappropriation.
Binance listed TrueUSD and later made it the only stablecoin with fee-free trading, leading to $1.5 billion in TUSD mints, which the SEC claims were never fully backed.
The article emphasizes the need for radical transparency in the crypto industry to prevent fraud and suggests continuous scrutiny of major projects to avoid reliance on regulatory bodies like the SEC for cleanup.
Sterling sliding, Fed worried about TrumpThe British pound is on a nasty slide and has lost 1.8% since Monday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2294, down 0.53%. Earlier, the pound fell as low as 1.2237 (1%), it lowest level since Nov. 2023.
The latest setback for the pound was Thursday's British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price index, which came in at -1% in December, lower than the November reading of -0.4% and the market estimate of -0.6%. This was the lowest level since July 2021. This points to weaker consumer spending, a key engine of the economy.
The BRC has projected that food inflation will continue to accelerate, which will add to the squeeze that weary consumers are feeling from inflation and high interest rates. The UK government introduced a "tax and spend" budget last October but retailers have argued that this recipe will lead to retail job cuts and higher prices.
The Federal Reserve minutes of the December meeting, released on Wednesday, indicated that policy makers were concerned about the upside risk to inflation, particularly due to incoming President-elect Trump's potential trade and immigration policies. Trump has promised to slap punishing tariffs on US trade partners, including China. Trump has also called for mass deportations of illegal immigrants.
The minutes did not mention Trump by name but there was no doubt that Fed members had Trump in mind. Members noted their concern that inflation could rise due to "the likely effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy".
Members also indicated that the Fed was "at or near the point" of slowing the pace of easing. After starting the easing cycle with a jumbo rate cut of 50 basis points, the Fed has delivered back-to-back cuts of 25 basis points. At the December meeting, the Fed lowered its rate forecast for 2025 to two cuts, down from four in the September forecast.
After the December meeting, the currency markets reacted sharply to the revised forecast and the US dollar shot up against the majors. The Fed again sounded hawkish in the minutes but this time the US dollar showed little movement against the majors, with the exception of GBP/USD.
GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2292. Below, there is support at 1.2220
1.2393 and 1.2465 are the next resistance lines
#TRU/USDT Ready to go higher#TRU
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 30-minute frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 0.0780
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.0795
First target 0.0810
Second target 0.0836
Third target 0.0863
$1.39 to $7.08 vertical 409% within 1 hour of market open $CURR$1.5B exchanged hands on it today, biggest stock of the day
We actually took a loss on this trade wanting too much from the vertical, aiming for $8 - $10, instead exited at pre-planned stop loss then made double more on next two trades which were NASDAQ:VRME and NASDAQ:NITO
What is MAGA Coin, and what details should investors know?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
My Personal View and Technical Analysis of This Cryptocurrency:
All cryptocurrencies associated with prominent figures have high potential but are also highly volatile and risky. However, they can be good choices for short-term gains and periodic profits. The technical chart for this asset shows a strong upward trend, although we may witness some bearish retracements if the last Fibonacci support indicated on the chart is broken. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post provided by the website, this is merely my personal opinion and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
What is MAGA Coin (TRUMP)?
MAGA Coin is a meme coin inspired by former U.S. President Donald Trump. It was launched by an anonymous team of developers who sent a significant amount of tokens to Trump's wallet. The coin primarily serves as a tool to support conservative causes and the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, acting as a new way to raise funds for these goals. A portion of the total supply, about 10%, is reserved for projects supporting Trump, including donations to political candidates and campaigns aligned with the MAGA movement.
How to Buy MAGA Coin?
To buy MAGA Coin, you can use centralized or decentralized exchanges. First, you need to create an account on an exchange that lists MAGA Coin. It’s essential to choose a secure trading platform with strong security measures like two-factor authentication and data encryption. The transaction fees should also be reasonable to avoid diminishing your profits. Make sure the platform supports MAGA Coin and offers an easy-to-use interface for smooth trading. Reading user reviews and online feedback can help you choose the right platform.
Who is the Founder of MAGA Coin?
MAGA Coin was created by a team of anonymous developers. At the time of the project’s launch, 580,000 TRUMP tokens were sent to Donald Trump's wallet. While the identities of those behind the project are not publicly disclosed, it’s speculated that they are supporters of Donald Trump, especially those backing his 2024 presidential bid.
Should You Invest in MAGA Coin?
Investing in MAGA Coin (TRUMP) carries high risk due to its volatility and speculative nature. Its value is influenced by political events and market sentiment. The future of Trump-related cryptocurrencies depends on political support and the popularity of influential figures like Trump and Elon Musk.
Like other meme coins, MAGA Coin follows unique investment dynamics. It has seen extreme price fluctuations, ranging from a low of $0.007792 to a high of $17.52 within a year, now trading around $3. Its value is primarily driven by speculation, though it has a practical use: raising funds for MAGA campaigns. MAGA Coin’s performance can also be impacted by broader market trends and the success of other meme coins. Its value will undoubtedly be affected by political activities surrounding Donald Trump and public perception. Some analysts predict that MAGA Coin could see significant gains if Trump’s political success continues, especially in the 2024 election.
Other Cryptocurrencies Related to Donald Trump:
1. Trump Coin (TRUMP): Launched in 2023 by a team in the UK, this coin runs on the BNB Smart Chain and rewards holders with USDT.
2. Free Trump (FreeTrump): Created in 2024 amid allegations against Donald Trump.
3. Trump Coin: Introduced in 2016, this coin represents a patriotic digital currency supporting conservative values.
4. YUGE: A political meme coin launched in 2024 to fight censorship and promote free speech.
5. Trump Inu: Launched in 2024 on the Ethereum network, with 1% of its tax donated to charities.
6. Super Trump Coin: Designed as a symbol of Trump’s principles like limited government and free-market economics.
7. Donald Trump Coin: Introduced on the Ethereum blockchain in 2024, this coin supports Trump’s election campaigns and serves as a symbol of support against legal challenges.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
MAGA Coin (TRUMP) is a meme coin inspired by Donald Trump, primarily used to support conservative causes and the MAGA movement. While highly volatile and risky, it offers potential for short-term gains, with a portion of the supply reserved for Trump-related projects. Investing in MAGA Coin depends on political events and market sentiment, with its value closely tied to Trump’s popularity and political success.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's decisions!In the 4-hour timeframe, copper is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone.
According to experts, commodity prices are expected to decline in 2025 due to a weak global economic outlook and the resurgence of the US dollar. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified three key political developments in their latest report that could shape the strategy of US President-elect Donald Trump. These developments include changes in tariff policies, Trump’s preference for introducing a large, comprehensive bill, and his plan to fund tax cuts through tariffs.
Deutsche Bank notes that the year will largely be influenced by the combination of policies Trump proposes. However, it seems unlikely that a comprehensive bill addressing both border and tax issues will be ready before April or May.
Experts believe that Trump is likely to use Section 232 investigations to impose sector-specific tariffs. These investigations allow the government to implement tariffs on the grounds of national security.
Deutsche Bank forecasts that Trump will employ multiple tariff approaches, including legislative and executive actions. Analysts suggest that Trump may attempt to enact broader tariffs through legislation, as this is the only way tariff revenues can be incorporated into the budget reconciliation process by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Two key bills in Congress related to the revocation of China’s normal trade status have been highlighted as important areas to monitor in this regard.
This multi-faceted approach and the varying timelines for imposing tariffs introduce significant complexities and risks. However, from a financial perspective, Deutsche Bank predicts that Trump’s fiscal policies may have more moderate impacts, potentially easing some of the existing tensions.
Markets are also watching for further moves by China to stimulate its economy in hopes that such measures might revive demand for commodities in the world’s second-largest economy. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced plans to cut interest rates and required bank reserves. However, the market is looking for more tangible actions to directly support consumers, rather than simply increasing public sector wages. In other words, the market seeks renewed confidence and vitality in the economy.
Nonetheless, the lack of transparency in China’s economy remains a pressing issue. Even within China and among government officials, there appears to be no clear understanding of the economic situation. Public sentiment remains highly negative and has not recovered since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite these challenges, China continues to excel in certain sectors. For instance, the country has achieved notable success in the automotive and artificial intelligence industries. Additionally, China is still considered the easiest place in the world to manufacture anything. However, these advantages ultimately need to translate into improved domestic consumption to create lasting positive effects.
In a note, BMI stated that potential slowdowns in the energy transition due to Trump’s policy changes could dampen the green energy sentiment that bolstered prices in 2024.
John Gross, president of John Gross Consulting, told CNBC that while copper prices peaked in May 2024 due to market pressures, they have since been in a downward trend, which is expected to continue. He added, “A complex combination of high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a strong dollar will negatively impact metal markets.”
Will History Repeat as Major Currencies Dance Toward Parity?In a dramatic shift that has captured the attention of global financial markets, the euro-dollar relationship stands at a historic crossroads, with leading institutions forecasting potential parity by 2025. This seismic development, triggered by Donald Trump's November election victory and amplified by mounting geopolitical tensions, signals more than just a currency fluctuation—it represents a fundamental realignment of global financial power dynamics.
The confluence of diverging monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe and persistent economic challenges in Germany's industrial heartland has created a perfect storm in currency markets. European policymakers face the delicate task of maintaining supportive measures. At the same time, their American counterparts adopt a more cautious stance, setting the stage for what could become a defining moment in modern financial history.
This potential currency convergence carries implications far beyond trading desks. It challenges traditional assumptions about economic power structures and reevaluates global investment strategies. As geopolitical tensions escalate and economic indicators paint an increasingly complex picture, market participants must navigate a landscape where historical precedents offer limited guidance. The journey toward potential parity serves as a compelling reminder that in today's interconnected financial world, currency movements reflect not just economic fundamentals but the broader forces reshaping our global order.
Conclusion
The current landscape presents unprecedented challenges for the EUR/USD pair, driven by economic fundamentals and geopolitical tensions. One significant concern is the potential release of sensitive footage from Israel (by the Israeli National Security Agency (NSA) from Hamas body cameras, containing graphic atrocities from the October 7th incident.), which could threaten European stability. These developments go beyond simple market dynamics and have the potential to reshape the social and political fabric of Europe.
Market professionals emphasize the importance of adaptable strategies and the vigilant monitoring of key indicators. Investors must prepare for increased volatility while maintaining strong risk management frameworks. The pressure on the euro-dollar relationship is likely to persist, making strategic positioning and careful market analysis more crucial than ever in navigating these turbulent waters.
Gold - Ready to break higher as tariff tensions escalateGold has made modest ground through Asia, adding $8 on the day, however, the news flow certainly suggests a higher probability that we could soon see increasing buying flows, as investors start to seek out portfolio protection from the incoming tariff hostilities.
News that China added to its gold reserves for a second consecutive month in December, taking its reserves rise to 73.29m ounces from 72.96m in November, is one supportive factor.
Another could be its role as a hedge against the impending tariff news flow.
Tariffs are well known to markets and the idea that Trump will come in on 20 January and put through orders to hit various economies with tariffs is firmly discounted.
What is not priced is aspect of the counter response and the potential retaliation measures…. Of course, It’s not as if anyone expects those nations targeted by Trump’s tariffs to simply take it without a counter response, but it depends on what that response looks like and whether it leads to a painful and protracted tit for tat ‘battle’ that plays out on socials and the media headlines.
Today, amid Justin Trudeau’s resignation, speculation in the Canadian press suggested the Canadians could preannounce a list of US goods that will face retaliatory tariffs in the case of Trump hitting them with 25% tax on all Canadian products. Publishing this list before Trump takes office would be seen as a step in aggression and would not be taken well by either Trump and Jamieson Greer.
In China/HK, the US Defence department has added Tencent to its list of Chinese military companies operating in the US. Not a tariff as such, but this geopolitical development would be a big surprise, not just to the company (shares are -7.3%), but would be seen as an act in bad faith by the Chinese government. China themselves would be preparing for the worst when it comes to tariffs – they have not adhered to any of promises made in the prior agreements to buy certain US goods in a gesture to reduce the US trade deficit.
Trump will use that as in his negotiations, and if there is one economy that is unlikely to get much of a cushion in the upcoming trade talks, its China.
How will China respond? Depreciate the RMB, look at trade ties with other nations (we’re certainly seeing that with China-Mexico forging ties) or come back with counter tariffs on US imports.
The Washington Post reported yesterday that Trump’s aides were exploring universal tariffs only on critical imports and not on all goods – a fact that that was quickly shut down by Trump. If the WaPo are credible, and many suspect this will be the case, it ultimately could be a positive for risk in the long run. However, in the near-term, if the Canadian news comes to fruition, I think it opens the idea that we should prepare now for tit for tat retaliation, and its here where investors may start to look at gold as a hedge against this impending hawkish news flow.
So, while it all depends how hard ball each party wants to appear, it could create a new level of noise and uncertainty that could see higher market volatility and push gold through the range highs of $2726 and towards $2800.
Trudeau’s Expected Resignation Prompts Dollar ReboundThe USD/CAD pair hit 1.4379, reflecting a rebound from its earlier January 2016 lows, as traders react to the potential resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. This possible political shift has also strengthened the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, causing the loonie to pare some of its earlier gains. Trudeau's anticipated departure, amid public and legislative pressure, adds an element of political uncertainty in Canada, which could impact the CAD's stability. Meanwhile, in the U.S., President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans are being recalibrated to target only critical imports, a shift from his campaign's universal tariff approach. This adjustment aims to mitigate widespread disruptions and price increases, potentially supporting market stability and investor confidence. As these geopolitical and economic factors unfold, traders should remain vigilant, as developments in Canadian leadership and U.S. trade policies could introduce further volatility and influence USD/CAD dynamics.
SPX 2025 7000+ The most likely scenario.Experts who forecast stock market collapses and peddle narratives of financial despair often refrain from investing in the very concepts they promote; otherwise, they would face severe financial ruin on a repeated basis.
From the very beginning of this decade, I have championed a bold, risk-taking stance, predicting that these years will be remembered as the roaring 2020's, a time marked by an echo bubble of the 1920's.
This era is defined by the powerful convergence of technology, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, all propelling asset prices to new heights. The wealth generated by these colossal corporations and blockchain innovations is accumulating and concentrating, leaving behind individuals who are not part of these transformative trends.
Meanwhile, everyday people are grappling with a significant inflationary wave, as the value of their fiat currency continues to dwindle. To compound the issue, in 2024 around 150,000 workers have been laid off from giants like Tesla and Microsoft, a direct result of automation.
In this relentless struggle, machines are emerging victorious.
The age-old saying that markets lack a reason to rise but require one to fall or underperform holds particularly true, especially in the good old USA.
It’s reasonable to think that 2025 will not replicate the precise calendar movements of 2024 so it's prudent to lean towards performance tracking other years such as...
2017, the SPX return stood at 18%, marking it as the year that most closely aligns with 2025, the inaugural year of Trump's presidency.
Fast forward to 2023, where the percentage rose to 24%, making it the nearest reference point in the short term. As we are predicting a continuation of the bull market.
Meanwhile, 2021 reached a peak of 29%, representing the euphoric climax of that cyclical bull market, a scenario that could very well repeat itself in 2025.
The emerging pattern for 2025 appears to be shaped by these three pivotal years. Given that we are now nearer to the conclusion of the bull market than its inception, it seems prudent to draw insights from the trends of 2021 and 2023.
RBOB post tariff structure and range to take advantage of!Hi guys today we are starting off with RBOB , which has been quiet for the past month and it has been trading in a structured range between 2.05 as a high resistance and 1.92 / 1.94 as strong support. As of today we are currently sitting at the given support line of 1.92 and the latest news which came from President Trump that he will impose tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Imports , which would probably impact and touch the Oil Industry. The U.S. imports 4M barrels of Crude Oil every single day from Canada and around 900-1M barrels of Oil Crude Oil from Mexico. These tariffs would definitely touch the consumer as a long term which would give us a boost into the overall demand / supply play around the prices of Petroleum Products.
Current entry RBOB (Gasoline)
1.9300 entry level, with two separate targets.
Target 1: 1.9755
Target 2: 2.0310
The strategy can be repeated after the targets are touched with a patient retracement of the lower support line and input similar targets.
Bitcoin Year 2025Market analysts and crypto experts anticipate that Bitcoin could soar to $600K this year, fueled by supportive policies and growing institutional adoption. Key drivers include deregulation efforts and pro-crypto measures under the current administration. President Trump has also reshaped the political landscape by appointing lawmakers who strongly advocate for cryptocurrency, setting the stage for a potential rally.
2024 is a wrap - time for 2025 outlook - let's go2024 will be a memorable year
-23% gains
-Mag 7 + Semiconductors + Bitcoin all contributing nicely
-PLTR was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 (impressive 340.48%)
As always, 2024 wasn't in a straight line up, though it felt like it at times
VIX had #1 and #2 largest single day moves ever (Aug 5 and Dec 18)
April was a sticky inflation pullback month
August was a Bank of Japan deleveraging weekend scare
FED dominated the catalysts with guidance, narrative, and wait and see between employment and inflation data
2025 will bring new president, new policy, new Republican power. Many were excited about this but there are still checks and balances and markets need more reassurance than hyperbole. I plan to look at income plays and trading plays were buy and hold. Whatever I do own equities and ETFs wise, I want protection just in case the market isn't as straightforward and bullish like it has been since Oct 2022.
Happy New Year - thanks for watching!!! See you in 2025!!!
DJT: Will It Break $33.85 or $38.55 First? DJT is at a tipping point, and it could go either way. Here’s what to watch so you’re ready for the next big move.
1) If DJT Drops Below $33.85
If this level breaks, things could get rough. Here’s what might happen:
-$28–$26: This is the first stop where the price might chill for a bit.
-$10: If the selling gets heavy, this is where we could end up.
2) If DJT Pops Above $38.55
If the bulls take charge, it could be time to ride the wave higher:
A break above $38.55 could spark a nice rally and push the price upward.
What’s the Plan?
-Keep an eye on $33.85 and $38.55—they’re the magic numbers.
-Be patient and wait for a clear move before jumping in.
If this makes sense, toss me a like or follow. Got questions about DJT or another stock you’re stuck on? Hit me up in the DMs—I’m here to help.
And hey, if you’re feeling burned out or stressed about trading, let’s talk. I’m all about helping you find your balance and keeping things sustainable. Chill, stay focused, and let’s catch the next wave together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See