Trump
XRP on Sale?As posted before we are in a bullish liquidation zone on xrp between $2.30-2.69. XRP completed a bearish butterfly pattern in the recent market liquidation this past weekend. I now expect it to settle around the support of $2.30 and trend upward towards $2.69, $3, $4, $5.
This is NFA. Good luck! 🤠
- R2C
TRUMPUSDT - THE FINAL CHAPTER!Come here the final chapter and the major analysis (thorough on trumpusdt)
Here i drew this, the above image. where you can see two red boxes followed by a black line with a big arrow towards the top, what it means? and this chart what youre seeing is quite new where no one does it quite the way i do,
The TRUMPUSDT 1-hour chart shows a clear bearish trend, with price steadily declining from the $26-$25 range to its current level around $15-$16. Volume profile analysis indicates that the Point of Control (POC) has shifted lower, suggesting that sellers remain dominant, with significant distribution occurring at higher levels. The major sell-off around February 15 led to a consolidation phase before another breakdown, with high-volume nodes (HVN) around $23-$22 acting as resistance, preventing any sustainable rebound. A noticeable low-volume node (LVN) gap exists between $18-$17, which means price could move quickly between these levels. Currently, price is sitting near a low-volume area, indicating a potential expansion move soon. If sellers continue to dominate, further downside toward $14.50 or even $13.50 is likely, as there is no strong support below. However, if buyers step in at the $15 support zone, a relief bounce to $16.50-$17 could occur, with a breakout above $18 leading to a retest of $19-$20. The market remains bearish unless price reclaims $18+ with strong volume, making $14.50 a critical breakdown zone and $18 a key resistance for any reversal. Overall, sellers are in control, but watch for signs of demand at key support levels for major reversals, NOW, will i get a big candle? Ah Yees! you will get that!
Follow the extended chart posted next!
TRUMPUSDT Buy LimitTrump Coin has a signal at the 13.2 level. A buy limit order can be placed at this level for a long-term position. The current consolidation range is between the 16 and 20.5 levels, and it is likely that the price will return inside this consolidation range after a retest of the 13.2 level.
Trump's Golden RatioTrump has launched his own personal token that he will use solely for his own benefit for bribes and money laundering. He's not a politician, he's a businessman who knows how to make money. Creating his own cryptocurrencies is direct proof of that. The $TRUMP token plays a role as the president's personal token for the Republicans to donate to him and a legal way to get money from other politicians. The whole saga with his token is just beginning, it is one of the few steps in building the Trump family the greatest business ever.
As far as the chart is concerned, we should wait for a bounce into the golden section area. Now there was a FUD regarding the ByBit hack, it's like a fake attempt to panic the crowd, but it didn't work with smart people. Only the strongest are left here, who have survived everything they can.
Horban Brothers.
Solana (SOL/USDT) Showing Bearish Signs – Further Downside 1DSolana (SOL) is currently displaying bearish price action on the charts. After failing to hold key support levels, the price has started trending downward, signaling potential further downside.
Large market participants appear to be interested in accumulating Solana at lower price levels. Current price action suggests that smart money is patiently waiting for a deeper pullback before stepping in with significant buy orders.
Potentially interesting entry points for Solana could be approaching very soon. With the current bearish price action, the market may offer attractive opportunities for buyers looking to enter at discounted levels.
Total2 Bullish Setup: Potential Altcoin Breakout IncomingThe Total2 chart, representing the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, is showing strong bullish signs, suggesting a potential altcoin breakout.
Should watch for confirmation signals such as increased volume, BTC dominance trends, and key breakout levels to position for potential high-reward altcoin opportunities.
DId you trap the sellers or you again got trapped? - TRUMPUSDT!Thank you so much for the behemoth support for TRUMPUSDT! The updates on trumpusdt states that there are two red boxes which implies support or good OB's and the nPoc is listed, means the pull is inevitable, but when? marked oranges as how activity and pull back can happen! if breaks the green line is there, then the big candle,.
With more days to go, the OB can change overtime nd so is the analysis. 15.34 shall be the buys. Though its very very bearish pattern but just trying to aim the volume surge or trap the sellers for your benefits. I would be again updating when it reaches the last red box. Keep buys ready!
XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TRUMPUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal#TRUMPUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal
H4 - Exit from the local channel + formation of the 3rd wave, after correction of more than 70% of the previous impulse. Stop for the minimum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 17.455
TP: 18.440 - 20.100 - 22.586 - 26.316 *30.085
Stop: 15.494
Are you ready to get trapped? Or trap the trappers in $TRUMP?Well ive posted two such instances where I mentioned you the parabolic turn will pull it up. THis could be a dead cat bounce again where you can plan things out, MOST IMP is if the FVG LINE holds, then itself place a buy, because if it holds, market would erraticly move up shortly, So red box is what you wish to hold and IF IT DOES, you get a good call. Still good for shorts till 15.44. Another block is needed for reverse order to take in place!
$PLTR WILL RETEST $112-115 PIVOT POINTAn overreaction in financial markets occurs when securities are excessively overbought or oversold, driven more by psychological factors than by underlying fundamentals.
The last two-day dip was excessively sold off.
BUY NASDAQ:PLTR NOW TO GET THE DEAD CAT BOUNCE OR RESTEST OF $112-115.
From there, let's see if the market pushes NASDAQ:PLTR to $120 or higher.
Investing in Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) could be appealing for several reasons:
Strong Growth Potential: Analysts expect Palantir to experience significant business volume growth in the coming years, with high growth rates anticipated.
High Profit Margins: The company has particularly high margins before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, contributing to strong profitability.
Financial Stability: Palantir has a sound financial situation, providing it with significant leeway for investment and expansion.
Positive Analyst Revisions: Over the past year, analysts have regularly revised their sales and earnings forecasts upwards, reflecting renewed optimism about the company's future performance
Will We See the Euro Trading Below Par?CME: Micro EUR/USD Futures ( CME_MINI:M6E1! ) #Microfutures
Since the US election last November, the Euro currency has lost ground against the US dollar, with the EUR/USD exchange rate sliding from 1.08 to as low as 1.02.
A combination of new policies from the Trump administration aims to strengthen the dollar. Recent efforts to end the geopolitical crisis will not support the euro. On the contrary, they could push the European common currency below the critical 1-dollar level.
Quick Review of the EUR/USD Price Trend
The euro has swung widely against central bank policies and geopolitical events:
• 2020: The Fed implemented massive stimulus measures in response to the pandemic. Lowering interest rates and increasing money supply reduced the value of the USD
• 2021: The faster vaccine rollout and quicker reopening of the US economy boosted economic growth and investor sentiment towards the USD
• 2022: (1) The Fed raised interest rates to combat inflation, making the USD more attractive to investors compared to the Euro. (2) Europe faced an energy crisis due to its dependence on Russian gas. This crisis led to economic uncertainty and weakened the euro. (3) Ongoing geopolitical tensions created economic instability in Europe, further weakening the euro against the USD
• Q4 2022 and 2023: European Central Bank abandoned its long-held zero-rate policy in September 2022. It raised rates eight times to 4.00%. These actions narrowed the interest rate differentials between the US and Europe, and helped the euro rebound
• 2024: The EUR/USD moved mainly sideways in the range of 1.06 and 1.12. Fed easing and rebounds of US inflation contributed to the mild volatility.
• Q4 2024 to Current. Dollar ascended quickly after the election win of Donald Trump. Investors expect strong dollar with the support of the new America First policies
Ukraine Peace Talks and Possible Outcomes
On February 12th, Presidents Trump and Putin agreed to immediately start negotiations to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. On February 18th, US and Russian officials held peace talks in Saudi Arabia. The two sides agreed to create a high-level team to lead the Ukraine peace talks. Neither Ukraine nor the EU participated in the meeting.
How the peace talks would progress remain highly uncertain. Using Game Theory, we could break them down into two mutually exclusive and collectively inclusive outcomes:
• Peace: US, Russia, Ukraine and the EU sign a peace agreement to end the conflict and ensure long-lasting peace. Whether it will be a fair treaty is a hotly debated topic.
• No-Peace: Peace talks break down. The 3-year-long conflict continues. This could last for years but eventually will lead to a win/loss outcome or a draw.
From an investing perspective, “No-Peace” is equivalent to “Risk On”. It may imply higher gold prices, higher energy costs and lower equity value. Meanwhile, “Peace” means “Risk Off”. We may see declining gold, lower oil and gas, and rising stock prices.
However, it would be difficult to pick the price direction if we can’t predict the outcome.
Peace or No Peace – A Steep Cost for Europe
For better or worse, the recent events are a wakeup call to European countries.
The US had defense spending totaling $967 billion in 2024, which is 3.49% of its GDP. For a comparison, the total defense spending for EU member states reached $358 billion in 2024. This represents around 1.9% of the EU's GDP
• The US accounted for 73% of the defense spending in the 32 countries in NATO
• Since 2022, the US contributed to 2/3 of all the financial aids sending to Ukraine
The US administration intends to cut its financial support. Europe will have to increase defense spending dramatically. In a worst case, a complete breakdown in Cross-Atlantic relations could see the US exiting NATO and all US troops withdrawing from Europe.
How much is the spending gap? In 2024, Russia had defense budget of $462 billion, or 6.7% of its GDP. Ukraine had defense budget of $40 billion, or 22% of its GDP.
• EU plus Ukraine spent $64 billion less than Russia in defense budget.
In my opinion, in a Peace scenario and with reduced US involvement, the EU defense budget must surpass that of Russia to ensure Ukraine to stay on top. I find this to be 2.5% of GDP. This means a 32% increase or $471 billion in total defense spending.
For No-Peace, the EU will be fighting an active war. NATO will need to maintain a standing army of 1 million troops and rebuild an entire defense industry. In this scenario, I feel that the defense budget needs to double 5% of GDP. budget to raise a large army and rebuild an entire defense industry. This means a 163% increase or $942 billion in total defense spending.
If the above numbers sound outrageous, Israel, a country constantly fighting for its survival, will serve as a good refence point. In 2024, Israel's defense spending amounted to 117.5 billion Israeli shekels (around $32.5 billion USD), which is 6.7% of its GDP.
The EU has an estimated GDP growth at 0.9% in 2024 and a forecast growth of 1.5% in 2025. The defense budget increase will cause mandatory cuts in non-defense spending. The combined effect will be negative, pushing GDP growth into a negative territory.
In my opinion, re-arming Europe is critical to its survival. However, defense buildup comes at a steep cost. The expectations of lower GDP growth will push the value of Euro currency lower, likely below the 1-dollar critical level.
Commitment of Traders shows diminishing bullish sentiment
The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on February 11th, total Open Interest (OI) for CME Euro FX Futures is 622,873 contracts. “Asset Manager” (i.e., hedge funds) own 338,182 in Long, 177,937 in Short and 35,597 in Spreading.
• While they maintain a long-short ratio of 1.9:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 1,014 while increasing short positions by 2,249.
• This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on the Euro.
Trade Setup with Micro Euro/USD Futures
If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the CME Micro Euro/USD Futures ($M6E).
M6E contracts have a notional value of 12,500 euro. With February 19th settlement price of 1.0435, each March contract (M6EH5) has a notional value of $13,044. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $260.
Hypothetically, a trader shorts March M6E contract and the euro drops to $0.99. A short futures position would gain $668.75 (= (1.0435 – 0.99) x $12500). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +257% (= 668.75 / 260).
The risk of shorting euro futures is rising euro. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set a stop-loss at 1.06 when entering the short order at 1.0435. If euro rebounds, the maximum loss would be $206.25 ( = (1.06 – 1.0435) *12500).
To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site:
www.cmegroup.com
The Leap trading competition, #TheFuturesLeap, sponsored by CME Group, is currently running at TradingView. I encourage you to join The Leap to sharpen your trading skills and put your trading strategies at test, competing with your peers in this paper trading challenge sponsored by CME Group.
www.tradingview.com
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Buy the Dip: TEM is a Resilient AI Healthcare Pick for 2025Tempus AI NASDAQ:TEM is presenting a compelling investment opportunity as we move into 2025. This health tech company, focused on leveraging AI for precision medicine, has weathered a recent downturn and is showing strong signs of recovery. After a 4 week correction that presented a chance to buy at a discount, TEM has finally shown the ability to rally.
This recovery makes it a particularly interesting prospect for several reasons:
1. AI's Continued Rise: The field of artificial intelligence is advancing at breakneck speed, and Tempus is at the forefront of applying these advancements to healthcare. Their work in areas like genomic sequencing and data analysis for personalized treatment plans positions them exceptionally well to capitalize on this megatrend.
2. Weathering the Political Storm: Tempus's core business is less vulnerable to possible tariffs that may be introduced by incoming President Trump. Healthcare, particularly innovative approaches to disease treatment, remains a critical sector regardless of the political landscape. Furthermore, Tempus' customers being mostly internal U.S. customers provides further resilience in the face of possible tariffs.
3. Technical Rebound: As the attached chart illustrates, TEM is in the midst of a technical bounce back. The recent price action suggests that the sell-off may be overdone, and the stock is finding support at current levels. The upward sloping support and resistance lines indicate a potential 40-80% gain if TEM can continue to show resilience in the face of selling pressure. The stock currently trades below it's 20 day EMA, but the recent rally shows that it could potentially find support along this average before continuing to trend upwards.
In Conclusion:
Tempus AI offers a unique combination of growth potential in a rapidly expanding sector, resilience to potential political headwinds, and a technically attractive entry point. While all investments carry risk, TEM's current profile suggests it's a stock worth serious consideration for gaining exposure to the intersection of AI and healthcare in 2025, especially at these highly discounted prices.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Remember,
Patience is Paramount.
Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing?
While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE.
Confluences👇🏻
⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High.
⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap).
⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us.
According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future.
Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive.
He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.”
Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.”
He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.”
Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency.
Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting.
Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points.
Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940.
Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.