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Is This the Bottom? MELANIAUSDT at a Critical Turning PointThe Market is at a Crossroads – What Comes Next? Twelve days ago, MELANIAUSDT.P stood at its absolute high of $14.496, but since then, it has collapsed an astonishing 87.1%, currently trading near its absolute low of $1.865, which was just set today​. The sell-off has been relentless, but is the market about to reverse? Technical indicators are signaling extreme oversold conditions—RSI(14) at 25.23, deep into the danger zone where price often finds a local bottom​. The MFI(60) also hovers at 30.98, confirming weak buying pressure, but with a potential for reversal. Despite this, the asset remains below its key moving averages (MA50 at 2.115, MA100 at 2.252), meaning bulls have significant resistance ahead​. Short-term price action is dominated by volume spread analysis (VSA) patterns, showing alternating waves of aggressive buying and selling​. Is this the moment for buyers to step in, or will we see another leg down before any real recovery? With resistance sitting at $1.988 and $2.086, a breakout above these levels could ignite a rapid short squeeze​. Time is ticking—will the market hold this level, or is another flush-out incoming? Stay tuned. MELANIAUSDT Roadmap: Tracing the Market's Footsteps Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. What’s Next? The current technicals suggest we are at a make-or-break point. MELANIAUSDT is hugging its absolute low at $1.865, with resistance lurking at $1.988 and $2.086. The market’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground or if sellers continue to apply pressure. Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly! Tracking the Market Moves: Key Confirmed Patterns The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. Technical & Price Action Analysis Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder. Support Levels: 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside) Resistance Levels: 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum) 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room) 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle) Stay sharp, watch for volume confirmation, and manage risk accordingly! The price action of MELANIAUSDT has been a rollercoaster, with alternating surges of buy and sell volume dictating the flow. Let’s break down the confirmed patterns that shaped the recent market landscape. Phase 1: The Build-Up – Buy Side Takes Control January 27, 08:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 2.358 | Close: 2.446 | High: 2.55 Buyers stepped in hard, pushing MELANIAUSDT to $2.55, signaling bullish momentum. This pattern held strong as price action followed through. January 29, 19:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" Direction: Buy Open: 2.3 | Close: 2.309 | High: 2.349 The price maintained upward movement, proving the prior bullish pattern was valid. Phase 2: The Reversal – Sellers Take Charge January 29, 18:00 UTC – "Increased Sell Volumes" Direction: Sell Open: 2.317 | Close: 2.3 | Low: 2.224 Despite an earlier bullish run, sellers regained momentum, pushing prices lower. January 31, 15:00 UTC – "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 4th" Direction: Sell Open: 2.086 | Close: 2.105 | Low: 2.086 The sell-off gained further traction as the price failed to recover above key resistance levels. Phase 3: The Last Stand – Bullish Bounce Attempts February 1, 00:00 UTC – "Increased Buy Volumes" Direction: Buy Open: 1.935 | Close: 1.936 | High: 2.021 Price briefly bounced, testing $2.021, but lacked follow-through strength. February 1, 01:00 UTC – "Buy Volumes Takeover" Direction: Sell Open: 1.936 | Close: 1.921 | Low: 1.916 Buyers lost the battle, confirming further downside pressure. Technical & Price Action Analysis Key support and resistance levels define the battlefield for MELANIAUSDT. If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance zones, making upside moves harder. Support Levels: 1.863 (Critical last low, any break could mean fresh downside) Resistance Levels: 1.988 (Immediate overhead resistance, must break for bullish momentum) 2.086 (Key level, reclaiming it opens more upside room) 3.306 (Far target, but if bulls wake up, it’s the next big hurdle) Trading Strategies Based on Rays The concept of Rays from the Beginning of Movement offers a unique perspective in technical analysis. These rays, built on Fibonacci and geometric principles, help define dynamic levels that guide price movement. Instead of static levels, rays adjust dynamically, ensuring a more adaptive trading approach. Optimistic Scenario: If the price interacts with 1.863 and holds, the first target would be 1.988, the second 2.086, and the third 3.306. Moving Averages confirmation above these levels can signal a continued bullish push. Pessimistic Scenario: A breakdown below 1.863 flips it into resistance, opening the path to new lows. Bearish confirmation via VSA rays and moving averages crossovers would solidify this outlook. Potential Trades: Long Entry at 1.863: Targeting 1.988 with a stop below 1.850. Breakout Trade above 2.086: Aiming for 3.306, stop-loss near 2.000. Short at Resistance Rejection (1.988-2.086): Stop above the level, targeting previous support. Watch for interaction with rays before entering trades—these levels define the battleground where market players decide the next big move! If you have any questions, drop them in the comments! Let’s discuss potential setups, share insights, and improve our trading decisions together. 🚀 Don’t forget to Boost this idea, save it, and check back later to see how price respects the levels I’ve marked—because understanding reaction zones is everything in trading! My proprietary indicator automatically maps out all rays and levels, but it’s available only in Private Access. If you’re interested in using it, send me a message. I also provide custom technical analysis on any asset you need. Some analyses I share for free, while others can be private if you don’t want your setup made public. Let’s discuss your request! Rays work on all assets, and price moves accordingly. If you want a markup for a specific asset, make sure to Boost this post and write in the comments—I’ll do my best to cover it! Make sure to follow me on TradingView so you never miss a new analysis. All updates and ideas are posted here first! 📈🔥
Short
by brandlabelden
2
TRUMPUSDT – Ready for a Rebound or Further Decline?Key Moment for TRUMPUSDT: Buy Signal or Last Warning? The market is at a crossroads, and TRUMPUSDT is no exception. Currently trading at $24.179, this asset has plummeted over 70% from its all-time high of $83.041, recorded just 13 days ago. Such a steep decline begs the question: is this the moment of capitulation, or the perfect time to buy the dip? Technicals indicate oversold conditions. RSI(14) at 30.9 signals that sellers may be exhausting their momentum, while MFI(60) at 38.1 suggests a potential inflow of smart money. However, the price remains below key moving averages (MA50 at $26.29, MA100 at $27.26, and MA200 at $28.47), meaning a breakout is needed to confirm a trend reversal. Recent patterns show a battle between bulls and bears. Yesterday's heavy selling pressure pushed the price near its key support at $21.08, but today’s increased buy volume hints at possible accumulation. Resistance stands firm at $26.09—a level that, if broken, could trigger a short squeeze toward higher targets. The market is offering a challenge: is this the bottom, or will we test lower levels before a major recovery? Will you seize the opportunity, or wait for confirmation? Roadmap: TRUMPUSDT – A Pattern-Based Guide to Market Moves 1. The Beginning of a Trend – The Sell-Off Cascade 2025-01-27 15:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd Main Direction: Sell The market signaled a significant downward shift as sellers took control. A confirmation of this bearish movement came shortly after, when price failed to hold support and started a cascade of lower highs. 2025-01-27 16:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st Main Direction: Sell Confirmed the earlier trend as price continued declining, closing below its open and reinforcing downward pressure. This movement set the stage for an even sharper fall. 2025-01-28 00:00 UTC – Increased Buy Volumes Main Direction: Buy Despite a temporary buy-in, price action in the following pattern suggested that this was a weak bounce. The asset managed to push upwards but failed to break out significantly, signaling an overall bearish trend remained dominant. 2025-01-28 03:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd Main Direction: Sell This sell-off confirmed the weakness of the previous buy attempt. The price declined further, aligning with the broader trend, proving that the sell signals were valid. 2. Bullish Recovery: The Market Fights Back 2025-01-29 14:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 1st Main Direction: Buy This marked the first major attempt at a bullish reversal. The price started to climb, breaking through short-term resistance zones and attracting momentum traders looking for long positions. 2025-01-29 19:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes Main Direction: Sell Despite bullish attempts, sellers made a strong comeback, leading to another test of support. However, this time, price action suggested exhaustion among sellers. 2025-01-29 20:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Takeover Main Direction: Buy Contrary to its name, this pattern actually set up a bullish movement as buyers absorbed sell pressure and pushed prices higher, leading to a confirmation of a bullish trend. 3. The Confirmation Rally 2025-01-30 05:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd Main Direction: Sell A minor pullback tested the bullish momentum. However, the next sequence revealed that this sell pattern failed to hold, invalidating its significance in the broader market trend. 2025-01-30 13:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th Main Direction: Buy The bulls took full control. A steady price increase confirmed the direction, marking this as a key turning point in the market. 2025-01-30 20:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Main Direction: Buy An explosive breakout followed, pushing price action toward a critical resistance level. This confirmed the accumulation phase was over, and a potential bullish continuation was on the horizon. 4. The Final Surge and Market Indecision 2025-01-31 00:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 5th Main Direction: Buy This was the strongest bullish confirmation yet, as price rallied past key resistance levels and settled in an uptrend. 2025-01-31 07:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st Main Direction: Sell This pattern hinted at a potential reversal, but the market held its ground, suggesting that bullish strength was still dominant. 2025-01-31 09:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd Main Direction: Buy Final confirmation of an ongoing rally. The price established a higher low, creating a structure that traders could use as a base for further upside moves. Conclusion: Where Does TRUMPUSDT Go Next? The roadmap reveals a key transition from a strong bearish phase to a confirmed bullish reversal. With increased buy volumes and multiple successful bullish confirmations, the asset is now poised to challenge resistance levels. However, traders must remain cautious, as future sell signals could indicate exhaustion and another retracement phase. Keep an eye on volume and price structure for further confirmation of the next move! Technical & Price Action Analysis Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: 21.081 – If bulls can hold this zone, expect a bounce. If broken, it flips to resistance. Resistance Levels: 26.095 – Major test level for bulls. A breakout here can fuel a rally. 54.034 – Long-term resistance. If price reaches this zone, expect a reaction. What Happens If Levels Fail? If support zones don’t hold, they become resistance on the next rally attempt. Likewise, failed resistance levels can act as support if buyers step in. Stay sharp, trade smart, and respect the key levels! Technical & Price Action Analysis Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: 21.081 – This is the key support zone where buyers need to step in. If the price holds, expect a bounce and a potential reversal. If this level fails, it flips into resistance, making future upward moves more challenging. Resistance Levels: 26.095 – The first major hurdle for bulls. A confirmed breakout above this level could ignite a rally. However, if sellers defend this zone aggressively, expect a pullback. 54.034 – Long-term resistance, and a psychological level where significant selling pressure is expected. If price reaches this area, expect strong reactions from both bulls and bears. Powerful Support Levels: Currently, there are no confirmed powerful support zones. Bulls must establish strong buying interest to create a reliable foundation for future upside moves. Powerful Resistance Levels: No powerful resistance levels have been validated yet. However, if price action struggles at key resistance zones, these areas could become strong walls of sell pressure. What Happens If Levels Fail? If a support level fails to hold, it flips into resistance, meaning any bounce attempt is likely to face selling pressure at that same level. Similarly, if resistance is breached but price fails to hold above, it can act as a trap for breakout traders, leading to a fakeout and a strong rejection. Price action will dictate the next moves—watch these levels closely and be ready to react accordingly. Stay sharp, trade smart, and respect the key levels! Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays Core Idea My proprietary method is built on Fibonacci-based rays that define dynamic support and resistance levels. These rays predict key zones where price action is most likely to react, either reversing or continuing its movement. The key is to wait for confirmation via interaction with these rays before making a trade decision. Why Specific Levels Can't Be Predicted Financial markets are nonlinear and driven by multiple factors—liquidity, market sentiment, and macroeconomic events. Instead of attempting to predict exact price points, this method identifies **high-probability reaction zones** where price action provides clues for trade entries. How the Rays Work **Fibonacci Rays:** Each ray is mathematically aligned with the market’s natural rhythm, originating from the beginning of a move rather than extreme points. **Adaptability:** When new price structures emerge, rays adjust dynamically, setting new interaction zones. **Directional Guidance:** Ascending rays act as **support** in uptrends, while descending rays form **resistance** in downtrends. **Moving Averages as Confirmation:** The intersection of Fibonacci rays with **MA50, MA100, and MA200** adds extra confluence for price reaction. Trading Scenarios Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Move): If price interacts with an ascending ray near **21.081 (support)** and bounces with strong volume, this signals an entry for a long trade. The **first target** is the next ray level near **26.095**, where partial profit can be taken. If momentum continues, the **second target** is at **54.034**, a major resistance level. Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Move): If price fails to hold **21.081** and breaks below it, this level flips into resistance. A short trade can be initiated with a **first target** at the next ray intersection. If bearish momentum accelerates, **the next target would be determined by the descending ray channel.** Potential Trades Based on These Levels **Long from 21.081 to 26.095** – Only after interaction with support and confirmation of strength. **Short below 21.081** – If this level fails, look for a rejection and retest before entering. **Momentum trade from 26.095 to 54.034** – If price clears 26.095 with volume, this becomes a strong continuation setup. All these setups work **in conjunction with the VSA rays**, which users can see on their charts. **Entries should only be considered after interaction with the rays and confirmation of the movement’s direction.** Price is expected to move from one ray to the next, making each level a structured target for trade execution. Let's Trade Smarter Together! Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I always read them and try to respond to as many as possible. Let’s discuss market movements, key levels, and strategies together—your insights and thoughts are just as valuable as mine. If you found this analysis useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea. Check back later to see how the price moves according to my markup—because understanding key reaction points is the real edge in trading. All my Fibonacci Rays and dynamic levels are automatically plotted using my private indicator. If you're interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. It’s available only in Private Access. Want an analysis of your favorite asset? I can do that! Some charts I publish for everyone, and some traders prefer a personal breakdown. Message me if you need something tailored—there’s always a way to work things out. Remember, these rays work across all assets, and price consistently respects them. If you want a custom markup for your asset, just Boost this post and drop a comment—I’ll do my best to include it in my next analysis. And finally, make sure to follow me on TradingView—this is where I post my best setups and ideas. Stay tuned for more insights, and let’s trade smart together!
Long
by brandlabelden
1
Hidden Accumulation in World Liberty Financial PortfolioWhile the market is abuzz with hype surrounding Solana, meme coins, DOGE, and BTC, the WLF portfolio appears to be moving against the current trends. As the masses speculate on hot topics, true accumulation is happening quietly within the WLF portfolio . Here are some key points to consider: Important Disclaimers We don't know the extent of Donald Trump's influence on the WLF portfolio. Other wallets involved in accumulation may exist. Assuming WLF wallets are the only ones at play would be naive. That said, the accumulated amount of $400 million is already significant, even for the Trumps. Ethereum Position Highlights $250 million accumulated in Ethereum alone represents substantial power to influence prices. OTC (over-the-counter) deals are likely the method of purchase, which means these transactions don't appear on typical volume histograms. Key Observations WLF’s Initial Ethereum Purchases: First buys: Made during a pullback, near the yearly range highs—a strong bullish signal for wallet watchers. No breakout: When no breakout of the maximum range occurred, further accumulation followed within a consolidation range. Accumulation range: Starting around late December and continuing to date. Chart Legend: The equity curve shows Ethereum’s balance on WLF wallets. Horizontal lines indicate the volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Green triangles illustrate ETH buys by WLF Institutional Behavior Smart money traders do not scalp or swing trade. Their smallest timeframe is daily. They operate over weeks and months. They don't rely on news; they create it or receive it first-hand. Speculations on Fund Manager's Mindset Why buy on a pullback? - It signals confidence and long-term bullishness. Why purchase during consolidation? - Accumulating more for as long as you can. Broader Ethereum Outlook Negative sentiment? Check . Apparent weakness over the last six months? Check . Depressive ETH/BTC pair performance? Check . These factors align perfectly with a classic "smart money" accumulation strategy. In the meanwhile: Nobody seems to be talking about ETF being traded for a few months. TVL of a 'future deadchain' is ridiculously high, Major upgrade (Pectra, DYOR) arriving sooner than expected. Final Thoughts What we’re seeing here is a textbook example of smart money behavior: negative sentiment creates opportunities, long-term positioning dominates short-term volatility. Do your own research. Everything is priced in. Everything is on the chart.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by trolldead
XRP Parabolic !?As in recent posts, we’ve seen XRP climb from .042 towards $1,$2 and now consolidating a bullish structure in the $2.80-$3.25 range. With the recent inauguration, new laws being passed including the introductory crypto bill. An XRP ETF has been filed just in the past 48 hours. I expect the SEC battle to be done soon as well as the XRP ETF being made available and accepted. From there i will speculate but like I said before. The trump admin and xrp will lead to an open world source for crypto reserves to be built worldwide. Which will increase the price beyond the point of market cap. This is just a prediction, NFA. Good luck!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by R2CTrading
2
Trump ATH incoming, BREAKOUT CONFIRMEDHi all, I think everyone has their eye on this little sache of happines provided by the POTUS. Okay, go ahed to technicalities. We had the breakout from the huge desc triangle. By ltierature, we can have a test back to the top part of the triangle, or we have a test back to the .618 fib from the latest top to latest bottom. Then we must go and fly. Please note yesterday was busy, 15-20% movement, the technicalities shows some weakness from the buyer side, however what i know that when the market recieves a shock, the technicalities did not work properly, so anything can occour. Not an advice, just a trader making memories of their ideas to check on later and learn from it.
Long
by Arokthomasso
2
XAUUSD - Gold hits new ATH!Gold is trading above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. Donald Trump has announced his intention to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico due to the fentanyl issue, emphasizing that these tariffs will take effect starting Saturday. He also stated that China will eventually have to pay tariffs as well, and that the U.S. is already implementing trade restrictions against Beijing. Trump further asserted that the era of passively watching BRICS nations attempt to distance themselves from the U.S. dollar is over. He declared that these countries must commit to neither creating a new BRICS currency nor supporting any alternative to the powerful U.S. dollar. Otherwise, they will face 100% tariffs and lose access to the thriving American economy. He insisted that BRICS has no chance of replacing the U.S. dollar in global trade, and any country attempting to do so will face severe economic consequences. (Translation continues…) Continuation of the English Translation: Trump’s repeated tariff threats have raised concerns among American consumers and introduced economic risks for the United States. Even the mere discussion of such tariffs can have significant economic effects by influencing consumer behavior. Evidence suggests that many Americans are seriously worried about the potential consequences of these policies. According to a survey conducted by economists from the University of Texas, the University of California, and the University of Chicago, Americans expect substantial tariffs to be imposed on all major trade partners—50% on Chinese imports and 35% on imports from Canada and Europe. Contrary to Trump’s claims, most citizens believe these tariffs will directly impact them by driving up prices. When asked about a hypothetical 20% tariff, half of the respondents stated that the majority of the costs would be passed directly to consumers. Political differences are also evident in the perception of these tariffs. Democrats and Republicans disagree on the extent to which consumers will bear the costs. Democrats estimate that 68% of the tariff burden will fall on consumers, whereas Republicans believe it will be around 41%. Regardless of political stance, the financial strain from these tariffs is expected to be significant, particularly for consumers already weary of inflation. Both the public and economists recognize that tariffs on imports can also raise prices for domestically produced goods. The economic impact of tariffs was clearly demonstrated during Trump’s first term. A study found that the tariffs imposed in 2018 on washing machines from South Korea and China led to a nearly equivalent price increase for washing machines in the U.S.—and even drove up the price of dryers as well. Even if these new tariffs are not implemented, their mere threat can lead to price hikes. Many consumers, anticipating higher costs, are choosing to make purchases in advance. In a survey, 43% of respondents stated that they would buy products before the tariffs take effect to avoid potential price increases.Another survey in January found that 20% of people believed that now was the right time to buy durable goods because prices were likely to rise. Businesses are responding in a similar fashion. Many companies are stockpiling inventory ahead of potential tariff hikes or shifting their supply chains to countries that would not be affected. This behavior has contributed to a surge in exports from China to the U.S., with December marking the second-highest export level on record—at least partly driven by efforts to preempt new tariffs. These strategies, however, come with additional costs, much of which will likely be passed on to consumers. The COVID-19 pandemic provided a clear example of how supply chain disruptions can lead to widespread cost increases. For instance, higher import costs for auto parts eventually resulted in more expensive vehicle repairs and insurance premiums. Stimulating inflation under current economic conditions—even temporarily—would be costly. The Federal Reserve has paused further interest rate cuts, waiting for clearer signs of sustained inflation reduction. Rising prices for key goods, particularly automobiles, halted progress in lowering inflation in the fourth quarter of last year. Additional inflationary pressures caused by tariff expectations could delay the Fed’s next rate cut and keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. The uncertainty surrounding future tariffs reinforces the Fed’s cautious stance. Inflation is not the only concern stemming from tariff threats. A third of survey respondents indicated that the likelihood of widespread tariffs would lead them to cut spending and increase savings. The greater the uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the stronger the incentive for precautionary savings. American consumers have been the driving force behind the nation’s economic recovery. However, the recent wave of tariff threats has created deep concerns, potentially putting the U.S. economy—widely regarded as one of the strongest in the world—at risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Copper - Markets are waiting for new moves to start?!Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downtrend continues, we can buy copper in the next demand zone. The Monthly Metals Index (MMI) for copper remained largely range-bound, experiencing a slight decline of 0.65% from December to January. Meanwhile, copper prices continue to react to the new U.S. administration and potential shifts in trade policies. Ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, copper prices on the Comex exchange began breaking out of their previous range. By mid-January, copper prices had reached their highest levels since early November. This movement was likely driven by traders anticipating the impact of potential tariffs, some of which could affect the copper market. In contrast, prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw only modest gains, creating a temporary price divergence between the two exchanges. Typically, Comex and LME copper prices move in tandem, making any significant deviations between them noteworthy. Since 2019, the two markets have shown a correlation of 99.76%, with Comex prices averaging a $19 per ton premium over LME prices. However, by January 14, this premium had widened to $402 per ton. It remains uncertain whether this premium will persist in the coming years or revert to historical levels, as seen in previous instances. Historically, such price divergences have been temporary. One notable example was a short squeeze on Comex in late May, which marked the end of the Q2 2024 rally in base metals. During this period, the price gap between LME and Comex surged to $688 per ton, with Comex copper prices reaching a record high of $11,257 per ton. However, this spread quickly narrowed due to shifts in trade flows toward the U.S. market. Although Comex copper contracts attract similar market participation as LME, lower inventory levels make them less liquid. Consequently, when stockpiles decrease, Comex prices become particularly susceptible to sudden surges. Another factor contributing to price divergence was the October port strike, which led to a significant increase in Comex prices. Before the three-day strike began, Comex copper prices had already risen sharply, pushing the spread to $292 per ton until mediators brokered a resolution. Market volatility remains a key risk for copper prices as traders await more details on which products and countries will be affected by new trade barriers. This uncertainty could either drive further price increases or trigger sharp declines if reality fails to align with market expectations. Some of the tariffs proposed by President Trump are likely to serve as negotiation tactics, meaning they may not be fully implemented or could be abandoned if alternative trade agreements are reached. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Trump administration is considering a phased approach to tariff implementation, which may help mitigate market reactions. A closer look at Trump’s latest stance on China indicates a willingness to de-escalate tensions and increase engagement. However, his previous trade policies were highly aggressive, often involving heavy tariffs on Chinese imports.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSD Support Bounce: Targeting 120,000 ResistanceBTCUSD is currently trading at 105,300, with a target price of 120,000. The price is bouncing from a key support level, indicating strong buying interest. Support and resistance levels play a crucial role in technical analysis, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points. A successful bounce from support suggests bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of an upward move. If the price sustains above this level, buyers may push it toward the resistance at 120,000. A breakout above this resistance could further accelerate the rally. However, if BTC fails to hold the support, a retest or pullback could occur. Risk management is essential, with stop-loss levels placed below support to minimize potential losses. Fundamental factors, such as market sentiment and institutional activity, could influence price movement. Monitoring volume and confirmation signals will help validate the trade setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
USDCAD - 4H TradingRangeDespite various market news over the past few days, USDCAD remains within its trading range, as previously discussed. The pair has yet to make a valid breakout, meaning range trading remains a viable strategy. 📉 Price has rejected the top of the range after recent news, aligning with expectations. 📌 Opportunities arise at key support & resistance zones within this range. We continue to monitor for potential breakouts or further confirmations. Follow for updates!
by Sober_Trading
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure. Trade Idea (Short): – Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region. – Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account). – Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows. Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
Short
by Fondera
Trump's Meme Coin: Fantasy or Future of Digital Currency?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ Reading this educational material will require approximately 10 minutes of your time. For your convenience, I have summarized the key points in 10 concise lines at the end. I trust this information will prove to be insightful and valuable in enhancing your understanding of OFFICIAL TRUMP and its role in the global financial landscape. Personal Insight & Technical Analysis of Trump Coin (TRUMP) Individuals involved in financial markets, particularly in the realm of cryptocurrencies, are typically well-versed in the extreme and often unpredictable volatility that characterizes these markets. This volatility is especially pronounced in the world of meme coins, which are highly speculative assets tied to specific narratives, personalities, or movements. These coins are frequently associated with influential individuals or certain ideological concepts, and their prices fluctuate wildly depending on the sentiment and behavior of their supporters. Such markets are inherently high-risk and subject to rapid price swings, driven more by emotion, speculation, and social media influence than traditional financial metrics. In this volatile environment, investors often chase short-term gains, yet the dangers of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and impulsive decision-making can lead to significant losses. With this backdrop, it is critical to examine what might happen to the price of a particular meme coin and its investors over the coming months. I will illustrate this scenario with two distinct examples, providing an in-depth exploration of the underlying dynamics. To provide context and clarity, let us start by considering an old proverb: "A fire that rises swiftly, reaches the sky, and burns brightly will just as quickly burn out once its fuel is consumed." This metaphor is directly applicable to the meteoric rise of certain meme coins in the cryptocurrency space, which, while experiencing explosive growth in a short period, are often prone to rapid declines as their speculative fuel runs out. The unsustainable trading volumes observed during these sudden price surges may seem exciting at first, but they often raise questions about the underlying stability and long-term prospects of such assets. For those who jumped into meme coin markets at their peak, the consequences can be devastating. Many are left with significant losses, as the market quickly corrects itself. The cryptocurrency space, in particular, is known for its volatility and unforgiving nature, and it often reveals harsh realities to those who harbor dreams of becoming instant millionaires. In this environment, the fear of further losses drives many investors to sell their positions, often at a loss, further driving down prices. As a result, I predict that the price of certain meme coins will continue to decline in the short term as fearful investors liquidate their holdings, ultimately selling to the more experienced players or market "whales" who have the capital and expertise to capitalize on these fluctuations. However, there is another perspective to consider. In certain instances, after a significant decline, a bullish trend may emerge. This scenario is particularly relevant when influential individuals such as Donald Trump or Elon Musk become involved in promoting or backing a cryptocurrency or meme coin. Both Trump and Musk have demonstrated an uncanny ability to influence financial markets, including the cryptocurrency space, with their public statements and actions. Their influence is far-reaching, and it is unlikely that they would let their associated meme coins languish in failure, especially as they continue to maintain their prominent positions in the public eye. After a correction, it is plausible to expect a recovery in the value of such coins, driven by renewed interest, media attention, and market sentiment. However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice, and it’s important to be aware of the high risks that come with investing in meme coins and that being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post provided by the How to Buy Trump Coin (TRUMP) To acquire Trump Coin (TRUMP), you must first sign up on a cryptocurrency exchange that supports it. Look for a platform with strong security features, such as two-factor authentication and data encryption, to ensure the safety of your investments. Additionally, consider the transaction fees, as these can eat into your profits. The exchange should also be user-friendly and offer an easy interface for smooth trading. To make the best choice, reading reviews and feedback from other users is essential for selecting a trustworthy platform. The Trump Coin (TRUMP) Phenomenon One of the most notable developments in the meme coin space in recent times has been the introduction of Trump Coin (TRUMP), a cryptocurrency launched by none other than former U.S. President Donald Trump. As one of the most polarizing and influential figures in modern political history, Trump’s foray into the world of meme coins has captured the attention of both his supporters and critics alike. Trump Coin (officially branded as OFFICIAL TRUMP), as its name suggests, is a digital asset exclusively associated with Donald Trump. The coin was introduced in celebration of his political comeback, following his electoral victory. Trump himself referred to the creation of his coin as "the most memorable meme of the century," signaling the high level of attention and excitement surrounding its launch. When the tweet announcing the release of Trump Coin was first shared, some onlookers initially believed Trump’s personal social media account had been compromised. However, it quickly became clear that Trump had indeed launched his own cryptocurrency, marking a historic moment in the world of digital assets. Trump Coin, denoted by the trading symbol TRUMP, was introduced with a call for users to purchase the coin and join the community of supporters celebrating his political triumph. The initial response to Trump Coin was overwhelming. Within a matter of hours, the coin's value surged by more than 300%, and its market capitalization surpassed $6 million. This rapid price appreciation demonstrates the power of media influence and public sentiment in driving the success of meme coins, particularly when they are tied to high-profile figures like Donald Trump. Trump Coin, in many ways, tells a story of resilience and defiance. It represents a leader who refuses to be defeated, even in the face of adversity. The coin also alludes to the 2024 incident when Trump was shot at but, with clenched fists, refused to surrender and shouted the word "FIGHT." This moment of defiance has been immortalized in the Trump Coin, symbolizing strength, perseverance, and an unyielding will to succeed. The Mechanics of Trump Coin (TRUMP) Trump Coin (TRUMP) is built on the Solana blockchain, a high-performance blockchain known for its speed and low transaction fees. Despite the coin’s association with a prominent political figure, it is important to note that Trump Coin has no official ties to political campaigns, government offices, or any public institutions. It is purely a digital asset created for entertainment and speculative purposes. The total supply of Trump Coin is set to reach 1 billion TRUMP tokens over the next three years. The distribution plan for the coin is as follows, with the majority of the tokens allocated to groups affiliated with Trump’s team and organization: 36% of tokens allocated to Group 1 (Creators) 18% allocated to Group 2 (Creators) 18% allocated to Group 3 (Creators) 10% allocated for liquidity 10% allocated for public sale 2% allocated to Group 4 (Creators) 2% allocated to Group 5 (Creators) This structured distribution ensures that key stakeholders in the creation and promotion of Trump Coin are well-compensated, while also allowing for public participation in the coin’s success. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Most traders in financial markets are aware of the extreme volatility, especially with meme coins, which can skyrocket due to hype around a person or trend. These coins often fluctuate wildly, causing both huge gains and losses. Trump Coin (TRUMP), created by former U.S. President Donald Trump, is one such meme coin that gained attention after his victory announcement, surging over 300% in value within hours. However, meme coins are risky, and many investors may face significant losses if the hype fades. Trump Coin is built on the Solana blockchain, with its total supply set to reach 1 billion tokens over three years. While its value may rise again due to Trump's influence, it's important to approach these markets with caution. Always research before diving in, as meme coins are highly speculative. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
7
WTI: Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable reward for risk will be provided to us. A valid breakdown of the drawn downtrend line and preservation of the channel will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn ranges. Under the pressure of imminent sanctions planned by the Trump administration and the debts Iran now owes to China, the country has begun offloading crude oil that had been stored in Chinese warehouses for years. This oil, shipped to China between 2018 and 2019 but not officially declared in Chinese customs records, was kept in isolated, pre-designated storage facilities. With storage costs reaching hundreds of millions of dollars, Iran is now obligated to cover these expenses. So far, 5.4 million barrels of oil have been removed from a Chinese port, transported by a total of four tankers. According to a Bloomberg report, OPEC+ is likely to maintain its current supply policy in its meeting next week. This decision contradicts the request of U.S. President Donald Trump, who has urged oil producers to increase output to lower prices and exert more economic pressure on Russia to end the war in Ukraine. Under the current plan, oil supply restrictions will remain in place for this quarter and will gradually ease starting in April. Donald Trump plans to sign an executive order to initiate the development of a “next-generation” missile defense system in the United States. This system, modeled after Israel’s Iron Dome, is designed to protect the U.S. from ballistic missile attacks, hypersonic missiles, advanced cruise missiles, and other modern aerial threats. According to the released information, the executive order aims to establish an advanced space-based missile defense system capable of detecting and neutralizing missiles launched toward the U.S. Conceptually, this resembles Israel’s Iron Dome, which has been used for years to intercept and destroy rockets fired from Gaza. The U.S.government has already invested billions of dollars in developing Israel’s Iron Dome, and the American military possesses its own missile defense systems. The order describes missile attacks as a “catastrophic threat,” but no details have been provided regarding the project’s costs or timeline. Developing a comprehensive missile defense system for a country as geographically vast as the U.S. is a highly complex and costly endeavor. Additionally, the emergence of next-generation missile threats, such as hypersonic missiles that travel at extremely high speeds, presents significant technical challenges. This indicates that the project will require substantial investment and time for completion.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
Rotation from Solana to Base and Sui?Previous Solana breakouts have seen strength in performance for Sui and Base following. Americoins will need to be balanced by Trump. He has shown signs of supporting across the board. Rather than one or two picked winners. Supporting Base and Sui will likely be something Trump is interested in. Trumps exposure now to Solana is massive and he likely wants to achieve two things. Liquidity to take profit. Massive tax reduction on those profits. Two birds with one stone if he brings down taxes on specifically made in america coins. He is building exposure in Ethereum too. We have many signs that there will be rotation. Regardless of long term dominance.. there becomes a point rotation is too hard to ignore. Bases leading dex Aerodrome has ~2x revenue to market cap. Perp/spot dex on Sui also has a ~2x revenue to market cap.
by SoftQuant
Trump Coin Marked the top in Solana - Bullish again at 1000maEver since the hype and network crowding caused by Trump coin on the weekend before Inauguration Day, Solana seems to have peaked and had trouble breaking out higher. Add to that the new uncertainty from DeepSeek ai into tech, and the mood has soured in speculative assets. In my opnion, short is the way for me for now, as solana and bitcoin are above all moving averages. And I will go neutral below 200 day moving aveages, and very bullish below 1000 da ema.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by ValuePig
1
TRUMP Short-Term Momentum Gains Steam – Can It Hit $35?The Official Trump (TRUMP) token has surged 12% in the past 24 hours, with trading volume up 14.36%. The token broke past the $28 local resistance level, but it’s unclear if it’s ready to challenge the $30 resistance zone just yet. TRUMP has been consolidating within a range of $24.58 to $31.37 over the past two days following a sharp retracement from $74. While the memecoin sector has struggled recently, this consolidation isn’t necessarily bearish. Accumulation has restarted, hinting at potential bullish momentum. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has shown an uptick, crossing mid-range levels, while the Awesome Oscillator printed a bullish crossover. However, more consolidation within this range is likely in the coming days. Key resistance lies at $32.3, a lower high that defines the current downtrend. A 2-hour close above this level could flip the market structure bullishly, opening the door for a potential move to $35. Swing traders should approach with caution, as rejection at $32.4 remains a possibility. Bitcoin’s short-term bullish momentum could provide support for TRUMP to spike toward $35, hunting liquidity before potentially falling back into its range. For now, breakout traders must temper enthusiasm and prepare for rangebound price action while keeping an eye on critical levels.
by paul_endeo
Public trade #18 - #TRUMP price analysisFrom a high of $82, the price of $TRUMP fell -70%, thus "shaving off" a lot of big-shoulder hype traders. 1️⃣ Today, OKX:TRUMPUSDT is holding up quite well, so I would like to believe that the bottom has already been reached and that there will be a moment of growth, at least to $48. 2️⃣ On the other hand, according to the classics of the genre, after an abnormal pump, an asset usually loses -80%, which is around $16-16.50. Therefore, if the #Trump price moves towards updating the lows around $24.5, then we forget about it until $16.50 And we also remind you that the trading campaign continues until 03.02 👉
by P_S_trade
3
AUD/USD slides on Trump tariff threatsThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6252, down 0.62%.  Investors are keeping a closer eye on the third-quarter inflation report, which will be released early on Wednesday. CPI is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.8%. This is the final tier-1 event prior to the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate meeting on Feb. 18 and could be the determining factor as to whether the RBA finally lowers interest rates. The markets have priced in about an 80% chance of a quarter-point cut at the February meeting. The RBA has maintained the cash rate at 4.35% since Nov. 2023 and has been an outlier among other major central banks, most of which have entered an easing cycle. The US dollar is showing broad strength today, after US President Trump said on Monday that he would impose tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper imported to the U.S. Trump reiterated that he plans to levy a baseline universal tariff on all imports. Trump's tariff plans would likely raise inflation and could destabilize the financial markets, which displayed strong swings during Trump's first week in office. China's services and manufacturing sectors both decelerated in January and missed expectations. The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2, down from 52.2 in December and shy of the forecast of 51.8. With the exception of November, service activity has been stagnant, with readings barely above the 50 level, which separates expansion from contraction. Domestic demand weakened and the uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies have dampened foreign sales. The manufacturing sector is struggling and contracted in January, easing to 49.1, compared to 50.1 in December and missing the market estimate of 50.1. This was the first contraction since September 2024 and the sharpest decline in five months. Manufacturing output and foreign orders weakened in January and the weak global economy could mean further headwinds in 2025 for the manufacturing sector. China's government has implemented stimulus measures in order to boost the economy and GDP hit 5% in 2024. Still, deflation has persisted and consumer spending remains weak. The government will have to inject further stimulus in order to boost domestic consumption, a key engine of economic growth. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6278. Below, there is support at 0.6225 0.6366 and 0.6419 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
bitcoin market oulook still stuck in range buy low sell high🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k. 🔸4 hour sell side liquidity defined by OB at 108k, currently trading at 102k, limited upside going forward expecting pullback to re-test range lows and trigger fresh buying / fresh OB liquidity near 90k. 🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 90k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 108/110K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
by ProjectSyndicate
18