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Trump

Trump and Pump or Trump and Dump - You choose?I don't normally post Meme coin analyses. Especially new borns. They are still finding their feet, there isn't enough data to go around for analyses. But, there are signs of SUPER upside or a crash. Right now we are in the middle of it. So, either the price breaks above the Neckline of the W FOrmation and heads to the first target of $115.00. Or it turns into an M Formation and heads downhill to $0.00. I think America will give the coin the benefit of the doubt, and will support Trump and what he is going to promise. Such as 1. Keeping TikTok alive (Possible merger with META?) 2. Improving Government efficiency with Elon Musk. 3. Bringing Crypto more in the legal space and welcoming it with acceptance into office. But we'll have to see. Hence, I am on the fence, but will stay bullish for I doubt the administration will allow the coin to go to $0.00.
Long
by Timonrosso
1
$TRUMP | ALTS | Donald Trump Launches Memecoin on SolanaJust days before his second inauguration, President-elect Donald Trump and his social media team dropped a Solana-based meme coin called TRUMP. The announcement went viral, racking up huge trading volume. At first, some on-chain analysts and security experts were skeptical, wondering if it was just another scam. But as things settled down, it seemed like the launch was legit. $TRUMP increased 682% within the first few hours of release, after which it corrected with -50%. Even though people were initially wary because it reminded them of past celebrity meme coin scams, a follow-up post on X (formerly Twitter) cleared up a lot of the doubts. Since then, the coin's price has bounced bac from the correction. Some analysts flagged that the project got funding from Binance and Gate.io, exchanges that don’t serve U.S. customers. But after digging deeper, those worries faded, especially since the official site for the coin was pretty much the same as past Trump NFT launches, which are handled by CIC Digital, his NFT partner. Does TRUMP coin have a future? $TRUMP could have a future - at least during the POTUS term. The coin surged to $79 with a market cap of about $11.7 billion. But since 80% of the 1 billion coins are locked for the next three years, the circulating supply currently is more like 200 million tokens, possibly why it may be better for the short term instead of long term (since it is a meme coin, it will not be burned, the supply will only increase). ___________________ GATEIO:TRUMPUSDT
by Crypto-Check-
20/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,467.97 Last weeks low: $89,292.15 Midpoint: $97,880.06 The Trump era begins... January 20th 2025 is the date in which America sees its new Republican administration take office. An administration that has promised to embrace crypto instead of demonise it, one that wants the future of crypto to be built in the US, so far Trumps picks for SEC chairman and other important related roles have reflected that pro-crypto belief. However, launching a $TRUMP memecoin and the subsequent $MELANIA memecoins just moments before inauguration in my opinion is a very bad start. Not only did the launch of TRUMP draw out liquidity from the altcoin market, it also damages the broader market just from an optics point of view. The general publics perception of crypto is it's full of scams, pump and dumps etc so to try and change the general publics mind the answer is to... Launch a memecoin... Now I'm fully aware Donald Trump himself probably has very little to do with this, just like most celebrity memecoins but I just don't see how this is a positive start for the administration in proving their pro-crypto stance. Bitcoin did have its highest weekly close of all time @ $106,500, which was $2000 higher than the previous ATH. +20% move from weekly low to high in anticipation for the potential Bitcoin strategic reserve announcement. Avoiding a SFP similar to that of week commencing January 6th will be a priority for BTC, we are in a rangebound environment so a SFP can have the potential to drop back down and undo a lot of the previous weeks progress. Until BTC breaks the rangebound environment and begins a trending move I will treat it as such. For this week I'm keeping a close eye on the Liberty Financial portfolio (ETH,AAVE,LINK,ONDO,ENS) & US based majors (SOL,SUI,AVAX, ADA, STX,INJ) etc. The play is definitely coins that will be directly influenced by this new US administration, at least for now I cannot see any liquidity go towards any other coins for the time being.
by ProR35
Trump Returns to the White House: Tariffs EyedToday’s inauguration is undoubtedly a big event for traders, analysts, and the global economy. Everyone is watching. Let’s be frank: regardless of your opinion of Donald Trump or his proposed policies, his Presidential election win over Democrat candidate Kamala Harris on 5 November 2024 was nothing short of remarkable. It was a sweeping victory, and Trump returns to the White House today. Trump’s inauguration is expected to begin at 5:00 pm GMT (midday EST) and marks the start of his second term in office. Robust Economy Provides ‘Tariff’ Legroom for Trump While tariffs are undoubtedly inbound, it is unclear what plans Trump will pursue and when he will implement these strategies. Investors are concerned that imposing tariffs could stoke inflation and hinder consumption (and consequently put the brakes on economic growth). According to the latest data (December 2024), we have seen an uptick in US inflation. Year-on-year (YY), CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) rose for a third consecutive month to 2.9%, PPI inflation (Producer Price Index) also increased for a third straight month to 3.3%, and the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) primary measure of inflation, the PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures), is hovering just north of the Fed’s 2.0% inflation target at 2.4% (for November 2024). This, coupled with real US GDP (Gross Domestic Product) running at an annualised rate of 3.1% in Q3 24 and jobs data showing that the US economy added 256,000 new payrolls in December 2024, reveals Trump has legroom (some ‘cover’ if you will) to impose tariffs early on in his tenure. Trump Tariff ‘Threats’ So Far Speculation regarding the possibility of as many as 100 executive orders being signed today has been circulating the wires. Plenty of ambiguity is unquestionably present heading into today’s event, and the market dislikes uncertainty. Concerning tariff ‘plans’, Trump has floated several possible approaches, including 100% tariffs against BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) unless their governments commit to the US dollar (USD), as well as tariff threats against Canada, China, and Mexico. Trump voiced intentions of introducing 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico and adding an additional 10% tariff on goods from China. What Will I Be Watching Today? Today, I will primarily be looking for any direction on tariffs, particularly concerning Canada, Mexico, and China. Let’s assume Trump follows through on his threats to Canada and Mexico. A 25% tariff (or more) applied on goods from Canada and Mexico will prompt upside in currency pairs like the USD/CAD (US dollar versus the Canadian dollar) and USD/MXN (US dollar versus the Mexican peso) – for those who monitor implied volatility, check out USD/CAD; we are at levels not seen since early 2023! A 25% tariff on the aforesaid countries will also likely trigger a bid in the US Dollar Index and absorb offers around major resistance at 109.33. In contrast, major US equity indexes are expected to take a hit in this scenario. Another observation I feel needs some consideration is the USD positioning heading into this event. The USD is particularly stretched to the upside for those who monitor COT data (Commitment of Traders report). However, although this may be the case, I still expect USD outperformance on the back of 25% tariffs. Nevertheless, were Trump to pursue a lower tariff rate for Canada and Mexico or not to pursue tariffs at all, a considerable unwind in USD longs is possible, and downside in USD/CAD, USD/MXN, as well as the US Dollar Index, would be on the table (upside in US equities). A situation without tariffs would create considerable volatility and open the door to shorting opportunities in key currency pairs. Regarding China, if Trump were to follow through and impose a 10% additional tariff, this would likely send USD/CNY northbound (US dollar versus the Chinese yuan). Additionally, I expect the AUD/USD (Australian dollar versus the US dollar) and NZD/USD (New Zealand dollar versus the US dollar) pairs to trade lower, given their trading relationships with China. I also believe US and Chinese equity markets will sell off. Less than a 10% tariff or no tariffs on China would likely underpin AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and the noted equity markets (but weigh on the USD/CNY). Looking closely at the S&P 500, you will note that longer-term weekly action ended last Friday in the shape of a bullish engulfing formation, following a shallow correction from all-time highs of 6,099. This, together with the clear-cut uptrend and daily price climbing above its 50-day simple moving average at 5,967 (and a lack of obvious daily resistance), places bulls in a favourable position to challenge all-time highs, technically speaking. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
SP:SPXLong
by FPMarkets
Inauguration Day! Beware of cowboy swings. Trade responsibly Inauguration Day brings a mix of excitement and uncertainty to the markets, so if you're trading today, be extra cautious. Expect some wild price swings—those "cowboy swings"—as investors react to the political shifts and news. It's easy to get swept up in the action, but remember, it's always best to keep your cool. While the day might bring opportunities, it also has its risks. Make sure you're staying level-headed, sticking to your strategy, and trading responsibly. And, as always, if things feel too chaotic, there's no shame in sitting this one out. Safe trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Blayno_MTOPS
1
Trump Inauguration - To the Moon or Sell the News?Crypto Market Cap Nears ATH – Is Another Sell-Off Brewing? 🚀 The total cryptocurrency market cap is currently sitting at $3.62 trillion, inching closer to its all-time high of $3.73 trillion. Bitcoin has been leading the charge, smashing its ATH with renewed bullish momentum. However, recent patterns suggest caution—sell-offs have often followed Bitcoin breakouts this cycle, as traders lock in profits. Altcoins have also been making headlines. Solana (SOL) has seen an impressive rise, solidifying its place in the top crypto rankings. Meanwhile, the newly hyped Trump Coin has debuted on Robinhood, sparking interest and controversy alike. With the market cap on the verge of breaking records, it’s a crucial moment to keep an eye on key support and resistance levels. Will we see another sell-off, or is this the start of the next leg up? Our best guess? Some choppinenss around the corner but ultimately the most bullish crypto administration ever will bring in the ATHs! 🚀 Join the discussion below and let’s navigate this market together! 🚀💸
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by StonkMarketParty
USD/JPY calm in holiday tradeThe yen is almost unchanged on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.37, up 0.06% on the day. We can expect a quiet day, as the US observes Martin Luther King Day and Donald Trump will be sworn in as President. The yen is coming off a busy week, with sharp swings on each of the past three trading days. The Japanese currency gained 0.95% last week, its best week since November. Still, USD/JPY remains high and investors are anxiously awaiting the Bank of Japan rate decision on Jan. 24. There are no tier-1 releases out of Japan this week but investors will be busy keeping an eye on the Bank of Japan rate decision on Friday. The central bank tends not to telegraph its intentions but has hinted at a rate hike and the market will be on the lookout for any hints or signals from BoJ policy makers ahead of the rate decision. The BoJ is widely expected to raise rates to 0.50%, which would be the highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis. After decades of deflation and an ultra-loose monetary policy, inflation has taken root and the BoJ is slowly moving towards normalization. Inflation has been above the BoJ's 2% target for almost three years and higher wage growth means that inflation should remain sustainable as it moves higher. The weak yen is another reason for the BoJ to raise rates and make the yen more attractive to investors. The big question mark is Donald Trump, whose has promised tariffs on US trading partners, which threatens to shake up the financial markets and damage Japan's crucial export sector. The Trump factor is unlikely to prevent a rate hike this week, but supports the case for the BoJ to wait several months before delivering another rate hike. USD/JPY tested support at 155.88 earlier. Below, there is support at 155.39 There is resistance at 156.79 and 157.28
by OANDA
XAUUSD - Gold will stabilize above $2700?!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the ceiling of the channel, you can look for positions to sell it towards the midline of the channel. Losing the bottom of the channel will lead to the continuation of the downward trend. The gold market had a strong start to the first full trading week of 2025. However, as the week progressed, optimism among traders grew, with predictions indicating a potential rally in gold prices ahead of Trump’s second presidential term. Nevertheless, the market remains cautious about upcoming developments. Rich Checkan, the president and COO of “International Assets Strategies,” believes: “Unless there are any major disruptions during Monday’s inauguration ceremony, I expect gold prices to remain relatively unchanged next week. Market participants are waiting for more clarity on President Trump’s economic policies and their impact on key economic variables. However, one week is insufficient to see tangible effects, and a longer timeframe is needed for better evaluation.” Bart Melek, the managing director and head of commodity strategy at “TD Securities,” highlighted the potential for higher tariffs and their inflationary effects, predicting a slight dip in gold prices. He stated: “If the new president addresses tariffs, signaling higher inflation, and the Federal Reserve takes a more serious stance on its inflation target, gold prices could decline moderately.” At the beginning of 2025, gold is trading near $2,700 per ounce, while Bitcoin has approached the $100,000 threshold, placing both assets at the center of attention in emerging markets. Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, forecasts that a correction in stock markets could drive gold prices above $4,000 this year. He remarked: “Gold reaching $4,000 will eventually happen. The unlimited supply of fiat currencies and the limited supply of gold, similar to Bitcoin, make this likely. However, my concern is that a natural and modest correction in the stock market, which is currently overvalued, could push gold to such levels.” McGlone pointed out that the ratio of stock market value to U.S. GDP is around 2.2x — an unprecedented figure in the last 100 years. He emphasized that even a 10% correction in the stock market could provide the necessary momentum for gold prices to surge.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Phemex Analysis #54: How to Trade TRUMP Like a ProDonald Trump, the 45th U.S. President and soon-to-be 47th, has once again made history—not just in politics but also in the world of cryptocurrency. On January 18, 2025, Trump launched his very own meme coin, $TRUMP, which skyrocketed from an initial price of $0.1824 to an all-time high (ATH) of $83.216 in just 48 hours. This staggering 45,622% rise not only set a world record for the highest percentage increase of any asset but also made Trump the first U.S. president to launch a cryptocurrency. Now, with just hours remaining before Trump’s inauguration as the 47th U.S. President, traders are speculating on what’s next for $TRUMP. Will it continue its meteoric rise or face a sharp correction? Let’s explore two possible scenarios that could unfold and how you can trade them like a pro. Bullish Breakout: A Rally to New Heights. The first scenario is a bullish breakout fueled by optimism surrounding Trump’s inauguration and potential crypto-friendly policies. If $TRUMP breaks above the key resistance level of $64.55 with high trading volume, it could signal another rally that takes the token to new heights. Traders will be watching closely as the price approaches critical levels like $76 and $83—the previous ATH—with the psychological milestone of $100 acting as a major target. The momentum in this scenario would likely be driven by positive news about U.S. crypto regulations or other announcements that reinforce confidence in the token’s long-term potential. For traders looking to capitalize on this bullish move, timing is everything—waiting for confirmation of a breakout with strong volume is essential to avoid false signals. Bearish Drop: A Chance to Buy the Dip. On the other hand, there’s always the possibility of a bearish drop, especially given $TRUMP’s extreme volatility and rapid rise. If the price falls sharply below $50, it could trigger further declines toward the $40 support level. At this point, volume becomes a critical factor in determining whether this is a temporary correction or the start of a deeper downward trend. If the drop to $40 occurs with relatively low volume and higher RSI compared to previous dips, it might indicate that $TRUMP is building a support base—an excellent opportunity for traders to buy at discounted prices before another potential rally. However, if selling pressure intensifies with high volume and lower RSI, traders should brace for further declines to key levels like $32 or even as low as $24. In such cases, patience and risk management are crucial to navigating these turbulent waters. Conclusion: High Risk, High Reward. Trading high-volatility assets like $TRUMP is not for the faint-hearted—it’s a game of high risk and high reward. With its unprecedented rise and historic significance as the first cryptocurrency launched by a U.S. president, $TRUMP has captured global attention. Whether you’re riding bullish waves or buying dips during corrections, staying disciplined and informed will be your greatest advantage. As Trump prepares to take office once again, all eyes are on how his policies might shape the future of cryptocurrency—and how $TRUMP will perform in this unpredictable market. For those willing to embrace the risks, this token offers an unparalleled opportunity to trade history in the making. Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
1
Breaking: $TRUMP Set to Surge to $100 on Trump’s InaugurationThe Solana-based memecoin, $TRUMP, created by the newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump, has taken the crypto world by storm. With a 15% uptick in price at the time of writing and major exchanges like Binance now listing the token, $TRUMP is making history as the first memecoin projected to reach the $100 milestone. This explosive growth highlights the coin’s unique blend of political significance and community-driven appeal. Technical Analysis: Is $100 a Realistic Target? The $TRUMP chart reveals a possible retracement to the $33 support zone, which could serve as a prime buy opportunity for traders. Liquidity has already been swept from the recent highs, suggesting that the market is gearing up for another upward move. Here are the key technical factors: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance is set at $73.43, the coin’s all-time high recorded on January 19, 2025. - Key support is at $33, where buyers have previously stepped in, indicating strong demand. 2. Trading Volume Surge: - $TRUMP’s daily trading volume stands at $35.9 billion, a 61.2% increase in just 24 hours. This uptick in volume is a bullish signal, showing heightened market activity. 3. Momentum Indicators: - RSI suggests the coin is nearing overbought territory, signaling potential cooling off before another rally. - MACD shows bullish divergence, further supporting a potential move to $100. What Makes $TRUMP Unique? The Official Trump token combines meme culture with political symbolism, creating a one-of-a-kind asset. Here’s what sets it apart: 1. Backed by Donald Trump: - Launched on Truth Social, $TRUMP is directly tied to President-elect Donald Trump’s brand, amplifying its appeal to both crypto enthusiasts and political supporters. 2. Ownership and Unlocking Schedule: - CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, affiliates of The Trump Organization, collectively own 80% of the Trump Cards, subject to a 3-year unlocking schedule. This structured release reduces the risk of immediate sell-offs. 3. Decentralized Appeal: - Despite its political connections, the token’s creators emphasize that $TRUMP is not a political instrument or security. Instead, it’s designed to engage users in the ideals and artwork associated with the Trump brand. Market Data: A Glimpse at $TRUMP’s Growth - Current Price: $54.03 (26.5% below its ATH of $73.43). - All-Time Low: $4.29 (achieved just two days ago). - Market Cap: $10.6 billion, ranking it #21 on CoinGecko. - Circulating Supply: 200 million tokens. Where to Buy $TRUMP The token is available on several leading exchanges, including: - OKX: The most active trading pair, TRUMP/USDT, has a 24-hour volume exceeding $4 billion. - KuCoin and Gate.io: Other popular platforms with significant trading activity. Potential Risks and Rewards While $TRUMP offers significant upside potential, traders should be aware of the inherent risks. High volatility, political controversies, and the speculative nature of memecoins could impact its trajectory. However, the token’s strong community support and robust trading activity make it a compelling choice for risk-tolerant investors. Conclusion $TRUMP is more than just a memecoin; it’s a cultural phenomenon blending crypto innovation with political influence. With technical indicators pointing toward a potential rally and fundamentals bolstered by strong market interest, the coin’s path to $100 seems increasingly plausible. Whether you’re a trader seeking short-term gains or a believer in its long-term potential, $TRUMP is a token to watch in 2025.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price. But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us. On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President. I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas! The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year. There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now. Bitcoin On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support. But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always) Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks. As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period. The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high. On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon. But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out. If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week. But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Send us an email or message us on social media. cheers! Jasper
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by jasperlawler
11
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for Trump's new policies!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Bullish signs are abundant in the cryptocurrency market, as investors observe various factors that favor this sector beyond Bitcoin. While some analysts predict 2025 as the year of altcoins, JPMorgan argues that Bitcoin will remain an attractive option. Market experts point to cyclical trends that could boost altcoins such as Solana and Ripple. These two tokens experienced significant growth following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of greater support from the new administration. However, JPMorgan highlights four reasons why investors should approach the altcoin market cautiously. First, future policies remain speculative, with uncertainty surrounding their timing and impact. Although reduced regulatory oversight may improve sentiment across the industry, there is no guarantee that interest in decentralized finance will grow substantially. JPMorgan noted that it is still unclear whether these new regulations will allow the crypto ecosystem to integrate into traditional financial systems or if public blockchains like Ethereum will play a central role in the future. Additionally, the bank stated that ambitious plans for crypto reserves in the United States and beyond are likely to focus solely on Bitcoin. Certain U.S. states have already proposed legislation to hold Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, a policy Washington might adopt during Trump’s second term. Second, Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency fund space. JPMorgan predicts that retail and institutional investors will keep investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs, supported by Bitcoin’s appeal as digital gold. According to a Bernstein report, Bitcoin is expected to replace gold as the primary store of value in the global economy over the next decade. Bitcoin accounted for 35% of the total $78 billion inflows into the crypto market in 2024, according to JPMorgan. By contrast, Ethereum spot ETFs, launched in July 2024, attracted only $2.4 billion. The bank also forecasts that future ETFs for altcoins like Solana may see limited capital inflows. Third, the Bitcoin network is evolving to rival tokens with more specific use cases, such as Ethereum. Historically, Bitcoin was perceived as a buy-and-hold asset with limited functionality. However, developers have been expanding its capabilities, and new smart contract features will help it compete with rivals. JPMorgan also stated that large institutions might overlook public blockchains like Ethereum in favor of private blockchains offering customized solutions for institutional investors. Fourth, new altcoin projects require time to mature and prove their utility. The bank explained that decentralized initiatives often attract initial user attention but then face declining activity and token value. To achieve sustainability, these projects must demonstrate their long-term functional benefits. JPMorgan cautioned investors against expecting a repeat of the 2021 crypto bull market. During that period, projects succeeded through token distribution, but the current industry is more focused on blockchain capability development. The bank further noted that MicroStrategy is still halfway through its plan to invest $42 billion in Bitcoin. This software company has made a name for itself by accumulating vast Bitcoin reserves through equity and debt financing. For the first time in history, over 20% of total spot trading volume is conducted on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Standard Chartered Bank warned that if the $90,000 support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to around $80,000. The bank highlighted that Bitcoin ETF purchases have stabilized since the U.S. presidential election, and Jerome Powell’s policy shifts at the Federal Reserve on December 18 have increased selling pressure on digital assets. The bank cautioned that widespread panic could amplify these sell-offs, potentially affecting other cryptocurrencies.Nevertheless, such a price drop could present a long-term accumulation opportunity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Nasdaq index path, after the inauguration!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply range will provide us with the conditions to sell it. As markets prepare for Donald Trump’s inauguration, the dollar has weakened slightly. Early signals suggest that no significant changes in tariff policies are imminent, leading to a minor dip in the dollar’s value. Over the weekend, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a positive conversation. Following the call, Trump tweeted, “Just had an excellent conversation with Xi Jinping of China. This was very good for both China and the U.S. I expect us to solve many issues together, and we’ll start immediately.” Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Technology Index has reached its highest level in two years. Bloomberg data shows the 30-day correlation index between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq stands at approximately 0.70, indicating closely aligned movements between the two assets. On another front, Jared Bernstein, head of Joe Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, has warned that the incoming Trump administration’s potential interference in Federal Reserve interest rate policies could risk a resurgence in inflation. Bernstein emphasized the importance of maintaining the Fed’s independence and noted that executive actions should not influence interest rate decisions. TD Securities predicts that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady during the first half of this year. However, it expects rate cuts to resume in the second half, with the terminal rate reaching the low 3% range. This strategy reflects the economy’s need to digest Trump’s new policies, particularly on tariffs and immigration. This week’s economic calendar is relatively light.Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed on Monday, January 20, 2025, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Later in the week, key economic data will be released. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly jobless claims report will be published, followed by preliminary S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and existing home sales figures on Friday. Bank of America forecasts that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will reach 4.75% this year, with the potential to surpass 5% depending on Federal Reserve decisions. However, it sees a low probability of yields exceeding 5.25%. The bank cites a strong macroeconomic backdrop and a hawkish Federal Reserve, suggesting that any rate hikes will depend on inflation data. Bank of America also notes that yields near 5% could represent a compelling buying opportunity, provided the Consumer Price Index remains stable or declines slightly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Trump Coin Possibly Fibonacci Path to Hit $700First, in History, a United States Presidential Official Crypto Token. You could look at this as a possible artwork investment. A Possible 32 Fibonacci to Hit $700 if it can follow the hype of Doge from the last Bull Run. Only 40 million tokens are available in the market for the next 2+ years (not sure of the 3-year start date from Jan 2024 or Jan 2025), with the others being locked up. And if any unforeseen event occurs sadly, I am sure the value will rise even more. So you currently have 3 options: 1- Buy and sell within about two months seeing if you are able to sell at the top of the Alt Coin season. 2- Buy and sell before the remaining 80% of the token is released before the 3-year mark. 3- Buy and hold for the long term as a piece of artwork. Or a combination of all three if you get more than one. #Trump #Trumpcoin
by C-J_
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative. However this indicator remains plausible. But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment. Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO. Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k. So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin. Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
TRUMPomania - 3 variants of possibly Bulls RallyCrypto markets have been rocked by the launch of an "official" Donald Trump memecoin this weekend—with traders braced for more mayhem this coming week. Unlock over $3,000 in NFT, web3 and crypto perks — Apply now! The price of the "official" Trump memecoin has surged since its Friday evening launch, breaking into the crypto top 20 by market capitalization and hitting an eye-watering $14 billion. Now, as leaks reveal Trump is readying a flurry of crypto-focused executive orders, Trump's wife Melania has launched her own rival cryptocurrency—tanking the price of Trump's coin. Sign up now for the free CryptoCodex—A daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors and the crypto-curious that will get you up to date and keep you ahead of the bitcoin and crypto market bull run
Long
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
4
Trump’s Inauguration Day and the Crypto BoostGood morning readers, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk about a historic event that is shaking not only U.S. politics but also financial markets and the world of cryptocurrencies: Donald Trump's Inauguration Day as the 47th President of the United States and the launch of the new memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA. Today, January 20, 2025, marks the beginning of a new chapter for the United States and global markets. Donald Trump, after a period of political and financial stagnation, is ready to take command again with a presidency that, like his previous ones, promises to shake the economic foundations of the country and the world. As investors and analysts prepare to face the first day of his presidency, many questions arise regarding the immediate and long-term impacts this event will have on the stock market and the global economy. But it’s not just politics that is drawing attention today: a new chapter in the world of cryptocurrencies is about to unfold, with the launch of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA, which serve as an interesting indicator of how politics and new technologies are influencing the modern economy. Trump’s First Day at the White House: Expectations and Market Impacts As we all know, Donald Trump is a figure capable of provoking polarized reactions. His return to the White House, after winning his second term, will not only be a historic moment politically but also a critical moment for global financial markets. What can we expect on the first day of his presidency? His unique style and unpredictable attitude could bring a new phase of volatility to the stock market, with effects on everything from fiscal policies to the regulation of financial sectors. In the first place, a strong reaction in international stock markets is expected, with investors ready to bet on Trump’s return, especially in the large tech and media companies, sectors that experienced notable growth during his first term. His deregulatory policies and business-friendly approach could stimulate growth in more volatile sectors such as energy and raw materials. However, risks will also arise: his aggressive rhetoric, particularly regarding China, global trade, and cryptocurrency regulation, could trigger periods of instability, impacting the foreign exchange market as well. Analysts suggest that tech stocks, particularly those related to the Internet and artificial intelligence, may react positively to the new presidency, thanks to the promise of lower taxes and incentives for startups and innovative companies. Additionally, stocks linked to the military and defense sectors, which had already gained during his first term, could further strengthen. The Economic Consequences of a Trump Presidency: What’s Ahead Once the oath is taken, it’s likely there will be an acceleration of fiscal policies and the strengthening of protectionist measures. Trump has already announced plans to implement further corporate tax cuts, encouraging national business growth and promoting internal innovation. However, this could also raise concerns about public debt, creating a tension between economic growth and the risk of over-indebtedness. In the short term, expectations are for an acceleration in the growth of infrastructure-related sectors, such as construction and real estate. His political agenda, already focused on economic stimuli and tax cuts, will likely have a positive impact on these areas. Experts expect a rise in benchmark indices such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, especially in the tech sector, but uncertainty regarding his foreign policy actions, particularly towards China, could cause fluctuations and increase risk. The market could be characterized by greater volatility, with peaks of optimism and moments of retracement. Another key factor will be the market’s reaction to Trump’s first moves regarding cryptocurrency and blockchain regulation, a topic that has been frequently discussed during his campaign. $TRUMP and $MELANIA: Integrating Politics with the World of Cryptocurrencies Beyond the political dimension, one truly fascinating aspect of Trump’s first day is the introduction of the memecoins $TRUMP and $MELANIA. These cryptocurrencies are not just a novelty in the crypto world but a full-fledged phenomenon that blends politics with financial speculation. In a market traditionally seen as highly volatile and speculative, memecoins are already an institution, but Trump’s move could take these coins to a whole new level. $TRUMP and $MELANIA are coins linked to the image and persona of two of America’s most influential figures. But what does this mean for the cryptocurrency market and the global economy? Memecoins, in general, are digital assets whose growth is primarily fueled by social media fervor and speculation from younger investors who are passionate about pop culture. However, with Trump’s brand behind these cryptocurrencies, we can expect a much larger impact. The same polarization that has characterized his political career could translate into strong speculative demand for $TRUMP, driving its volatility up. Implications for the Stock Market: The Influence of Cryptocurrencies While Trump’s policies may stimulate growth in various sectors, the introduction of $TRUMP and $MELANIA as speculative assets could push financial markets in new directions. It is possible that the stock market, while continuing to follow the real economy, will be influenced by the growing interest in cryptocurrencies. Memecoins could also drive niche investors to refocus their resources toward these coins, further increasing liquidity in the cryptocurrency sector and diverting capital away from more traditional stock assets. The introduction of memecoins could also lead governments to reconsider their crypto regulations, creating a new phase of regulatory uncertainty that could have direct impacts on traditional financial markets. Conclusions: A New Era of Volatility and Opportunity Trump’s return to the White House and the launch of his memecoins represent two crucial factors that could lead to a new era of volatility in both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. While economic and political uncertainty could fuel short-term fluctuations, the adoption of memecoins could open up new speculative growth scenarios for those willing to seize the opportunity. For investors, the key will be to maintain an informed and vigilant perspective, navigating the opportunities offered by the crypto sector alongside the instability of global financial markets. Trump’s presidency is set to deeply influence economic dynamics, but it will be interesting to observe how these influences reflect in the world of cryptocurrencies and, ultimately, the stock market.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINEducation
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP