Trump
Is it the end of Stocks "Trump-bubble"?Stocks were pushed by Trump's fed bzzzz machine and grown to record 3588 value, but in the end even that bubble dumped. We can see big volume picking up the dips here - signal that SP500 may consolidate or even bounce back to ~3444-3500. I think Oil prices will give more realistic picture of what to expect, so stocks are secondary here.
Week chart show great volume on retest of 3350 support. If drop below it we will see a bloody waterfall.
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin has crashed but is the growth phase finished?Overview
Bitcoin broke up through $12 000 but is now crashing. Gold set a new all-time high but has since pulled back. The S&P 500 keeps on setting high after high. Still, all of these assets have one thing in common: they’re all at risk for a sizable correction, primarily due to the dark cloud hanging over the coming United States 2020 Presidential election. However such explanation can describe short-term effect on Bitcoin's price action but what about long-term perspective?
Fractals
Bitcoin global ATH $19 798 was reached on December 17th in 2017. Afterwards the whole cryptocurrency industry entered a consolidation phase decreasing until April 2nd in 2018 when a new growth stage started. After 3 months of ascending trend Bitcoin made a local peak of $13 970 on June 26th where consolidation started again making a Fractal pattern.
Why are these Fractal patterns so important now?
Bitcoin price action tried to consolidate at previously broken resistance levels to stop crashing during the first Fractal in 2018. Retrospectively we can see it failed after several attempts reaching major support which was also rejected thus it resulted in a dramatic crash to base level of $3 156. Currently we see the very similar situation:
- Local support of $11 400 was broken
- Previously broken resistance level of $10 400 level is being tested but has low probability to withstand
Based on the Pitchfork and trend analysis we see a high probability of breaking down the level and further retest of major support level. Which will confirm repeating Fractal pattern and will signal for descending trend
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at decisive moment. The long-term price action development depends on whether BTC succeed to consolidate above $10 400 level or not. Most traders from SkyRock Signals think Bitcoin will break the level within next days because of bearish fundamental background, negative results of trend and technical indicators analyses. The scenario will bring the leading cryptocurrency to Major support near with $8 893 level. On a contrast with the first Fractal this level is close to fundamental production value which increase chances of bouncing back. However it is hard to accurately forecast what will happen when Bitcoin touches major Support because Fractal patterns do not guarantee retrospective will happen again. The most important now is to set tight risk management settings to your cryptocurrency assets positions until decisive moment is passed
Stay safe and confident. We will update this trading idea so stay tuned
Best regard,
SkyRock Signals team
Long position - AUDUSDAfter the breakout and re-test of the structure, the market formed another structure. There were fundamentals involved, such as the independence day in the USA. Considering a a positive PMI next week, I'll be expecting a breakout of the last high (0.69520) and a retest. The pull-back is where I'll be placing my position.
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Donald's VaseIt seems as if something fundamentally changed in 2018, beginning a multi-year period of volatility.
From a WashPost article about the period: "DEC. 4, 2018
Markets tumbled after Trump tweeted “I am a Tariff Man” and the Trump administration backed off earlier claims of a trade-war truce with China." (www.washingtonpost.com)
ELECTION DROPI changed my price target on SPY to ~$367. Yesterdays price action was way too strong into the close for this market to drop yet. Nobody cared about Powells speech. Nobody cares about EVERY stock in the market being overvalued by a minimum of 2x. We are continuing the ride up the wall of worry. IWM still has not completed its 100% retrace which WILL happen. I am noticing stocks all over the board developing extremely bearish patterns and parabolic moves to the moon. Post election, if trump wins, I anticipate the market to continue this ridiculous pattern. Biden wins, i expect a minimum of a 20% drop in the market.
AUDUSD "Reversal" In play4H Inefficiency > Daily Inefficiency.
This upwards channel is slowly losing momentum. It managed to drop pretty quickly but the climb back to the 4H inefficiency has been extremely long awaited hence the expectation to break this channel.
Will set multiple targets for this trade if we do get triggered in.
COVID/CONFIRMEDI’m going long on Covid we should be at 10,000,000 by December/Early January
Stoploss: 5,000,000