Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief.
GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout.
Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
Trump
X Swing Options Trade Plan 2025-05-23X Swing Analysis Summary (2025-05-23)
Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report – Strongly bullish across 15-min, daily, and weekly timeframes; price above all key EMAs. – RSI overbought (15-min 76.7, daily 81.3, weekly 71.7) and touching upper Bollinger Bands but MACD remains positive. – Positive news catalyst (U.S. Steel/Nippon partnership) and call OI at $55 suggests further upside. – Recommends buying the $55 call (expiry 2025-06-06) at $0.22, 50% profit target to $0.33, stop-loss at $0.11, 80% confidence.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Technicals severely overbought; short-term pullback likely despite fundamental news. – Max pain at $45.50 vs current $53.22 signals mean reversion. – Recommends buying puts, ideally $50 strike, targeting reversion to max pain, 75% confidence.
• Llama/Meta Report – Moderately bullish: price well above EMAs, bullish MACD, but overbought RSI/Bollinger Bands and max pain counter-signal. – Recommends buying the $55 call at $0.22, profit target $0.50, stop-loss $0.10, hold up to 10 days, 75% confidence.
• DeepSeek Report – Strongly bullish: parabolic move, high-volume news catalyst, price above upper bands. – Recommends buying the $55 call (expiry 6/06) at $0.22, target 100–150% gain ($0.44–$0.55), stop if price closes below $51.97, 80% confidence.
• Gemini/Google Report – Moderately bullish: powerful news and momentum outweigh overbought signals in the near term. – Recommends buying the $55 call at market open, entry $0.22–$0.25, profit target $0.44/$0.66, stop-loss $0.11, 70% confidence.
Agreements and Disagreements • Agreement: Four of five models favor buying the $55 call for a near-term swing. • Disagreement: Claude advocates a bearish put play ($50 strike) due to extreme overbought conditions and max pain. • Risk view: All acknowledge overbought RSI/Band readings; only Claude sees near-term downside.
Conclusion • Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately to strongly bullish in the very short term, driven by a major news catalyst and sustained momentum. • Recommended Trade: Buy a single-leg, naked $55 call option expiring 2025-06-06. • Strategy: Naked call purchase. • Expiration: 2025-06-06 (swing‐trade timeframe). • Premium: $0.22 per contract. • Entry Timing: Enter at market open. • Confidence Level: 75% • Key Risks and Considerations: – Severely overbought RSI and price trading above upper Bollinger Bands—risk of pullback. – Elevated VIX and max pain at $45.50 exert downside pressure over the next two weeks. – Low absolute premium and liquidity—wide bid/ask spread potential. – News-driven volatility could reverse if there’s profit-taking or adverse headlines.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "X", "direction": "call", "strike": 55.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.75, "profit_target": 0.44, "stop_loss": 0.11, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.22, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-23 15:51:18 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: X 🔀 Direction: CALL (LONG) 🎯 Strike: 55.00 💵 Entry Price: 0.22 🎯 Profit Target: 0.44 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.11 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 75% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-23 15:51:33 EDT
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Gold H4 Technical update and key levels bulls/bears📊 Technical Outlook Update H4
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️stuck in range for now
▪️overhead resistances will limit upside
▪️Bears key S/R: 3410/3460 USD
▪️Bulls key S/R: 3160/3240 USD
▪️Expect range price action
▪️Focus on selling high / buying low
▪️volatility likely to remain low
▪️next few weeks as no major headlines
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️short high and buy low
▪️detailed price levels above
▪️right now no trade recommended
Latest gold market updates:
📈 Gold surges as renewed tariff threats and geopolitical tensions drive safe-haven demand.
💳 Fiscal concerns escalate after the U.S. credit rating is downgraded, increasing investor interest in gold.
📊 Analysts identify $3,300 as a crucial support level, with strong buying interest keeping prices elevated.
🔮 Major banks project gold to surpass $4,000 per ounce within the next year, citing robust demand from both investors and central banks.
💍 Record gold prices prompt jewelry designers to shift toward 14-karat gold and alternative materials to control costs.
📉 Gold jewelry demand in India continues to decline due to high prices, while investment gold purchases rise.
🌍 Central banks, especially in emerging markets, sustain gold purchases to hedge against currency volatility and inflation.
🛡 Gold maintains key support above $3,200 despite market volatility and profit-taking pressures.
📈 Leading investment banks remain bullish, forecasting significant upside for gold through year-end.
💰 Gold is currently trading near $3,358 per ounce, reflecting ongoing volatility and global economic uncertainty.
$ETH - Ethereum enters buy zoneHey traders!
How is your portfolio doing? Trump is shaking us!
After all these months in 2025 I've tried to project a new scenario (bullish/bearish) that clarifies our next outlook.
Not an easy job. As you see day by day, markets are in high volatility due to trade war and (not trying to be pesimistic) could be worse.
However, In my opinion Ethereum (and altcoin markets) are entering into a golden opportunity. that has to be taken 100%. Don't know where is the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:ETH on a short scenario. But, what I can certainly say is that won't fall as a stone for too long.
Ranges between 1400 - 2000 USD are gold prices to make progressives buys. Although it could fall even more ( 900 - 1200 USD) I think this is a high Risk reward buy.
But, timing is not on time. Shouldn't I sell, expecting a bear market( you know Halving and Posthalving ideas). Times have changed as the macro scenario has not been the same as the previous bullruns.
So, it's time to accumulate and expect a possible expansion cycle in 2026.. That could lead Ethereum to prices never seen before. Yes, the range between 8.000 - 15.000 USD.
As I always say. Just my opinion. Stay safe!
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. Maintaining the drawn trend line will lead to its reaching $120,000.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Over the past 200 days, since Trump’s electoral victory, investment funds (ETFs) and major corporations have collectively purchased and withdrawn approximately 607,000 bitcoins from the market.
▪️ Around 200,000 bitcoins were acquired by ETFs.
▪️ MicroStrategy alone accumulated nearly 300,000 bitcoins.
▪️ The remaining 100,000 bitcoins were bought by other companies.
This substantial level of acquisition has removed a significant portion of bitcoin from circulation, creating what is known as a “supply shock”—a situation where the reduced availability of bitcoin could drive prices higher due to scarcity.
On February 6, 2025, Eric Trump declared that it was an opportune time to invest in bitcoin. Shortly after this statement, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 25%. However, the market soon shifted momentum, and bitcoin entered a strong upward trend. On May 22, Trump tweeted again, stating: “Hope you listened… This is just the beginning!”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, set to take place on May 28 in Las Vegas.Earlier in March, President Trump signed an executive order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve,” solidifying the government’s new, supportive stance toward cryptocurrencies.
The Vice President’s upcoming participation in this event underscores the seriousness of the administration’s digital asset policy and reinforces the likelihood that digital assets will gain a more formal and structured role within the U.S. financial and strategic reserve systems.
Jurrien Timmer, Chief Economist at Fidelity, believes that bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark signals its growing alignment with gold as a store-of-value asset. He suggests a 4-to-1 ratio of gold to bitcoin in a value-preservation investment portfolio.
Although bitcoin had a sluggish start in 2025, capital inflows into bitcoin ETFs have resumed—especially as macroeconomic conditions have begun to improve. While gold has posted gains of around 30% so far this year, bitcoin hasn’t matched that performance yet. Nonetheless, analysts continue to project significantly higher price targets for bitcoin within this same year.
Meanwhile, the crypto exchange Kraken announced that it will soon launch tokenized stock offerings for Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tokenized stocks will be available for trading by users outside of the United States.
Importantly, these assets will be tradable 24/7—much like cryptocurrencies—which marks a major departure from the traditional trading hours of Wall Street. Kraken confirmed that the feature will roll out in the coming weeks, initially targeting regions such as Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
Big bill, big debt, bullish goldGold recently broke above a descending trendline and reclaimed the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $3,333.05. The bullish momentum now faces resistance near the 0.618 retracement at $3,366.29 and the $3,389.94 zone (0.786). A clean breakout could open the way toward the $3,440–$3,507 area, aligning with the 1.0 and 1.618 Fib extensions.
The rally follows rising trade tensions, as President Trump announced 50% tariffs on EU imports from June 1st and threatened Apple with 25% tariffs unless it relocates iPhone production to the U.S.
Further fuel for gold comes from the proposed ‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act,’ which includes major tax cuts and spending reforms. Expected to add $3–5 billion to U.S. debt, the bill passed the House and now moves to the Senate.
Weekly Analysis for BTC (May 26–30)BTC played out clean last week. Broke above 108k, tapped a new ATH at 110.5k, and pulled back slightly. Structure still bullish — 4H HLs holding strong and 107k retest held nicely into weekend close.
Key level to watch is 110k. If we break that with momentum, price can push to 115k or even 120.7k based on fibs and hype continuation. If we reject again, we might pull back to 107k or 100k — still a buy zone unless 88k breaks.
On the macro side, confluence is heavy:
– ETFs still driving big money inflow
– US debt growing after Trump’s new tax bill
– Moody’s downgrade adds more pressure
– Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven flow also helping BTC hold strength
– Holiday week in the US (Memorial Day), so volume might be low — fakeouts possible if liquidity dries up
Best zones to watch this week:
🔸 110k breakout for continuation
🔸 107k and 100k pullback buys
🔸 110.5k ATH for possible rejection scalps
As long as 88k holds, structure is clean. Bias remains bullish with both TA and macro pointing up.
Will be posting more detial daily anaylsis. follow for more updates. Or check out Streefree_trade IG.
Official TRUMP Dinner PUMP?Many Altcoins, specially memecoins, in the past few weeks were growing strongly, is OFFICIAL TRUMP being suppressed?
Let's speculate a little bit.
If you were Trump. No, if I were Trump, Master Trump or Alan Trump, and I have this upcoming event on 22-May. Would I want declining prices or a super-pump right at the same time the event is happening?
If I am a very powerful man and know the power of the media, would I want the memecoin that goes by my name to be super-pumping the same night, at the exact same time as the event goes on? Wouldn't this bring that much more attention if prices were to blow up?
What's your take? What do you think will happen?
The chart looks good for TRUMPUSDT, there is no reason why prices shouldn't be going up. Other pairs are similar, many very similar, but many others continued to grow.
Last week and the week before, it was all memecoins in the top performers. This week, somehow, this market behavior was shutdown and we now only have real projects at the top of the list, which is pretty good actually and refreshing.
Overall, these memecoins can cause real harm to the market. The exchanges can fix this by not listing and delisting but that's not the topic today.
TRUMPUSDT looks good, chart-wise, based on TA. It can grow easily and the action is happening within the "bullish zone."
Another one, the biggest candle since March is a bullish candle. And this is also the biggest candle after the All-Time Low. So the bulls have the upper-hand period. So TRUMPUSDT can grow.
But what about the dinner pump?
You think they are waiting and will buy heavily on the day of the event? Maybe a 100% jump?
I am curious as to what your opinion is, and I'll tell you mine... IT IS GOING UP!
Dinner or no dinner...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
$UUUUTrump’s executive orders to ease Nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, boosting nuclear energy demand.
Before 2025 started, once Trump won the election I was certain he would eventually pass executive order(s) and/or make political deals to ease nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, naturally boosting nuclear energy demand. This does not just affect AMEX:UUUU it also affects most of the Nuclear Energy stocks and Uranium-related stocks, like AMEX:UEC , NASDAQ:CEG , NASDAQ:NNE , NYSE:OKLO etc.
We should see most of these stocks continue to grow in value throughout 2025 at the very least. I don't know yet how they will fair in 2026 though 2025 should continue to be a good year for nuclear energy and uranium stocks :)
BTC shorts will get liquidatedHello everyone!
As we all witnessed, BINANCE:BTCUSDT experienced a sharp drop following Trump's announcement of new tariffs starting June 1st on all European Union . The big question now is: is this the end for Bitcoin, or just a temporary dip?
In my opinion, BTC is likely to move as follows:
It will retest the long wick on the 1-hour chart, which previously bounced from a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) , and then continue its upward movement.
Don't worry, everyone, BTC remains very strong!
TRUMPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPHello friends
Considering the good growth we had, you can see that the price formed a flag and corrected after reaching its ceiling.
Now, with the price correction, there is a good opportunity to buy in stages and with capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
TRUMPUSDT Massive breakout above the Triangle.Official Trump / TRUMPUSDT just crossed above its 1 month Triangle pattern following a May 6th rebound on the 1day MA50.
The upside potential is huge long term but even in the immediate future, it technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 25.50.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
VAGX ETF: A Hidden Gem in an Era of Economic UncertaintyIn a world of shifting economic tides, investors are constantly searching for assets that offer both stability and growth potential. The Vanguard Global Aggregate Bond UCITS ETF (VAGX) may be one such opportunity, quietly accumulating strength amid global economic fluctuations.
Understanding VAGX ETF’s Accumulation Phase
VAGX tracks the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Float Adjusted and Scaled (CHF Hedged) index, which includes a diversified mix of corporate and government bonds. Since its inception in September 2021, the ETF has steadily grown, accumulating assets and reinvesting interest income to enhance long-term value. With 8,891 holdings and a low expense ratio of 0.10%, it offers broad exposure to global fixed-income markets.
Macroeconomic Landscape: Tariffs, Inflation, and Interest Rates
The global economy is at a critical juncture, with policy shifts and trade tensions shaping investment strategies. Key factors influencing VAGX’s potential include:
Tariffs & Trade Tensions: Recent tariff escalations have heightened uncertainty, impacting global trade and economic growth. This environment makes bond-based ETFs like VAGX attractive as investors seek stability.
Inflation Trends: Inflation is projected to moderate slightly in 2025, but remains a concern for central banks. Bond ETFs, particularly those with investment-grade holdings, can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures.
Interest Rate Outlook: The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates has been influenced by inflation and trade policies. While rate cuts may be delayed, fixed-income assets like VAGX can provide a reliable store of value in uncertain times.
Why VAGX Could Be a Strong Long-Term Holding
Diversification: Exposure to global bonds mitigates risk compared to single-market investments.
Accumulating Nature: Interest income is reinvested, compounding returns over time.
Hedged Against Currency Fluctuations: CHF hedging reduces volatility from exchange rate movements.
Low Expense Ratio: At 0.10%, it remains cost-efficient for long-term investors.
Final Thoughts
As the global economy navigates inflationary pressures, trade uncertainties, and interest rate shifts, VAGX ETF stands out as a stable, accumulating asset with strong long-term potential. Investors looking for a reliable store of value and gradual appreciation may find this ETF an attractive addition to their portfolios.
SIX:VAGX INDEX:BTCUSD SP:SPX TVC:DXY OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD $ EURONEXT:N100 SIX:SMI TVC:SXY
TRUMP is Back on the Move! Breakout Trade Setup Inside!!🚀 TRUMP Bull Pennant Breakout – 40% Potential Incoming?! 👀🔥
Hey Traders! If you're all about high-conviction plays and real alpha, smash that 👍 and tap Follow for more setups that actually deliver! 💹💯
TRUMP is breaking out of a symmetrical triangle in the 4H time frame — signaling the potential for a massive upside move! The last time we saw similar consolidation, it exploded with over 40% gains.
📈 Entry: Current Market Price
🎯 Target: $18.70+
🛑 Stop Loss: $12.58
Lev: Use low lev (Max 5x)
📊 Risk/Reward: High-reward setup for breakout traders
🔥 With momentum building and volume picking up, this setup could deliver strong returns if the breakout sustains.
💬 What are your thoughts on this move? Are you trading $TRUMP?
Don't trade Aussie this week!Dear traders,
Among the top 8 forex market currencies, tariffs war affects the Aussie most, because Australia is highly dependent on China.
Rank Trading Partner Exports (A$ million)
1 China 185,141
2 Japan 119,889
3 European Union 31,816
4 United States 30,690
Uncertainty about China's future means, fluctuations in Aussie. I don't trade AUDUSD this week,
only if everything goes well with negotiations between Trump and China, I might use confirmed break over zone of 0.64355 to take long trades.
Regards, Ali
TRUMP 4X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 1266%)The market always offers a second chance... Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, look what I have for you!
This is definitely one of your favorite Altcoins, a memecoin, and I want to give you great numbers right now.
This is very, very, very simple. Just buy and hold.
This is a high probability trade-setup but still kind of risky because the action is happening "mid-air." But this is great timing, I believe because only the market can decide about this.
If you don't know what the below numbers mean, you can skip them all together and just go spot. To go "spot," buy as much as you can. "Buy as if the world is ending tomorrow." "Buy like is the end of the world —and hold." That's the greatness of spot, you can't go wrong.
For more advanced and experienced trader, I am wishing you tons of profits and success. Full trade-numbers below:
_____
LONG TRUMPUSDT
Leverage: 4X
Entry levels:
1) $13.80
2) $12.65
3) $11.20
4) $9.85
Targets:
1) $15.8
2) $17.9
3) $20.8
4) $24.5
5) $28.6
6) $31.2
7) $35.3
8) $42.0
9) $46.7
10) $52.7
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $9
Potential profits: 1266%
Capital allocation: 3%
_____
Remember, while I believe this is a great setup with great prices and great timing, market conditions can always change. If you cannot handle the weight of your actions, do not trade.
Only use money you can afford to lose.
Plan ahead. There is always risk involved.
With that said, get ready for another successful leveraged trade.
Thank you for reading.
I love you—your support is highly appreciated.
Namaste.
Average US Stock Rebounds as VIX Dies – But Who's Really WinningThe Value Line Geometric Index ( NYSE:VALUG ), representing the average US stock, has bounced hard off multi-year support, right as Trump makes global headlines for striking billion-dollar “deals” in the Middle East.
But let’s call this what it is:
Deregulation for aircraft, crypto, energy 🛩️💸⚡
Tariffs and restrictions on retail, green tech, and small business 🏪🌱📉
And all while sitting on personal meme coin bags worth billions.
Meanwhile, volatility ( TVC:VIX ) is back to sleep, and main street stocks are climbing — but who is actually winning here?
OFFICIAL TRUMP Main trend. 16 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a super pump and a drive of "stupid money", a descending channel was formed on a natural dump. The price came out of it. Now a triangle is forming. The price is clamped. The reversal zones and percentages to the key support/resistance levels are shown extremely accurately according to TA.
If there is no aggressive exit in the medium term, then there will be consolidation and, as a consequence, the formation of a horizontal channel "sholtai / chattai", its key zones are shown.
Now, this "cryptocurrency" is now on 16 05 2025 in 41st place by capitalization.
Reductions from the price highs are about -90%.
From the liquid zone about -84%.
These are not the minimum values of the decline of such hype cryptocurrencies. Just take this into account in your money management. For clarity, the level zones and the % of potential decline if the trend breaks again are shown on the chart (pull the chart down).
Even with such a decline, the price is now at a huge profit. I am not speaking for the creators of the cryptocurrency, but for the first speculators and "investors" who may not have sold everything on the hype.
For the creators of the cryptocurrency, perhaps these are manipulators close to the Trump family, for them, any sale is super profit. But in order to sell, you need to maintain liquidity, and from time to time make interest in speculation and asset retention by investors, that is, do pumps and hype. Use this, and do not be greedy...
Levels and zones, pump/dump, which the price will "feel" are shown in advance. Click "play" on the chart and move the chart up. With a high degree of probability, the hype and pumping of the price of this cryptocurrency will be repeated, given the hype and the long term of the political figure whose name this cryptocurrency bears. Now it is a Trump dump, in the future it will become a Trump pump for some time.
Do not forget to sell on the next hype. If you understand that you are very greedy, and the news background affects you, then sell in parts, or use stop losses to protect profits.
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones, and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend, and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
OFFICIAL Trump: Should I Sell Everything Now?Notice how interesting this is, while TRUMPUSDT peaked 26-April, the "higher low" on the chart remains untested, that is, this trading pair is consolidating while staying sideways.
While there was a lower high 10-May compared to 26-April, there is no strong retrace. TRUMPUSDT is trading high up.
This is not the time to sell, no. This is the time to buy, buy strong and hold because not only OFFICIAL TRUMP but everything Crypto will grow.
The longer the consolidation (sideways) period, the stronger the bullish wave that follows. In fact, it is good that TRUMPUSDT is sideways now and working to gain strength. This means that the project is preparing for a massive bullish wave. This wave will happen next in a matter of time, can be a week from now... Prices will be moving higher for certain, patience is called for.
Namaste.