Trump-Putin Ukraine Deal: Impacts on Forex
Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important news that is shaking up the global markets: Donald Trump has apparently reached an agreement with Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, with an agreement that includes Ukraine's exit from NATO. The historic meeting between the two leaders will take place in Saudi Arabia and this move is expected to have a profound impact on the global geopolitical and financial landscape, especially on the Forex market.
Geopolitical and Economic Impact:
The announcement of a possible agreement between Trump and Putin could mark a significant turning point in the war in Ukraine. If Ukraine were to actually leave NATO, it would open a new phase of stability for the region, but at the same time it could create uncertainty on the geopolitical borders. This decision will directly affect the currency markets, in particular the currencies of the countries involved, the main European currencies and the US dollar.
In the current context, the war in Ukraine is one of the main causes of economic instability worldwide. Any end to hostilities could lead to a reduction in economic sanctions and a revival of trade flows between Russia, Europe and the United States. These changes will be closely monitored by traders, as any geopolitical fluctuations could affect the dynamics of currencies globally.
Implications for Forex:
A possible agreement between Trump and Putin could have a direct impact on Forex, especially on the following currencies:
Russian Ruble (RUB): A peace agreement would lead to a possible revaluation of the ruble. International sanctions against Russia could be gradually removed, boosting the Russian economy and supporting demand for the ruble in global markets.
Euro (EUR): Ukraine's exit from NATO could lead to greater stability for European countries involved in the conflict, but it could also reduce the risk associated with energy and military security. In the short term, the Euro could appreciate against riskier currencies, but the situation could vary depending on the political reactions in Europe.
US Dollar (USD): The dollar could react positively if the Trump-Putin deal is seen as a stabilization of international relations, but it will also depend on how the Federal Reserve responds to evolving economic conditions. A slowdown in the conflict could reduce the uncertainty that has pushed markets towards the dollar as a safe haven.
British Pound (GBP): The pound could benefit from a possible de-escalation of the crisis, but again, domestic political factors in the UK, such as its post-Brexit negotiations, will continue to influence the currency.
What to expect in the coming days:
News of the Trump-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia will be watched closely by the markets. If the details of the deal are confirmed, we can expect an immediate reaction in the currency markets. Forex is likely to see increased volatility in the currency pairs tied to the nations involved, with shifts in capital flows that could reflect a new perception of risk or stability.
Conclusions:
In summary, the Trump-Putin deal could be a turning point in the war in Ukraine and have a significant impact on financial markets, especially Forex. Investors will need to carefully monitor geopolitical developments and prepare for possible currency fluctuations. With the end of hostilities, stability could return to favor some currencies, but the situation remains delicate and constantly evolving.
Trump
Trump-Putin call sparks euro rallyThe euro surged to session highs after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-minute call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which they agreed to visit each other and initiate negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. Trump stated that peace talks would begin “immediately.”
Technically, the euro rebounded from downtrend support, keeping attention on a potential breakout at the January range of 1.02–1.05. Bears potentially remain vulnerable as long as the pair holds above the 1.02 level.
Shortly after his conversation with Putin, Trump spoke with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Zelensky later confirmed the discussion, describing it as “meaningful” and mentioning plans for a new agreement on security, economic cooperation, and resource partnerships.
Turn off the log and see the Bitcoin waves.The Bitcoin market is delivering a powerful signal as it not only hit but exceeded the monumental $100K milestone.
This follows three significant bull runs characterised by substantial retail participation in 2017, 2021, and the dramatic surge leading up to Trump's presidential inauguration on Jan 20th 2025.
You don’t have to be an expert in Elliott Wave theory to recognise the five prominent upward waves and the three smaller downward waves (a, b, c) illustrated on this monthly chart.
Elliott Wave theory serves as a tool in technical analysis, helping to interpret a security's price fluctuations over time by pinpointing recurring eight-wave patterns within the return data.
Ralph Nelson Elliott unveiled his groundbreaking theory in the 1930s, gaining recognition for accurately forecasting the stock market's lowest point in 1935 through meticulous analysis of long-term indices and historical trends. The Elliott wave theory serves as a technical analysis framework, asserting that stock price fluctuations primarily manifest in waves rather than straightforward patterns. This approach shares notable similarities with the Dow theory, as both suggest that price movements unfold in waves rather than mere linear sequences.
Do you think we might have actually experienced a left-translated bull run? Or do you feel this is merely a reset in sentiment, characterised by sideways price movements, while crypto still has the potential to soar to the lofty heights that mainstream influencers eagerly promote?
MEUSDT Falling Pattern Breakout with 200%-250% Potential GainsMEUSDT has recently broken out of its Falling Pattern, signaling the potential for a strong price rally. A Falling Pattern often sets the stage for a reversal, and with the breakout now complete, MEUSDT is poised to enter a bullish phase. The pattern, which typically consists of lower lows and lower highs, has now formed a solid foundation for the price to move upward. With good volume supporting this breakout, there’s strong market confidence in the project, and traders are anticipating a surge in price. The expected gain range for this move is substantial, with projections of 200% to 250%+, making this a highly attractive opportunity for those looking to capitalize on significant upside potential.
The breakout from the Falling Pattern is a key technical event that signals a shift in market sentiment. As the price pushes higher, the breakout confirms that the bears may have lost control, and the bulls are now taking charge. With volume continuing to support the move, it increases the likelihood that MEUSDT will maintain upward momentum. As more traders and investors take notice of this development, the price could continue to rise, potentially testing previous highs and delivering substantial returns for those who timed their entry correctly.
Investor interest in MEUSDT has been growing, and this breakout has captured the attention of many in the crypto community. The combination of a completed Falling Pattern, solid volume, and growing market sentiment creates a perfect setup for significant gains. If MEUSDT continues to follow the expected bullish trajectory, it could quickly move into a new price range, delivering impressive returns to traders who are quick to act. This could be the beginning of a strong bullish trend for MEUSDT, and those who enter at the right time could see massive profits.
As always, it's important for traders to watch key resistance levels and price action carefully. The next few price movements will determine whether MEUSDT can maintain its bullish trend and reach the expected gains. Given the current breakout and the positive technical indicators, MEUSDT presents an exciting opportunity for traders looking to profit from the next major move in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on volume and support levels will be essential to navigating this setup successfully.
$GOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATAGOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATA
1/7
Gold hit a record high of $2,942.70/oz on Feb 11, fueled by safe-haven demand amid fresh U.S. tariffs. Today, it’s dipped 0.2% to $2,892.50 as investors take profits and watch U.S. inflation data. Let’s dig in! 💰⚖️
2/7 – RECENT PRICE ACTION
• All-time high at $2,942.70/oz—sparked by President Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel & aluminum
• Spot gold now at $2,892.50 (↓0.2%), with futures at $2,931.40 (↓0.1%)
• The rally’s paused—are we in for a short breather or a bigger correction? 🤔
3/7 – TARIFF TENSIONS
• 25% tariffs raise global trade war fears, boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal
• Markets worried about inflation, as import costs could climb
• Gold remains a hedge against economic uncertainty and currency devaluation 🌐⛔️
4/7 – MACROECONOMIC DRIVERS
• Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish comments on rate policy sent gold lower—higher rates often weigh on non-yielding assets
• U.S. inflation data (due soon) could shape the Fed’s next move—any upside surprise might strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold further
5/7 – INVESTOR SENTIMENT
• Profit-taking: After a massive run-up, traders might lock in gains
• Safe Haven: Still an underlying bullish sentiment if tariffs escalate
• The $2,900–$2,950 range is in focus—will gold consolidate or stage another breakout?
6/7 Where’s gold heading next?
1️⃣ Above $3,000—safe haven demand remains strong ✨
2️⃣ Sideways around $2,900—pausing for data 🏖️
3️⃣ Back under $2,850—hawkish Fed sinks gold ⬇️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – STRATEGY WATCH
• Short-Term: Watch U.S. inflation data & dollar moves—gold typically moves opposite the greenback
• Long-Term: If tariffs stoke inflationary pressure, gold may shine even brighter. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments! 🌎
LINK: Potential 10x Play?LINK has spent years forming a massive symmetrical triangle.
It has already broken out and is currently in its second retest of the upper boundary.
Using a conservative measurement from the triangle pattern, the maximum estimated upside is around $190-$200—a potential 10x move from here.
📌 Entry & Stop-Loss Strategy
If entering now, a reasonable stop-loss could be set at the Feb 3rd wick low, which also aligns with a key support/resistance flip (light blue line).
If the light blue line fails, there’s a high chance of breaking back into the triangle.
But even if that happens, LINK could still see a strong recovery after some consolidation.
🔥 Why is BINANCE:LINKUSDT worth watching?
It’s included in Coinbase 50 Index, Grayscale Trust, and World Liberty Financial (a decentralized project supported by Trump & his family).
It’s also a “Made in USA” project—an attractive narrative for traders.
With so many hype factors, once the bull market kicks in, CRYPTOCAP:LINK could get heavily pumped by news catalysts.
At that point, who knows—10x might be just the beginning. 🚀
🔴 for more future script “guesses” like this! 😃
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
TRUMPUSDT Long – High Potential SetupI've allocated 20% of my balance to this trade, going long on TRUMPUS. The probability of a price surge up to $59 is high, considering the ongoing political cycle. With Trump remaining a key figure in U.S. politics, there will be continuous news catalysts driving market volatility.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current price range
Target: $59 (295% potential gain)
Stop-loss: $5.4 (isolated position for risk control)
I see this as a low-risk, high-reward trade, leveraging strict risk management while capitalizing on market sentiment. 🚀📈
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
$TRUMP Memecoin Tanks 80%: What Went Wrong?The $TRUMP memecoin, a token inspired by the 45th U.S. President Donald Trump, has seen a dramatic collapse in value, plummeting to $15 per token—a staggering 80% drop from its all-time high of $75. This sharp decline has left investors reeling, especially after initial euphoria surrounding its launch and Trump’s swearing-in ceremony in early January 2025. But what caused this downturn, and is there hope for a recovery?
A Memecoin Built on Political Sentiment
$TRUMP was launched as a PolitFi (political finance) token, capitalizing on the fervor surrounding Donald Trump’s political career and his iconic "Fight, Fight, Fight" battle cry following a dramatic event on July 13, 2024. The token was marketed as a way to own a piece of history, celebrating Trump’s resilience and leadership. At its peak, $TRUMP reached $75, driven by hype and the emotional connection of Trump’s supporters.
However, memecoins like $TRUMP are inherently volatile and heavily reliant on sentiment rather than utility. Unlike projects with tangible use cases or technological innovations, $TRUMP’s value is tied to the popularity and perception of its namesake. As the initial excitement faded, so did the token’s price, leading to the current downturn.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, $TRUMP’s price action tells a story of rapid gains followed by an even sharper correction. Here’s what the charts are showing:
1. Price Collapse:
$TRUMP has fallen from its all-time high of $75 to $15, marking an 80% loss. This kind of volatility is not uncommon in memecoins, which often experience parabolic rises and steep declines.
2. Immediate Resistance:
The $48 level is a critical resistance point for $TRUMP. Breaking above this level could reignite bullish momentum and signal a potential recovery. However, given the current market sentiment, this seems like a challenging hurdle.
3. Market Cap and Volume:
Despite the crash, $TRUMP still holds a market cap of $3.08 billion, ranking it #37 on CoinMarketCap. The 24-hour trading volume remains high at $900 million, indicating that there is still significant interest in the token. This liquidity could provide a foundation for a potential rebound.
4. Sentiment and RSI:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold territory, suggesting that the selling pressure may be exhausting itself. If buyers step in, this could create a short-term bounce, though sustained recovery would require a shift in market sentiment.
What Caused the Crash?
Several factors likely contributed to $TRUMP’s dramatic decline:
- Hype Fading: Memecoins often experience a "pump and dump" cycle, where early investors cash out after the initial surge, leaving latecomers to bear the losses.
- Lack of Utility: Unlike utility-driven cryptocurrencies, $TRUMP lacks a clear use case, making it vulnerable to sentiment-driven price swings.
- Market Conditions: Broader market trends and risk-off sentiment in the crypto space may have exacerbated the sell-off.
Conclusion
The rise and fall of $TRUMP serve as a reminder of the risks associated with memecoins. While they can offer explosive gains, they are equally prone to devastating losses. For $TRUMP, the path to recovery hinges on regaining market confidence and finding new catalysts to drive demand.
CAKEUSDT Falling Pattern Setup with 100%-150% Potential Gains CAKEUSDT has recently formed a Falling Pattern, a chart formation that typically signals a period of consolidation or potential reversal. This pattern is often seen in markets that are in the process of finding a bottom before making a sharp upward move. For CAKEUSDT, the pattern is accompanied by good volume, which indicates that there is solid market interest and a buildup of potential for a breakout. With a projected gain range of 100% to 150% or more, traders are watching this pair closely, hoping to capitalize on what could be a significant upward move once the price breaks out of the pattern's resistance.
The Falling Pattern typically shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, followed by a potential breakout when the price moves through the key resistance level. The increasing volume during this phase suggests that buyers are starting to take control, positioning themselves for a potential rally. Investors are growing more interested in CAKEUSDT as it shows signs of bottoming out and setting up for an explosive upward movement. If this pattern follows through, traders could see substantial returns as the price looks to reclaim its previous highs.
As with all chart patterns, the success of the Falling Pattern in CAKEUSDT depends on several factors, including broader market conditions and the overall sentiment in the crypto space. However, the good volume backing this pattern suggests a higher likelihood of a strong reversal. If CAKEUSDT can break above the resistance formed by the Falling Pattern, the next phase could be a sharp rally, potentially pushing the price higher and providing traders with significant profit opportunities.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels to make informed decisions as the price action unfolds. If the market continues to favor bullish momentum, CAKEUSDT could experience a strong breakout that leads to notable gains. Given the current technical setup and investor interest, this pair could be one to watch closely in the coming days or weeks for those looking to capitalize on the next big move.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (UPDATE)Gold has been absolutely crazy since market open last night! With a huge 350 PIPS move up on market open, price crashed back down 600 PIPS overnight. This impulse move down is a strong indication the top for Wave 5 could be in.
Time for market structure to form its corrective phase now📉
"TRUMPUSDT ABCD Pattern Points to 200%-250% Potential Gains TRUMPUSDT has recently formed a strong ABCD pattern, a classic chart formation that often indicates a potential price reversal or continuation. The ABCD pattern is recognized for its precision and the clear path it suggests for future price movements. In the case of TRUMPUSDT, the pattern is unfolding with good volume, which is crucial for confirming the validity of this setup. With strong buy-side interest supporting the formation, the coin is gaining attention from traders looking for high-reward opportunities. The projected gains for this pattern are substantial, with expectations of a price surge in the range of 200% to 250% or more, provided the pattern plays out as anticipated.
The ABCD pattern in TRUMPUSDT suggests that after completing the initial phases of the pattern, the price is likely to enter a strong upward trend, especially as it nears the D point. The good volume accompanying this pattern is a positive indicator, as it shows that the market is behind this movement, and the setup could trigger a substantial breakout once the price breaks key resistance levels. Investors are already showing significant interest in this pair, which further validates the potential for an explosive move in the near future. Traders are advised to monitor key levels and entry points carefully to maximize the potential profit from this setup.
What makes the TRUMPUSDT chart particularly compelling is the confluence of technical factors. Along with the ABCD pattern, the strong volume and market interest suggest that the momentum could be on the verge of accelerating. If the price successfully breaks the resistance area around point D, it could quickly move higher and potentially retest previous highs, providing traders with the chance for massive returns. As the project gains more traction and investor confidence, the odds of this pattern materializing into a full bullish move increase.
In the broader context of the crypto market, the movement of TRUMPUSDT could be influenced by the trends of major altcoins and market sentiment. However, with the ABCD pattern setting the stage for potential gains, traders might find it a favorable time to enter the market. As always, patience and precision will be key to successfully capitalizing on this pattern. Keeping an eye on volume, key levels, and the overall market environment will be essential for anyone looking to make the most of this setup.
Gold's Parabolic Momentum After the FOMC CrashGold has entered full acceleration mode, displaying a textbook parabolic move following the recent FOMC-induced volatility. After an initial shakeout that saw weak hands liquidated, price has rebounded with unrelenting bullish momentum, carving out higher highs with surgical precision.
This parabolic curve reflects strong institutional demand, as each shallow dip is aggressively bought up, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. The angle of ascent is steepening, signaling that we may be entering the euphoric phase of this trend.
Key levels to watch:
📈 If momentum sustains, the next logical targets could be previous key resistance zones or Fibonacci extension levels.
📉 A break of the parabolic curve could signal exhaustion and bring a deeper correction before the next leg up.
Is gold setting up for a blow-off top, or does this rally have more fuel left? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥 #Gold #Momentum #FOMC #Trading
TRUMPUSDTMEXC:TRUMPUSDT can drop quite a bit. The lower it goes, the more attractive it becomes. This is one of those currencies that can be relied upon in this market. However, it started off very expensive; it seems it needs to drop a lot more to become worthwhile for purchase. I usually have a very optimistic view of the market, and I think a price of $3.5 for buying this currency is a reasonable level. I emphasize that my approach to analyzing this market is optimistic, especially when one side of the deal is Trump, who sells everything for at least a hundred times its actual value. But the world is full of simple-minded people who intend to gamble on Trump's currency, and perhaps one can count on these people.
Binance coinBnb usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >2.3 👈
Target 830$
Technical analysis 👇
Look at the chart carefully
Bnb is moving between two gray lines and down side of this is strong support line
Three parts of Correction is finished and price start the fist part of moving.
Risks are Bubbling in the Nasdaq-100The Nasdaq-100 has led this cycle, driven by U.S. economic resilience and an unprecedented investment surge in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure.
However, risks are emerging from overvaluation, excessive AI spending that has yet to translate into revenue, and geopolitical uncertainties tied to the Trump administration.
With the Nasdaq-100 trading below its all-time high and lacking sufficient catalysts for a breakout, a near-term correction could occur if these risks materialize. Investors may consider a short position to capitalize on this potential downturn.
AI Spending and Overvaluation Risks
The "Magnificent Seven"—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—have dominated market sentiment, collectively accounting for approximately 63% of the Nasdaq-100's total market cap. This highlights the rally's extreme concentration.
Much of the momentum has been driven by high expectations for rapid growth in artificial intelligence, further amplifying the market's reliance on these key players.
The broader backdrop has also been supportive: US economic growth continues to surprise to the upside, with growth expected at 2.3% for the year, while corporate earnings—even more so for tech—are likely to rise 7-14%, as per multiple analyst outlooks.
However, recent earnings reports have injected caution into AI enthusiasm. Alphabet missed revenue forecasts, sending its stock down 7.3%, while AMD dropped 6.3% after weak data-center sales. Amazon's AWS posted $28.79B in revenue, just shy of the $28.84B estimate, raising concerns over AI over-spending.
Despite this, AI capex remains aggressive. Meta reaffirmed its $60-65B 2025 capex plan, despite $17B in Metaverse losses last year. Microsoft defended its Azure and OpenAI bets, while Alphabet, despite AI competition pressures , is committing $75B to AI infrastructure in 2025.
With ambitions and excitement all around, the market’s reaction toward these companies, in light of underwhelming earnings and efficient competition from China, has not been so forgiving.
Cracks are forming, and a more cautious approach to Nasdaq-100 exposure may be warranted.
Valuations are stretched, with the index’s forward P/E ratio at 34 , up from 28 in 2023. While the AI boom, particularly in consumer adoption, took off in early 2023, the market is now pricing in near-flawless execution—yet investors have yet to fully grapple with the rising costs, intensifying competition, and looming regulatory scrutiny.
Risks remain in some of the largest Nasdaq-100 stocks, particularly Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 50.7 raises concerns about its ability to sustain past explosive growth. Similarly, Tesla, with a P/E ratio of 183.6, faces headwinds from a slowdown in the EV industry, making its valuation increasingly vulnerable.
Political and Trade Uncertainty
Donald Trump’s return to the White House has generated significant energy and excitement. However, the extremity of his policies could create new trade uncertainties, particularly for companies dependent on Chinese supply chains and international revenue.
Since his inauguration, Trump has announced a series of tariffs against major trading partners. The risk of retaliatory measures raises the possibility of a full-blown trade war. His aggressive stance on trade could introduce sudden and unpredictable market volatility.
The previous trade war saw tariffs disrupt global tech supply chains and put pressure on corporate margins. For instance, in 2018-2019 Nasdaq-100 volatility spiked and tech earnings growth slowed.
If history repeats itself, the overextended valuations of Nasdaq-100 could probably get a reality check, particularly if these firms start guiding for higher costs in upcoming earnings calls.
Technicals Point to Upcoming Resistance
The moving averages for the Nasdaq-100 reflect a bullish sentiment owing to the strong rally for the past several months.
However, the ATH level of 22,100 has proven strong resistance with prices testing this level multiple times over the past few months. A strong catalyst may be required to pass this level.
During previous corrections, price has reached between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA).
Momentum indicators suggest that a short-term downward trend may be imminent.
Periodic movements in the index suggest a downturn is imminent and prices may reach as far as the S1 pivot point at 20,700.
Options Signal Growing Bearish Sentiment
Options positioning on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures and Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures signals a bearish sentiment. OI and volume put/call ratio for both E-mini NQ and Micro E-mini NQ are greater than 1 suggesting higher put positioning than call. There is a particualrly high concentration of puts at the March expiry.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Given the frothing risk factors impacting the Nasdaq-100, risk of a sharp decline is high. Elevated valuations, escalating trade tensions, and slowing AI rally, all risk a correction in the index.
This decline may materialize in the next 2–3 weeks, aligning with critical macroeconomic events, including Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data releases, and upcoming corporate earnings reports.
With a correction likely, investors can express this view using a short position in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures expiring in March (MNQH2025). Each contract requires initial margin of USD 2,303 as of 10/Feb and provides exposure to USD 2 x Nasdaq index (~43,400).
Investors can also use the standard E-mini NQ futures to express the same bearish view with larger notional sizes.
Entry: 21,700
Target: 21,200
Stop Loss: 22,100
Profit at Target: USD 1000 ((21,700-21,200) x 2)
Loss at Stop: USD 800 ((21,700-22,100) x 2)
Reward to Risk: 1.25x
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
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MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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$GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFTNSE:GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFT
1/7
Good morning, energy traders! ☀️⚡️
Major shake-up in the LNG world: India’s GAIL is back on the hunt for a US LNG stake or long-term deals. What’s fueling this move? Let’s break it down!
2/7 – THE BACKSTORY
• Trump administration lifts the ban on new LNG export permits.
• GAIL had plans on ice since 2023—now they’re back in action.
• Sandeep Kumar Gupta (GAIL’s chairman) says: “We’re reviving our plans to buy a stake or sign long-term LNG contracts.”
3/7 – WHY IT MATTERS
• LNG Prices: Expected to soften post-2026 as supply ramps up.
• Impact on India: Cheaper energy imports, eye on boosting gas to 15% of energy mix by 2030. ♻️
• US Benefit: Strengthens position as a global LNG exporter—hello, bullish signals for Cheniere Energy (LNG) and Venture Global!
4/7 – MARKET IMPACT
• Prices: More supply could translate to downward pressure on LNG prices.
• Investment Angle: US LNG producers & infrastructure might see capital inflows. Keep an eye on relevant tickers!
• Energy Security: India aims for a cleaner, more reliable energy mix—this is long-term strategy at play.
5/7 – STRATEGIC ANGLE
• Aligns with India’s push to expand natural gas usage from ~6% to 15% by 2030.
• US Gains: Jobs, economic boost, and stronger foothold in global energy markets.
• Trade Partnerships: Could deepen economic ties between US & India.
6/8 What’s your take on GAIL’s US LNG strategy?
1️⃣ Bullish on US LNG exports 🐂
2️⃣ Bearish on LNG prices post-2026 🐻
3️⃣ Waiting for more clarity ↔️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – YOUR TRADING PLAYBOOK
• Short-Term: Watch for volatility in LNG stocks (like LNG, Venture Global). GAIL might see a spike on renewed interest.
• Long-Term: Growing LNG supply + India’s energy push = potential contrarian bet on energy stocks before the broader market catches up.
Key Levels for EURUSDOn Friday, EURUSD bounced off 1,0400 following the news.
If the price rises again, the levels from the news event will act as important resistance.
A breakout above these levels would confirm further upside movement.
This week, the key news event is on Wednesday, when U.S. inflation data will be released.
There aren't any good trading opportunities at current price levels.
$TRUMP: if you have not sold yet, you are late.$TRUMP won’t last forever—mark my words.
Of course, things could change if someone injects billions to prop it up, but that seems unlikely. Here’s a quick reality check:
- Trump is a politician, not your buddy.
- "Make America Great Again" really means "Make the U.S. Dollar Great Again"—don’t get fooled.
- Vampires crave blood, and politicians crave money—you’re not on their team.
They’ll rug you with a smile, and you’ll still come back for more. Why? Because deep down, you want to believe you're not like them, right?
Take your profits and invest in meaningful projects—ones that pay people, drive research and development, and build the future of this incredible industry. Don’t waste your energy on hype.
USDZAR sailing in turbulent Trump tidesLast week has been a rollercoaster for the ZAR after gaping up and touching a high of 19.00 in the early hours of Monday morning following the news of Trumps executive order. The rand however regained its footing as the news got digested which allowed the rand to pull the pair below the 50-day MA currently at 18.45. It seems as if an ABC corrective wave has taken place which is indicative of another 5-wave impulse higher for the pair.
The 50-day MA at 18.45 and the current yearly low of 18.30 serve as the critical levels to watch on the pair. A failed break below 18.30 will create a double bottom at this level which will leave the rand stranded ready to be pulled higher towards 19.22.
A break below 18.30 will however allow the rand to pull the pair out of the current upward channel and test the 200-day support at 18.12. This move will invalidate my current idea on the pair.
The main event to watch for the week is the US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. US inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the USDZAR packing and making its way above 19.00 since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
#TRUMP/USDT#TRUMP
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 15.35
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the Moving Average 100
Entry price 17.14
First target 19.62
Second target 22.00
Third target 24.32
EURUSD SHORTNFP came in lower than expected but unemployment rate declined. The next event coming up is US CPI, which is expected to go up. I am still maintaining a sell position because any higher than expected CPI will force the FED to continue holding. Also with the Trump's tariff threats I still anticipate the EURO to remain under pressure. Those with no entries watch for 1.03500 and go short.