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SOLUSDT - Trade LogSOLUSDT – Long Setup in Daily FVG Entry: Buy at 124 USDT (floor of the daily Fair Value Gap) Stop Loss: 105 USDT (just below the daily FVG low) Take Profit: 200 USDT (new all‑time highs) Rationale: • Price is retracing into the daily FVG, offering a high‑probability support zone • Daily RSI double divergence & trendline support reinforce the FVG floor • Spot accumulation targeting euphoria phase—leveraging the FVG for entry Risk Management: Risk ~5% of account. If SOL closes below 105 USDT (invalidating the FVG), exit and reassess. Keep an eye on BTC direction as the primary driver.
Long
by Fondera
Trump token bullishKey Levels: The main resistance is at 10.40 dollars , and the main support is at 7.71 dollars . The descending trendline keeps the price below it, and the 200-period moving average above the price confirms the bearish trend . Closer Zones: A nearby resistance is observed at 8.06 dollars, overlapping with the trendline. The closer support is at 7.71 dollars. A break above 8.06 dollars could push the price toward 9.60 dollars . Intermediate Level: On the way up, the 8.25 dollars level acts as an intermediate resistance. Target: Based on the previous move of 2.50 dollars, the potential upside target is around 9.60 dollars . Conclusion: A breakout above the nearby resistance could signal a weakening bearish trend and the start of an upward move .
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
2
DJT Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NASDAQ:DJT DJT Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15) Below is a consolidated analysis based on the four reports: ───────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI Report:  – Notes that DJT is trading near its 10‐period EMAs on both the 5‑minute and daily charts.  – Indicates a moderately bullish short‐term outlook (helped by positive news about “Truth Social” investment accounts) even though the max pain is at $19.00.  – Recommends a call option trade (buy naked call) at or near the $20.00 strike with an acceptable premium (~$0.63). • Claude/Anthropic Report:  – The report encountered an error and produced no usable analysis. • Llama/Meta Report:  – Observes that while the 5‑minute chart shows short‐term bullishness (with price above key EMAs), the overall daily picture and max pain theory (targeting $19.00) point toward a slightly bearish bias.  – Suggests trading a put (such as buying the $19.50 put) but notes factors like high daily volatility and mixed indicators. • Gemini/Google Report:  – Provides a nuanced view where the 5‑minute charts show consolidation near $20 while the daily chart’s indicators (RSI, MACD histogram, bullish postive news) favor a moderately bullish move.  – Highlights key liquidity around the $20 strikes and ultimately favors a call trade—leaning toward a slightly out‑of‑the‐money option ($20.50 call) but noting that trade risk should be managed tightly. • DeepSeek Report:  – Summarizes the technical picture with DJT trading above short‐term moving averages but acknowledges max pain at $19.00.  – With a positive news catalyst and falling volatility (VIX), it leans moderately bullish and recommends a call purchase at the $20.00 strike. ───────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement:  – All models note a current price of roughly $19.96 with technical support around the short‐term (near the 10‑period EMA).  – Ea ch analysis recognizes key levels: immediate support near $19.85–$19.94 and resistance around $20.00–$20.50.  – Most models see positive momentum from favorable news (Truth Social catalyst) and improving short‑term indicators.  – Options-chain details (high OI and volume at the $20 strikes) underline the importance of that level. • Disagreement:  – Llama/Meta tilts toward a bearish reading (using daily MACD and max pain theory, expecting a move toward $19.00) and suggests puts rather than calls.  – Strike selection differs slightly—with some reports favoring the ATM $20.00 call (Grok/xAI and DeepSeek) and others suggesting a slightly OTM $20.50 call (Gemini/Google). ───────────────────────────── CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION Overall Market Direction Consensus:  The majority of analyses (three out of four usable models) lean moderately bullish on DJT in the near term. Positive technical momentum on the daily charts together with supportive news outweigh the bearish hints (like max pain and Llama/Meta’s view). Recommended Trade:  – Trade Type: Buy single‑leg, naked call  – Chosen Strike: $20.00 call (weekly option)  – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17  – Entry: At open with an entry price near the ask of $0.63 per contract  – Risk/Reward Targets:   • Profit Target: Approximately a 20% premium gain (rising from $0.63 to about $0.76)   • Stop‑Loss: About 50% loss of the premium (around $0.32)  – Confidence Level: About 70% (reflecting the bullish bias driven by news and short‑term technicals, while remaining cautious of the max pain level) Key Risks & Considerations:  – The max pain at $19.00 may exert downward pressure as expiration nears.  – Short‑term volatility remains high (VIX at 30.12), so the trade will need tight risk management.  – Should DJT fail to break above immediate resistance or show signs of a sharp reversal (e.g. dropping below $19.85), consider exiting early to protect capital. ───────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "DJT", "direction": "call", "strike": 20.00, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.76, "stop_loss": 0.32, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.63, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by henryzhang99
Will Gold Retest 3170 ATHs in Sight Amid Rising Global TensionsXAU/USD has decisively broken above the significant 3170 resistance level, confirming bullish momentum and signaling a potential continuation of its long-term uptrend. This breakout is not just technical—it's backed by a growing fundamental storm. With escalating geopolitical tensions, the ongoing trade war rhetoric surrounding Trump’s tariff policies, and persistent global macro uncertainty, gold is once again asserting its role as a premier safe haven asset. These drivers are creating the perfect backdrop for further upside, possibly pushing gold toward new all-time highs. Currently, price is in a healthy correction phase, pulling back toward the former resistance zone at 3170, which now acts as strong support. A retest and confirmation in this area may offer a high-probability long setup for trend-followers and breakout traders alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
Trump Manipulates the Market Again: Tariffs ON/OFF PlayOnce again, we’re watching how political narratives are used to shake the markets — and Bitcoin was no exception this time. 🔻 Step 1: "TARIFFS ON" Announcement Market instantly reacts with a sharp sell-off BTC drops from 81K to nearly 75K Fear spikes, media goes wild 📉 That’s your classic short squeeze setup. 🔺 Step 2: "TARIFFS OFF" Retraction Massive green candle, BTC rebounds from lows Shorts get liquidated Price rips back up in minutes 💸 It’s a textbook fake panic followed by a well-timed reversal. Someone knew what was coming. Someone profited. And it wasn’t retail. 🔎 What does this mean? This is not just market volatility — this is narrative-based manipulation. If you're trading without paying attention to headlines, you're already behind. 🧵Follow the money. Follow the timing. Follow the candles. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #MarketManipulation #Tariffs #Trump #PoliticsInMarkets #Whales #NarrativeTrading #PriceAction
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SmartSignalss
Skeptic | GOLD: Is the Uptrend Over… or Just Taking a Breather? Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic. Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the recent uptrend, we've entered a corrective phase. This correction coincides with rising economic tariffs from the U.S. and retaliatory tariffs from the EU and China—particularly targeting U.S. goods. Interestingly, gold, which is typically considered a safe-haven asset, also experienced a decline. This raises a red flag: when even gold falls, it signals that markets are likely pricing in an economic slowdown . Everyone seems to be chasing liquidity. The recession risk is very real, so trade cautiously until a clear trend emerges. Right now, the market is in a state of uncertainty. Given the sharp declines in stocks, gold, and silver, we could see range-bound movement or consolidation this week—and possibly into the next. Despite this, the major daily trend for gold remains upward , although momentum has clearly weakened. If we see a lower high and a confirmed break below support at 2958.53 , that would significantly shift the outlook—potentially leading to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, especially in case of broader economic recession signals. Let’s zoom into the 1H timeframe for actionable trade setups: 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): - Trigger : Break & close above 3039.58 - Confirmation : 7 SMA below the candle during breakout + RSI climbing above OB - Invalidation : Rejection and close back below 2994.10 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): - Trigger : Rejection at 3019.98 followed by a drop below 2958.51 - Confirmation : RSI entering oversold ⚠️ Key Notes: - Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging. Wait for clear confirmations before entering any trade. Stay sharp, stay Skeptical, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis!
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
2
Walmart Withdraws Earnings Guidance Amid Tariff UncertaintyWalmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) has withdrawn its operating profit forecast for the current quarter. The company cited tariff-related uncertainties as the reason. Rising import duties from countries like China and Vietnam have impacted cost structures. Walmart aims to keep pricing flexible to protect margins. Despite the near-term challenges, Walmart reaffirmed its full-year guidance. The retailer expects net sales to grow between 3% and 4%. It also sees adjusted operating profit growth between 3.5% and 5.5% for the year. Walmart highlighted additional concerns, including insurance-related costs and shifts in consumer behavior. Shoppers are spending more on low-margin essentials due to inflation. This change in product mix has also pressured the company’s margins. CEO Doug McMillon said Walmart will continue focusing on pricing discipline, inventory efficiency, and expense control. He admitted that the current environment remains unpredictable. However, the company will stick to its long-term strategy. Technical Analysis Walmart’s stock is currently trading at $90.46, up 10.53%, with a high of $90.80. The price has bounced from a strong support zone near $82, forming a bullish momentum candle. NYSE:WMT is now testing a resistance area at $89, previously a demand zone. A successful break and retest could lead to a rally toward the $105.30 previous high. However, rejection at this level could see the price fall back to the $82 support. But with the recent bullish momentum, a breakout at $89 is possible.
NYSE:WMTLong
by DEXWireNews
Charles Schwab ($SCHW) Upgraded by Morgan Stanley to Overweight Morgan Stanley has taken new rating actions on financial exchanges and brokers as markets face heightened uncertainty. The investment bank highlighted concerns over economic growth, sticky inflation, and interest rate paths. Recession fears and tariff-induced volatility have also rattled investor confidence. According to Morgan Stanley, such conditions increase the need for hedging, trading, and risk management by corporations and asset owners. The note added that the recent market sell-off may discourage retail investor activity, especially as portfolio losses and margin calls mount. Despite these challenges, Charles Schwab (NYSE: SCHW) received an upgrade to Overweight. The firm cited Schwab’s more stable earnings profile and strong fundamentals. Morgan Stanley sees a 20% annual EPS growth for Schwab over the next two years. The bank also noted Schwab’s resilience amid the volatile macro environment. Technical Analysis Charles Schwab's stock is showing strength despite the broader market downturn. Price action recently formed an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This is aligned with an ascending trendline that dates back several months. Currently, SCHW is testing a solid horizontal support level that confluences with the trendline near $70. If momentum remains strong, the next potential target is $84, the high from February 2025. The bullish chart formation, combined with Morgan Stanley’s upgrade, supports a possible price surge from the current level.
NYSE:SCHWLong
by DEXWireNews
TradeCityPro | MNTUSDT Effects of the Bybit Hack👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into the analysis of the popular DeFi coin that’s active on the Mantle chain—where they’re running multiple airdrops and utilizing it for fees. Let’s break it down and analyze it together! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe After hitting 1.4077, which was our previous ATH, there were practically no buyers present here, preventing us from breaking this key ceiling and moving upward. Additionally, after the rejection from this high and an engulfing of the previous two candles, it’s safe to say our upward movement has concluded, and we’re now heading into at least a period of correction. This has already started as we’ve entered a resting phase from the prior trend. However, after breaking 0.9030—coinciding with the news of the Bybit hack and the theft of Ethereum and its coins by North Korean hackers—we experienced a sharp drop. Given that Bybit held a large volume of this token, the decline was even more pronounced. 📉 Daily Time Frame In the daily timeframe, after the rejection from 1.4077 and a deep drop, we moved upward again. This time, we hit resistance at 1.2353 multiple times, but nothing happened—buyers couldn’t push above this level. With this lack of buying pressure, sellers stepped into the market. We then formed a support at 1.0102, but after breaking it—along with the hack news—we saw a sharp drop down to 0.06552! This level is highly significant! It’s important because this was previously a key resistance, and after breaking it earlier, we kicked off our main uptrend. So, it’s a critical support now, and it won’t break easily! However, if this support does fail, we’ll likely see a drop to 0.5340. For buying, it’s not a good time yet. But if we get support at 0.6552 with a strong daily candle, we could consider a buy. Alternatively, wait for a box formation and structure. Our current entry trigger would be a break above 0.8464. For selling, my stop loss would be below 0.5340. ✍️ Final Thoughts Stay level-headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities! This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research. What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
4
$TRUMP token Crumbles as Major Support Breaks, Is an ATL Next? TRUMP, the meme token inspired by former President Donald Trump, is currently priced at $7.52. The token has gained 5.03% in the last 24 hours. Its market capitalization stands at $1.5 billion, with a daily trading volume of $415.5 million, a drop of nearly 60.12% in the last 24 hours. TRUMP was launched to commemorate Trump’s viral "FIGHT FIGHT FIGHT" moment in July 2024. That day, he survived a deadly incident and raised his fist in defiance. The moment triggered a movement that birthed this meme token. It symbolizes resilience and leadership, attracting thousands to its growing community. The token is now freely tradable on the blockchain, with increasing interest in both trading and long-term holding. Technical Analysis: Price Faces Trendline Rejection and Heavy Resistance TRUMP has been in a strong downtrend since reaching highs at $77. A descending trendline continues to cap upward moves, with the price breaking below key support at$12. Resistance is seen around the descending trendline and the horizontal support at $12. This level was previously a support and is now acting as a ceiling for price recovery. The daily RSI is currently at 27.19 indicating oversold conditions. This could trigger a short-term bounce toward $10–$12. However, the trend remains bearish. The price has failed multiple times to break above the downtrend line. If the price breaks below $7 with volume, further drop could follow. A successful bounce might lead to a retest of $12.
Short
by DEXWireNews
4
Levi Strauss Drops to $13.5 Despite Strong Q125 Earnings Report Levi Strauss & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:LEVI ) closed at $13.50 on April 7, falling 2.81%. Despite strong Q1 results, macroeconomic pressures and tariff-related uncertainties weighed on the price. In its Q125 earnings report released on April 07th, 2025, the company reported a 9% organic net revenue growth in Q1 2025. Direct-to-consumer sales rose 12%, driven by strong e-commerce activity. Wholesale revenue increased 5%, with the U.S. segment growing by 8% and international sales rising 9%. Levi achieved a record gross margin of 62.1%, up 330 basis points from last year. Adjusted EBIT margin expanded by 400 basis points to 13.4%. The adjusted diluted EPS came in at $0.38, marking a 52% year-over-year increase. SG&A expenses grew 2% to $744 million while inventory levels were up 7% from last year. The company also declared a dividend of $0.13 per share, up 8%. In regional performance, the Americas led with an 11% increase in revenue. The U.S. segment alone contributed an 8% rise. Europe posted a 3% gain, led by growth in the UK and Germany. Asia saw a 10% revenue increase, with a 14% boost in direct-to-consumer sales. Despite strong numbers, challenges persist. The company shut down 21 net stores, including 51 franchisee locations in China. The China business was flat year-over-year. Moreover, tariff-related risks remain a concern, potentially impacting pricing and margins. Technical Analysis: Stock Near Double Support in Descending Channel NYSE:LEVI is trading within a descending channel from its $24.34 high recorded in June 6th 2024. Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the stock is approaching a double support zone around $12.0 to $13.0. This area has acted as a strong floor in past cycles. Its 3-day RSI currently reads at 26.32, signaling oversold conditions. This could indicate a potential bounce if the support zone holds. If the price breaks below the $12.0 level, the next downtrend could open and target the $11 or $10 psychological level. Next Move: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Continuation? Should the price hold support, a short-term reversal may follow, with resistance at $15.25, and then the descending channel upper band at around $17.00. A confirmed break above $17.00 would shift momentum to the upside. Until then, the downtrend remains intact. Volume during the recent drop reached 10.7 million shares, showing strong selling interest. The next earnings report is expected between June 24 and June 30. Watch for signs of reversal or further decline near this key support.
NYSE:LEVIShort
by DEXWireNews
Retard Finder Coin (RFC) Surges Over 230% in Last One Week Retard Finder Coin (RFC) continues its explosive rally. The meme coin has surged 44.20% in the last 24 hours. In the last 7 days, RFC has gained 231.38% and 254.63% over the last 30 days. As of now, RFC trades at $0.03901 with a market cap of $37.6 million and its daily trading volume has reached $14.79 million. Circulating supply stands at 961.55 million RFC out of a total 1 billion tokens. RFC is a meme coin with no utility. It was created purely for entertainment. Inspired by meme culture, it aims to bring humor to the crypto space. The token has a large online community with over 660,000 followers. The coin gained traction alongside a broader crypto market recovery. Bitcoin climbed back to $79,000 after dropping below $75,000 due to recent tariff announcements by Trump. Ethereum now trades above $1,500, XRP above $1.80 as the overall market continues to recover. Technical Analysis RFC reached a recent high of $0.06991 on April 6th. After the peak, it dropped sharply to $0.01476. Since then, the price has been recovering steadily. However, the last two hours have shown bearish movement. Watch closely as the price approaches key levels as the coin needs to reclaim momentum to retest the previous high. If RFC gains strength again, it could return to $0.06991 and possibly surpass it. This would need a strong support for price to get a rejection from and get enough strength to break above a key swing high Potential Support Zones Currently, support lies at the 1-hour demand zone and a fair value gap (FVG) lying above at around $0.03000. If price breaks below this level key support area, it may fall further to the 2-hour FVG at $0.01884. This zone could serve as a key support area for bulls to regroup. If the price confirms a bullish reversal at either level, RFC could resume its upward trend. Failure to hold support in any of the levels may lead to a deeper retracement. Key levels to monitor remain around these support zones. In summary, RFC continues to draw attention despite its lack of utility. The coin rides the meme wave and strong community support. While short-term volatility persists, these key technical levels offer potential entries for bullish continuation.
POLONIEX:RFCUSDTLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war. Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks. The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%. Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710. Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion. Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements. However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date. Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward. BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines. Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DEXWireNews
$AEHR Set to Report Q125 Financial Results Post-Market April 8thAehr Test Systems ( IG:NASDAQ : NASDAQ:AEHR ) will report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results on April 8, 2025. The announcement will follow the market close and the earnings call will begin at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The upcoming report covers the fiscal quarter ending February 28th, 2025. Zacks Investment Research expects the company to post an EPS of $-0.02. This compares to an EPS of $-0.05 from the same quarter last year. As of 3:35 p.m. EDT on April 7th, AEHR stock traded at $7.31, up $0.05(0.69%), with the price hovering above a key support level at $7. Recent Financial Performance and Guidance In July 2024, Aehr reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024. For Q4 2024, revenue was $16.6 million, down from $22.3 million in Q4 2023. GAAP net income was $23.9 million or $0.81 per share. This included a tax benefit of $20.8 million. Non-GAAP net income was $24.7 million or $0.84 per share. Bookings during the quarter totaled $4.0 million. The backlog stood at $7.3 million as of May 31, 2024. Effective backlog, including post-quarter orders, reached $20.8 million. For the full year 2024, Aehr recorded record revenue of $66.2 million. This was slightly higher than $65.0 million in 2023. GAAP net income for the year was $33.2 million or $1.12 per share. Non-GAAP net income reached $35.8 million or $1.21 per share. Cash and cash equivalents were $49.2 million at the end of May 2024. This was an increase from $47.6 million at the end of February 2024. The company expects at least $70 million in revenue for fiscal 2025. It also projects a pre-tax profit of at least 10% of revenue. Technical Analysis: Support at $7 Holds AEHR stock is testing a crucial support zone at $7, a level that has shown buyer interest in the past. The stock is currently trading slightly above support as traders watch to see if it remains above this level after earnings. A positive earnings report may offer more bull strength at the support and trigger a rebound. If the price rebounds, the next immediate target is a descending trendline resistance. The trendline has rejected prices to trade above it in recent months. This therefore acts as a strong point that will need positive market developments to break above. However, if earnings disappoint and bearish pressure grows, the stock could fall below $7. A breakdown would however expose NASDAQ:AEHR to lower support zones and potential new lows.
NASDAQ:AEHR
by DEXWireNews
1
PVH Corp to Announce Q1 2025 Earnings After Market ClosePVH Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:PVH ) reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 results on March 31, 2025. The company exceeded revenue expectations and outlined a stable 2025 outlook. Fourth-quarter 2024 revenue fell 5% year-over-year to $2.372 billion. This included a 3% decline from the 53rd week in 2023. The company had guided for a 6% to 7% drop. On a constant currency basis, revenue declined 2%, beating expectations of a 4% to 5% fall. Full-year 2024 revenue dropped 6% to $8.653 billion, slightly better than guidance. Constant currency revenue fell 5%. PVH posted a GAAP operating margin of 8.9%, just under its 9.2% guidance. A pre-tax actuarial loss of $28 million on retirement plans affected results. On a non-GAAP basis, the operating margin was 10%, in line with expectations. GAAP earnings per share were $2.83 for Q4, matching the lower end of guidance. Full-year GAAP EPS reached $10.56. Non-GAAP EPS came in higher at $3.27 for Q4, beating the forecast of $3.05 to $3.20. Full-year non-GAAP EPS totaled $11.74, above the $11.55 to $11.70 range. In 2025, PVH expects flat or slightly higher revenue growth compared to 2024. The company forecasts a non-GAAP operating margin near or slightly above 10%. EPS is projected between $12.40 and $12.75, with a $0.20 negative impact from foreign currency translation. In other news, the company repurchased $500 million of its stock in 2024. PVH plans another $500 million in share buybacks through accelerated share repurchase agreements in 2025. Technical Analysis: Price At Key Support As of writing, NYSE:PVH stock is trading at 65.54, -2.18 (-3.22%), and testing a key support zone. This zone combines horizontal support with an ascending trendline. A breakdown below this level could trigger further declines, with the next major support lying near $44, the previous low. Upside Potential Hinges on Earnings Strength If support at $64 holds, PVH could rally toward the $90 resistance zone and immediate target. The future movement will likely depend on Q1 2025 earnings. A strong report may fuel a short-term rebound. A weak result on the other hand, could drive the price below the current support.
NYSE:PVHLong
by DEXWireNews
Nifty recovers from lows of the day. But not out of danger yet.Nifty as expected suffered heavy losses due to Trump Tariff Tornado which has engulfed the global markets. The good thing which is the silver lining in the cloud was that it recovered from the lows of the day by a lot. The lowest point of today or perhaps the year 2025 so far was 21743 and we closed the day at 22161. Which is about 418 points. However we are not out of the woods yet. We will hopefully see bottom formation later during this week or the next if this lowest point is already not the bottom. The support levels for Nifty remain at 21743, 21289, 20790 and 20320. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22266, 22711, 23083 and 23384. Above 23384 closing Nifty will be back to the bulls territory and we can hope for a recovery towards 24K first and then 25K. As of now the ball is still in Trump's court as the world sizzles with his Whims and fancies. China is planning a stimulus package for its industry and High level cabinet meeting is going on in India as I write this to counter the effects of Trump Tariff and swift recovery of our economy in addition to minimising the effect of damage. The best strategy is to wait out the Trump Storm reassess the situation once bottom is formed. Those who have liquidity this is a good oppertunity to go long after bottom fishing. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Flow Traders: A Deep Dive into a Volatility PlayFlow Traders has long been recognized as one of the leading market makers in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), holding a dominant position in Europe and steadily expanding its global footprint. The firm’s success is driven by its technological prowess—its ultra-low latency trading systems and proprietary algorithms enable it to provide liquidity across thousands of listings. When compared with major competitors such as Virtu Financial, Citadel Securities, Jane Street, and Optiver, Flow Traders stands out for its high profit margins and robust returns during volatile periods. However, its earnings can swing dramatically: record profits during periods of market turbulence contrast with more compressed margins in quieter times. Historically, Flow Traders followed a dividend policy with an intended payout ratio of at least 50% of net profits. In FY23, for example, the company paid a total dividend of €0.45 per share (an interim dividend of €0.30 per share plus a final dividend of €0.15 per share). However, in its recent 2Q24 results and AGM communications, Flow Traders announced a revised dividend policy that suspends regular dividend payments until further notice. The Board has made this decision to accelerate the expansion of its trading capital base—a move the management believes will deliver greater long-term value for shareholders through reinvestment in technology and market expansion rather than immediate income distribution. Technologically, Flow Traders continues to push the boundaries by investing in co-located servers, low-latency networks, and even exploring cloud-based systems with microsecond-level synchronization. These initiatives ensure that the firm maintains a competitive edge, even as peers like Virtu and Citadel invest heavily in their own technological infrastructure. While Flow’s niche focus—especially in European ETF market making—provides a strong competitive moat, the firm is also expanding into fixed income and digital assets. For valuation purposes, I used a blended approach incorporating a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model and industry comparables, augmented by a scenario analysis that reflects the inherent cyclicality of its earnings. In my model, three scenarios were considered over a five-year period. Under the best-case scenario, where global market volatility surges and Flow capitalizes on its technological advantages to boost market share, the five-year target price could reach around €80 per share. In a base-case scenario, reflecting a more normalized yet steadily growing trading environment, the target price might be closer to €40 per share. In the worst-case scenario—if markets remain persistently calm and competitive pressures intensify—the target could drop to about €15 per share. Given the current market environment, the probabilities are 30% for the best-case, 60% for the base-case, and 10% for the worst-case. Additionally, the discount rate in the DCF 6%, reflecting today’s economic landscape risk premium. With these assumptions, discounting the future target prices at 6% yields present values of approximately €60, €30, and €11 for the best, base, and worst scenarios respectively. Weighting these figures accordingly results in an expected intrinsic value of around €37 per share today. So, what does this mean for investors? At current trading levels in the mid-€20s, Flow Traders appears to be undervalued relative to its long-term potential. Although the firm is currently not paying dividends—opting instead to reinvest its profits to grow its trading capital—the strategic focus on reinvestment may unlock greater growth opportunities. In essence, Flow Traders represents an intriguing volatility play: it can generate outsized returns in turbulent times while offering a balanced risk/reward profile in more normalized markets. Ultimately, Flow Traders’ strategic decision to suspend dividends underscores its commitment to long-term growth. Investors are essentially buying into the firm’s reinvestment strategy, which has historically delivered strong returns on trading capital. As market volatility and technological advancements continue to drive the industry, Flow Traders is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and create shareholder value over the long run. Speculation: With Trump’s tariffs continuing to rock global markets and trigger bouts of heightened volatility reminiscent of past trade wars, there’s reason to speculate that Flow Traders could find itself in a particularly advantageous position. As tariffs fuel uncertainty and market swings—further rattling investor confidence and prompting rapid shifts in liquidity—Flow Traders’ expertise in market making, especially in ETPs, could allow it to capture significant trading opportunities. The elevated volatility may widen bid-ask spreads and boost trading volumes, directly benefiting firms like Flow that thrive on rapid, high-frequency trades. While these are merely speculative thoughts, given the unpredictable nature of tariff-driven market disruptions, Flow’s focus on liquid, exchange-traded products might well make this turbulent period a silver lining for the company.
EURONEXT:FLOWLong
by The_Prince
Merck & Co. (NYSE: $MRK) Sets Up Q125 Earnings Call for April 24Merck & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:MRK ) will hold its Q1 2025 earnings call on April 24 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Company executives will present financial results and performance updates during the call. As of April 4th, 2025, MRK closed at $81.47, down $4.92 (5.70%). The stock has declined steadily since peaking at $134 in June 2024. In Q4 2024, Merck posted global sales of $15.6 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year. Sales growth stood at 9% when excluding foreign exchange effects. Full-year 2024 revenue reached $64.2 billion, a 7% increase over 2023. Human health sales grew 8%, driven mainly by oncology treatments. KEYTRUDA remained the company’s top product with sales of $7.8 billion in Q4, rising 21%. WINREVAIR generated $200 million in sales, while new vaccine CAPVAXIVE added $50 million. The Animal Health division showed strong momentum, growing 13% year-over-year. Merck’s global reach extended to nearly 500 million people in 2024. However, GARDASIL vaccine sales dropped 18% in Q4 due to lower demand in China. This led Merck to pause GARDASIL shipments to the region temporarily. Operating expenses for the quarter totaled $7.4 billion. The company reported a gross margin of 80.8%, up by 3.6 percentage points. Earnings per share came in at $1.72. For 2025, Merck expects revenue between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion. EPS guidance is set at $8.88 to $9.03, excluding foreign exchange impact. The Medicare Part D redesign could reduce revenue by about $400 million in 2025. This would affect WINREVAIR and other small molecule oncology drugs. Technical Analysis MRK stock is currently testing a major support level at $81.A confirmed breakdown at this critical level could push the stock lower. Price momentum and volume suggest a likely continuation of the bearish trend unless support holds. With the bearish pressure in place, the next support level lies at $70. The weekly chart shows consistent lower highs and lower lows since June 2024. MRK has fallen nearly 65% from its peak of $134. If the $81 current support holds, a short-term rebound is possible, with an immediate resistance target around $95. Reclaiming this level may signal early signs of a trend reversal. If a strong break at the $81 level is witnessed, the next target remains the $70 support. The current trend favors sellers. One thing to watch closely is the April 24th, 2025, earnings call as performance updates may provide clarity on near-term price direction.
NYSE:MRKShort
by DEXWireNews
S&P 500 Records Largest Weekly Decline Since 2020The S&P 500 Index has suffered its steepest two-day drop since the pandemic crash in March 2020. On April 4th, 2025, the benchmark index closed at 5,074.08, down 322.44 points (5.97%). This marks a loss of $5.4 trillion in market value across just two sessions. The sell-off followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He warned that President Donald Trump’s new tariffs could lead to persistently higher inflation. All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 closed in the red. Only 14 stocks remained positive as Nvidia and Apple fell more than 7%, while Tesla dropped 10%. The Nasdaq 100 Index plunged 6.1%, confirming a bear market after losing over 20% from its February peak. The rapid decline mirrors the speed seen during the 2020 COVID crash and the 2000 dot-com bust. President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on U.S. imports on Wednesday. These include a 10% general tariff and higher rates on dozens of countries. China responded by imposing a 34% levy on American goods. The tit-for-tat measures triggered fears of a full-scale global trade war. Global markets reacted sharply. Investors pulled out of stocks and moved into safer assets like government bonds. The two-day loss of $5 trillion on the S&P 500 set a new record, surpassing the $3.3 trillion loss during March 2020. Rick Meckler, of Cherry Lane Investments, said the escalation is now deeper than many investors expected. The initial belief that tariffs were a negotiation tactic has now given way to serious market concerns. Technical Analysis: Price Approaching Key Support Zones. Will They Hold? The S&P 500 has shown a bearish trend since early 2025. Several weekly candles have closed bearish, confirming a strong downtrend. Currently, the index is trading lower toward a key ascending trendline near $4,930. The $4,930 support level may offer short-term support. A bounce from here could see a brief recovery. However, the sentiment remains bearish without strong economic data or policy changes. Further Downside Risk If Support Fails Another horizontal support sits at $4,780. If both support levels fail, the index may fall toward the $4,500 psychological zone. This level is crucial as it marks a long-term support and potential reversal point. At present, bearish momentum dominates, with much strength coming from trade war fears. Unless data shifts investor sentiment, the downtrend may persist.
SP:SPXShort
by DEXWireNews
Jaguar Land Rover Temporarily Halts U.S Shipments Amid TariffsJaguar Land Rover (JLR), owned by Tata Motors, has paused shipments to the U.S. market this April. The move follows a 25% import tax on vehicles imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump. JLR described the U.S. as a vital market and stated it is now adjusting to new trade rules with business partners. The pause is a short-term step. The company aims to finalize longer-term strategies to manage the new tariffs. Analysts believe other British carmakers may soon follow this approach. Britain's auto sector faces pressure from falling domestic demand and the costly transition to electric vehicles. David Bailey, a University of Birmingham professor, predicts more stoppages. He said automakers will reassess their plans amid rising costs and trade uncertainty. Recent data shows U.K. car production fell 13.9% last year to 779,584 units. Over 77% of these vehicles were exported. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) voiced concern. CEO Mike Hawes said the timing worsens an already challenging period. He urged swift trade talks to protect jobs and growth. The SMMT has stayed in regular contact with the U.K. government to seek solutions. To soften the tariff’s impact, carmakers rushed to build inventories in the U.S. JLR was among them. U.K. car exports to the U.S. jumped 38.5% in Dec, 12.4% in January and 34.6% in February. According to official figures, British automakers shipped £8.3 billion ($10.7 billion) worth of cars to the U.S. in the 12 months through September. Cars remain Britain’s largest goods export to the U.S. However, goods make up a smaller portion of overall trade. Services account for 68.2% of the £179.4 billion ($231.2 billion) in total U.K.-U.S. trade during the same period. JLR is not independently listed. But looking at the parental company, Tata Motors (TATAMOTORS.BO) trades on India’s BSE. Its stock closed at INR 613.85 on April 4th, 2025 (6.15%). Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Since July 2024 Highs Tata Motors stock peaked at INR 1179 in July 2024. Since then, it has shown a sharp downtrend. It has surged in bearish momentum and has been breaking major support levels. In late January 2025, the price broke below key support at INR 715 and has retested it in March 2025. Currently, it trades lower and is approaching the next support at around INR 591. If this level fails to hold, the price may fall to INR 525. The downtrend has persisted for months, indicating sustained bearish pressure in the market. The weekly RSI now reads 32, derived from deep bearish sentiment. If the RSI dips further, it may signal oversold conditions. However, the current momentum suggests the stock could still drop. If INR 591 holds, a short-term bounce may follow, with a short-term recovery phase that could push the stock toward the descending trendline. Still, bears maintain control for now, and a break below 591 may accelerate further losses.
NSE:TATAMOTORSShort
by DEXWireNews
Crude OIL CRASH - OPEC & Trump - Recession Catalyst#Recession is here, Markets are bleeding. Crude #Oil is the kicker. I shorted TVC:USOIL on Friday. Hunting on this trade for a while now. Very #Bearish outlook on #WTI. MARKETSCOM:OIL Weekly #FundamentalAnalysis - #OPEC+ Output Hike (411K bpd) - #Trump #Tariffs & #TradeWar I'm looking at a #CrudeOIL #MarketCrash, similar to the #Covid era, when NYMEX:CL1! went in minus on #Nymex #Futures. TVC:USOIL & my BIG SHORT #Trading EASYMARKETS:OILUSD via CFDs with #Leverage. Executed my #Sell Position on #WTI at $64. * DYOR before, it's not a financial advice, I just share. #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave Impulse Cycle a (white) - #Correction in Primary ABC (red) - #LeadingDiagonal in Primary A (red) - #Descending Triangle in Primary B (red) Why will BLACKBULL:WTI Crash? #Bearish Primary C (red) has started. #Break-out below the Triangle Flat Line. Important Note: The #Bearish #Impulse will continue lower. After the short-lived pull-back, Sellers will dominate. $63-64 Range is the Entry. MARKETSCOM:OIL Daily TVC:USOIL #Short #TradeSignal - Entry @ $63-64 Range - SL @ $73 - TP1 @ $40 - TP2 @ $30 - TP3 @ $20 Stay in the green and many pips ahead! Richard (Wave Jedi)
TVC:USOILShort
by EW4X
Goldman Sachs Raises Recession Odds to 35% Amid Tariff Fears Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) has lowered its S&P 500 year-end target again. The firm now sees the index ending at 5,700 points, down from its earlier forecast of 6,200. This revision comes just days before President Trump’s new round of tariffs is set to begin. The updated target implies only a 2% gain from Friday’s close of approximately 5,597. Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin pointed to rising tariffs and slowing economic growth as key concerns. The revised forecast reflects a cautious outlook in light of economic risks. This is the second time Goldman has slashed its target this month. At the same time, Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month recession probability to 35%, up from a previous 20%. Chief Economist Jan Hatzius explained that higher tariffs and softening economic data contributed to the decision. Goldman now estimates the average U.S. tariff rate will rise to 15% in 2025, compared to an earlier projection of 10%. Alongside these changes, the bank has cut its Q4 2025 U.S. GDP growth forecast to 1.0% from 1.5%. The adjustment follows weakening household and business confidence. Recent White House comments also suggest officials may accept short-term economic strain to pursue long-term trade objectives. These developments reflect growing concern across Wall Street. Goldman’s 5,700 target ranks among the lowest of major forecasts. With markets already on edge, the new projection underscores broader fears over trade tensions and economic resilience. Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum Below $500 The S&P 500 has turned bearish after falling below a key support at $510. This level had held firm previously but now acts as resistance. The break and close below the key level signals strong bearish pressure and there is a possibility of more bearish momentum. Price is currently trending lower towards the next potential support at $440. If it breaks below it, further drop could follow. The bearish pressure may continue unless the bulls defend the key support level. However, if the bulls can finally defend the $440 level, it could potentially recover and target $510. In that case, the first resistance to overcome is $510. If it is also broken above, the next target would be the $592 resistance zone. A break above $592 could revive bullish momentum. As of April 4th 2025, Goldman Sachs stock closed at $21.74, down 1.50% on the day. Investors await further updates ahead of the earnings report due April 14th 2025.
NYSE:GSShort
by DEXWireNews