Tesla Stock Drops 9%+ After Q1 Deliveries Drop to Three-Year LowTesla (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is trading at $242.52 as of 1:04 PM EDT on April 4th, down 9.26%. The stock fell $24.76 after reporting weak Q1 2025 results. This came two days after Tesla closed its worst quarter since 2022, shedding 36% in market value. The company delivered 336,681 vehicles in Q1, missing analysts’ expectations of 360,000 to 377,590. This marked a 13% drop compared to Q1 2024, when it delivered 386,810 units. Production also fell to 362,615 vehicles from 433,371 in the prior year.
Tesla produced 345,454 units of its Model 3 and Model Y. Deliveries for those models stood at 323,800. Other models, including the Cybertruck, accounted for 12,881 deliveries. The quarter saw partial factory shutdowns to upgrade lines for a redesigned Model Y.
CEO Elon Musk said this model could again be the world’s best-selling car in 2025. But now the question is, will it?
Looking at it, Tesla faces several challenges, including increased EV competition and reputational damage tied to Musk’s political involvement. Of late, the CEO’s position in Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has drawn backlash.
Protests, boycotts and vandalism against Tesla facilities and vehicles spread across the U.S and Europe. In Germany, Tesla’s EV market share dropped from 16% to 4%. Across 15 European countries, market share fell to 9.3% from 17.9%.
China also posed challenges. Tesla sold 78,828 EVs in March, an 11.5% year-on-year decline as domestic competitors like BYD increased their market presence. In Canada, Tesla claimed 8,653 EV sales during a January weekend to qualify for subsidies. The transportation ministry froze the payments and launched a probe into the claim.
Technical Analysis: Price Approaches Key Support Zone
Tesla’s price has declined sharply since hitting an all-time high of $488 in late December 2024. Since January, the stock has been in a downtrend, respecting a descending trendline. In early February, it broke a key support level at $290 and retested the level in late March before continuing downward.
Currently, the stock is approaching support at $190, a critical level for short-term price action. If it holds, the stock could attempt to break the descending trendline and move toward the $290 resistance.
If Tesla's bearish bias persists and breaks below $190, the next support sits at $140. This aligns with the head of a previously completed head-and-shoulder pattern. Breaking this level could trigger further losses.
The next few weeks will determine if it rebounds or slides deeper, with earnings report expected on Apr 22nd, 2025.
Trumptariffs
Tariff FUD is reking ports. SPY 505 First Stop. 460 Second.Trading Fam,
It's no surprise that Trump's implementation of high tariffs would cause initial FUD. This can be observed in the massive spikes on the $VIX. What is unknown and has caught many traders by surprise, myself included, is how substantial of a drop would be incurred by investor uncertainty.
Initially, it did appear that 500 might hold. That was a huge support. I knew if it broke, the sell-off would be deep. But I held hope that the market would hold above this trendline. It did not. So, yesterday and today, investors who held are incurring substantial losses.
For those who were smarter than me and sold at or near the top, congratulations! You've saved yourself some duress and cash. Now, some are calling this the beginning of a longer bear market. I still don't see it that way. Honestly (and I know this will be hard to believe), I still see the SPY hitting my target #3 at 670-700 before 2026 comes to an end. Longer-term we still remain in a massive secular bull market since 2009 and to break this long-term trend, the SPY would actually have to break below 300. That is a long way down and I just don't see that happening, though as always, I definitely could be wrong.
Shorter-term I am seeing two prominent areas of support. The first has almost been reached at 505. If I would have played this correctly, I'd be DCA'ing in my first load of cash here. The second area of support is at around 460 and slightly rising daily. This would be where I DCA'ed in another load of cash. However, if that broke, I'd exit immediately and reassess the charts. 300 is a long way down, but over the past 5 years we have seen some extraordinary market price action and volatility. TBH, even the best of us technicians are struggling to understand the larger macro-economic picture, but I'd wager to say that tariff fears may be overexaggerated as market reactions often tend to be.
One interesting note is that crypto price action no longer seems to correlate and prices have help up surprisingly well. Could this be our first indicator that the markets are due to turn up again in a few weeks/months? Unknown. But I can promise you I'll be watching this all closely.
✌️Stew
General Motors (NYSE: $GM) Reports 17% Y0Y in Q12025 Sales General Motors (NYSE: NYSE:GM ) opened at $44.46 on April 4th, 2025, down 3.91%. The stock declined $1.80 in early trading. This came a day after Trump’s new 25% auto import tariffs took effect. In a report released on April 2nd, GM delivered 693,363 vehicles in Q1 2025, a 17% year-over-year increase. This marked the company's best Q1 since 2018. In Q1 2024, GM sold 594,233 units.
The automaker led in truck and compact SUV sales. Electric vehicle sales surged 94% to 31,887 units. GM currently remains the second-largest EV seller in the U.S, behind Tesla.
Other automakers posted mixed results. Ford's sales declined by over 5% on Thursday due to the tariffs.
GM’s growth came partly due to early consumer purchases ahead of the tariffs. Retail sales jumped in March, with buyers seeking to avoid expected price hikes.
Tariffs Threaten GM's Supply Chain
Trump’s 25% tariffs on imported vehicles started on April 3rd. According to the White House, tariffs on auto parts will begin no later than May 3.
Barclays analyst Dan Levy noted that only 52% of GM’s U.S sales in the first three quarters of 2024 came from domestic production. The rest came from plants in Mexico (30%) and other countries (18%). Levy added that GM depends on imports for models like the Equinox and Blazer. These are mostly built in South Korea and Mexico. The tariffs will likely increase production costs and squeeze margins.
Despite strong Q1 performance, GM faces near-term risks from global trade tensions and supply chain disruption.
Technical Analysis: Price at a Key Support Level.
GM stock has been retracing from its $61.24 52-week high in November 2024. It now tests a strong support level at $43, which aligns with the 78% Fibonacci retracement level. If GM bulls hold this key support level, they could trade bullish towards the $53 target resistance. The $53 high serves as a key resistance level of an internal structure high and March high.
However, a break below $43 may push the stock lower, with the next potential support at $39, which aligns with 100% retracement level.
Forecast: Watch for Breakout or Breakdown
GM's technical position is delicate. A rebound from $43 could start a continuation of the trend. But extended trade risks and import costs could drag it down further. The company’s stock has fallen over 11% year-to-date. Analysts on TipRanks rate it a Moderate Buy. The average price target is $62.17, offering a 42% surge from the current market price.
With the earnings date set to be released on Apr 29, 2025, this will provide more clarity on the overall market sentiment.
Gold Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels with Target This chart shows gold trading within an ascending channel, with key levels of support and resistance.
- Current Price: 3,092.900
- Resistance Zone: Around 3,155 (Target)
- Support Zone: Price is testing this area now, potential for a bounce.
- Major Support Zone: Below at around 3,040, acting as a secondary buy opportunity.
Key Observations:
- Rejection at Resistance: Price failed to break higher and is now pulling back.
- Potential Bounce: If support holds, price may push back toward 3,155.
- Break Below Support:** A deeper retracement to the **major support zone could happen before a stronger buy setup.
- First Target:3,155 (Resistance Zone)
- Second Target: If momentum continues, next upside levels could be around **3,180–3,200**
If the support zone fails and price moves lower:
- First Downside Target: 3,040 (Major Support Zone)
- Second Downside Target: 3,000 (Psychological Level)
The reaction at the support zone will determine the next move. If it holds, we look for buys targeting 3,155. If it breaks, we shift focus to the major support at 3,040.
Ford (NYSE:F) Drop 5%+ as Tariffs Threaten Auto Industry marginsFord Motor Company (NYSE: F) is facing a challenging market environment as its stock price fell 5.27% to $9.61 as of 3:24 PM EDT. This drop comes amid declining sales and the looming threat of new tariffs from the Trump administration. In the last 52 weeks, Ford's stock has traded within a range of $9.06 to $14.85.
On Tuesday 1st April, Ford reported a 1.3% decline in total vehicle sales year-over-year, delivering 501,291 vehicles in Q1 2025. Despite this decline, retail sales rose by 5%, with a strong 19% surge in March, signaling that buyers may be accelerating purchases ahead of the impending tariffs.
General Motors (GM) posted strong results with a 17% increase in sales, delivering 693,353 vehicles in Q1 2025. The company achieved double-digit growth across all its brands, marking its best first-quarter performance since 2018. While GM shares remained stable, Ford shares saw further declines.
Tariffs Add Uncertainty for Automakers
The auto industry is preparing for the impact of a 25% tariff on foreign cars and parts. The Trump administration confirmed on Wednesday that his 25% global car and truck tariffs would take effect as scheduled on Thursday and that duties on automotive parts imports will be launched on May 3rd.
Although Ford manufactures most of its vehicles in the U.S, many essential parts are imported. Higher production costs could push car prices higher, affecting demand.
Ford executives have stated they are assessing the impact of these tariffs on their business operations. Chairman William Clay Ford Jr. assured shareholders that the company is prepared to handle geopolitical uncertainties. Despite this, investor sentiment remains cautious, contributing to the recent stock price decline.
Technical Analysis
Ford’s stock has been trading within a narrow range of $9 to $10 in the last three months. A strong resistance level at $11, tested several times from August to November 2024, remains unbroken. Since failing to break the resistance level, the stock has since then declined.
Currently, the price is testing a double support level at $9 comprising of a horizontal key support and a descending trendline. If this support holds, Ford’s stock may attempt another bull phase toward the $11 resistance level. On the other hand, a break below $9 could push the price lower, with the next potential support level at $8.45.
The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages are positioned above the current Market price, at $9.74, $10.08 and $10.70 respectively. This indicates strong bearish pressure, limiting bullish momentum in the near term.
Thoughts Moving Forward
With tariffs and the auto industry facing supply chain disruptions, Ford’s stock is likely to remain under pressure. The bearish sentiment could persist in the short term, especially if the price breaks below the key $9 support level.
If support holds, Ford could see a short-term bounce toward $11. However, sustained bullish momentum would require strong demand and improved market sentiment. This would be witnessed if its earnings report, set to be released between April 22nd and April 28th, 2025, is favorable. Until then, geopolitical and economic uncertainties weigh on the stock.
EURAUD looking for value zone to go long ... the week of 10 Mar Weekly – strongly bullish
Daily – strongly bullish
H4 – bullish, now pulling back towards a consolidation zone between 1.7108 and 1.69930 (marked on my chart). 20 ema is also currently located here.
When/If price reaches this zone, I will be monitoring PA on H4 and H1 timeframes with a view to find evidence of a bullish continuation. In the current uncertain US situation, it is vital to establish that control of the market has returned to the bulls, before taking a long trade. Stop can be below the zone (around 1.6930) or a bit lower with the initial target at about 1.7280.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
$DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZTVC:DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZ
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) sits at 106.47 today—tariffs and Fed vibes keep it humming 📈🔥. Down a hair from 106.60—let’s unpack this greenback glow! 🚀
(2/9) – YEARLY SURGE
• 2024 Run: From 100.16 to 107+ by Dec 💥
• Today: 106.47—off 0.12% from yesterday 📊
• Driver: Trump tariffs juice inflation fears
TVC:DXY ’s got grit—2025’s off to a zesty start!
(3/9) – BIG BOOSTERS
• Tariffs: Auto, chip threats—dollar darling 🌍
• Fed: Slow cuts—rates outshine abroad 🚗
• Crypto Nod: Pro- AMEX:USD admin vibes 🌟
Greenback’s flexing—policy packs a punch!
(4/9) – MARKET PULSE
• Vs. Peers: Outpaces euro, yen—rate gaps shine 📈
• X Chatter: 107 peak, post-swearing dip?
• Edge: U.S. growth trumps global woes 🌍
TVC:DXY ’s steady—king of the currency hill?
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Deficits: Fiscal bloat looms long-term ⚠️
• Geo-Tension: Wars nudge safe-haven bets 🏛️
• Fed Pivot: Faster cuts could dim shine 📉
Tough tailwinds—can TVC:DXY dodge the drag?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Tariffs: Inflation lift—dollar darling 🌟
• Rates: Fed’s edge over ECB, BOJ 🔍
• Haven: Chaos loves $ USD—rock solid 🚦
TVC:DXY ’s got muscle—global star!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Debt piles—future wobble? 💸
• Opportunities: Tariff hikes zap rivals 🌍
Can TVC:DXY keep the crown or stumble?
(8/9) – TVC:DXY at 106.47—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—108+ by spring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds steady, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below 100 soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TVC:DXY ’s 106.47 glow—tariffs, Fed, and grit shine 🌍🪙. Deficits lurk, but strength rules—bull or bust?
Are Trump’s Tariffs More Bark Than Bite? What Markets Are SayingThe heated tariff drama is reverberating across global markets with a different impact depending on the region and the asset itself. Some markets, previously considered highly sensitive to extra tax charges, are actually doing better than the dominant stocks on Wall Street. Or maybe that’s just the calm before the storm? Let’s find out.
🌏 Are Europe's Stocks Great Again?
European stocks are leaving Wall Street equities in the dust, contrary to investor expectations ( contrarians, hat tip to you ). Since Donald Trump officially stepped into the top job in American politics (and started the whole tariff narrative) the Europe-wide Stoxx 600 index SXXP has gained roughly 6% to date. Its US counterpart, the S&P 500 SPX is up about 2.5% over the same time span.
Europe’s start-of-year spectacle is so good it prompted Bank of America analysts to dig into the archives and realize this is the old continent’s best opening since the 1980s. That is, while European countries struggle to power up their economies and the European Central Bank is dropping interest rates fast .
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC has fallen out of favor and is languishing around with a 2.2% increase since Trump took office. Moreover, the elite club called the Magnificent Seven is barely getting by. With the exception of Meta META , which is up more than 20% this year, all the others are either underwater or head above the water.
By the looks of it, Trump is gradually rolling out his punishing tariffs but European investors don’t seem too scared. Earlier this week, the US President revealed his intentions to slap the auto industry with a hefty 25% tariff starting April 2. Drugs and chips got picked on, too, with levies in the same neighborhood.
The auto space in Europe is bound to feel the weight of that auto tariff decision. Currently, Europe’s car manufacturers are taxed with a 2.5% levy on their way to the US. In the other direction, however, the US is obligated to pay a 10% duty when it imports cars into Europe.
The proposed auto tariffs knocked Asia’s automaker stocks during the Asian session on Thursday. The Nikkei 225 index NI225 was trading almost 2% lower with the auto sector dragging the broad performance.
👀 What’s Happening Elsewhere?
Gold XAUUSD is apparently the biggest winner of the tariff threat. As long as it doesn’t get slapped with one. The yellow metal has skyrocketed to levels near $3,000 with a Thursday session high of $2,955 per ounce, breaking its record made earlier in the week . What a bonanza for gold bugs as their main asset is up 15% since mid-December with no corrections and no signs of slowdown.
The US dollar has been taking blow after blow, giving rival currencies some much-needed reprieve . The dollar index DXY , measuring the buck’s strength against six forex rivals, is down about 3% from its two-year peak in early January.
Bitcoin BTCUSD , the fire-breathing volatility dragon, has actually been pretty tamed up as Trump’s crypto working group has stayed mostly tight-lipped over the prospects of crypto-friendly legislation. Prices of the orange coin celebrated inauguration day with an all-time record but have slipped 11% since then to dive back under $100,000.
Against that backdrop, what are you loading up on? Are you stacking up some European shares and shunning their US peers? Or you’re after that OG token under $100,000? Let us know in the comment section!
EURUSD SHORTNFP came in lower than expected but unemployment rate declined. The next event coming up is US CPI, which is expected to go up. I am still maintaining a sell position because any higher than expected CPI will force the FED to continue holding. Also with the Trump's tariff threats I still anticipate the EURO to remain under pressure. Those with no entries watch for 1.03500 and go short.