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XAUUSD: Trump set the markets on fire!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. Our initial position today will be to buy gold. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the upward trend line. It appears that Trump has softened his stance on tariffs, a shift that has significantly impacted the dollar. He has stated that he prefers using tariffs as a tool to control China rather than directly imposing them. Currently, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports might be implemented, though this is far from the 60% tariff he had proposed during his campaign. If Trump has taken a more lenient approach toward China, could he adopt a softer stance on other countries as well? Perhaps. Regardless, the tailwind that supported the dollar since December has officially shifted direction. The dollar seemed to hold Trump’s “trump card”—quite literally—at the start of the new year. But was that truly the case? If you recall, Trump’s stance on the dollar this time contrasts sharply with his first term in office. Now, Trump favors a weaker dollar—or at least that’s what he said last year. The only viable option to achieve this is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more quickly, and it seems that’s precisely what he’s trying to do. He now claims that he “understands interest rates better than the Federal Reserve” and insists that rates should be reduced “immediately.” However, this does not necessarily mean the Fed will alter its current policy. The Federal Reserve’s mandate typically operates beyond political influence, but Trump could ease the situation if he merely talks about tariffs without taking action. This would help alleviate inflation concerns, but we might need to wait a few more months to be certain, which is likely what Federal Reserve policymakers would prefer. That said, one can never rule out the possibility of Trump abruptly changing his mind. For now, however, it seems the dollar has started the new year under Trump’s influence. As tariff concerns fade, the focus will shift back to inflation and labor market data to determine where the economy heads from here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Brent - What will Trump's oil policies be?!Brent oil is in the 4-hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. We will look for oil selling opportunities on the supply zone. If the $75 level is broken, we can see the continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, we can buy in the demand zone with a risk-reward approach. When Donald Trump launched his election campaign, he threatened to impose 25% tariffs on America’s largest trading partners unless they addressed their trade surpluses with the U.S. Analysts described this idea as risky. However, Bloomberg has reported that, while this strategy is far from subtle, it has proven effective. This threat turned importers into U.S. customers. Energy importers from Asian countries began purchasing more crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, aiming to appease Trump before he took any action on tariffs. Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, told Bloomberg that U.S. trading partners view LNG purchases as a tool for negotiating tariffs with the Trump administration. He added that since last November’s election, orders for U.S. energy shipments have risen. Shortly after the election, Trump specifically suggested that the European Union should buy more LNG from the U.S. to offset its significant trade surplus. At the time, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated there was no reason why the EU couldn’t replace Russian LNG with American liquefied gas. However, her statement was perhaps not the most well-considered. The EU’s preference for Russian LNG and its hesitation toward American LNG primarily stems from pricing issues. Even this year, the region’s purchases of Russian LNG have reached record levels. As reported by the Financial Times earlier this week, the EU is highly sensitive to price considerations. According to an EU official, price remains a critical and determining factor. Bernd Lange, head of the European Parliament’s trade committee, previously remarked that Europe’s demand for LNG could align with America’s eagerness to sell more.He added that discussions on this issue are feasible. Trump has consistently emphasized his interest in deals that benefit the United States above all. On his first day in office, Trump revoked Biden’s executive order that halted permits for new LNG export capacity. This decision will expand U.S. export capacity over the next four years, potentially lowering prices depending on demand levels. The World Trade Organization’s chief warned that reciprocal tariff retaliation could result in a double-digit reduction in global GDP, a scenario that would have catastrophic consequences.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by Ali_PSND
Breaking: $TRUMP Surges 20% Following Inclusion in Spot ETFThe cryptocurrency market has been buzzing with excitement as $TRUMP, the official Trump memecoin launched on the Solana blockchain, experiences a sharp 20% surge. This rally follows the announcement of its inclusion in a spot ETF by Rex Osprey, a major player pushing the boundaries with seven ETF applications, covering assets like BTC, ETH, DOGE, and the surprising addition of $TRUMP. Fundamental Insights $TRUMP was launched on January 17, 2025, making it a relatively new entrant in the cryptocurrency market. Despite its infancy, the token has already captured significant attention. Within its first days of trading, $TRUMP reached an all-time high (ATH) of $74+, as per CoinMarketCap, and an all-time low (ATL) of $6.24. Interestingly, data from Dextools paints an even more dramatic picture, with an ATL of $0.024. These early days have been marked by high volatility and remarkable trading stories. Notably, one trader turned $4 into $97,000, while another flipped $1 into $19,000, sparking euphoria across the market. As of today, $TRUMP has retraced to a critical support level of $33, following its ATH. This retracement aligns with broader market dynamics and provides a potential launchpad for further gains. The coin’s market capitalization has already reached $40.89 billion, underscoring its growing influence in the memecoin ecosystem. Adding intrigue to $TRUMP’s narrative is MELANIA, a token attributed to the First Lady. MELANIA reached an ATH of $13, diverting liquidity and profits from $TRUMP. This phenomenon is cited as a key reason $TRUMP failed to break the $100 milestone, as traders shifted focus to capitalize on MELANIA’s momentum. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, $TRUMP is showing promising signs: 1. RSI at 62: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a healthy momentum, suggesting $TRUMP has room to capitalize on the recent cooldown. 2. Support at $33: The token has found strong support at $33, a critical level for maintaining its bullish trajectory. 3. Trading Patterns: Although $TRUMP’s trading history is brief, it has already exhibited a sharp rally followed by a controlled retracement, a common pattern for new tokens with high market interest. 4. Potential Breakout: With its inclusion in the spot ETF and renewed attention following Trump’s inauguration, $TRUMP is poised for a potential breakout. A retest of its ATH at $74+ could set the stage for a rally toward $100 if market conditions remain favorable. Fundamental Catalysts - Spot ETF Inclusion: Rex Osprey’s decision to include $TRUMP in its spot ETF applications lends significant credibility and visibility to the token, attracting institutional and retail interest alike. - Community Hype: The memecoin’s alignment with a high-profile figure and its vibrant community provide strong fundamental support. - Market Sentiment: Trump’s recent inauguration and the token’s rapid adoption have created a wave of positive sentiment, further driving demand. Outlook and Conclusion With a strong combination of technical and fundamental factors, $TRUMP appears well-positioned for continued growth. The token’s recent retracement to $33 - $40 offers an attractive entry point for traders, while its inclusion in a spot ETF provides a robust foundation for long-term value. However, market participants should remain cautious, as memecoins are inherently volatile and subject to rapid shifts in sentiment. If $TRUMP can sustain its current momentum and retest its ATH, the elusive $100 milestone could be within reach, marking a significant achievement for this nascent yet impactful cryptocurrency.
Long
by DEXWireNews
TRUMP/USDT 15m: Bulls Charge Towards $62.5 !TRUMP/USDT 15m Chart Analysis Current Price: $39.40 Market Structure: Breaking out of consolidation with bullish momentum. Strength observed after bouncing from the discount zone ($32.5). Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Order Block (OB): Key level at $37.5 (recent support). Premium Zone: Identified at $62.5 (potential distribution target). ChoCH Pattern: Breakout confirms bullish intent. Trade Setup (Confidence: 8/10): Entry: $39.5-$40.5 zone Targets: T1: $45 T2: $52.5 T3: $62.5 Stop Loss: Below $36.5 (to mitigate risk). Risk/Reward: Favorable with moderate risk (6/10). Market Maker Activity: Accumulation evident at discount zone ($32.5), indicating potential markup. Likely targeting premium zone for profit-taking. Notes: Hidden bullish divergence supports the bullish continuation. Volume confirms the breakout structure; monitor for sustained buy interest. Recommendation: Long position with tight risk management. Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
Long
by Cryptokijker
1
USOIL Trade LogUSOIL Short Trade Setup 🚨 - Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL) - Timeframe: 1-Hour - Risk: Between 1% and 2% - Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum Key Technical Analysis: 1. Price has formed a clear reversal structure accompanied by a rejection off the monthly Kijun level . 2. A 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) provides a potential entry point with a confluence of the Kijun 1H level. 3. The setup is in alignment with a broader bearish sentiment due to macroeconomic influences. Fundamental Confluence: - Recent announcements signal a ceasefire in the Middle East , reducing geopolitical oil supply risks. - Trump's statement regarding plans to increase oil drilling has heightened expectations of increased supply, potentially pressuring prices downward. Trade Plan: - Entry: Within the 1H FVG zone upon bearish confirmation. - Stop Loss: Above the 1H FVG's upper boundary. - Take Profit: At least twice the stop-loss distance for a 1:2 RRR. Risk Management: Ensure strict adherence to the 1%-2% risk allocation. Always consider market volatility before executing trades. This setup offers a balanced technical and fundamental perspective. Keep in mind, the market can always surprise you. Stay disciplined!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Fondera
Trump Coin's Wild Ride: Breaking Fibonacci to $115 or Busting toGood morning trading family! Here are the key levels to watch for $TRUMP: Resistance to Break: Keep an eye on the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If $TRUMP breaks above this, watch for: $89 - First significant target if the break is confirmed. $104 - Another potential milestone. $115 - The highest optimistic target if momentum continues. Support to Hold: If $TRUMP fails to break above the 46 range, watch for a potential drop to: $25 - A critical support level where the price might find a floor or continue to decline. These levels will guide whether $TRUMP climbs the stairs or slides down. Last minute: If you found this analysis valuable, boost it with a like, share, or send me a DM if you need help. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
by Mindbloome-Trading
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025. Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event. Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also. The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge. A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf. The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected. As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add. Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment. In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming. Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by PandorraResearch
Breaking: $TRUMP Set to Surge to $100 on Trump’s InaugurationThe Solana-based memecoin, $TRUMP, created by the newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump, has taken the crypto world by storm. With a 15% uptick in price at the time of writing and major exchanges like Binance now listing the token, $TRUMP is making history as the first memecoin projected to reach the $100 milestone. This explosive growth highlights the coin’s unique blend of political significance and community-driven appeal. Technical Analysis: Is $100 a Realistic Target? The $TRUMP chart reveals a possible retracement to the $33 support zone, which could serve as a prime buy opportunity for traders. Liquidity has already been swept from the recent highs, suggesting that the market is gearing up for another upward move. Here are the key technical factors: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Immediate resistance is set at $73.43, the coin’s all-time high recorded on January 19, 2025. - Key support is at $33, where buyers have previously stepped in, indicating strong demand. 2. Trading Volume Surge: - $TRUMP’s daily trading volume stands at $35.9 billion, a 61.2% increase in just 24 hours. This uptick in volume is a bullish signal, showing heightened market activity. 3. Momentum Indicators: - RSI suggests the coin is nearing overbought territory, signaling potential cooling off before another rally. - MACD shows bullish divergence, further supporting a potential move to $100. What Makes $TRUMP Unique? The Official Trump token combines meme culture with political symbolism, creating a one-of-a-kind asset. Here’s what sets it apart: 1. Backed by Donald Trump: - Launched on Truth Social, $TRUMP is directly tied to President-elect Donald Trump’s brand, amplifying its appeal to both crypto enthusiasts and political supporters. 2. Ownership and Unlocking Schedule: - CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, affiliates of The Trump Organization, collectively own 80% of the Trump Cards, subject to a 3-year unlocking schedule. This structured release reduces the risk of immediate sell-offs. 3. Decentralized Appeal: - Despite its political connections, the token’s creators emphasize that $TRUMP is not a political instrument or security. Instead, it’s designed to engage users in the ideals and artwork associated with the Trump brand. Market Data: A Glimpse at $TRUMP’s Growth - Current Price: $54.03 (26.5% below its ATH of $73.43). - All-Time Low: $4.29 (achieved just two days ago). - Market Cap: $10.6 billion, ranking it #21 on CoinGecko. - Circulating Supply: 200 million tokens. Where to Buy $TRUMP The token is available on several leading exchanges, including: - OKX: The most active trading pair, TRUMP/USDT, has a 24-hour volume exceeding $4 billion. - KuCoin and Gate.io: Other popular platforms with significant trading activity. Potential Risks and Rewards While $TRUMP offers significant upside potential, traders should be aware of the inherent risks. High volatility, political controversies, and the speculative nature of memecoins could impact its trajectory. However, the token’s strong community support and robust trading activity make it a compelling choice for risk-tolerant investors. Conclusion $TRUMP is more than just a memecoin; it’s a cultural phenomenon blending crypto innovation with political influence. With technical indicators pointing toward a potential rally and fundamentals bolstered by strong market interest, the coin’s path to $100 seems increasingly plausible. Whether you’re a trader seeking short-term gains or a believer in its long-term potential, $TRUMP is a token to watch in 2025.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for Trump's new policies!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk off sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will allow us to buy it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Bullish signs are abundant in the cryptocurrency market, as investors observe various factors that favor this sector beyond Bitcoin. While some analysts predict 2025 as the year of altcoins, JPMorgan argues that Bitcoin will remain an attractive option. Market experts point to cyclical trends that could boost altcoins such as Solana and Ripple. These two tokens experienced significant growth following Donald Trump’s election victory, driven by expectations of greater support from the new administration. However, JPMorgan highlights four reasons why investors should approach the altcoin market cautiously. First, future policies remain speculative, with uncertainty surrounding their timing and impact. Although reduced regulatory oversight may improve sentiment across the industry, there is no guarantee that interest in decentralized finance will grow substantially. JPMorgan noted that it is still unclear whether these new regulations will allow the crypto ecosystem to integrate into traditional financial systems or if public blockchains like Ethereum will play a central role in the future. Additionally, the bank stated that ambitious plans for crypto reserves in the United States and beyond are likely to focus solely on Bitcoin. Certain U.S. states have already proposed legislation to hold Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, a policy Washington might adopt during Trump’s second term. Second, Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency fund space. JPMorgan predicts that retail and institutional investors will keep investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs, supported by Bitcoin’s appeal as digital gold. According to a Bernstein report, Bitcoin is expected to replace gold as the primary store of value in the global economy over the next decade. Bitcoin accounted for 35% of the total $78 billion inflows into the crypto market in 2024, according to JPMorgan. By contrast, Ethereum spot ETFs, launched in July 2024, attracted only $2.4 billion. The bank also forecasts that future ETFs for altcoins like Solana may see limited capital inflows. Third, the Bitcoin network is evolving to rival tokens with more specific use cases, such as Ethereum. Historically, Bitcoin was perceived as a buy-and-hold asset with limited functionality. However, developers have been expanding its capabilities, and new smart contract features will help it compete with rivals. JPMorgan also stated that large institutions might overlook public blockchains like Ethereum in favor of private blockchains offering customized solutions for institutional investors. Fourth, new altcoin projects require time to mature and prove their utility. The bank explained that decentralized initiatives often attract initial user attention but then face declining activity and token value. To achieve sustainability, these projects must demonstrate their long-term functional benefits. JPMorgan cautioned investors against expecting a repeat of the 2021 crypto bull market. During that period, projects succeeded through token distribution, but the current industry is more focused on blockchain capability development. The bank further noted that MicroStrategy is still halfway through its plan to invest $42 billion in Bitcoin. This software company has made a name for itself by accumulating vast Bitcoin reserves through equity and debt financing. For the first time in history, over 20% of total spot trading volume is conducted on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Standard Chartered Bank warned that if the $90,000 support level breaks, Bitcoin could drop to around $80,000. The bank highlighted that Bitcoin ETF purchases have stabilized since the U.S. presidential election, and Jerome Powell’s policy shifts at the Federal Reserve on December 18 have increased selling pressure on digital assets. The bank cautioned that widespread panic could amplify these sell-offs, potentially affecting other cryptocurrencies.Nevertheless, such a price drop could present a long-term accumulation opportunity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Nasdaq index path, after the inauguration!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply range will provide us with the conditions to sell it. As markets prepare for Donald Trump’s inauguration, the dollar has weakened slightly. Early signals suggest that no significant changes in tariff policies are imminent, leading to a minor dip in the dollar’s value. Over the weekend, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a positive conversation. Following the call, Trump tweeted, “Just had an excellent conversation with Xi Jinping of China. This was very good for both China and the U.S. I expect us to solve many issues together, and we’ll start immediately.” Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Technology Index has reached its highest level in two years. Bloomberg data shows the 30-day correlation index between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq stands at approximately 0.70, indicating closely aligned movements between the two assets. On another front, Jared Bernstein, head of Joe Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, has warned that the incoming Trump administration’s potential interference in Federal Reserve interest rate policies could risk a resurgence in inflation. Bernstein emphasized the importance of maintaining the Fed’s independence and noted that executive actions should not influence interest rate decisions. TD Securities predicts that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady during the first half of this year. However, it expects rate cuts to resume in the second half, with the terminal rate reaching the low 3% range. This strategy reflects the economy’s need to digest Trump’s new policies, particularly on tariffs and immigration. This week’s economic calendar is relatively light.Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed on Monday, January 20, 2025, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Later in the week, key economic data will be released. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly jobless claims report will be published, followed by preliminary S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and existing home sales figures on Friday. Bank of America forecasts that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will reach 4.75% this year, with the potential to surpass 5% depending on Federal Reserve decisions. However, it sees a low probability of yields exceeding 5.25%. The bank cites a strong macroeconomic backdrop and a hawkish Federal Reserve, suggesting that any rate hikes will depend on inflation data. Bank of America also notes that yields near 5% could represent a compelling buying opportunity, provided the Consumer Price Index remains stable or declines slightly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
TRUMPomania - 3 variants of possibly Bulls RallyCrypto markets have been rocked by the launch of an "official" Donald Trump memecoin this weekend—with traders braced for more mayhem this coming week. Unlock over $3,000 in NFT, web3 and crypto perks — Apply now! The price of the "official" Trump memecoin has surged since its Friday evening launch, breaking into the crypto top 20 by market capitalization and hitting an eye-watering $14 billion. Now, as leaks reveal Trump is readying a flurry of crypto-focused executive orders, Trump's wife Melania has launched her own rival cryptocurrency—tanking the price of Trump's coin. Sign up now for the free CryptoCodex—A daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors and the crypto-curious that will get you up to date and keep you ahead of the bitcoin and crypto market bull run
Long
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
4