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TRY

USDTRY Approaching the top of the Channel Up.The USDTRY pair has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and the price is now very close to the pattern's top (Higher Highs trend-line). Technically this is were a rejection should take place to reset the market at the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line), below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Our Target is 33.4000, which is just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, where the last correction bottomed. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
Collecting Rollover while the TRY RangesThe CBRT has raised rates from 8.5% in June 2023 to currently standing at 50%. There was a recent CBRT meeting where rates where held at 50%. There has been a roll coaster for inflation YoY which was below 20% in 2020, rose as high as 36% in 2021, pushed up to 85.50% in 2022, dropped in 2023 to around 38% at its lowest, then pushed higher to standing at 69.8% currently. It is projected that inflation will push above the 70% lvl this year and eventually cap out and start pushing lower. The Lira is being hit hard and has lost over 80% of its value over five years due to the unorthodox method the President implemented. But with this said, there are things going for the TRY, which is a nice carry trade (I'm in it to win it...corny (yeah I know)), with around an 18%-27% annualized gain (fluctuates), this could be some serious gains (and price has been ranging, so that is good). With the FED potentially go to lower rates in September and with the CBRT having rates at 50%, this could cause the TRY to either keep ranging or eventually push lower. But the CBRT might have to raise rates higher in order to fight inflation that is almost 20% higher than its interest rate. This makes the 30 lvl seem that much more plausible to be hit. Additionally, price is trading towards the 32 lvl and has attempted to trade below the 30 lvl a couple of times. So another hit to the 30 lvl support could potentially push it to my price target of around 27 (mean while I'll be able to collect some rollover). A standard lot holding this pair could bring in around $49 a day (depending on the rate for that day) which is a decent amount. The margin requirement for this pair, at least with my broker is 1:4, which means this pair is highly volatile and risky. This pair can move thousands of pips in a matter of seconds and the spreads are sometimes outrageous. But, around a 1.2 micro lot would be less than $375 in margin, each pip would be a $0.01 move, and rollover per day earned would be around $0.56 a day. The is a good chance that price will stay were it is at and push lower. The 33-35 lvl is the cap, but for price to push as high as 35, there would have to some strong catalysts to make that happen. I think this is all a self-fulling prophecy with all waiting to see when the FED will make its move. For now, the plan is to keep building in this pair, collect rollover, and wait until at least the 30 lvl is hit to make another decision on whether I want to see it play through to the 27 lvl.
Short
by DollarSaenz
5
USDTRY Inflationary uptrend still intact but buy on the right leThe USDTRY pair has almost doubled since our last buy signal (October 27 2022, see chart below): This pair remains one of the most efficient long-term trades long-term as its inflationary uptrend remains intact. We won't turn buyers again however before a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test or a neutral 1W RSI (less than 50.00). Our next Target is 40.0000 (again on the 10-year Higher Highs trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
the end of the slope from this mountain is not yet visible?Regional activity of Mr. Erdogan with a multiply vector of conflicts between Syria, USA, Russia and other countries borders with Turkey is a main theme for further depreciation of TRY. President Joe Biden became the first US president to officially recognize the massacre of Armenians under the Ottoman Empire as a genocide. This is a new risk. Not legal and financial advice; Any information provided here is only the personal opinion of the author.
Short
by AlpacaBlack
Will TRY Continue to Fly or Will it Hold the 30 and Say GoodbyePrice has been pushing higher and higher and climbed thousands and thousands of PIPs since 2021. But with the increased interest rates (42.5%), will this be enough to prevent price from higher? Potentially. There needs to be more confidence in the Lira, which could be happening. Pimco and Vanguard (US Investment Companies), are investing in Turkey, which could be a good sign. If companies are starting to invest in Turkey, this could help their currency issues. What could also help and maybe is helping currently, is the TRY is a good carry trade, especially if there is a halt to the rapid depreciation in the Lira. The CBRT will likely hold rates at his high lvls for a while as they work to break the upward trajectory. Additionally, if analyst, traders, and investors are correct, and the FED reduces rates, this will assist price on pushing lower. Furthermore, when economic data is released, if inflation starts taking a hit to the downside (currently above 61%), this could bring in that confidence that is needed also and start pushing the TRY lower. If all these factors do improve the Lira, I am thinking price might even be able to hit the 27 lvl. For now, I got a small position on this pair, collecting a decent amount of positive rollover. I will build up as price pushes higher. I am able to sustain if price pushes 10,000 pips against me. Price is currently over 7,000 pips against me, with a manageable floating loss, and I am still looking to build a larger position. Manage your risk and do your own due diligence before placing any trades.
Short
by DollarSaenz
2
Right, I'm calling it! 😁💥Overview I'm calling 2024 the end of Lira selling. The Details 2024 could see Turkish inflation peak🗻 The main driving force of the TRY selling has been unconventional monetary policy, erratic changes of the head of Turkey's central bank and finance ministers, and undisciplined high inflation A rate hiking cycle has been in play since May 2023 - rates hiking from 8.50% to 45.00% - and conventional monetary policy seems to have finally arrived😅 Erodgan seems more committed to tackling inflation and having central bank stability Things to consider I am not suggesting that Turkey is on the verge of a boom, though I am not ruling this out; inflation could be peaking, so the Lira may finally see strength. This will create an all-time high on the TRY charts. I suggest that the aggressive uptrend could be coming to an end, even if that means TRY pairs start ranging. The carry trade makes this an irresistible opportunity for me. I have been long TRYJPY since June 2023, which has resulted in generous daily swap payments💰
Short
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
2
USD/TRY is to jump in 2023?For the last months, the Turkish lira has been traded near the all-time lows against USD. I think that demand for the lira would shift soon, and it would trigger a breakout of resistance of 18.7 with the first psychological price target of TRY 20 for 1 USD with consolidation near 25 in the second half of the year. In terms of technical analysis, I do not see any compelling things on the USD/TRY chart. Therefore, I decided to look at an exotic currency pair with TRY on one side. I have taken Hungarian forint or HUF. Comparing HUF with USD or EUR , we can say, it is a weak currency that has constantly lost its value for the last 20 years. However, against the weakest TRY, HUF is a king. On the TRY/HUF chart, I see an opportunity to breakout of support of HUF 18.4 for TRY until the end of the year. The first target could be 14 with the chance to drop to 10. Keeping in mind that HUF is a weak currency that is now in a temporary good shape against the world currencies, such a possible forint strengthening against the lira could happen only if the latter drop to the majors. If TRY/HUF is to be 14, and USDHUF is near its essential middle-term resistance of 380. It means USDTRY would be around 27,14. If TRY/HUF reaches 10, USDTRY would be 38. With a magical macroeconomic policy in Turkey, including jumping inflation , artificially low-interest rates in Turkey , and raising interest rates in USD, EUR, and Erdogan's elections in June (and budget spending increase), it doesn't seem impossible to me.
Long
by Nikita_Kalinin
XRP LONG 0.75$ and 1.15$ are on the RadarXRP price prediction, the value of XRP is predicted to drop by -2.25% and reach $ 0.479326 by July 8, 2023. According to our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bullish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 62 (Greed). XRP recorded 17/30 (57%) green days with 3.88% price volatility over the last 30 days. Based on our XRP forecast, it's now a good time to buy XRP. XRP price today is $ 0.489242 with a 24-hour trading volume of $ 2.56B, market cap of $ 25.56B, and market dominance of 2.08%. The XRP price increased 1.12% in the last 24 hours. XRP reached its highest price on Jan 4, 2018 when it was trading at its all-time high of $ 3.92, while XRP's lowest price was recorded on Jul 7, 2014 when it was trading at its all-time low of $ 0.002802. The lowest price since it's ATH was $ 0.113268 (cycle low). The highest XRP price since the last cycle low was $ 1.977930 (cycle high). The XRP price prediction sentiment is currently bullish, while Fear & Greed Index is showing 64 (Greed). XRP's current circulating supply is 52.25B XRP out of max supply of 100.00B XRP. The current yearly supply inflation rate is 13.26% meaning 6.12B XRP were created in the last year. In terms of market cap, XRP is currently ranked #4 in the Layer 1 sector. Trend bullish higher pocs divergence RSI trend continuation is positive The bullish sentiment is +86% Comparing XRP against other important technological innovations and trends is one way of predicting where the XRP price could head over the long term. The table above shows what the XRP price would be by end of year 2024, 2025, and 2026 if its growth trajectory followed the growth of the internet, or large tech companies like Google and Facebook in their growth phase. In the best case scenario, XRP price prediction for year 2026 is $ 9.05 if it follows Facebook growth. In case XRP would follow Internet growth the prediction for 2026 would be $ 1.037854. XRP is currently trading above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 200-day SMA has been signaling BUY for the last 48 days, since May 16, 2023. The price of XRP is currently above the 50-day SMA and this indicator has been signaling BUY for the last 2 days, since Jul 01, 2023. The most recent Death Cross in the Bitcoin market happened 192 days ago, on Dec 23, 2022. Meanwhile, a Golden Cross last occurred on Apr 03, 2023, which was 91 days ago. Based on our technical indicators, XRP's 200-day SMA will rise in the next month and will hit $ 0.466289 by Aug 02, 2023. XRP's short-term 50-Day SMA is estimated to hit $ 0.461511 by Aug 02, 2023. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum oscillator is a popular indicator that signals whether a cryptocurrency is oversold (below 30) or overbought (above 70). Currently, the RSI value is at 53.43, which indicates that the XRP market is in a neutral position. S1 $ 0.471781 S2 $ 0.458633 S3 $ 0.446728 R1 $ 0.496833 R2 $ 0.508737 R3 $ 0.521886 Highlights Price has increased by 52% in the last 1 year Outperformed 80% of the top 100 crypto assets in 1 year Trading above the 200-day simple moving average 18 green days in the last 30 days (60%) Has high liquidity based on its market cap Trading on Binance Trading with Euro Risk Analysis Outperformed by Bitcoin and Ethereum Down -87% from all-time high Yearly inflation rate is 13.26% XRP price is positively correlated with the top 10 coins by marketcap with a value of 0.140, excluding Tether (USDT) and positively correlated with the top 100 coins by marketcap excluding all stablecoins with a value of 0.128. Currencies that are positively correlated with XRP indicate that the movement of one has a statistically significant weight to lead the other in the same direction. For currencies that are negatively correlated with XRP, a move in one direction for XRP would translate into a move in the opposite direction for the negatively correlated coin. XRP Price Forecast Date Price Change Jul 4, 2023 $ 0.487750 -0.54% Jul 5, 2023 $ 0.493399 0.62% Jul 6, 2023 $ 0.473601 -3.42% Jul 7, 2023 $ 0.493554 0.65% Jul 8, 2023 $ 0.479326 -2.25% Jul 9, 2023 $ 0.484505 -1.20% Jul 10, 2023 $ 0.442919 -9.68% Jul 11, 2023 $ 0.461829 -5.82% Jul 12, 2023 $ 0.473853 -3.37% Jul 13, 2023 $ 0.488465 -0.39% Jul 14, 2023 $ 0.468111 -4.54% Jul 15, 2023 $ 0.442248 -9.81% Jul 16, 2023 $ 0.439206 -10.43% Jul 17, 2023 $ 0.436434 -11.00% Jul 18, 2023 $ 0.437612 -10.76% Jul 19, 2023 $ 0.447480 -8.75% Jul 20, 2023 $ 0.442908 -9.68% Jul 21, 2023 $ 0.453327 -7.56% Jul 22, 2023 $ 0.463789 -5.42% Jul 23, 2023 $ 0.446259 -9.00% Jul 24, 2023 $ 0.443146 -9.63% Jul 25, 2023 $ 0.439622 -10.35% Jul 26, 2023 $ 0.433597 -11.58% Jul 27, 2023 $ 0.431139 -12.08% Jul 28, 2023 $ 0.431371 -12.03% Jul 29, 2023 $ 0.420295 -14.29% Jul 30, 2023 $ 0.429755 -12.36% Jul 31, 2023 $ 0.422158 -13.91% Aug 1, 2023 $ 0.437131 -10.86% Aug 2, 2023 $ 0.436228 -11.04%
CAPITALCOM:XRPUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
8
EURTRY - Early on the Big Short to 26.5To be honest it already feels ridiculous to receive 30 TRY for 1 euro! It just doesn't feel right, sorry. This time I will talk no politics, no Erdogan, no West or East (Russia lost although they won so Turkey always goes with the West in the end anyways), no central bank plans etc This time we talk chart only: I was expecting maybe stop at 31TRY/1EUR, finally it seems to have taken place at 30,5 From here i see this price coming back down to stratosphere at 26.5 by end of September this year. Will then check again and follow developments in Turkey. For now things will stabilize which is good for our Turkish friends. One Love, the FxProfessor
Short
by FX_Professor
11
XRP Ripple is making a correction within uptrendCRYPTOCAP:XRP   BITSTAMP:XRPUSD   BINANCE:XRPUSDT XRP Ripple is making a correction within uptrend Ripple CEO addresses XRP community members amidst SEC v. Ripple lawsuit CRYPTO BULLISH US to take a constructive approach in regulating digital assets War boosts demand in Bitcoin Big Russian money could flow into Bitcoin to avoid the US sanctions Fed delivering only a few rate hikes next year would be great news for cryptos Bitcoin is paving its way to traditional finance Adidas news is ‘probably a big thing’ Inflation trades will keep doing better and better, crypto better days lie ahead People rush to Bitcoin as a new-age inflation hedge The SEC is poised to allow the first exchange-traded fund based on BTC futures Negative real interest rates and post-pandemic era can boost blockchain A Bitcoin ETF seems likely to happen, paving the way for the next boom El Salvador leads world in adopting bitcoin as official currency, a big step Senate reaches a deal over crypto amendment, supporting to not kill the industry CRYPTO BEARISH Reputational setback to further weigh on prices Cryptocurrencies to take a severe hit amid general market panic and industry-wise discomfort Russia/Ukraine conflict to accelerate the regulation of the crypto industry Higher energy prices make crypto mining more expensive Bitcoin to suffer amid geopolitical tensions Bitcoin hit by global risk appetite and shutdown in Kazakhstan Rising US yields are applying a visible downside pressure on the pricing of cryptocurrencies Biden's infrastructure bill is bad for Bitcoin Memecoins are now a problem Cryptocurrencies will be regulated by governments Spike in energy prices to become a burden for Bitcoin China bans cryptocurrencies, again Delta variant causing concerns, risk appetite disappears SEC v Ripple Silence Left XRP on the Back Foot Again There were no SEC v Ripple case updates to impact on Sunday. The lack of updates left investors in a cautious mood. After last week’s extended pullback, XRP may face further selling pressure as investors grow anxious about the outcome of the SEC v Ripple case. Optimism has faded, leading to the XRP pullback from the March 29 high of $0.58479. On Saturday, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse may have spooked investors, saying. “Great to meet so many folks from the XRP community at XRP Las Vegas 2023 – the camaraderie is remarkable (and an amazing feeling in person vs Twitter!). This community has stood by and supported Team Ripple as we have fought the good fight… I can’t adequately express my gratitude.” It is unclear whether the Ripple CEO was aware of an imminent ruling. There was no crypto event to deliver the sixth bearish session of the week.
CAPITALCOM:XRPUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
16
TRY Bleeding Out%19 Interest rate, huge debts, vaccination progress is still very low. Turkish Central Bank manager kicked out because of interest rates, but we have still a huge interest rate and USD/TRYis still going forward. What Turkey could do? No tourism income for now, no leverage hand for interest anymore. Unfortunately, TRY will be 10 soon if we close daily above 8.58. Also, don't forget DXY is bleeding out what is gonna happen when DXY hits 98 again. Not financial advice.
Long
by kargaa
6
One time Hell 🔥 - Two times Paradise 🏝️💼Hello Traders, I'd like to take a moment to discuss a rather peculiar scenario unfolding in the world of Forex, centered on the Turkish Lira (TRY). It's a tale of two paradises – a seeming conundrum where what seems like a hardship for one can be a fortune for another. 🔥 Hell for Turkish people: Firstly, let's understand the current state of Turkey's economy. With ongoing economic uncertainty under President Erdogan, it's a trying time for the Turkish population. The economic policies, coupled with steep inflation rates and the devaluation of the Turkish Lira, are causing a significant amount of strife for locals. In other words, it's a tough environment for the average Turkish citizen - a kind of 'economic hell', if you will. 💼 Paradise for Forex Brokers On the flip side, the very turmoil that's causing despair for the Turkish people is creating a unique set of opportunities for Forex brokers. The Lira's volatility is attracting an increasing number of traders, drawn by the promise of high risk, high reward scenarios. Yet, the Forex market is a fickle beast, and as we see the Lira begin to trade sideways, the profits expected by these traders could be replaced by hefty commission fees, effectively creating a 'broker paradise' of sorts. Not for traders..for brokers! 🏝️ Paradise for Erdogan's Tourist season The second 'paradise' situation can be found in Turkey's tourism industry. Despite the economic challenges, or rather because of them, Turkey will see a surge in foreign tourists. The weakened Lira makes it an affordable destination for many, boosting the local tourism sector. Cheap currency, while problematic domestically, can be a tourist's paradise, offering them more bang for their buck. Especially for Russians, who currently are treated as 'blocked' citizens for European countries. Erdogan must be very happy with a cheap Lira this summer. he will make his moves towards the end of the summer, trust me on this one. 🛑 Don't trade TRY this period So what does this mean for us as traders? It serves as a reminder that markets are multifaceted and that the factors influencing them are interwoven in complex ways. Although the TRY might be attractive due to its high volatility, remember that trading in such conditions can be risky. In the short term, we might see the TRY continue to trade sideways, meaning that the cost of trading might outweigh the benefits. I am already out of my TRY Trades for this reason. Remember, trading is about understanding the dynamics of the market and adapting your strategies accordingly. Stay safe, stay informed, and trade wisely. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Mine is to sit out this summer and go Long on Turkish lira after the tourist season. 👑President Erdogan, you might just be a Forex genius - although I can't say for sure. It still does not look healthy at all 🔥 Good luck and happy trading! the FXPROFESSOR
by FX_Professor
Erdogan win most lucrative trade of EURTRY continuesI'm writing to you today to discuss the recent election results in Turkey and how they have impacted the value of the Turkish lira. As you may know, President Erdogan's party suffered a significant setback in the recent local elections, which has caused a drop in the value of the Turkish lira. While this news may concern some, it presents a unique opportunity for forex traders like us to invest in the Turkish lira at a lower value. He just won again today! I encourage you to take advantage of this opportunity and invest in the Turkish lira. With the right strategy and analysis, you could see a significant investment return. As always, doing your research and making informed decisions regarding forex trading is essential. But with the current situation in Turkey, there's never been a better time to consider investing in the Turkish lira. Thank you for your time, and happy trading!
Long
by bryandowningqln
TRX Could Drop to 3.3 cents Following Failed Breakout (EW)Based on the severity of this pull back It seems like the breakout for TRX has failed, and based on the macro environment the probabilities are mounting we may briefly see new lows this year before pushing towards all time highs. This seems to be coinciding with a crash in the US banking system, which will eventually lead to a fast response by the Fed to turn the printers back on to save the banks and prop up asset prices. At first TRX could get a quick drop to 3.3 cents as asset prices depress almost across the board. Following the inevitable Fed intervention, TRX and most cryptos should push towards new all time highs. At a minimum TRX should go to over 60 cents in the following year as the money printers get turned back on again. The very recent collapse of multiple banks in the US could lead to system wide contagion in the US banking system that will only be stopped by massive intervention and money printing by the Fed. A systemic bank run could lead to a dollar liquidity crisis and temporary demand spike for dollars as depositors can no longer get their dollars out of banks and will need to sell off other assets to pay their bills, this selling will continue up until the central bank is able to effectively deal with the situation and extinguish the fire by throwing freshly printed money on it. The Fed typically keeps tightening until they 'break something,' and things are definitely starting to break now.
KRAKEN:TRXUSDShort
by Intuit
15
How to be careful against manipulation while trading Forex?It all started on the morning of December 20, 2021. The "Up Tick Rule" was implemented for one day in the stock market. The Up Tick Rule is an application that reduces the declines caused by short selling in stocks and is implemented to limit selling pressure. The implementation method of this rule is that even though the capital market instrument subject to short selling can be realized at a price higher than the last transaction price, the short selling transaction can also be made at the last transaction price level if the last transaction price of the capital market instrument subject to short selling is higher than the previous price. Thus, with the implementation of this rule, the possibility of the dollar falling is minimized. The dollar is raised up to 18.36 Turkish liras. At 18:15, after the daytime market closed, the manipulation began. On the evening of December 20, 2021, the Central Bank started selling dollars through public banks at very low exchange rates. The aim was to transfer capital to some of the supporters by selling the Central Bank's dollars for less than 10 Turkish liras, but the dollar only fell to 12.49 Turkish liras. Because an investor who was unaware of this operation bought $1.5 billion at an average rate of 12.50 Turkish liras. Since the Central Bank had exhausted its selling limit for that day, it couldn't sell any more dollars. Thus, the operation remained incomplete. With the panic that started in the market, BIST presented an announcement for approval at 09:25 on the morning of December 21, 2021. A trap was set for stock market investors to complete the operation. At 09:46 (16 minutes after the opening of the stock exchange), the approval of the announcement was published on KAP. In this announcement, the limit for selling dollars at a discount of up to 10% was increased to 80%. However, during the 16-minute period before investors learned of this decision, the Central Bank's dollar reserves, which had started selling at 18.22 Turkish liras on the new day, had already been sold down to the level of 3.65 Turkish liras. (Although this level of 3.65 Turkish liras may not be visible on the Tradingview chart, data is available on applications such as Bloomberg Terminal and Matriks.) The identity of those who had prior knowledge and purchased dollars at almost no cost is unknown. The Central Bank has been robbed, and those who were aware of the operation have made large profits, while others have lost their money and assets. Instead of protecting investors against manipulation, it looks like SPK and BIST have facilitated the setting of traps for them. The most basic thing we can do to protect ourselves against such manipulations is to be vigilant when buying and selling currencies of countries with low credibility.
by YavuzAkbay
1
High Risk, Long Term Carry Trade! TRYJPY!This is my high risk, long term carry trade for 2023 (opened in 2022, looking to add to my position further). The swap rate is very attractive - to provide some insight, I have received a 3% account increase since opening my first long position in 2022, through daily interest receivables. The Fundamentals... Turkey has potential. Exports are climbing. The country needs more stability and greater global confidence - Turkey is greatly lacking both. I believe that the currency is so heavily short, that any sign of monetary policy change could cause the Lira to rocket. Potentially creating some large volatile upside moves. With the possibility of a global recession, the Lira could also see buying momentum, as emerging markets often perform well during times of international recession. Current Technical Reasons... Price is nearing all-time lows and daily horizontal support. TRYJPY is also testing bearish channel support area. Don't get me wrong, the Lira could fall much further - it has been in extreme decline for around 15 years! This is considered a high risk trade.
Long
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
1
USDTRY Best time to buy long-term is nowThe USDTRY pair has been rising steadily since the December 2021 drop. The RSI on the 1W time-frame has formed a pattern that since 2013 at least, paved the way to very aggressive pumps. Technically the next wave is about to start and shouldn't retrace before it hits the RSI's Higher Highs trend-line. Based on the pair's Higher Highs trend-line, the next top can be around $25.00. As a long-term investor, there isn't a much better level to buy USDTRY than now. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
2
USD Would be 20 Liras in Next MonthsAlthough the chart has too many bullish daily candles, the upward angle and trend confidence shows me the trend is your friend. So I expect a new record high and a breakout of December's high of 18.25 . The target is 20 in the next two months . On the macro side, the imbalances remain. Turkey has the highest negative real interest rate (minus 64%) * among countries targeting inflation worldwide. Turkish inflation continues to grow, and the negative difference would grow. As a conclustion country's economic agents would continue to get rid of the lira. The Turkish central bank can't achieve its 5% inflation target for more than a decade. With Erdogan in power, it would never happen. Yearly current accounts have been negative for the last 20 years, with one exception in the 2020 Covid year. In 2022 Turkey continues to register the current account deficit thanks to the high energy prices of imported goods and perpetual high inflation. Without a sound monetary policy, the Turkish lira could be permanently devalued to new historic lows every year or two. * I compare last month's inflation with today's central bank policy rate. It is not 100% correct in the macroeconomic sense. They compare the expected inflation rate at the end of the year with the policy rate. Still, all forecasts are sloppy and usually are not on target, so I deliberately use the statistics.
Long
by Nikita_Kalinin
EUR/TRY LOOKING BEARISH, THIS IS WHYI am aware of the current geopolitical problems in the world and especially in Turkey. Also the economy of Turkey has had a very hard time. In 2023 there seem to be re-elections. Maybe if they get rid of Erdogan there can be a future. Also 2023 is like the holy grail year for the Turks because they can "pump the oil out of the ground", because of a so called 100-year contract ending. Anyhow, returning to the chart what I see is a double top and a breakout downward from a parabolic move. I would be comfortable to buy some Turkish Lira at these levels, looking at those signs and the current risk level.
Short
by Crypto_Hagu