BTCUSD - Another visual of why 15k aheadHey !
So this curve channel is very essential since the beginning of the bear market. As you can see - next touch needs to be on its bottom, before attempting to break it - 3 touches have been already denied. Enough to reverse down.
But promise me you will consider $15k as a temporary pivot level - just for Christmas.
Cheers !
TSG
DXY - 120 incomingBig resistances are too strong of a magnet to get omitted - $120 is the previous big top - if we don't reach it out, it means it's gonna go passed it next time.
Therefore possible double retest before small relief.
Also remember we just broke a big weekly/monthly descending wedge. Dollar is going for the 160's in this bear market.
Cheers!
US100 you may want to check thisSo US100 hasn't even reached 0.618 fib level in this correction - it is literally fighting with support to reach there.
The only time that price acted like this, has shown a further drop before relief - and that drop should reach 0. 618. Possibly CPI results could trigger it (imho CPI results could come out positive for markets, but the drop would be a flush of greedy longs).
Relief until EOY and a beautiful beginning of 2023 + entry into recession.
Cheers!
VIX - Stocks Sentiment in preparation... for the ultimate drop. So we have broken the top curve - that is bad as hell already in itself. Additionally we retested it and have been trapped since then between the top descending trendline and the curve.
What I expect to happen next is for VIX to consolidate ( or break to the upside and retest the trendline ) until EOY. Check my US100 idea to see what stocks predict in the meantime.
As a reminder - VIX has never shown such sentiment "moves" as we have nowadays - but just once in the past - And that one time has been replayed perfectly so far - that's one of the reasons why I expect VIX to consolidate or even show slight signs of minor-relief for stocks until Christmas season.
Cheers!
BTCUSD - Multiple Fractals look!Two different fractals are now pointing down - and both of them agree on a consolidation period after the first fall.
We need to sweep liquidity below this years low before we can move anywhere up.
Targets remain subejctive and dependent of the market - One of the fractals shows a target of lower Daily FVG (9-10k), the other 14k - clear support.
My Bear market bottom is $8k, so I don't think we're headed that low yet. Because of FED most likely pivoting (as it is happening now in other countries aswell) - we should bounce before cleaning those real lows.
Cheers!
SHIBUSDT - any fans?!SHIB is in a middle point here - but all suggests we could see a drop first - and after that a retest of top of the channel - most likely a breakout - but I would accumulate lower first - watch for daily RSI oversold and long until whale money reaches high levels on Trend Exhaustion.
Cheers!
BTC/SPX - not ready yet !Bitcoin isn't yet ready to outperform stocks - specially with stock's bounce. This chart shows the why BTC kept in place while stocks bounced - a cross to the upside would really push the price, but it seems the confluence of resistance at this level is too strong - Very likely we will see another drop soon (here to retest the bottom again) - around or during the weekend when stocks will be sleeping.
Keep monitoring it - if we don't break the bottom support - we will break out and have some relief after !
BTCUSD - tell me, how!?How can someone be bullish here:
Touch of top curve
Trend Exhaustion very High
HighsLows very High
Momenter signaled a short
RSI overbought instantly
Open Interests skyrocketed fueled by greed and by linearscale chart breakout
How to get bullish here ?!
Anticipating here a consolidation and ranging period until NFP on Friday. But not bullish at all here.
BTC - one more thing !Project last two corrections onto what we have today - and both of them end up on the $9k area - where the main supporting curve is, where the CME gap is and where the Binance US wick hit last year.
A lot of confluence there, based on history.
Bearish until then - even bounces won't change that.
BTC - a bit of retrospectionEvery correction (widely known as "bear market") of a parabolic BTC move ended up in a touch of the supporting curve - which is also flattening and bigger parabolic moves can now have bigger retracement periods. All of previous corrections (which happened during an on-going multimarket bubble growht!) have something in common - a support that finally got breached - since that moment - the price entered a consolidation period - for about 100 to max 300 days. A situation that hasn't occurred before was the covid crash, which looks like an excuse to form a bottom by touching that curve.
This time we are far away from it - setting some kind of resistance on $18k area, but I have no doubt it will get breached - the only question is if we will go higher and then dump in a Covid 2020 way, or will we gradually bleed out until reaching the bottom - my personal bottomest bottom sits at $8-9k.
BTC CME GAPs and Bin US targetLong wicks like to get filled - last year we had a long wick to $8k from the ath level - since then we've been consistently going towards the bottom of that wick.
So far, yet so close already ... What do you think ?
Doesn't fit my idea of a bounce though, and long wicks don't like big moves before being filled - are we headed straight there first?
SPX - overexhaustedOverexhausted on the short side - has touched bottom on many indicators and sits now at support - losing it will be very volatile, but a bounce could happen aswell from here.
The up-and-down pattern that it has lately formed several times has been fulfilled, but this time the new low is at the same level as the previous one - keep monitoring as Russian war can be a trigger here. I am bullish until clear cross.
UNI - not bullish let me rephrase - It looks okay for short term, but I wouldn't be expecting it to break up - unless whole crypto bounces up. Taking into account nowadays situation - I'd expect a retouch of the top of the trendline and a fall to lower support. UNI has been pumped since the beginning which suggests to me that it was artificially pumped to get liquidity into this asset. More downside to me.