Market Forecast $SPX (Oct 20th—> Oct 26th)Market Forecast (Updated 10/20/2024)
SPX - Economic data for September was very good and supported the soft landing narrative for the stocks to go up, Based on NFLX ER, the TECH sector is still strong and bullish.
Next resistance: 5,891 and then 5,913
Next support: 5,750, followed by 5,560
Weekly Sentiment: Mixed/Consolidation Period
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
$NQ outlook headed into OCT. 21 WEEKMarket structure still shows us that it is bullish based on Technicals.
No catalyst yet for a big bearish move/correction/pullback.
Friday ended as an inside bar /1 / harami.
Means an explosive move is coming.
Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday.
The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs.
Rejection off the order blocks from April time frame and the SEPT bounce off the imbalance created in AUG.
There's no real catalyst 'yet' for a big bearish move.
I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ
Similar to my NASDAQ:QQQ post a week ago, price is still respecting the upward trendline which is now annotated with the green triangle.
Watch for price for the rest of OCT attempt to take out ATH (Liquidity) at 20983.75 and potentially reverse/stall at 21,000. Why that number? Psychological level along with where many algos most likely set their orders along with those who went short at ATH set their stops ABOVE entry.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE but an OPINION.
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
$SPY Outlook for OCT 21, 2024AMEX:SPY headed into this week is an inside bar / 1 / harami.
Means an explosive move is coming.
Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday.
The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs.
There's no real catalyst ' yet ' for a big bearish move.
I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ
There still a GAP downside that was not completely filled last week.
#SPY is in this rising wedge pattern and been respecting the TL (Green/Red).
The pivot for SPY will be 583.99 - 584.55.
If the bulls hold above that, you will see 585.39 get taken and then potentially 586.12. Failure by the bears to stop the move up and 587/587.35/588 will be on the path.
If the bears take control and break the pivot zone, then you will see 583.67 / 583.2 / 582.6 / 582.33 and 581.82 / 581.5 / 580.9
Market Structure starts to change with a break of 582.16.
A true MSS comes at 565 break.
Keep in mind, there is a divergence between NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY
This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on TSLA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 210usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $32.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Overall, I’m bullish on TSLA in the long run, so this might just be a short-term play.
TESLA Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 220.72
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 232.78
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$TSLA - BEAR FLAG $174 PT, Medium Term PT $138 at Double BottomBear Flag is setting up nicely like the previously bear flag. Length of Pole - Measured downside move to a price objective of $174. There is also a major gap that hasn't been filled. The stock will eventually fill the gap with a support at a double bottom of $138. Overall, Tesla is more bearish and than bullish. Short on further downside. Fundamentally, it is trading at an egregiously overvalued Forward PEG of 6.53 and a forward PE of 81 while growth is expected to be stagnant YOY with no concrete evidence of renewed growth for the next year. Even if you assume the company gets back to 50% growth next year, its current valuation on forward PEG and PE would still be overvalued and would need time to grow into its valuation.
$TSLA DOIN THE ROBOT DANCE TO $270-$300 PARABOLICThe target patterns are right on the chart. Invest smart, invest hard. Buy the dip thst just happened. You want to make sure you'll be in trade in these next few rallies.
Stock Wrangler out.
Like, comment, subscribe. I love to answer people's questions!
Tesla 4-Hour Chart: Path to $191 or $261?Alright, trading fam, grab your boards—Tesla’s (TSLA) chart just served up a crucial break below $213.78, and things are starting to get spicy. Think of that level like a solid wave that held you steady for a bit—until it dumped you off the board. Now that the market’s broken out of the channel, we’re eyeing $191.20 as the next potential landing spot. This could be where the bulls regroup and paddle back in for another try, but if they miss the chance, the market might pull us further under.
Now, here’s the exciting part: it’s not over for the bulls. If Tesla regains its footing and pushes above $223.70, that’s our green light to ride toward $261–264. This area is prime territory for locking in some early profits—it’s like the perfect wave where some surfers might hop off and call it a day. But if the bulls stay committed, they could break through that resistance and catch even bigger waves ahead.
So what’s the plan? Below $213.78, we stay cool and watch for $191—it could be a solid zone to hop back on. But if we reclaim $223.70, we ride that momentum to $261 for a sweet first profit. No need to rush or panic—just like surfing, it’s all about waiting for the right set and not forcing things.
If this breakdown gave you good vibes, boost it with a like or follow—let’s keep riding the markets together, one wave at a time.
Mindbloome Trader
Can NVDA hit 200 USD in Q1 2025?🔸Time to update the NVDA trade setup, previously was expecting
a correction in this market, based on fundamentals we are definitely
overextended, however NVDA so far is trading purely based on momentum
ignoring the fundumentals. It's the star stock of the 2024 stock market.
🔸Previous strong uptrend, we broke above key psychological S/R at 100 usd. Right now we got a compression setup, expecting limited upside / pullback heading into US elections, having said that probably any downside beyond 115/120 usd is very limited. current floor set at 100/110 USD.
🔸Compressing into wedge formation, most likely we will break out
to the upside following a shallow pullback in November 2024.
Also November/December is a very strong seasonal period for US stock
market, so it's really hard to recommend short selling NVDA.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback near 114/118 USD
in November going into elections, limited downside beyond 110 USD.
BUY/HOLD near 114/118 TP bulls is 200 USD, which is almost 75% upside.
Most likely we will reach target somewhere in Q1 2025, probably January.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Tesla (TSLA): Stuck in a Range after Robo Taxi rumors fizzledAfter being stopped out on our second entry in Tesla, it's time to take another look, although it has been quite uneventful since the big rise on the Robo Taxi rumors back in July. It was a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” event, showcasing how markets tend to price in events well ahead of their occurrence. Musk's statement that Cybercab production could begin "before 2027" is also seen as highly questionable, given his history of missed deadlines.
Tesla recently got approval from local authorities near its gigafactory in Berlin to move forward with its three-stage expansion plan. Despite protests from locals, this approval allows the company to start building infrastructure for storage facilities, a battery cell test lab, and logistics areas. All of this will take place on land already owned by Tesla. Whether this expansion will be beneficial or problematic for the company remains to be seen in the coming months.
Currently, we still have our limit order from $177 running, and things are looking alright. To better illustrate the situation, we added a fresh chart of Tesla’s range, which clearly shows the situation. After reclaiming the range middle in July, Tesla briefly dipped below but rebounded perfectly from $183, a critical POC (Point of Control). Since July, Tesla hasn’t made any new higher highs, nor has it made lower lows, placing the stock in a tight range. If Tesla loses the range middle, we could see a drop to $183 or even $160. On the upside, breaking above the range high would be essential for further momentum.
It's crucial to focus on higher time frame levels and avoid getting caught up in short-term news or noise. We’ll continue to monitor Tesla’s key levels and update you if any significant movement occurs. 🤝
Tesla - False Bullish Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is almost back below resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Last month, Tesla finally managed to close above the resistance trendline of the long term descending triangle continuation pattern. However over the past couple of days, Tesla stock then tumbled and is now trading below the trendline, potentially creating a false breakout.
Levels to watch: $160, $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TESLA – Slippery Slope to 208 or a Drop All the Way to 191?Alright, traders, here’s the lowdown on Tesla (TSLA). Things are looking a bit dicey as the price slips through key zones. If the bulls don’t step in soon, we could see TSLA sliding down to the 208-207 range (black box). But if that level doesn't hold, we’re in for a deeper pull toward the 191-188 zone (orange box).
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 218
First Support: 208-207 (black box) – Bulls need to show up here, or it’s more downside.
Deeper Target: 191-188 (orange box) – If sellers keep control, this could be the next landing zone.
The sellers seem to have the upper hand for now, but a bounce from 208 could shift things in the bulls' favor. Keep an eye on lower time frames to catch any early signs of a reversal.
If this analysis helped you, drop your thoughts in the comments—do we hold 208, or are we heading for 191? Follow, share, and spread the word if you found this valuable. Stay tuned for more updates.
Mindbloome Trader
TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD 30% gains ABCD fractal🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for TSLA.
Recently we gapped down back into trading range, based on previous
update I still maintain neutral outlook until we complete the
re-accumulation structure, details see idea below.
🔸Having said that I'm expecting a decent 30% bounce in TSLA based
on the ABCD price fractal. ABCD fractal from 2023 projected into
the current market structure, point D expected near 188 usd timewise
most likely December/January. This will be a good reload for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for pullback to complete
near 188 / point D and BUY/hold for a 30% bounce play. Exit/TP at 250 USD.
good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TSLA - Get Ready To Long Again...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈TSLA has been trading within a big symmetrical triangle marked in blue.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone around $200 round number marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #TSLA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Tesla at a Crossroads: Breakout to $271 or Breakdown to $191Good morning, Trading Family!
Tesla’s price is idling in neutral, stuck between a potential breakout to $271 or a breakdown to $191. It’s like watching Elon flip a coin—will it blast off like a SpaceX rocket, or will the bears run out of juice and send it rolling downhill?
This kind of consolidation feels like the calm before the storm. Traders, keep your seatbelts fastened—whether it’s full throttle to the upside or a hard brake toward lower levels, this chart promises some action ahead.
Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
– Mindbloome Trader
Tesla at a Crossroads: Will It Bounce to $275 or Slide to $202?Tesla’s at a make-or-break moment—are we looking at a nice correction back up to $275, or is it about to drop through the floor to $213, $208, and maybe even $202? If that $208 level doesn’t hold, we’ve got a strong 50% Fibonacci support around $203-$202—but whether it’ll catch Tesla or not is anyone’s guess.
Let’s dive into the key levels to watch and figure out if Tesla’s going to rebound or if we’re in for a deeper slide.
If you found this useful, give it a like, share your thoughts in the comments, and hit follow for more updates. Your support means a lot—after all, I need something to hold me up when Tesla can’t hold $208!
Mindbloome Trader
The more time passes the more confident i amThe more time moves (i tried to catch the knife when i witnessed the reaction at 217)
i become increasingly more confident on an upmove (at least a gap close).
I wanted to make note that there's a baby head and shoulders bottom in this fractal change and we have bullish divs on RSI.
so it makes increasingly higher probability we will make a full rotation play to value high level (at about 250 usd) and fill the gap.
and i can make a lower timeframe trendline.
infinite money glitch here we GO
check my other posts on TSLA to enjoy my TA and the main idea for higher timeframes!
#Tesla Analysis : +20% so far, What's Next ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected in the previous analysis, Tesla stock faced selling pressure after reaching the supply zone of $233 to $271. This selling pressure intensified this week, causing the price to drop by about 20%, reaching $214. Currently, Tesla stock is trading around $220. We will likely see a slight upward move followed by further declines in the stock.
The Main Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban