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Tesla Motors (TSLA)

$SHOP 10D wants $68 if we stay under $80Of course, all ideas are my opinion alone. SHOP went a bit crazy last week but still rejected the same gap from the Winter 22' pullback. Looking at this head and shoulders on the daily, PA seemingly looking for a touch of the gap below around $64. May have to wait for the first week of April for the move to be underway. Keep on Watch, with a Bullish Market, $82+ possible before the end of the week for a Bull Trap setup as stock is breaking trendlines of the possible larger timeframe bear flag its been in since Spring 22' .... Stay Patient.. after high $60s I'll be looking for a rally to fill gap above at $89.12
NYSE:SHOPShort
by TazmanianTrader
2
🚀Achieving a 608% Return in 1.5 Years with Tesla🎉Strategic Accumulation and Staggered Profit Realization: A Tesla Inc. Trading Blueprint As we navigate through the dynamic realms of the stock market, strategic positioning in robust companies like Tesla Inc. has often rewarded investors with significant returns. This analysis showcases a meticulous approach to capitalizing on Tesla's stock through a well-planned buying and phased selling strategy. Starting with a foundational investment, a series of calculated purchases were executed during Tesla's undulating price journey. The initial acquisition was made at $141.80, followed by a secondary purchase at $120.05, and a strategic third buy at a favorable $81.87, each funded with $10k. This average-down approach not only reduced the overall cost basis but also positioned the investment for amplified returns during price surges. Moving on to the realization of profits, a phased selling strategy was implemented. The first tranche of stock was sold at $299, representing a significant uptrend from the averaged buying price. The subsequent sell-offs were at even more elevated price points of $637 and $1355, each constituting one-third and the final tranche a slightly larger portion of the holdings, at thirty-four percent. This trading strategy emphasizes the importance of patience and discipline, ensuring that each sell-off point was not prematurely triggered but rather aligned with substantial price appreciations, marking a staggering overall gain. By sharing this strategy and its successful outcome, I aim to inspire and equip fellow traders with a framework that underscores timing, accumulation, and strategic exits in trading sessions. May this insight serve as a beacon for your trading endeavors on the tumultuous seas of the stock market.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by srmustafabas
1
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: Buy the dip or sell the rip?We move on from a week where strong momentum markets (AI names, NAS100, JPN225, Mexican peso) were sold down hard, with traders better buyers of the VIX, US30, gold, CHF, USD, and defensive equities (utilities). Notably, the NAS100 recorded its worst week since November 2022, driven in part by market players part-liquidating an incredibly extended position in Nvidia, with 87m shares traded on Friday alone. Tesla and Super Micro Computers also seeing steep declines on the week, with Tesla remaining front and centre with Q124 earnings due after-market on Tuesday – many ask whether we see a fifth consecutive quarter where shares closed lower on the day of reporting? Long US30 / short NAS100 positions have worked well and remain a tactical play I like into the new week - although with so many heavyweight tech names reporting through the week, NAS100 shorts will watch the reaction to earnings closely and will be prepared to react if the market likes what they see from the respective outlooks. While sentiment has turned more negative, there is absolutely no panic at all and I’d to see if the buyer’s step in and support the S&P500 a little lower into 4935. That said, the price action and technical set-up suggests selling rallies in the US500 and NAS100 is the play – and if one is compelled to ‘buy dips’, then waiting for the rip after early traders buy the dip seems the higher probability play. Geopolitical headlines remain fluid and have been a key reason for keeping buyers of risk at bay – many will remain focused on these developments as we roll into the new week. The news flow was certainly a key reason why gold closed higher for a fifth straight week and at a new all-time closing high on Friday, as it was why the CHF was the star currency on the week. That said, with Brent crude closing the week 3.1% lower, one could argue it was the move higher in US bond yields – with the US 10yr Treasury pushing above 4.6% - that was really the big kicker that promoted rotation out of tech/AI names and supported the USD. Short GBPUSD and long USDMXN on any retracement remains a compelling trade on my radar. Watch US PCE inflation on Friday as the marquee risk on the data front – for a playbook, we could see outsized market moves on a US core PCE print above 0.4% m/m (USD up, gold, NAS100 down) or below 0.25% m/m (USD down, NAS100 and gold higher). A read above 0.4% m/m and the idea of a cut before the US Presidential election would be further dialled back. There will be a focus on the BoJ meeting, but it is too soon for them to alter policy, and the market gives a change in rates no chance at all. If we get a move in the JPY, it will likely come from any changes to the bank’s inflation forecasts and the post-meeting conference call. We remain on JPY intervention watch, and signs that we are getting closer to the point where Japanese authorities look to step up the fight against JPY's weakness. PMIs are due in the UK, EU, and US and they could move markets, notably if the service’s PMI outcome misses/beats expectations by a wide margin. Australia Q1 CPI poses a risk to AUD exposures, although, with such little priced into Aussie interest rate futures, it would need to big surprise to have a lasting effect on AUD pairs. Bitcoin moves past the highly anticipated halving and while we predictably didn’t get any kneejerk reaction in price, the set-up on the higher timeframes is starting to look more compelling from the long side. There was clear support from the market to buy on the move below $60k and this is a level many are guiding for stops on longs. An upside break of $66k could be the trigger for a push into the top of the range of $72k. Key event risk for traders to navigate: Monday • China 1 & 5-year Loan Prime Rate decision (11:15 AEST / 14:15 BST) – No change expected with the 1-year rate left at 3.45% and the 5-year rate at 3.95%. Earnings – SAP (Germany) – one to watch for clients trading the GER40, with SAP holding a 10% weight on the index. Central bank speeches – BoE’s Benjamin speaks (19:05 AEST / 10:05 BST) Tuesday • EU HCOB manufacturing and services PMI (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) – Service PMI eyed at 51.8 (from 51.5 in the prior read) & manufacturing at 46.5 (from 46.1) • UK S&P manufacturing and services PMI (18:30 AEST / 09:30 BST) - Services at 53.0 (53.1) & manufacturing at 50.4 (50.3) • US S&P Global manufacturing and services PMI (23:45 AEST / 14:45 BST) - Services at 52.0 (51.7) & manufacturing at 52.0 (51.9) Earnings – Tesla (after-market), Visa (after-market) Central bank speeches – BoE Haskel (18:00 AEST), BoE Huw Pill (21:15 AEST), ECB Nagel (22:30 AEST) Wednesday • Australia Q1 CPI (11:30 AEST / 02:30 BST) – The economist consensus looks for headline CPI at 0.8% QoQ / 3.5% YoY (4.1%), and the trimmed mean CPI measure eyed at 3.8% YoY (from 4.2%). With Aussie interest rate futures pricing in just one rate cut in 2024, it would take a big beat/miss vs consensus to drive significant volatility in the AUD, with the AUD more sensitive to geopolitical headlines and broad market sentiment. • Mexico Bi-weekly CPI (22:00 AEST / 13:00 BST) – the consensus is for headline CPI to come in at 4.49% (4.37%) and core CPI at 4.38% (4.41%) Earnings – Lloyds (UK), Boeing (before-market), IBM (after-market), Meta (after-market) Thursday Anzac Day – ASX200 closed. Earnings – Barclays (UK), Caterpillar (before-market), Alphabet (after-market), Intel (after-market), Microsoft (after-market) Central bank speeches – ECB’s Schnabel speaks (00:00 AEST and 17:00 AEST) Friday • Tokyo CPI (09:30 AEST / 00:30 BST) – headline CPI is eyed at 2.5% (2.6%) and core CPI at 2.2% (2.4%) – shouldn’t be a volatility event for the JPY or JPN225 • Bank of Japan meeting with updated GDP and inflation forecasts (no set time but likely between 12:00 and 15:00 AEST / 03:00 to 06:00 BST) – no change in policy expected, so the focus falls on the bank's inflation projections and the post-meeting conference call. • ECB 1- & 3-year CPI expectations (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) • US core PCE inflation (22:30 AEST / 13:30 BST) – headline PCE inflation is expected at 0.3% m/m and 2.6% y/y (from 2.5%) and core PCE at 0.3% m/m and 2.7% y/y (2.8%). Earnings – Exxon (Before market), Chevron
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
1
Elon Musk Apologizes to Laid off Tesla EmployeesTesla’s CEO, Elon Musk, has apologized to his staff for a significant error that occurred during the company’s recent restructuring. In an email sent to employees, Musk acknowledged that some severance packages had been incorrectly calculated and expressed regret for the mistake. He assured his staff that the issue would be addressed immediately. The apology came after Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) laid off approximately 14,000 employees, or 10% of its workforce, citing the company’s “rapid growth” and the need to eliminate duplication of roles and job functions in certain areas. Musk described the decision as a difficult one, made after a thorough review of the organization. The severance pay error is not the first time Musk has been accused of failing to compensate former employees. In a lawsuit brought against him by former Twitter executives, Musk was accused of declining to pay severance to those he had allegedly fired without reason. The executives claimed that Musk owed them $128 million in severance pay. Musk’s handling of Twitter, which he acquired in 2022 and now operates as X, has also attracted criticism. In an interview, Musk claimed to have reduced the company’s staff by 80%, cutting over 6,000 jobs, in an effort to prevent the company from going bankrupt. However, the lawsuit claims that Musk has earned a reputation for not paying his bills, citing a large number of lawsuits from vendors and service providers who claim they are owed money. The lawsuit also references a website that tracks Twitter/X’s alleged missed payments, and the individual who operates the site has reportedly been banned from the social media platform. Despite these challenges, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains one of the most innovative and dynamic companies in the automotive industry, with a strong commitment to sustainability and electric vehicles. The company’s future success will depend on its ability to navigate these challenges and continue to innovate and grow.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DEXWireNews
TSLA continues its downtrend toward Apirl earnings SHORTOn a TSLA chart, TSLA has been trending cown since last May. On the anchored VWAP lines, it topped out crossing above the second upper VWAP about the first week of January '23 then crossing under the same line on January 20, 23 Between August and October price tested and consolidated about the first upper VWAP line. It then fell to the mean VWAP line and returned in a retracement to the first upper VWAP line by December. paradoxically, price rose after an earnings miss in October. From December through early February price fell through the mean VWAP and received support with the first lower VWAP band. The faster EMA in black crossed under the slower green EMA in early January. TSLA is last significant uptrend or correction was a month before that. At present a continued trend direction of down is predicted by the optimized EMA20/65 lines now diverging from a compression with the EMA 20 in black under the green EMA 65 line. A predictive modeling indicator by Lux-Algo forecasts the persistent downtrend. TLSA could pick up support at the level of the pivot during the April '23 earnings report or lower still at the second lower VWAP line at about 141. Fundamentals can trump technicals but things out there are not looking great for TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AwesomeAvani
3
Tesla Shares Reached a New Low for More Than a YearOn Thursday, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares reached a new low for more than a year after Deutsche Bank expressed concerns over the company's growing focus on autonomous vehicle products while its profit is under pressure. The electric automaker's shares dropped 2.7% to $151.26 after the brokerage downgraded the stock to "Hold" and decreased its price target to $123 from $189. Deutsche Bank's commentary followed a Reuters report earlier this month that Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) decided to cancel its long-promised affordable car that investors hoped would drive growth, while continuing to develop Robotaxis on the same vehicle platform. Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has been striving for greater adoption of its full self-driving advanced driver assistance software ahead of unveiling Robotaxi in August. However, the brokerage pointed out that achieving full driverless autonomy represents a significant technological, regulatory, and operational challenge. "The delay of Model 2 efforts creates the risk of no new vehicle in Tesla's consumer lineup for the foreseeable future, which would put downward pressure on its volume and pricing for many more years," stated Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner. As profitability takes a hit from price cuts to boost demand for its electric vehicles, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) laid off more than 10% of its global workforce earlier this week, even as it continues to try to revive Musk's huge pay deal from 2018. The company has requested its shareholders to reaffirm their approval of Musk's $56 billion pay that was set in 2018, but was rejected by a Delaware judge in January. After shedding 37.4% of its value so far this year, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares fell to their lowest in nearly 15 months on Thursday, making it the second worst-performing stock on the S&P 500 index. While the company's market capitalization is set to fall by more than $17 billion to about $478 billion, if losses hold, it remains the most valuable automaker in the world. Technical Outlook Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock tanked by 3.55% reaching new lows and trading below the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 31.86
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by DEXWireNews
Tesla Valuation back to 2010 IPO$TSLA has had wild swings in valuation from under 2 times sales and over 20 times sales in the past few years. Granted, you have to know the future to know what the sales are, but in 2019 it was insanely cheap just as the Model Y was just starting to sell. The MODEL Y is why Tesla has done so well in my opinion. It has dominated and is still growing insanely fast and taking out the competition. The car is amazing. From the first moment I drove it using Turo out in the snow in Montana in 2020 I knew it was a world-car and it was in the largest segment which is Crossover SUV. After the Model Y started dominating, the valuation of Tesla then got up to over 20 times sales, which is beyond insane. Markets provide you with opportunities to buy when things are cheap, but there are uncertainties. Then the market provides you with opportunities to sell when things are expensive, but the momentum and price gains are so strong that it is tempting to hold on. The best thing you can do is learn how to act in both situations. Also, it is OK to watch a stock go higher AFTER you sell. Let go of the need to think you are the smartest person in the market. The person buying from you deserves the right "to be right" for awhile too. So where does $TSLA stand now? In the middle between expensive and cheap. If Tesla goes lower, it gets cheaper and as sales growth continues it will drive the PSR down near 5-4 within 12 months. Will Tesla see 2 times sales again? I doubt it because at 2 times sales before it had a lot of debt ($10B and there were survival concerns at that time along with a VERY LOW investment grade rating in the junk-status category.) Now the opposite is true. Tesla has billions in cash and enough capital to buy back stock and still meet their capital spending for many years. To step back and view the situation from a rational perspective, you have to look at the extremely high valuation that Tesla reached in the bubble of 2020-2021-2022. Step back and look at the long term valuation and trends. Stay tuned. Tim 9:20AM-9:37AM Thursday, November 10, 2022 184.24 last $TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLA
by timwest
14
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth. Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year. Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction. These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future. However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon. "Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles. Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Trader Thoughts – defence the play of the day The markets have come alive with the sound of derisking, deleveraging, hedging and broad managing of risk exposures. Friday was about managing risk going into the weekend, but today was different and the move could have legs - where for many playing defence has been the order of the day, while we have also seen traders getting aggressive, with shorting activity in equity picking up, notably in Tesla. On a cross-asset basis, there has been migration to buy equity volatility (the VIX sits at 19.2%), while there has been a further move into the USD, CHF, and gold, although the flight to quality was not broad-based with US 10-year Treasuries +10bp. While US bond yields were already moving higher into the US retail sales report (+0.7% vs 0.4% eyed), the stronger outcome of the data set off a further sell-off in US Treasuries, with US 10-year yields pushing into 4.66%. The equity market was initially fine with the rise in yields, but as headlines rolled in that Israel had vowed a new response the sellers gained full control – it was when S&P500 futures traded through Friday’s low (5150) and then the 50-day MA (5142) that the floors lit up with more indiscriminate selling in equity. The moves were then compounded by a rush to hedge risk, with funds buying volatility, where noticeable we saw the VIX index trade through 18% and into 19.46%. On the day 1.31m VIX call options traded vs 573k puts, so traders have been positioning for higher volatility and hedging portfolios accordingly. It’s no surprise that we’ve seen a sizeable 149k VIX futures traded, again well above average – higher market volatility leads to a whole range of selling activity from systematic players, and pension funds who target levels of volatility to determine their equity allocation. In these uncertain times high volatility begets higher volatility. We’ve been left with the S&P500 tracking its highest high-low trading range since March 2023 (119 points), with price closing near the lows of the day. Plenty for the day traders to work with, and this sort of price action, with the various indices seeing a strong high-to-low trend day, will not have gone unnoticed, and to many, these are ideal trading conditions. Momentum monitor – markets on the move We see higher FX volatility playing through, with the USD ripping vs all currencies. There has been a solid unwind of carry positions, with the higher-yielding plays – BRL, COP, CLP, and ZAR – all seeing big percentage changes. The USD is king, and while overbought it is not at a stage where mean reversion players are just yet seeing a higher probability of a snapback. There are too many tailwinds for the greenback right now – haven appeal, momentum, relative interest rate settings and relative economic data trends. Pullbacks, it seems, will be shallow and well-supported. Gold has been the classic geopolitical hedge, although we could have seen an even more pronounced move and a possible upside break of $2400 if crude (+0.2%) had participated. The fact that XAUUSD rallied 1.7% despite the move in the USD, and the 5bp rise in US 10YR real rates cements gold as perhaps the primary portfolio hedge given unfolding news flow. Conversely, there is a risk that gold could find a solid sell-down should Israel refrain from escalating, but for many the headlines suggest an increase in conflict is more likely than not and gold can offer defense in the portfolio. Asia faces another tough day at the office, with the JPN225 called -1.4%, HK50 cash -1.2% and the ASX200 -0.7%. There is certainly not much in the news flow to inspire risk-taking and there is a growing list of factors to refrain from buying and to manage exposures, which of course, can see the buy side of the order book dry up, which means we get more exaggerated price moves. China gets focus, not just because it performed admirably yesterday and we watch to see if the index can outperform, but also, we get Q1 GDP (consensus +4.8%), industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Pepperstone
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles". The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news? Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight. Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular). However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today. Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingShot
7