Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard.
S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support.
Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend.
The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers.
Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in.
Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TESLA LONG TERM VIEWId be very cautious on being long on Tesla right now. Theres better stocks out there right now to be long on.
Tesla has a large zig zag behind it, which has a high likelyhood of pushing prices a lot lower.
If we start failing now, and cant hold this current zone, and even breaking 150$ is the last straw, this stock is toast and can see a drop to 120-100 dollars.
One possibility that I have labeled here is a bounce up in the coming weeks now to trap long buyers before we get our move down to 120ish.
I would not be long here.
LYFT rises on news of the MSP dispute potential resolution LONGLYFT was a recent idea upload. The news regarding MSP and the dispute resolution has helped
it rise off the ascending support trendline of the rising wedge pattern. The pattern may predict
decreasing volatility towards price consolidation and then a break out from the wedge.
In the meanwhile, I have added to my position since price is above the support trendline.
The PVT indicator shows a flip out on the pullback and I see this as a good add long entry. On a
low 1minute time frame. price gapped up with an engulfing candle with corresponding volume
at the opening bell today.
Importantly, a high volume spike also occurred in the after-market hours.
My recent previous idea long on LYFT is linked here.
The call option for $ 21.00 for April 19- 8DTE popped 140% today. I picked up a decent number of calls and will close them incrementally as they profit over the next week.
TD9 count, parabolic, MSM euphoria/ fear - Gold to Cool Offthe fundamentals on gold aren't good:
1. its a rock, King Midas can make the supply infinite
2. mining it is an environmental mess and energy waste
3. value is primarily speculative
4. ton of overhead bagholders from 1,500-2,000 days
5. crypto currency stealing new retail
6. being hoarded by fragile states/ regimes
7. regulatory risk during crisis times
8. massive derivatives & futures market pressure
9. new chemistry could obsolete its small set of utility applications
10. Peter Schiff, Rickards, Clif High, etc baby boomer ponzi crew
11. "Everyone Knows" its a good investment now right? Too Good to Be True pitfall
12. Its just a shiny metal from underground
13. Millennials are already post-gold, post-diamonds
TSLA breaks through downward resistance trendTSLA has recently broken through downward resistance trend line turning it into a support line.
TSLA has been on a long downward trend and recently broke through
stock has held breakout past few periods giving confidence in new trend
RSI still remains below 50 though which is bearish sign.
Should be cause for some optimism of a turn around. Keep in mind though TSLA products are not cheap and sensitive to economic swings. Economy is on shaky grounds so buying this low should be done with a long term horizon.
TESLA Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 164.86
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 175.58
My Stop Loss - 158.48
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA Is this a W-shaped recovery?Tesla (TSLA) held Support 1 (160.50) last Friday, in fact it touched it and rebounded immediately making a technical Double Bottom formation. Yesterday it broke and closed above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 04, providing s serious bullish continuation signal.
The most important development however, is that this Double Bottom has strong probabilities of giving a W-shaped recovery pattern. A break above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) will technically confirm that, as it will be the first time above it in 3 months (since January 09).
We can already see the 4H RSI on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which favors these probabilities. Our short-term Target is 205.00 (marginally below Resistance 2).
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$TSLA - BULLISH FIB Extension $504.51 and $753.38TSLA is trading at a potential bullish double bottom which could bounce off its 4 year support level around the mid $160s. If it bounces on the weekly, look for a continued bull trend. By applying a Fib extension, look for a price objective potential of hitting $504.51 and $753.38 in the foreseeable future from a technical setup. TSLA is currently in a 4 year consolidation period, watch for a breakout to all time highs if it takes out the $260s after a potential double bottom reversal.
LTFT breaks out over lower VWAP bands LONGLYFT on a 15 minute chart hit a high pivot about 3/20 and then fell until April 4 where a low
pivot reversal occurred. VWAP lines and a volume profile serve to support a bullish bias.
LYFT will likely rise to the Fibonacci level on the chart confluent with the mean anchored VWAP
or the zone of 19.25. If there is enough momentum passing through that high volume, liquidity
and volatility zone it could continue and push into the 20 level. I will take a long trade here
also noting the TSLA news regarding RoboTaxi has potential relevance. It is not beyond the
realm of possibilities that a partnership between TSLA and LYFT and or UBER comes on the
scene. This would provide a further catalyst of fundamental support for LTST's market cap.
Tesla's Bumpy Ride: Navigating Challenges Amidst a Market PlungeTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), the electric vehicle pioneer, finds itself in turbulent waters as it navigates through a challenging first quarter marked by a significant decline in car deliveries. With a plunge of 27% in its stock value, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) faces a slew of obstacles, including production issues, market softness, and legal controversies surrounding its technology and leadership. As analysts speculate on the future trajectory of the company, Tesla's ability to engineer a turnaround becomes critical amidst mounting pressure and uncertainty.
Market Disappointment and Analyst Projections:
Tesla's first-quarter delivery figures fell short of expectations, delivering 387,000 vehicles, down 20% from the previous quarter and missing analysts' projections by a substantial margin. With Wall Street anticipating 443,000 deliveries, the unexpected decline has sparked concerns about Tesla's growth trajectory and market demand for electric vehicles.
Factors Contributing to the Plunge:
Several factors contributed to Tesla's disappointing performance, including production disruptions, supply chain challenges, and the shift towards early production of the next version of its Model 3 sedan. Additionally, external factors such as Red Sea shipping disruptions and suspected arson at its Berlin factory further exacerbated the slowdown in deliveries. Higher interest rates and cooling interest in electric vehicles have also dampened sales, reflecting broader economic trends and shifting consumer preferences.
Analyst Perspectives and Future Outlook:
Analysts have offered mixed perspectives on Tesla's prospects. While some view the decline as a temporary setback amidst broader market forces, others express concerns about the company's ability to sustain its growth momentum. With Tesla's stock value plummeting and mounting legal challenges, including lawsuits over its Autopilot software, the road ahead remains uncertain. However, Tesla's CEO Elon Musk remains optimistic, attributing the sales issues to business cycles and positioning the company for future growth waves.
Technical Outlook
Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock is up by 1.21% in Tuesday's trading session with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 55.93 indicating signs of a bullish resurgence from the stock.
Tesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock's 3-month price chart is in a falling wedge pattern which further validates the bullish thesis of the stock.
TESLA Is it making a 'META Bottom'?Tesla / TSLA has made a Double Bottom on Friday and today is making a run for the 1day MA50.
This is an important level as since January 9th (3 months) it has been the Resistance and hasn't been broken.
But can this Double Bottom for Tesla be a 'META bottom', like the one the social media giant had in November 2022?
Both fractals formed Lower Highs under a Falling Resistance before bottoming, so if Tesla crosses over the 1day MA50, we see no reason why it shouldn't finally sustain a rally that will break above the Falling Resistance.
META's first target before the first pull back was the 0.786 Fibonacci.
Buy and target 260.00 (slightly under the 0.786 Fibonacci).
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TSLA - Weekly Inflection PointDaily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for consolidating momentum. In turn I watch for breaks that releases the built up energy.
Previous Analysis:
TESLA $TSLA - Feb. 16th, 2024Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ TVC:NDQ
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $195.75 - $260.50
(BUY ZONE ADJUSTABLE DOWN TO 208.50)
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $177.25 - $195.75
(DNT ZONE ADJUSTABLE UP TO $208.50)
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $113.00 - $177.25
Tesla broke out of its range lasting from Jan. 25th - Feb 15th. Breakout price was at 195.75, the Feb 15th daily candle broke and closed above this price level. This can mark a bullish trend, however; a safer bullish zone can be extended to start at 208.50, with the DNT zone also extending to end at 208.50. I personally like the early entries after a strong bullish candle yesterday with over a +6% move. Some other high frame bullish entries could be a retest of the top of the range, or a breakout of the 208.50 area. Some high frame bearish entries could be a test and rejection of the 208.50 area, or a break back into the range area. Long term targets would be the 230 - 260 area, would need another look once price moves closer. I quickly marked every recent structure 1 - 6 that I considered when looking to enter a new position to show somewhat where my mind was at. As price moves to new levels and zones and develops new structure I will update this.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
$TSLA Bearish to Bullish Break Coming SoonNASDAQ:TSLA Bearish to Bullish Break out Coming Soon with bottoming pattern. Waiting for a buy alert from our indicator before we go long. The technical analysis description "Bearish to Bullish Breakout to the upside" typically indicates a transition in market sentiment from a bearish trend to a bullish trend, accompanied by a significant upward price movement. This breakout suggests that the previous downward trend in prices has been overcome, and there is now potential for further upward momentum in the market. Traders and investors often interpret this breakout as a signal to enter bullish positions or to adjust their trading strategies to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement in prices.
Tesla's Robotaxi Set to be Unveil Amidst Investor SkepticismTesla's journey on the stock market has been nothing short of tumultuous in recent times, as the electric vehicle (EV) giant grapples with diverging narratives surrounding its futuristic promises and current market challenges.
Elon Musk, Tesla's enigmatic CEO, once again sought to change the narrative by teasing the long-awaited robotaxi unveiling, scheduled for August 8th. This announcement, following a denial of reports about shelving plans for a cheaper electric vehicle, prompted a surge in Tesla's shares in extended trading. However, amidst the hype, questions linger about the feasibility of Musk's grand vision.
Tesla's history is peppered with ambitious promises and delayed deliveries. Musk's predictions about autonomous vehicles, including the much-touted robotaxi, have yet to materialize despite years of anticipation. Regulatory hurdles, technical challenges, and manufacturing setbacks have impeded progress, casting doubt on the viability of Musk's ambitious timelines.
Despite Musk's attempts to steer attention towards the future, Tesla's present struggles remain undeniable. Sluggish demand, intensified competition, and supply chain disruptions have weighed heavily on the company's performance. Tesla's first-quarter deliveries witnessed an 8.5% drop from the previous year, contributing to a sharp decline in share value.
The regulatory landscape further complicates Tesla's path forward. Recent recalls and safety concerns surrounding Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software underscore the challenges of gaining regulatory approval for autonomous vehicles. Convincing regulators of the safety and reliability of Tesla's technology remains a formidable task, one that could significantly impact the trajectory of the company's autonomous ambitions.
As Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) navigates these challenges, investor skepticism looms large. Analysts have questioned Tesla's growth prospects amidst a backdrop of sluggish demand and mounting competition. The recent selloff in Tesla's shares reflects growing concerns about the company's ability to deliver on its lofty promises amidst a volatile market environment.
Tesla's future hinges on its ability to bridge the gap between promise and reality, demonstrating tangible progress in delivering on its ambitious vision while addressing present-day challenges. The upcoming robotaxi may capture headlines, but the road ahead for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains fraught with uncertainty.
Technical Outlook
Technically, NASDAQ:TSLA stock has accumulated liquidity during its worst market days coupled with the release of its Robotaxi, it will capitalize on its gains as more buyers step in and then surge to a new Resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.09 is pretty much good for a perfect entry as NASDAQ:TSLA is on its way to a new Resistance zone.
TESLA ON DAILY SUPPORTHere it is very clear that the price of Tesla has once again revisited the daily support identified. Now I am expecting to see a potential reversal based on how the price has reacted over this highlighted zone earlier. Additionally, I have sketched down the price action inside a falling wedge pattern which also supports the bullish projection.