Why I technically feel, Tesla is ready to build 30X againKeep It Simple and Trade With the Trend.
As a trader, you have probably heard the old adage that it is best to "trade with the trend." The trend, say all the pundits, is your friend. This is sage advice as long as you know and can accept that the trend can end. And then the trend is not your friend. There are multiple ways to spot trends, direction, and momentum.
So how can we determine the direction of the trend?
Let's take a look on the KISS rule, which says, "Keep it (as much as possible) simple, stupid!" Here is a method of determining the trend, and a simple method of anticipating the end of the trend.
Before we've started, it should be mentioned the importance of time frames in determining the trend. Usually, when we are analyzing long-term investments, the long-term time frame (one-week or larger) dominates the shorter time frames. However, for intraday purposes, the shorter time frame could be of greater value. Trades can be divided into three classes of trading styles or segments: the intra-day, the swing, and the position trade.
Large commercial traders, such as those companies setting up production in a foreign country, might be interested in the fate of the currency over a long period of such as months or years. But for speculators, a weekly chart can be accepted as the "long-term".
Averages Moving in Pairs
With a weekly chart as the initial reference, we can then go about determining the long-term trend for a speculative trader. To do this, we will resort to two very useful tools that will help us determine the stage of the trend. These two tools are the simple moving average and the exponential moving average.
Going further and keeping in mind all the mentioned above rules, lets build the trend.
Darlings, well graphed Tesla stocks trend is still the same as in 2019, where it started 30x gain.
Anybody tried to get all the path at those times? There's a chance you'll miss it again!
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TSLA Stock Price Falls Over 9% in Just 2 DaysTSLA Stock Price Falls Over 9% in Just 2 Days
The day before yesterday, trading in TSLA shares began at an opening price of USD 199.34; trading yesterday closed at a price of USD 180.51. The fall in TSLA shares led Musk to lose the title of the world's richest man to Jeff Bezos.
The main driver of the decline in the price of TSLA shares was news:
→ about the temporary shutdown of the Giga Berlin plant in Germany after an arson set by a group claiming that the company led by Elon Musk is devouring “land, resources, people”;
→ that deliveries of electric cars from the Shanghai plant have dropped to their lowest level in more than a year — which may indicate fierce competition with Chinese manufacturers.
It also became known that Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is lowering his target price from USD 345 to USD 320 and predicting a decline in sales for FY24.
Technical analysis of the TSLA stock chart shows that:
→ The TSLA stock price is moving in a downward channel (shown in red), acting noticeably weaker than the broader market.
→ In March, the median line acted as resistance.
→ The price was unable to consolidate above the round level of USD 200 (in November last year it worked as support).
If the bearish momentum continues, TSLA price could reach the channel's lower boundary around USD 170, renewing its 2024 low. Even lower is important support at USD 155, formed from a gap last January and tested in April.
On the other hand, the current decline may turn into a profitable opportunity in the long term.
As it became known this week, Cathie Wood's ARK funds are increasing their long positions in TSLA shares. And respected analyst Daniel Ives said on CNBC that Tesla's growth story isn't dead and it's just going through a "brutal transition" that could be linked to deteriorating communication due to the company replacing its chief financial officer last year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA breaks below its support and tries to recoverTSLA has gone through a significant sell off recently from its high of 200. After breaking below its support line its has recovered some.
This does not appear to be a false breakout down as the stock has failed to recover enough to be above the resistance.
We should expect it to bounce off the resistance level and sell off some more.
Overall I remain bearish for the next month or so as the stock market starts its decent and Tesla is sensitive to market cycles
TSLA undervalued relative to Magnificent 7
Support Case:
I've spotted a reverse head and shoulders indicating a reversal to the upside (bullish) up into the region of 212-206. Additionally there's a zone below the left shoulder at 178 down to 162 where Tesla has bounced from previously. So pretty good support from what I can see.
Bullish Breakout Potential:
I've drawn a symmetrical triangle from the most recent price action starting on February 16th, forming through today the 22nd of February. I'm targeting the 212-206 region for a price on TSLA for this bullish set up to reach. I've bought 255 Strike Calls on TSLA at $0.76 each, looking to sell them back at a higher price.
Let's see how this goes, and happy trading.
* Magnificent 7 comparative analysis. While the rest of them have been doing quite well for the most part, Tesla seems to be the laggard in the pack. While I do think the Magnificent 7 is an AI bubble, with actual results to come in the next 2-5 years from this tech, this seems to be an overinflated exuberance. While being cautious, I'm still playing TSLA for this reason.
Tesla is looking very bad. 150 is my targetIn mid-December of last year, NASDAQ:TSLA broke above the falling trend line. At that point, I predicted a continuation upward to the next resistance level at 300.
However, after initially rising to 263, the price began to reverse and what initially appeared to be a resumption of the upward trend turned out to be a major false break.
In January, despite prevailing optimism in the stock market, Tesla's price trajectory remained bearish, diverging from broader market trends.
Moving closer to recent days, the 200 support level was broken with a gap, signaling another major bearish sign. Currently, the gap has been filled, and Tesla is testing this support level as new resistance. Considering the imminent correction for US indices, we may witness a significant drop in Tesla's case.
I anticipate a target of 150 for this drop, although, to be honest, the 100 zone is not out of the question.
$TSLA wants higher. $230-260 targetEveryone is bearish TSLA and has been for weeks, which makes me like this idea as a long.
Once TSLA breaks $204, we should see a strong move higher. I've marked off key resistance levels to the upside that I think TSLA could make a move to.
Let's see what happens over the next couple of weeks.
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 202.66
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 196.76
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
✅TESLA BEARISH WEDGE PATTERN BREAKOUT|SHORT🔥
✅TESLA was going up in
A bearish wedge pattern
But after the stock retested
The horizontal resistance
Of 208$ it broke out of the
Bearish wedge pattern and
The breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased
Now and we will be expecting
A further move down
SHORT🔥
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Tesla Explores Production Facility in ThailandA Strategic Move towards Southeast Asia
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), the trailblazer in electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing, is poised to expand its global footprint with potential plans for a production facility in Thailand. As discussions with the Thai government gain traction, Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) strategic move underscores the company's commitment to tapping into Southeast Asia's burgeoning EV market.
Thailand's Allure as an EV Hub:
Thailand's burgeoning reputation as Southeast Asia's premier car producer and exporter makes it an attractive destination for Tesla's expansion plans. With the Thai government offering 100% green energy to power the proposed facility, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stands to benefit from favorable operating conditions conducive to sustainable production. Moreover, Thailand's ambitions to position itself as the primary EV production hub in the region align with Tesla's long-term vision of driving the global transition to sustainable transportation.
Strategic Considerations:
Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) exploration of a production facility in Thailand signifies a strategic move to bolster its presence in Southeast Asia, a region poised for exponential growth in EV adoption. By establishing local manufacturing capabilities, Tesla aims to enhance its competitive advantage in the region while mitigating logistical challenges and tariff barriers associated with importing vehicles. Furthermore, leveraging Thailand's skilled workforce and established automotive ecosystem could expedite Tesla's production ramp-up and facilitate market penetration across Southeast Asian markets.
Unlocking Growth Opportunities:
Thailand's burgeoning EV ecosystem, coupled with Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) cutting-edge technology and brand recognition, sets the stage for transformative growth opportunities in the region. As governments and consumers alike prioritize sustainability and emission reduction, Tesla's expansion into Thailand underscores its commitment to driving positive environmental impact while capturing market share in a rapidly evolving landscape. Additionally, Tesla's potential collaboration with local partners and suppliers could catalyze innovation and economic development, further solidifying its position as a global leader in sustainable transportation.
Implications for the EV Industry:
Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) prospective venture in Thailand not only amplifies the company's global reach but also catalyzes the evolution of the EV industry in Southeast Asia. By paving the way for increased EV adoption and infrastructure development, Tesla's presence in Thailand could stimulate competition and innovation, fostering a vibrant ecosystem of electric mobility solutions. Moreover, Tesla's entry into Thailand may incentivize other automotive players to invest in the region, driving industry-wide advancements and accelerating the transition towards a greener future.
Conclusion:
Tesla's exploration of a production facility in Thailand marks a significant milestone in the company's quest for global expansion and sustainability leadership. By tapping into Thailand's thriving automotive sector and government support for EV manufacturing, Tesla underscores its unwavering commitment to revolutionizing transportation and combating climate change. As discussions progress and plans materialize, Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) potential presence in Thailand heralds a new era of innovation, growth, and collaboration in the Southeast Asian EV landscape, propelling the region towards a greener and more sustainable future.
NVIDIA 850 ABOVE 815 SL 805 Reason Why Nvidia Will Still Growing
Diverse Market Presence: NVIDIA is not just a semiconductor manufacturer; it’s a tech powerhouse. Beyond GPUs for gaming and professional markets, they also create system-on-a-chip (SoC) units for mobile computing and automotive applications. Their expansion into cloud software and services positions them well for growth1.
Cloud-Based Software Dominance: The pandemic accelerated the adoption of cloud-based software and computing. NVIDIA’s GPUs play a crucial role in data centers—the brains behind cloud services. In Q1 2021, NVIDIA’s data center revenue hit a record high of $2.05 billion, accounting for 36% of total sales. Major players like Microsoft’s Azure Cloud, Google Cloud, and Amazon’s AWS rely on NVIDIA’s GPUs for data operations1.
AI and Deep Learning: Artificial intelligence (AI) systems demand fast and reliable processors. NVIDIA’s GPUs are unmatched for training and running AI systems. Their focus on research and development ensures they stay at the forefront of AI technology1.
Competing with Giants: NVIDIA is developing its own cloud services, including AI Enterprise and the Base Command Platform. They’re also venturing into creative collaboration tools with Omniverse. These initiatives put them in direct competition with tech giants like Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft1.
Analyst Estimates: While NVIDIA’s stock has rallied significantly, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains high. However, analysts estimate that by fiscal 2025, their earnings per share could double, making the stock more attractive2.
FSR is driving to its earnings LONGFSR is shown here on a 30 minute chart on the move up in the approach to earnings on February
29th. For comparison purposes only TSLA is shown sideways with the purple line. FSR has
started a VWAP band breakout into the area of the mean anchored VWAP where it could pick up
institutionally based trader interest. The growing volumes of trading are obvious and lend
further support to taking a position. I will long long here with both shares and options
as a pre-earnings play. The call options for mid-March are $ 6.00 per contract.
Breaking the Bearish Spell: The Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakThis trading strategy capitalizes on the inverse head and shoulders pattern, a chart formation that often signals a reversal of a downtrend. By identifying the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, traders can anticipate a potential bullish breakout. This approach waits for the price to breach the neckline, confirming the pattern before executing a buy order.
Risk Management: To safeguard against market volatility, this strategy includes a robust risk management plan. It involves setting a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to minimize potential losses. Additionally, the take-profit level is determined based on the height of the pattern, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio. Traders are advised to adjust their position sizes according to their risk tolerance and to monitor the trade for any signs of reversal.
TESLA can start a new rally to $300Last time we looked at Tesla (TSLA) was two weeks ago (February 15, see chart below) when we called for the bottom of the Channel Down pattern on a standard Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern:
This time we switch to the longer term 1W time-frame where the stock is making a rounded bottom below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 6-month Lower Lows trend-line. The last time we saw a rounded bottom like this was during the December 2022 global market bottom. In fact, the sequence from Tesla's ATH to that bottom is quite similar to the price action from the July 2023 High to now.
A common dynamic on both patterns is the ATH Lower Highs trend-line, which has 4 rejections so far. Since however the stock made a +112.48% rise on the 2022 bottom and then on the next bullish leg a +94.91%, we expect it to initiate a new such rally of +75% (if each rally is weaker by 20%) and target the July 17 2023 Resistance. As a result we have a medium-term Target of $300.
Notice also how symmetrical the 1W RSI sequences between the two are. Right now we are below the Support level which in 2022 priced the bottom.
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