Tesla's Current Position: A Case of Uncertainty Amidst ChallengeTesla, once the darling of the stock market, has encountered a tumultuous period marked by declining stock performance and disappointing production figures. The company's stock experienced a 31% decline in 2024, a stark contrast to the Nasdaq Composite Index's 7% gain, leading to a growing sense of unease among shareholders.
One of the primary drivers behind Tesla's recent woes is its inability to meet production expectations. In the first quarter of this year, Tesla's unit deliveries dropped by 8.5% year over year, significantly below analysts' projections. This shortfall has raised concerns about the company's ability to maintain its leadership in the electric vehicle (EV) market.
Opportunity Amidst Decline:
Despite its recent struggles, some investors view Tesla's current valuation as an opportunity for bargain hunting. With the stock trading 58% below its all-time high and sporting a comparatively lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 39.8, there is optimism that Tesla may be undervalued, making it an attractive entry point for discerning investors.
Long-Term Bullish Factors:
Proponents of Tesla remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects, pointing to several factors that could drive future growth. Tesla's position as a key player in the EV industry, combined with increasing momentum towards sustainability, suggests potential for growth in the long run. Additionally, CEO Elon Musk's ambitious goals, including achieving full self-driving capabilities and deploying a fleet of robotaxis, could unlock new revenue streams for the company.
Despite the bullish outlook, Tesla faces formidable challenges that cast a shadow over its future prospects. Intensified competition from traditional automakers and dedicated EV startups poses a significant threat to Tesla's market dominance. Moreover, ongoing pricing pressure and margin compression raise questions about Tesla's ability to maintain profitability in the face of increasing competition.
In light of these challenges, there is hesitancy among investors to fully embrace Tesla's current valuation. While the market's premium valuation of Tesla is based on the assumption that its ambitious initiatives will materialize, there remains uncertainty surrounding their feasibility. Moreover, Tesla's susceptibility to macroeconomic influences, particularly fluctuations in interest rates, adds another layer of uncertainty to its future trajectory.
In conclusion, Tesla's recent struggles and uncertain future have given rise to a mixed sentiment among investors. While some see opportunity in Tesla's discounted valuation and long-term potential, others remain cautious, citing ongoing challenges and uncertainties. As Tesla navigates through this challenging period, only time will tell whether it can overcome its obstacles and regain its position as a market leader in the EV industry.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TSLA bullishTesla formed an inverse Head & Shoulder pattern at the bottom of this downward trend and should run up to the earnings as it usually does. Purely technical analysis and per fib extensions we can see it go to the range of $214 to $226. A real good catalyst might even send it to low $260's. Will it happen? I don't know but I hope so, unfortunately I am stuck in $240 Calls I sold and I am looking into selling PUTs way out to replace my calls that will most likely be exercised. Either way its a win win for me but this has been a very stressful year holding on to TSLA.
Best of luck to all of those who held and good luck if you're thinking about getting in now.
TESLA Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on TESLA and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 198.00 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 188.96
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla (TSLA) IdeaHey Guys,
Yearly= In a Correction since 2022.
2023 managed only to retest the 50% of the Bearish Candle which is not Bullish but indicated a drop.
Yearly Zones of Interest: 208 & 154
Q2= Bullish Candle at an important Yearly FIB. BUT still in a declining channel.
Stochastic is neutral- bullish. Q4 could provide some bullish setup (according to the stochastics) since we might be forming a higher low here.
Bulls must manage to break through at least the 222 Resistance.
Monthly: Stochastic is bullish - candlestick as well… however the 205 level becomes critical as it is retested with this candle. we also are testing the upper line of a declining channel -> a warning of a possible decline for the next month or so.
Warning line at 205 and the next at 222 as these zones have to be broken to attract more buyers into the markets.
Below 205 I see a great likelyhood of a retest of 3D Lows
Thanks for reading
$TSLA #Tesla Inverse Head & ShouldersNASDAQ:TSLA #Tesla Inverse Head & Shoulders
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a popular technical analysis indicator used to predict a reversal in a downtrend. Here's a description:
### Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that often marks the end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It consists of three main components: two shoulders and a head, formed by three successive troughs with the middle trough (head) being the deepest.
#### Key Features:
1. **Left Shoulder:**
- The price declines to a new low and then rises to form a peak.
2. **Head:**
- The price falls again, creating an even lower trough (the head), and then rises once more.
3. **Right Shoulder:**
- The price declines for a third time but does not fall as low as the head, forming the right shoulder, before rising again.
4. **Neckline:**
- A horizontal or slightly upward-sloping line drawn through the peaks between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. This line acts as a resistance level.
#### Trading the Pattern:
- **Identification:**
- Look for a clear formation of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder during a downtrend.
- **Neckline Break:**
- The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline. This breakout signals a potential reversal and is considered a buying opportunity.
- **Volume:**
- Volume typically decreases as the pattern forms and then increases on the breakout above the neckline, adding validity to the reversal.
#### Measuring the Target:
- **Price Target:**
- The projected price target is typically calculated by measuring the distance from the bottom of the head to the neckline and then adding this distance to the breakout point at the neckline.
#### Example:
If the bottom of the head is at $50, the neckline is at $60, the difference is $10. If the price breaks the neckline at $60, the target price would be $70 ($60 + $10).
### Summary
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is a reliable indicator used by traders to identify potential reversals from bearish to bullish trends. When identified correctly, it provides a clear signal to enter long positions, aiming for the measured target based on the pattern's structure.
$TSLA bottoming soon around $131-137 and then push to $200?NASDAQ:TSLA looks to be close to making a short term bottom.
Thinking we could see price find support in the $131-137 range and then with earnings see a push to $200 or so.
NASDAQ:TSLA has been the leader to the downside and it looks to be nearing exhaustion. Would make sense for the leader to the downside to end up being the leader to the upside should the reaction to earnings be positive.
Let's see. This week should be telling on the directional move for equities.
TESLA It has begun...Tesla (TSLA) is on almost a +5.00% rise today an aggressive reaction to the market news and technically extending an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern as we mentioned on our previous analysis (see chart below):
It is a good time to shift to the longer term time-frame of 1W, where this IH&S pattern is a bottom formation that Tesla has registered before all of its major long-term rallies. The one that looks from cyclical start to finish with today's pattern is the period of 2014 - 2016.
Once the price broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) on that pattern, Tesla started a rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. Observe similar the 1W RSI patterns are as well between the two Cycles.
If the stock repeats that Fibonacci target, we can get a price as high as $700.00. That is of course a very optimistic scenario but even the more pessimistic one, has a (dotted) Channel Up targeting its top on the 3.5 Time Fib at around $400, which is almost the All Time High (ATH) for Tesla.
As a result, we see $400 as a real posibility for the end of the year.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
RIVN falls to fair value for swing LONGRIVN is here on a 30 minute chart with VWAP bands and a dual time frame RSI added. Price
fell from the top of the trend up after the last earnings. It is now between the mean
anchored VWAP and the first lower VWAP line which is where the reversal occurred on May 8th.
I will look for an entry long on a lower time frame chart. I am looking for a 1.75 move up
toward the second upper VWAP line in this trade while risking 0.25 making the reward for
the risk taken about 7.
TSLA: Key Support Levels and Potential Breakout (1H/D charts).Hourly Chart: Critical Support at 167.75
The hourly chart for TSLA highlights a crucial support level at 167.75, reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement, marked in yellow. This price area acted as a support twice, one time in May 10, and another one in June 11, indicating its importance. The purple ascending trendline suggests a potential upward movement if the support holds. However, the resistance level at 186.88, marked by the black line, must be closely monitored as it has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advances.
Daily Chart: Congestion and Key Levels
On the daily chart, the congestion zone around 167.75 is evident, indicating a period of price consolidation. This congestion area suggests indecision in the market, often preceding a significant price move. The key resistance at 186.88 aligns with the hourly chart, making it a crucial level for us to watch. A break above this level could signal a potential breakout, while a failure could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
The 186.88 level is a significant resistance point. A break above this level, confirmed by strong volume, could indicate a bullish breakout, providing a potential buying opportunity. If the support at 167.75 fails, the next significant support level is at 138.80, marked by the black line. This level should be monitored for potential buying opportunities if prices decline further.
Key Considerations
- Support Holding: The double support at 167.75 has shown strength. Its ability to hold in the future will be crucial for any bullish scenarios.
- Breakout Potential: The congestion and repeated tests of resistance at 186.88 suggest a significant move is imminent. We should be prepared for a potential breakout or a sharp move downwards if resistance holds, and if its price misses the short-term support lines seen on the hourly chart.
Conclusion
The TSLA charts suggest a period of consolidation with critical support at 167.75 and resistance at 186.88. We should closely monitor these levels for potential trading opportunities. A break above the resistance could signal a bullish move to the $206, while a failure to hold support might indicate further downside.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“ To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate. ” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
TSLA : Big Resistance Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Tesla stock chart, we can see that the price has once again reached the supply zone at $185 and has been unsuccessful in breaking through the resistance. For this reason, our previous analysis remains valid. We need to see when this decline will finally start! The supply zone is between $191 and $206, and the bearish targets for this stock are $168, $153, and $139 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TSLA : its now or never!TSLA is coiling to make a large directional move.
The Question is...up or down?
With August appraoching quickly, this could be a key pivotal shift in TSLA business model
Once they announce their ROBO - TAXI, this could be a huge winning success for the company and stock .
A ROBO - TAXI could be a mega disruption for many sectors and companies.
I think theres a strong chance that investors are going to start bidding up this name ahead of that 1st week of August in anticipation of the massive launch.
Keep in mind with every new launch comes hiccups and capital expenditures so its not always smooth sailing.
Lets face it though...no other company has attempted this yet and if anyone can have success it would be Elon.
I also think now that Elons pay package has been approved, he really is incentivized to grow this business.
Will his Optimus Robot be the new taxi, uber or Lyft drivers?
Chapter 10 | Tesla Bankruptcy Update - Next Stop: Ch. 11I first identified the Tesla short in April 2022 (linked to this post).
Since then we have seen a -75% selloff, followed by a ferocious BAILOUT in January 2023, only to be left for dead at -55% from ATH.
Although the Elon-EV cult remains in utter denial, the facts are the facts. Electric vehicles, car vending machines, "the future", robots, aliens, crypto trucks, crypto wallets, crypto dipto, whatever other narratives correlate, are all done. Over.
... wait a minute.. wait a minute..
Am I suggesting that Tesla was actually "bailed out". Yes.
Think about it. This cult has become so far-reaching that people were allocating significant portions of their retirement into the Tesla #EV #cult #fantasy... that's a problem. So the company was bailed out in January 2023, some time was "bought", and now here we are. Going nowhere 🤣, as the market enters yet another correction / selloff phase. Only this time, there won't be a multi-trillion dollar stimmy-bailout.
Ya'll, this market is SATURATED with fraud and tall tales. Example:
Tesla is valued higher than the "Big 3" combined. But Tesla 🤣 has less than 6% of the automotive market share. Think about that. This is a level of speculation that makes 1929 look like a game of Candyland... all thanks to podcasts and social media.
TESLA My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 182.99 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 178.20
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK