TSLA looks tired295 is seemingly the tough level. I was just praising TSLA for turning slightly bullish too. We rejected pretty hard Fri 5/2.
<285, 280, 275, 270... may even take out 265. I definitely think that TSLA is trying to hold the range and not breakdown. Stay conscious of each level if you are playing it and take profit.
FOMC Wed 5/7. I think that may determine a lot of opportunities for end of week.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Why I'm not holding Tesla Tesla was dropping! I got in at around 220. However, within three weeks, I sold for a small profit.
BUT, why did I sell? This is why I'm not holding NASDAQ:TSLA
It's time to buy!
From a technical and historical point of view, buying Tesla right now makes perfect sense. The stock has a history of making significant price gains, is currently oversold, and is testing key support areas, such as the monthly 50 SMA.
A trader or investor who is 100% technical-based, this stock looks like a dream.
However, all the hype hits the floor when the fundamentals are considered...
Meh...
✔ The company has been increasing sales and cash year-on-year until recently
✔ Tesla has plenty of cash and assets. A simple acid test ratio shows liabilities vs. assets around 1:2.
❌ The issue is profit. Both gross and net profit margins have been falling year-on-year. The net profit margin is down from 15% two years ago to 7% last year.
❌ Worse, the current forecasts predict decreased sales and other key financials.
Poor and worsening financials are a clear red flag when buying stocks. Stay away. No matter how appealing the price looks.
Don't get me wrong, I don't think Tesla is doomed, and it may still yield returns. However, I would not be surprised if the stock consolidates or moves lower from here. For me, Tesla is not the significant buy it once was.
TESLA: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell TESLA
Entry Level - 287.25
Sl - 299.67
Tp - 259.90
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin Hype vs. Reality: A Breakdown of Bitcoin DelusionBitcoin enthusiasts often dream of mass adoption, corporate treasuries, and state-backed investments driving its price to astronomical levels. But let’s examine the actual numbers behind these claims.
🔹 The $1M Bitcoin Fantasy
Many believe Bitcoin will reach $300K, $500K, or even $1M. But what does that actually require?
💰 Bitcoin’s current circulating supply is approximately 19.5 million coins.
💰 At $830K per coin, the total market cap would be $16 trillion—which is:
✅ More than China’s entire GDP ($6T)
✅ 5x the market cap of Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google & Tesla combined
To put this into perspective, the entire global crypto market cap is currently around $2.99 trillion. Expecting Bitcoin alone to hit $16 trillion is beyond unrealistic.
🔹 Why Government & Corporate Adoption Won’t Skyrocket Price
Bitcoin believers often cite governments and corporations buying Bitcoin as proof it will moon. But here’s the reality:
⚠️ State & corporate purchases are OTC (Over-The-Counter) deals—they do not impact market prices like retail speculation.
⚠️ Governments negotiate strategically, they don’t impulsively buy at public prices to pump the asset.
⚠️ Treasury holdings do not guarantee higher prices—they only serve as reserves, not market drivers.
State adoption might increase legitimacy, but it won’t magically push Bitcoin past gold or global GDP levels.
🔹 Bitcoin’s Volatility vs. Gold’s Stability
Bitcoin is often compared to gold as a store of value, but its history tells a different story:
📉 Bitcoin has crashed over 80% multiple times—far from a stable asset.
📉 Extreme volatility makes it unreliable for wealth preservation.
📉 Liquidity issues create uncertainty, making it impractical for widespread adoption as money.
Gold, by contrast, has proven stability for centuries, with intrinsic value, industrial use, and universal acceptance.
🔹 Bitcoin Will NOT Absorb the Global Economy
Some claim Bitcoin will replace fiat, surpass gold, and absorb trillions in wealth. But the economic reality is:
❌ Bitcoin remains speculative, driven by market sentiment, not intrinsic value.
❌ No nation will abandon fiat for Bitcoin—they will regulate, integrate, but never replace sovereign currency.
❌ Bitcoin lacks industrial utility—gold has actual use in electronics, medicine, and aerospace.
🔹 The Crypto Dream vs. Financial Reality
Crypto thrives on believers, feeding them narratives that sound appealing but don’t match real-world economic fundamentals.
Bitcoin is not overtaking gold.
Bitcoin is not absorbing global wealth.
Bitcoin is not making every holder a millionaire.
Numbers don’t lie, but ignoring them won’t change reality. When the hype fades, speculative investors will face the harsh truth: Bitcoin is not a guaranteed path to riches—it’s a high-risk, volatile asset that operates in an unpredictable market.
TSLA Drill Team is Back
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, Tesla is facing significant headwinds as we approach its Q1 2025 earnings.
A 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, ongoing margin pressures from price cuts, and negative consumer sentiment tied to Elon Musk’s political involvement are weighing on the company.
While the energy segment and potential updates on the affordable vehicle could provide some upside, the risk of a disappointing earnings report looms large, potentially exacerbating Tesla’s challenges in a competitive EV market.
Technically
We see that the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the golden pocket on the FIBO channel on the 1-hour chart. For a few days now, the price has been holding just above the 240.00 support level, but the bearish trend remains dominant with 23 out of 26 technical indicators signaling bearish sentiment as of April 20, 2025.
Entry SHORT around 240$ targeting 220$
Post-earnings, we could see a breakdown below 220.00, targeting the next support at 216.00, from which the future prospects will depend.
Resistance levels: 270, 250, 240
Support levels: 220, 216, 210
The price is struggling to break above the resistance, consolidating over days. With earnings on Tuesday, there’s a high probability of a breakdown if the report misses expectations or lacks clear guidance on growth initiatives.
A break and consolidation below 230.00 could lead to a decline toward 220.00 or even 210.00 in the coming week.
However, if Tesla surprises positively—particularly with strong energy segment growth or clarity on the affordable vehicle—we might see a reversal. Still, the current setup suggests caution, and we’ll need to monitor the price reaction closely post-earnings.
Keep your long term vision NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 287.25
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 262.50
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
TSLA SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 286.64
Target Level: 210.88
Stop Loss: 337.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 299 305
📉 274.50 268.50
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
If you think the 2025 bottom is in you couldn't be more wrongIf you think the bottom for 2025 is in and it's only up from here let me have what you're smoking.
Just a puff, please!
About 80% of social media retail traders are confidently calling a bottom, that's a major contrarian signal.
Herding equals danger!
If everyone is bullish, most are already positioned long leaving a few buyers to push prices higher.
It's known as "pain trade" where markets often move in the direction that causes the most discomfort.
Many of loudest voices are retail traders influencers chasing engagement, not portfolio managers or data driven strategists.
AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN
REJECTION OF $292Tesla's stock ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has faced multiple rejections at key resistance levels. To establish a strong upward trend, it may require forming a triple bottom pattern. This would indicate a solid foundation for potential growth. It is anticipated that the stock will retest the $270 and $250 levels before making a decisive move.
Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.
Is a Tesla Stock Rebound Imminent?Tesla's stock has recently faced volatility, partly due to first-quarter 2025 delivery figures that did not meet some market expectations. Despite this, several significant factors suggest a potential for upward movement in the share price. As the stock hovers around $292 in late April 2025, market observers are closely watching for catalysts that could shift sentiment and drive value appreciation for the electric vehicle and energy company.
Key indicators pointing towards a potential rebound include notable insider activity and the highly anticipated launch of a dedicated robotaxi service. A Tesla board member and Airbnb co-founder recently purchased over $1 million in TSLA stock, marking the first insider buy of this magnitude in approximately five years. This action signals strong internal confidence. Furthermore, the planned June launch of a robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, using autonomous Model Y vehicles, is viewed as a transformative step that could open substantial new revenue streams and redefine Tesla's market position.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is unusual activity in the options market, where a significant investor placed a large bet on a substantial price increase in the near term through out-of-the-money call options. While recent delivery misses and concerns regarding external factors have contributed to past stock pressure, the combination of insider conviction, a looming disruptive service launch, and aggressive bullish options trading suggests that the market may be poised for a significant reaction to upcoming positive developments. Investors are keenly focused on the successful execution of the robotaxi strategy as a critical determinant of future stock performance.
TSLA Potential Post Tariff Resolution Bullish RallyDespite uncertainty still looming over the current global tariff based environment, TSLA price still seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish breakout as the price action may form a prominent Higher Low on the longer timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential Non-Leverage hold opportunity.
Entry: CMP 292
Stop Loss: 90 or 0 (depends on trading style as Non-Leverage Buy & Hold is recommended)
Potential Range for Targets: 470 - 550
Tesla Faces Key Technical Hurdle Near $288Tesla shares have rebounded sharply from April’s low, but the rally is now stalling near a confluence of resistance:
🔴 $288.20 = February swing high
🔵 Price testing the 200-day SMA (~$291) from below
📈 MACD remains positive but momentum is flattening
📊 RSI at 58 – bullish but not yet overbought
A clean breakout above $288–291 would likely confirm a medium-term trend reversal, exposing upside toward $310 and possibly $340. Failure to break could see Tesla consolidate or fade back toward the 50-day SMA (~$268).
Keep an eye on volume and follow-through in the next couple of sessions.
-MW
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 284.90 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 295.68
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 265.94
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$TSLA back to $148-155 before correction is overDespite the bounce over the last few days, TSLA's price action is still bearish overall.
I think it's likely that we find resistance here or at $290, and then work our way back down to the lower support levels at $148-155.
I think once we get down to those levels, it'll be a good long term buy and we can see price go back to $700+.
Did Redditors make any money on TSLA?I thought I read that NASDAQ:TSLA was going down and Elon was going broke. Earnings were going to assure it. Looks like it came and went and instead went bullish. Oh well, you can't rely on narratives: Only Technicals!
The 218.65 Volume Profile Level has been holding TSLA up for weeks now. Great long by the way. And as long as it holds the next major VP level would be 183.63.
Now though TSLA is caught in a range and this does seem to be the top. If haters had just waited for a signal instead of trading on emotions they could have played this short from a higher price and with Earnings IV crush already over.
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.