Get started

Tslaanalysis

Tesla’s China-Made EV Sales Rise Amid Strong CompetitionTesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) continues to make significant strides in China, the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market. According to the latest data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), sales of Tesla’s China-made EVs rose 3% year-over-year in August. Deliveries of the Model 3 and Model Y surged by 17% from July, driven by Tesla’s aggressive strategies to attract local buyers. As the company expands its influence, a closer look at both the fundamental and technical aspects of Tesla’s stock reveals an intriguing narrative for investors. Rising Sales Amid Fierce Competition Tesla’s growth in China is particularly impressive given the fierce competition it faces from domestic EV makers like BYD, Leapmotor, and Li Auto. BYD, Tesla’s biggest rival in China, reported a staggering 35.3% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching a record high of 370,854 units in August. Despite this, Tesla’s consistent performance indicates that it is holding its own, thanks to several strategic moves: 1. Extended Incentives and Financing Options: Tesla has been offering zero-interest loans of up to five years since April, catering to cautious buyers amid a sluggish economy. This strategy has proven effective, especially in smaller cities, where Tesla saw a 78% year-on-year increase in deliveries in tier-three cities and a 47% rise in second-tier cities like Hangzhou and Nanjing. 2. Government Endorsement: Tesla has gained significant government backing, with several local authorities recently approving Tesla models for official car purchases. This endorsement helps Tesla penetrate segments of the market previously closed off due to regulatory restrictions, boosting both its sales and brand credibility. 3. Expanding Product Line: Looking to keep its offerings fresh, Tesla plans to produce a new six-seat Model Y in China starting in late 2025. This move is seen as an effort to appeal to family-oriented buyers and differentiate Tesla from other competitors in the market. Despite a global downsizing of its sales force, Tesla’s China operations have maintained strong sales momentum, thanks to these strategic adjustments. Analysts project that if the current trend continues, Tesla could hit a record quarterly sales volume in China for Q3 2024. Navigating a Mixed Market Environment Tesla’s stock has shown a mixed performance recently, with technical indicators presenting both opportunities and cautionary signals for traders: 1. Price Action and Chart Patterns: Tesla’s stock was up 3% in Friday’s extended trading session but dipped 0.18% in premarket trading on Tuesday. The chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, a positive signal suggesting that buyers are stepping in at current levels. This pattern, coupled with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 50.21, indicates a potential uptrend in the near term. If the RSI dips to 40, near the one-month low pivot of $183, a rebound could be expected. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Tesla’s stock is poised to hold its current levels, with analysts maintaining a “Hold” rating on the stock. Key support lies around $183, while resistance levels hover near $200, indicating that Tesla could be gearing up for a potential breakout if buying pressure increases. 3. Investor Sentiment and Volume: Trading volume and investor influx are critical factors. A surge in these could further propel the stock upward. With the introduction of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature in China expected by year-end, sentiment could turn increasingly positive, leading to higher trading volumes and bolstered prices. Outlook: A Balanced Perspective Tesla’s ongoing success in China and strategic initiatives point to a promising future, but investors should also be mindful of the broader market conditions. With high competition, economic pressures, and evolving consumer preferences, Tesla’s path forward in China will be closely watched. Technically, the stock shows signs of resilience, but maintaining its trajectory will depend on continued strong sales performance, positive regulatory developments, and the successful execution of new product rollouts. For traders, Tesla offers a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels. The fundamentals provide a strong backdrop, while the technicals suggest that the stock is at a critical juncture. Whether you’re looking to hold for the long term or capitalize on short-term price movements, Tesla remains a key player in the evolving EV landscape. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic trends and market signals to navigate this dynamic market.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DEXWireNews
4
TSLA / TESLATSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Stock Analysis: Key Dates and Potential Market Movements: 1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside: • Scenario: The chart indicates a potential bullish movement around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive earnings reports, advancements in Tesla’s technology, or an increase in market optimism around Tesla’s leadership in the EV market. • Impact on Price: We might see a short-term rally in Tesla’s stock price, pushing it towards previous highs around the $270 mark. 2. October 15, 2024 - Potential Downside: • Scenario: As we approach mid-October 2024, the chart suggests a potential bearish phase. This could be due to broader market corrections, profit-taking by investors, or any negative news related to supply chain disruptions or increased competition in the EV market. • Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock could see a pullback, potentially testing support levels around $215 or even lower. 3. February 19, 2025 - Recovery Phase: • Scenario: By early 2025, the chart indicates a recovery phase, possibly due to strong Q4 2024 earnings, the introduction of new Tesla models, or significant advancements in battery technology. • Impact on Price: This period might mark the beginning of a new bullish trend, with Tesla’s stock price climbing back towards the $250-$300 range. 4. May 9, 2025 - Consolidation or Continued Growth: • Scenario: The market could enter a consolidation phase, where the stock trades within a range, or Tesla could continue its growth trajectory depending on the broader economic conditions and Tesla’s performance. • Impact on Price: If the market conditions are favorable, Tesla might break out to new highs; otherwise, we could see sideways movement in the $250-$300 range. 5. September 4, 2025 - Potential Market Shift: • Scenario: As we approach late 2025, the chart suggests another critical phase, potentially influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in consumer demand for EVs. • Impact on Price: This could lead to either a breakout to new highs or a retest of lower support levels, depending on the prevailing market sentiment. 6. December 4, 2025 - Year-End Rally: • Scenario: The end of 2025 could see a year-end rally, driven by strong sales numbers, holiday season demand, or favorable policy decisions regarding EV subsidies. • Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock might experience a strong rally, potentially setting new highs or revisiting levels around $300. Considerations for Investors: • Technological Advancements: Tesla’s continued innovation in battery technology, autonomous driving, and energy solutions could be key drivers of its stock price. • Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment around the EV market and broader technology sector will play a crucial role in Tesla’s stock movements. • Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Changes in global trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer demand could impact Tesla’s performance. Given the potential market shifts and Tesla’s leadership in the EV space, are you considering adding Tesla to your portfolio? How do you see Tesla’s position evolving as we approach key market dates in 2024 and 2025?
NASDAQ:TSLA
by trushkovskiy
Technical analysis on TSLA #TSLA I mainly use the Daily and 15 minute chart quite regularly unless otherwise then i will use the 5 minute but lets take a look at the daily and 15 minute timeframe. here Daily Time Frame (1D): ##Let’s take a look at the bigger picture first: Right now, Tesla’s stock is hanging around the $200 mark. If you zoom out a bit, you’ll notice it’s been a bit of a bumpy ride lately. The price seems to be showing some hesitation, like it’s trying to decide which way to go next. ##So, what’s the game plan? There’s a key support area between $182 and $184. Think of this as a safety net where the price might land if it starts dropping. The idea here is that the price could dip down to this zone before bouncing back up, possibly even reaching $230. But don’t get too excited yet—there’s still some bearish energy in the air. ##What are the signals telling us? The strategy that i am using here is pretty methodical, relying on signals that tell us when to buy or sell. There’s a cool little trick called the Heiken Ashi Smoothing indicator on the chart. This helps smooth out the noise, making it easier to spot trends. Right now, it’s suggesting that the overall momentum is bearish, but there are hints that things might start turning around. ##What does this mean for you? Well, if you’re playing the long game, you might see a few green (bullish) days before the stock makes that drop towards the $182-$184 range. And if you’re quick on your feet, there could be some short-term opportunities to trade in and out during these consolidations. But be careful—there’s still a lot of uncertainty. ##15-Minute Time Frame (15M): Now, let’s zoom in a bit: On the 15-minute chart, things are moving a little faster, as you’d expect. We are still hovering around $200, but it’s had a slight dip. Nothing major, but it’s worth noting. ##What’s happening in the short term? There’s been a lot of back-and-forth lately, with the price consolidating—basically, it’s been stuck in a tight range. This can be frustrating if you’re waiting for a big move, but it also presents some opportunities for quick trades. ##Should you make a move? The signals are still showing some bearish vibes, but just like on the daily chart, there are signs that a reversal could be coming. If you’re looking to make a quick trade, there might be a chance to jump in during this consolidation phase and ride a small wave before the price makes a more decisive move.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Deno_Trading
1
$TSLA Powering down expected until we break the channel The chart is still showing a bearish trend with the price trading within a descending channel, indicating a consistent downtrend. Key Levels: - $200 Resistance: The failure to reclaim and hold above $200 reinforces bearish sentiment. - 0.618 Fibonacci Support at $165: This level is the next major support within the current downtrend. A break below could lead to further declines. - Target 1 ($165): Immediate support level, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. - Target 2 ($100): A deeper support level and potential downside target if bearish momentum continues. The price remains below the moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook. NASDAQ:TSLA is likely to test the $165 level, with the potential for further decline towards $100 if the bearish trend persists. A bullish reversal would require a break above the descending channel and key resistance levels.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoFallen
1
Ultimate Winrate KDJ Strategy by reset parameter!(best tutorial)You've ever had this happen? Bought a stock at rock bottom, and it starts to rise a bit, and then the J line turns down on the KDJ indicator, telling you to sell. So, you sell, but then it quickly shoots up, leaving you pretty blue. like you missed out on a fortune. Was the KDJ indicator down? Nope Hold tight, cause we're about to see a miracle. By just tweaking a bit the KDJ indicator's parameters, you can nail those short-term highs and be on your way to the success. So, how do you find the right KDJ indicator parameters? Stick around, and I'll spill the beans! First off, why do we need to optimize this lil' parameter? Well, every stock moves differently cause the folks trading it are different. So, a one-size-fits-all KDJ indicator won’t always work well on every stock at every stage. To up our chances, we gotta tweak those parameters to find the best fit for our stock. Now, onto the second question: how do you find the right ones? Let’s go back to the Tesla stock chart. After changing the KDJ indicator parameters to 74, the sell point lines up perfectly with the peak. Why 74? Well, from point A to point B, there’s exactly 74 candles. Why use the number of candles between those two points as the KDJ parameter? Here’s the crux of it. The KDJ indicator is a momentum oscillator, calculating the close price at latest candle with the highest and lowest prices of the previous nine candles since the default KDJ parameter is 9. so If the price breaks above the highest price of those nine candles, it will be constantly giving false sell signals. So, we need to set the KDJ parameter to the number of candles from the previous high to the low. This way, the highest price and lowest price are not broken. Then, the KDJ works accurately. Still lost? Let’s look at another example. Here’s an Apple stock chart. With the default parameter of 9, we bought after the golden cross, but few days later, it prompt to sell signal, and then the price soared. Feeling furious yet? But if we set the KDJ parameter to 95, we’d have sold right near the top, securing a nice profit! Why 95? Same method: from the highest point A to the lowest point B, there’s 95 candles. Got it? Ain’t it something? Check your stocks with this method. Got questions? Leave a comment, and I’ll get back to ya ASAP! Today we focused on using KDJ to find sell points. It’s just as magical for buy points, which I’ll cover in future videos. So, please follow me and hit that boost bell so you don’t miss out!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by xugina78
Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside. Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action. Levels to watch: $160, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
2
TSLA weekly chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shows that it is coming into key demand areas around $205 to $215. The weekly chart shows a Wyckoff accumulation phase since the 2021 all-time high at $414.50, with a spring during Phase C at the recent lows below $140. This corresponds to the bottom of the cup, with Phase D of accumulation corresponding to the handle. A close over the weekly 200 SMA, currently at $232, will give room to the weekly 150 SMA supply. Reclaiming these weekly supply zones may lead to a break of the weekly handle, and a push up to the final weekly supply zones of the weekly upper Bollinger Band and upper weekly 100 linear regression channel ahead of $300 during Phase E, which may start at the end of this year or into next year. The trade is invalidated below the weekly 20 SMA, which is currently at $187.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DMT_Doctor
4
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years. Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $240, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
15
$TSLA Retesting Critical Support Range After Earnings MissIf you've been following the analysis, we've hit quite a few short-term targets... NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA | So far, we've seen a 40%+ move from our entry at $145. Targets: $180 , $200 , $260 , $300, $450 After 29 weeks of analysis with consistent levels, a plan for scaling in, where to stop, and that big-picture thesis - this earnings leading into the RoboTaxi event will paint the rest of this picture. Now let's take a look at the earnings readout: Optimus Development • A significant new addition to Tesla's innovative portfolio is the development of the Optimus robot, which Elon Musk recently announced is slated for low production by 2025 and high production by 2026. • Optimus, expected to be utilized internally by Tesla as early as next year, represents a leap into robotics that could revolutionize labor and operational efficiency within Tesla’s manufacturing processes. • It would be great to learn on the earnings call about the initial integration of Optimus into Tesla’s ecosystem, its production timeline, and the expected financial and operational impacts of this groundbreaking development. Autonomous Driving • The Q2 earnings call is anticipated to shed light on Tesla’s progress with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and the Robotaxi service. The delay in the Robotaxi rollout, while initially a setback, has allowed Tesla additional time to refine and enhance its autonomous technology. • Updates about the integration of FSD into the Robotaxi design -- which is central to Tesla's strategy in autonomous driving -- will be of interest. Tesla's vast real-world driving data fuels its AI, making continuous advancements possible and setting Tesla apart in the race towards fully autonomous vehicles. • Elon Musk's vision for transforming Tesla into a leader in mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) will also be a focus. With Tesla's autonomous tech, the company is poised to dramatically reduce transportation costs, making mobility more accessible and affordable. The introduction of the Robotaxi and potential partnerships with existing ride-hailing services could significantly expand Tesla’s market reach and influence. Energy Storage • Tesla's energy storage segment is likely to be a focal point of the Q2 earnings, following its impressive growth. In 2023 and 2024, this segment's contribution to gross profit notably rose, accounting for less than 8% of revenue in Q1 but potentially reaching or exceeding 14% if revenue doubles sequentially as anticipated • Last quarter, energy storage constituted 10.9% of Tesla’s $3.69 billion in gross profit, a significant increase from 3.7% in Q1 2023. The segment boasts a higher margin profile than Tesla’s automotive operations, achieving over a 24% gross margin in the first quarter. Despite this impressive growth, the expected surge in Q2 revenue will likely not substantially impact EPS, due to the automotive margin stabilizing around 18% • Additionally, the role of energy storage in Tesla's long-term strategy to create a more sustainable energy ecosystem will be examined, with expectations for clear plans on how Tesla intends to leverage its tech capabilities to maintain leadership in this high-potential market. China Market • Tesla's strategy and performance in China will be another significant topic in the Q2 earnings report. Given the dynamic and highly competitive nature of the Chinese EV market, Tesla is expected to outline how it is adapting its business strategy to address local competition and regulatory challenges. This includes detailing efforts to optimize its Shanghai Gigafactory's output and innovations specific to the Chinese market • Interest in Tesla’s customer engagement and marketing strategies in China, especially how Tesla plans to compete with local EV giants like NYSE:NIO , will be high. Furthermore, Tesla’s approach to managing supply chain issues, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions that could affect its operations will be critical. Earnings Estimates Q2 2024 • Sales $24.7B -- down 1% YoY • GAAP EPS $0.48 -- down 38% YoY FY Outlook • Sales $99.4B -- up 33% YoY • GAAP EPS $2.18 -- down 49% YoY Forward looking, the future looks bright...
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PennyBois
2
Tesla's Shocking Plunge: Is the Bubble Finally Bursting?This is a Walk through of How i Took Advantage of the Giant Move on TSLA Current Price Action: The current price is $240.89, reflecting a decrease of $7.20 (or 2.90%). Liquidity Zones (LQZ) / Take Profit (TP) Levels: There are two marked LQZ/TP levels: LQZ/TP 1 at $263.53 LQZ/TP 2 at $270.21 Support and Resistance: Multiple dashed lines indicate key support and resistance levels: $138.36, $142.18, $145.51 (support zones) $159.45, $168.98, $173.21, $175.92 (support/resistance zones) $260.27 (resistance) $300.01 (resistance) Trend Lines: A downward-sloping trend line (dashed blue) from previous highs suggests a long-term bearish trend. Price recently broke above this trend line, indicating a potential change in trend or a strong bullish move. Candlestick Patterns: Recent candlesticks show a strong upward move followed by a pullback, which is typical after a strong rally. Volume: Volume is indicated, with the latest volume bar showing 6.468 million shares traded.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Adlercon333
Tesla: BE CAREFUL We are currently at the 0.5 / golden ratio resistance levels, the recent spike was the market taking out late shorts. Notice that we are about to hit the last local high as well. I caution anyone to buy here as we may be running out of fuel. Looking at the ichimoku the general trend is also bearish at the moment. I would suggest anyone bullish to wait until this level is flipped, let price break through this resistance and ideally retest this level as support. Don't get sucked into the hype, the market is still generally bearish and inflation is still high. The market may have some relief but wait for confirmation
NASDAQ:TSLA
by sachu_blessyou
1
Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout. We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks... Levels to watch: $120, $220 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
28
TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis The price after the previous review fulfilled local goals. Now you can observe a breakout of the global trend line with possible consolidation behind the line, which may suggest the beginning of a 3-wave structure; you can try to continue holding or gaining Long positions. the most likely option is a correction after a strong impulse, where you can buy at the best price. If a retest of the border occurs, it will be possible to safely hold it up to levels 300 -460. Target 300 - 380 - 460
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trade-U-Metta
TSLA ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 1D )TSLA HELLO TRADERS trend line : the price trade under resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure , if the price breakout the resistance trendline reach to resistance level . TURNING LEVEL : a gold rectangular a round 214.16 level , which indicates two cases , the first cases until the price breaking this level reach a resistance level , the second case the price trade below this level , the price reach support level . RESISTANCE LEVEL : a green rectangular , an area above the turning level , around 263.13 and 295.97 , selling have already increase at this level . SUPPORT LEVEL : a red rectangular , an area below turning level , around 152.72 , buying have already increase at this level . PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is under bearish pressure until trade below turning level at 214.16 , it will attempt to reach support level at 152.72 , then trade below this level reach next target at 125.23 , if the breaking turning level and breakout resistance trendline trying to reach resistance level 241.15 and 263.13 , then stable this level reach next target 295.97 . TARGET LEVEL : TENDENCY : SHORT 214.16 RESISTANCE LEVEL : 241.15 , 263.13 , 295.97 SUPPORT LEVEL : 152.72 , 125.23
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArinaKarayi
TSLA Elliott Wave Insight: A Bullish Path AheadTechnical Analysis of TSLA Based on Elliott Wave Theory Overview Based on the Elliott Wave Theory, we observe that TSLA has commenced a fresh impulse wave from the bottom of January 2023. This new wave marks the beginning of wave I in the red cycle degree, which concluded at the peak of July 2023. Following this, wave II in the red cycle degree began moving downward and concluded at the bottom of April 2024. It is crucial to note that wave II did not retrace beyond the start of wave I, confirming that the Elliott Wave principles have been adhered to. The bottom of wave I was at $101.43, and wave II concluded at $138.86, which is within the acceptable range. Now, wave III in the red cycle degree has started its upward journey, which is expected to show significant strength and momentum. Typically, wave III can extend up to 161.8% of wave I, implying a strong bullish trend. Subdivision of Wave III Within wave III in the red cycle degree, there are five subdivisions expected, labeled as wave ((1)) to ((5)) in the black primary degree. Currently, we have embarked on wave ((1)) in the black primary degree, which itself should also subdivide into five smaller waves labeled wave (1) to wave (5) in the blue intermediate degree. - Wave (1) and Wave (2) in Blue Intermediate Degree: These waves have already been completed. - Wave (3) in Blue Intermediate Degree: We are likely in the early stages of this wave now. Characteristics of Wave III Wave III is often the longest and most powerful wave in the Elliott Wave sequence. Here are some key characteristics and signs to watch for: 1. Momentum and Strength: Wave III usually exhibits the strongest momentum and covers the most distance in the shortest time compared to waves I and V. 2. Volume Increase: There is often a significant increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened investor interest and confidence. 3. Impulsive Nature: Wave III is impulsive, meaning it moves in the direction of the larger trend. This is often driven by fundamental news and investor sentiment. 4. Extension: It is common for wave III to extend, reaching up to 161.8% of the length of wave I. 5. Subdivisions: Within wave III, there should be clear five-wave subdivisions in lower degrees, following the typical Elliott Wave structure. Roadmap and Invalidation Level The roadmap for TSLA suggests a bullish trend ahead, supported by the structure of the waves and the characteristics of wave III. The key invalidation level to watch is $138.86. As long as this level is not breached, the bullish outlook remains valid. - Wave III Target: Ideally, wave III could extend to around 161.8% of wave I. - Key Invalidation Level: $138.86. If TSLA breaks below this level, it would invalidate the current wave count and necessitate a reassessment of the wave structure. Conclusion The Elliott Wave analysis of TSLA indicates a strong bullish trend with the commencement of wave III in the red cycle degree. This wave is expected to show substantial strength and momentum, with a likely target near 161.8% of wave I. As long as the invalidation level of $138.86 holds, the bullish bias remains intact. Investors and traders should watch for the key characteristics of wave III and monitor the wave subdivisions closely to confirm the ongoing wave structure. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RK_Chaarts
4