Tslaforecast
TSLA anticipated move to $540 then $600? Medium termTSLA has been the center of attention for the bulls and volatility for quite some time and it is forming a very interesting pattern that I cannot ignore.
There are die hard TSLA fans there that believe in the company, there no real reason not to, and there are swing traders that love swinging it because it moves. It is due for a volatile move once again, should we break resistance we'll see a pop that could take up through the high once again.
The technicals are building up for it, higher lows, EV potentially, a strong bull market its all coming together, just volume needs to come on board to the upside.
We need to see a drastic increase in volume as we break the $460 threshold for the next leg higher. With the S&P 500 potentially hitting 3,600 and the Nasdaq futures led by tech about to make a new high. It just seems likely that TSLA is about to make a leg up pop that we've been waiting for.
The targets to the upside are based on Fib extension lines and the volatility that TSLA is associated with could bring us there no problem. The prior TSLA idea we had, the market was forming a symmetrical triangle that could have sprung either way, the more recent price action is expecting a pop higher!
this idea is for educational purposes only, any trade or investment is taken and the traders personal risk.
$TSLA Short wave 3 From a broad perspective, $TSLA has just completed its corrective abc pattern wave 2 from it's initial wave 1 impulse drop. At the end of the trading day Friday 9/18 the market is looking like a sell-off. If Tesla follows suit with a gap down on Monday, we could be in the Cycle wave three and expect another impulse wave down below the initial wave 1. I am targeting below $325 for wave 3. This will happen fast. My theory would be invalidated if we break above $460.
This wave 2 that just ended looked like a major rally so expect something similar, though more flat for Wave 4. Ultimate wave 5 target could reach sub $200 or $195. Good Luck.
The imminent TSLA Implosion - Beware Monolithic Financial NewsOne of the biggest red flags when it comes to investing is a monolithic/singular message reverberated ad nauseum throughout the financial news media. Lately, everything about Tesla has been nothing but positive with almost no analysts commenting on the 800-lb gorilla in the room. Just months ago, Musk was threatening to move production out of California due to what he referred to as 'fascist' government orders to shelter in place - shutting down Tesla's largest production facilities for both its vehicles in the bay area and its battery production in Nevada. Those production stoppages from March to May are going to severely impact Tesla's Q3 financials and is likely a HUGE reason behind Tesla both being rejected by the S&P 500 AND Tesla raising $5B in cash from common stock sales - diluting its shares by more than 1%.
Now the hype is all around 'Battery Day', with Musk himself hyping it just yesterday on Twitter saying it's going to be exciting. Everyone already knows about the million mile battery, so while it's interesting tech, it's not something that isn't already priced into the stock and what's more, it's provided by a source outside Tesla through their chinese partner, Contemporary Amperex Technology Ltd. - so despite it being good news for EVs everywhere - VW can buy the same 'million mile battery' that's going into the future Teslas.
Just last year, TSLA was struggling to keep up with demand - so much so that Tesla had to walk back from earlier statements that it's gigafactory would be putting out 3,000 model Y's a week by 6 months. Now, the fallout from COVID-19 is coming home to roost. Tesla produced 110k cars in Q1, 82k cars in Q2. In 2019, Q2, Q3, & Q4 churned out 87k, 97k, and 105k respectively. With the massive amount of debt Tesla has taken on to build new gigaFactories in China and Germany - they can't afford to be shut down. This was confirmed by musk in a tweet after he told employees that every unit that produced was incredibly important. It was also confirmed by Musks actions to force workers to return to work or forfeit unemployment benefits defying the Shelter in Place order. More than 130 confirmed cases of COVID-19 would pop up at Tesla and another 20 at their suppliers. Adding to production troubles, many Tesla clients cited quality issues with new deliveries - a clear sign of an overstressed, undermanned workforce.
Expect TSLA to try to fill the gap left by last week's S&P snub of 15% in premarket trading this morning. I think it's almost inevitable that shortly thereafter, many of the big inst's will sell off their shares into retail traders waiting arms who are all excited about battery day. TSLA will see a big correction before Battery Day as news of the inevitably bad financial news and Q3 deliveries start to circulate.
Perhaps the most telling sign of coming fundamental troubles for TSLA is the company's decision to combine it's shareholder meeting with it's Battery Day pep rally. While everyone is OOO'ing and AWWW'ing the million mile battery, TSLA will also be discussing the substantial losses the company took from the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing competition in the marketplace.
The fact that TSLA is overvalued is no longer relevant to the argument - despite being completely true. Tesla's cash on hand is the real issue. The real value of TSLA was just revealed by the most recent common stock offering the company used to raise $5B if you were smart enough to see it.
The shares that TSLA sold diluted the market cap by roughly 1.2%, and the market handed TSLA a 35% stock price drop because of it. An over-reaction? Perhaps, but with a price to book ratio of 32.39, while the average auto & truck manufacturer price to book ratio is a paltry 1.9 - and that INCLUDES Tesla. Clearly, if we removed tsla from that average, we would be looking at something closer to 1 (note: anything less than 1 is considered good by value investor standards, and anything less than 3 is preferred). 32.39 to 1 and 35 to 1.2 are practically identical ratios. If a 1% dilution causes this type of sell off, there's no better indication that the stock is incredibly overpriced.
To avert a flash crash due to the abysmal numbers we're expecting during the shareholder meeting, Elon is going to be doing the song and dance for battery day on the 22nd. I'm a big fan of Tesla, and have made most of my trading income by buying long calls on TSLA. At least for the short term, TSLA is about to turn into a pumpkin. They'll no doubt rebound, but I don't think we'll ever see a 2500 stock price again - or anything near it. TSLA is the #1 market cap right now for 2 reasons: they were first in the EV market and their autopilot tech is super cool and a competitive advantage that other manufacturers will have a tough time emulating. However, both of those strengths have temporary ramifications - nobody thinks about whether ford or gm was first to market and it's just a matter of time before every other car manufacturer has some type of autopilot feature. But the infrastructure to build up production capacity to the levels of the Big 3 takes decades - and that's time that Tesla unfortunately just doesn't have.
Summary:
*BEWARE THE BULL TRAP set by an elevated premarket price.
*TSLA is estimated to be ~40k units behind production forecasts. This will decimate financials as one of their largest costs - labor - saw no downturn despite the pandemic.
*Battery Day was combined with the shareholder's meeting to distract from what will undoubtedly be horrific financials because of COVID-19
*There has been a severe divergence between volume and price - which indicates a high probability of trend reversal
*There's evidence of big institutions selling off their positions by block sizes, erratic price action, and low liquidity based on the bid/ask gaps.
*TSLA's stock has been on a tear, but reality will set in fairly soon. The shareholder meeting will reveal the cash position of the company - which is likely to be terrifying to many investors and reveal the company's reason for the recent $5B stock offering and S&P rejection. The company will likely only have a few months of reserves at best.
*Tesla will undoubtedly survive the coming big drop, but getting back to profitable on a consistent quarterly basis is going to take time. However, we likely saw the top of TSLA's stock price over the last few weeks. Expect some more big steps down in the week to come and around Q3 earnings as well.
*RSI shows the stock is severely overbought on the daily, and every time TSLA has run into this high a level on RSI, the following day was almost always negative or at best, flat.
Tesla’s 2020 Annual Meeting of Stockholders September 22, 2020Tesla’s 2020 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on Tuesday, September 22, 2020, at 1:30 PM Pacific Time. Immediately following the conclusion of the 2020 Annual Meeting, we will hold our separate Battery Day event. we are now approaching to witness another Elon Musk’s other exciting invention — Tesla’s upcoming Battery Day, which has now been scheduled for September 22. As the name suggests, “Battery Day” would revolve around Tesla’s latest work on significant advancements of battery technology. As a matter of fact, Tesla has been under a lot of pressure from its investors for various reasons, and thus with this event, it would be able to share something substantial and groundbreaking for its shareholders.
Mid last year, Tesla had acquired the battery technology of Maxwell for leveraging its dry electrode technology as well as to produce its own battery cells. This, in turn, has helped the company’s concept of building lithium-ion batteries. Tesla has been working on enhancing the battery technology for several years, and that has put the company way ahead of its rivals. After being postponed many a time, with this event, Tesla is expected to reveal advancements in its new battery technology as well as showcase its latest innovations with cell production.
The company has been strongly focusing on expanding their market with a cost-efficient electric vehicle (EV), which makes the concept of battery extremely significant. Therefore, energy density also needs to be more for the electric vehicle to offer such capability in a small package. These advancements in battery technology have been eagerly awaited in the community of EV that are willing to leverage this for developing electric vehicles.
TSLA Battery Day Annual Meeting of Stockholders 09/ 22/ 2020Elon Musk Expected to Unveil the Million Mile Battery on Tesla Battery Day 2020 Happening on September 22
Tesla’s 2020 Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held on Tuesday, September 22, 2020, at 1:30 PM Pacific Time. Immediately following the conclusion of the 2020 Annual Meeting, we will hold our separate Battery Day event. we are now approaching to witness another Elon Musk’s other exciting invention — Tesla’s upcoming Battery Day, which has now been scheduled for September 22. As the name suggests, “Battery Day” would revolve around Tesla’s latest work on significant advancements of battery technology. As a matter of fact, Tesla has been under a lot of pressure from its investors for various reasons, and thus with this event, it would be able to share something substantial and groundbreaking for its shareholders.
Mid last year, Tesla had acquired the battery technology of Maxwell for leveraging its dry electrode technology as well as to produce its own battery cells. This, in turn, has helped the company’s concept of building lithium-ion batteries. Tesla has been working on enhancing the battery technology for several years, and that has put the company way ahead of its rivals. After being postponed many a time, with this event, Tesla is expected to reveal advancements in its new battery technology as well as showcase its latest innovations with cell production.
The company has been strongly focusing on expanding their market with a cost-efficient electric vehicle ( EV ), which makes the concept of battery extremely significant. Therefore, energy density also needs to be more for the electric vehicle to offer such capability in a small package. These advancements in battery technology have been eagerly awaited in the community of EV that are willing to leverage this for developing electric vehicles.
This shareholders meeting is very important due to Recent stock split that Tesla on Tuesday announced a five-for-one stock split effective August 31. At the close of trading on August 28, shareholders will receive five shares for every one they ownTesla , Inc. (“Tesla”) announced today that the Board of Directors has approved and declared a five-for-one split of Tesla’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to employees and investors. Each stockholder of record on August 21, 2020 will receive a dividend of four additional shares of common stock for each then-held share, to be distributed after close of trading on August 28, 2020. Trading will begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the expected timing and impact of the stock dividend are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. Various important factors could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update this information.
How will the Apple and Tesla stock splits affect open orders?
Open stock orders of 100 shares or greater
Open buy orders of 100 shares or greater will be adjusted on the morning of the ex-date, August 31, 2020. For example, A stock order of 100 shares of Tesla ( TSLA ) before the ex-date will be adjusted to 500 shares of TSLA on the morning of August 31.
In the case of limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell, any order entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be adjusted for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be adjusted, but will now be significantly away from the market price.
The price will also be adjusted in conjunction with the split terms unless entered as a Do Not Increase order.
Open stock orders of 99 shares or fewer
Limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell that are entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be canceled for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be canceled.
Please note: Stock orders entered after market close on August 28, 2020 will not be adjusted or canceled. Some stock orders may be rejected for aggressive pricing or invalid stop price on ex-date August 31, 2020, before the market opens.
TSLA bout to close that GAP to $400 after hoursLoad up on TSLA. There's no sure thing in the market, but this one is about as close as you can get.
Bounced off key support uptrend at $330.
TSLA had to sell $5B in common shares to increase percent of public float shares available. Why? They didn't need the capital. Simple - it's required to be included in the S&P 500. The S&P 500 requires that 50% of a company's shares be held by the public rather than private equity/owners/directors/etc.
TSLA completed that sale in less than 4 days, but it also greatly exaggerated the 20% drop we saw yesterday, and the 35% drop we've seen this week.
With the sale complete - expect $TSLA to continue it's climb faster than ever before.
Tesla's battery expo is expected to shake up the EV industry with some incredible tech. It's a given it'll have something to do with battery capacity, but just how much battery capacity may be the most important tech invention since the internet (yes, really). There's rumors Tesla plans to unveil the million mile battery. Beta's have already confirmed the battery good up to 1.24M miles.
2 people move the markets by their tweets. Trump and Elon. Even though the cybertruck launch was pretty much a disaster - the stock still went up like crazy the next few days. ANY expo with Elon talking about new tech is going to hit the afterburners for Tesla stock
TSLA LONG SET UP AFTER (Five-For-One Stock Split) ROCKET TIMETITLE/(DATE)- Buy LIMIT TSLA
ASSET- TSLA
PLATFORM- MT4
ORDER TYPE- Buy limit
Time Frame- 1D
ENTRY PRICE 1- $420.00 (Pending)
ENTRY 2- $410.00 (pending)
STOP LOSS- $385.00 (600 PIPs)
TAKE PROFIT 1- $505.00 (600 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 2- $565.00 (1200 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 3- $625.00 (1800 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $685.00 (2400 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $745.00 (3000 PIPS)
STATUS🚨 PENDING🚨
Tesla on Tuesday announced a five-for-one stock split effective August 31. At the close of trading on August 28, shareholders will receive five shares for every one they own
Tesla , Inc. (“Tesla”) announced today that the Board of Directors has approved and declared a five-for-one split of Tesla’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to employees and investors. Each stockholder of record on August 21, 2020 will receive a dividend of four additional shares of common stock for each then-held share, to be distributed after close of trading on August 28, 2020. Trading will begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the expected timing and impact of the stock dividend are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. Various important factors could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update this information.
How will the Apple and Tesla stock splits affect open orders?
Open stock orders of 100 shares or greater
Open buy orders of 100 shares or greater will be adjusted on the morning of the ex-date, August 31, 2020. For example, A stock order of 100 shares of Tesla ( TSLA ) before the ex-date will be adjusted to 500 shares of TSLA on the morning of August 31.
In the case of limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell, any order entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be adjusted for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be adjusted, but will now be significantly away from the market price.
The price will also be adjusted in conjunction with the split terms unless entered as a Do Not Increase order.
Open stock orders of 99 shares or fewer
Limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell that are entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be canceled for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be canceled.
Please note: Stock orders entered after market close on August 28, 2020 will not be adjusted or canceled. Some stock orders may be rejected for aggressive pricing or invalid stop price on ex-date August 31, 2020, before the market opens.
TSLA LONG SET UP AFTER (Five-For-One Stock Split)TITLE/(DATE)- Buy LIMIT TSLA
ASSET- TSLA
PLATFORM- MT4
ORDER TYPE- Buy limit
Time Frame- 1D
ENTRY PRICE 1- $445.00 (Pending)
ENTRY 2- $415.00 (pending)
STOP LOSS- $385.00 (600 PIPs)
TAKE PROFIT 1- $505.00 (600 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 2- $565.00 (1200 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 3- $625.00 (1800 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $685.00 (2400 PIPS)
TAKE PROFIT 4- $745.00 (3000 PIPS)
STATUS🚨 PENDING🚨
Tesla on Tuesday announced a five-for-one stock split effective August 31. At the close of trading on August 28, shareholders will receive five shares for every one they own
Tesla , Inc. (“Tesla”) announced today that the Board of Directors has approved and declared a five-for-one split of Tesla’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to employees and investors. Each stockholder of record on August 21, 2020 will receive a dividend of four additional shares of common stock for each then-held share, to be distributed after close of trading on August 28, 2020. Trading will begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the expected timing and impact of the stock dividend are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. Various important factors could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update this information.
How will the Apple and Tesla stock splits affect open orders?
Open stock orders of 100 shares or greater
Open buy orders of 100 shares or greater will be adjusted on the morning of the ex-date, August 31, 2020. For example, A stock order of 100 shares of Tesla ( TSLA ) before the ex-date will be adjusted to 500 shares of TSLA on the morning of August 31.
In the case of limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell, any order entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be adjusted for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be adjusted, but will now be significantly away from the market price.
The price will also be adjusted in conjunction with the split terms unless entered as a Do Not Increase order.
Open stock orders of 99 shares or fewer
Limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell that are entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be canceled for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be canceled.
Please note: Stock orders entered after market close on August 28, 2020 will not be adjusted or canceled. Some stock orders may be rejected for aggressive pricing or invalid stop price on ex-date August 31, 2020, before the market opens.
TSLA Stock Split had me interested but...TSLA is the hottest performing stock of the year and that's great but there's a few things to keep in mind short-term.
On the Weekly time frame the stock is nearly parabolic. A combination of that along with the RSI starting to show bearish divergence has me seeing it pulling back sometime in the next 3 months (Nov/Dec).
On the lower time-frames you'll also see bear volume increasing. I think we'll top off around $550 but historically speaking we've had dumps around election time. Smart money would wait until November/December when the Daily and Weekly RSI hover back down to the 40 range.
Additionally, you have fresh meat entering the market via Robinhood etc who aren't familiar with the stock market or technicals. Any sell-off will be exacerbated by them panic selling.
Target for a rebuy is $275-$280.
TSLA Five-For-One Stock Split (GET READY)Tesla on Tuesday announced a five-for-one stock split effective August 31. At the close of trading on August 28, shareholders will receive five shares for every one they own
Tesla , Inc. (“Tesla”) announced today that the Board of Directors has approved and declared a five-for-one split of Tesla’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to employees and investors. Each stockholder of record on August 21, 2020 will receive a dividend of four additional shares of common stock for each then-held share, to be distributed after close of trading on August 28, 2020. Trading will begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the expected timing and impact of the stock dividend are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. Various important factors could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update this information.
How will the Apple and Tesla stock splits affect open orders?
Open stock orders of 100 shares or greater
Open buy orders of 100 shares or greater will be adjusted on the morning of the ex-date, August 31, 2020. For example, A stock order of 100 shares of Tesla ( TSLA ) before the ex-date will be adjusted to 500 shares of TSLA on the morning of August 31.
In the case of limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell, any order entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be adjusted for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be adjusted, but will now be significantly away from the market price.
The price will also be adjusted in conjunction with the split terms unless entered as a Do Not Increase order.
Open stock orders of 99 shares or fewer
Limit orders to buy, stop orders to sell, and stop limit orders to sell that are entered prior to market close on August 28, 2020 will be canceled for ex-date after the market closes on August 28, 2020.
Limit orders to sell, stop orders to buy, and stop limit orders to buy will not be canceled.
Please note: Stock orders entered after market close on August 28, 2020 will not be adjusted or canceled. Some stock orders may be rejected for aggressive pricing or invalid stop price on ex-date August 31, 2020, before the market opens.
Análisis Técnico de TSLATSLA moved Vertical, on Rumors of entering sp500, what I think will not happen for now.
Pensamos que esta ultima suba vertical fue una Onda 5, y que debería corregir hasta la zona de la MM de 50 Ruedas.
Entrada: Under 2000
Stop: 2158
Target: 1736 & 1536
Play can be made with Options to limit risk.
This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
$TSLA Tesla Major Correction IncomingI won't pretend that Tesla's valuation as anything to do with reality, but signs are pointing to a significant pullback in the short term to the $1765 area.
Volume has increasingly fallen off each time it has tested the $1910-15 area. Expect $TSLA to test this level one more time. If it fails, it'll like fall through the support line unless the rest of the market is propping it up in a big way. North of $1915, and I would take the loss; however, I fully expect people will be taking some big profits after the 40% run up in the last few days - falling back to solidify it's base would represent a 23.4% retracement level from $1915. A double top will likely form on Tesla today, and we should see a very profitable pullback in the next day.
If the stock trends down the remainder of the day, expect that to accelerate into tomorrow w/ a big gap down likely.
TSLA CallsTSLA target $2052 its made another "flag post" i circled both, every time i see those on good ole TSLA it runs up another $100 or so bucks
just make sure to check the charts yourself to make sure, because you never just take someones advise without looking for yourself, because I can be wrong. and others can be too.
Also DM me if you'd like to join a free trading group or have questions, we are just starting up and need some traders to help liven it up.
Tesla Announces a Five-for-One Stock SplitTesla on Tuesday announced a five-for-one stock split effective August 31. At the close of trading on August 28, shareholders will receive five shares for every one they own
Tesla, Inc. (“Tesla”) announced today that the Board of Directors has approved and declared a five-for-one split of Tesla’s common stock in the form of a stock dividend to make stock ownership more accessible to employees and investors. Each stockholder of record on August 21, 2020 will receive a dividend of four additional shares of common stock for each then-held share, to be distributed after close of trading on August 28, 2020. Trading will begin on a stock split-adjusted basis on August 31, 2020.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding the expected timing and impact of the stock dividend are “forward-looking statements” that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations. Various important factors could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Tesla disclaims any obligation to update this information.