Tesla Analysis 08.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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History doesn't repeat often rhymesTesla is trading in a short-term downward channel, interestingly at the same 11 degrees that the previous trend was trading in the first half of the year. Most likely the price action stays within the channel till earnings in Jan. Also, Elon and Cathie are selling enough to keep pressure on the stock (Elon selling for taxes due to options and Cathie for portfolio management.) Long term channel is alive and well and the fundamental story backs that up.
*not financial advice*
TSLA Analysis, Double Top !!Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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TSLA is currently trading in the upper part of its 52-week range. The S&P500 Index is also trading in the upper part of its 52-week range, so TSLA is performing more or less in line with the market.
The long-term trend is positive and the short-term trend is neutral. The long-term trend may just continue or reversal may be around the corner!
A double top pattern has been spotted on the daily chart which could lead the TSLA stock back to the $850 levels.
Possible Scenario for the market :
The market is trading at $1014.97 and it's nearing the neckline of the double top pattern located at the $1001 range, if a breakout happens of that line we could be seeing the TSLA stock drop to the $850 level. and a lot of the indicators are showing Bearish signs that would support the double top pattern.
In case the support line held strong then we could be seeing a Bullish movement that will lead the TSLA stock price back to the resistance level located at $1112.85
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is below the 5 10 20 MA and EMA indicating a Bearish short-term trend, But still above the 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Bullish long-term trend)
2) The RSI is at 44.20 showing some weakness in the market.
3) The MACD is below the 0 line indicating a bearish state in the market with a negative crossover between the Signal line and the MACD line.
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 1029.10 1) 1168.14
2) 976.28 2) 1254.36
3) 890.06 3) 1307.18
Fundamental point of view :
Tesla Inc has asked a U.S. court to affirm an arbitrator's recent decision dismissing a former engineer's claims that the automaker fired and defamed her for raising concerns about defective floormats and contracting practices.
TSLA has a Return On Assets of 6.00%. This is better than the industry average of -1.33% and The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 174.51% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, TSLA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 66.27% and based on estimates for the next 5 years, TSLA will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 35.52% on average per year.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
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$TSLA - Bullish Pennant Trade ThesisFairly simple trade this time!
After $TSLA's run these past two months, we've created a textbook bullish pennant on the four hour chart. We will likely see an aggressive breakout to the upside within the next few days. That being said, I'm not opposed to playing this ticker to the downside either if we get some bearish price action leading into Friday.
Standard technical pattern, standard trade! Have your alerts ready!
TSLA Continuation - Cup and HandleTesla can be seen to form big consolidation areas after large moves upwards
I am posing the idea that this will not occur in this move, due to the presence of a cup and handle formation
I think price will keep going up and skip this slow phase
Comparable points in green and yellow
TSLA had a beautiful bounce from support Using Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels, TSLA has bounced from 982 support and can face the resistance at 1208.
A move above 1208 level will see further upside to TSLA.
Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
TSLA 4H NEAR FUTURE PREDICTIONTechnical Analysis Summary
TSLA/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 down trend which is currently active in red
We have1 down trend in red that has already been broken and thus the reversal
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistanse and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of stregth of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
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TSLA - Down Before Up??All this Elon drama selling shares, followed by Jeffries with a huge upgrade on it. Ultimately 3500 is within reach in a couple of year. $1700 isn't far off. I think a pit stop to fill that gap below at $910 will happen before both. Not saying it happens this week, but I do think 1120 area prints tomorrow. Can go either way with all the news surrounding it.
Tesla | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ...In October, Tesla's stock price climbed above $1,000, and its market capitalization surpassed $1 trillion. This situation has probably made many Tesla investors excited about the growth. Of course, many who have not yet caught this "flight" wonder if it is too late for them to benefit from this constantly growing stock.
Let's discuss whether or not buying Tesla stock at this point makes long-term sense.
Many traditional market observers find Tesla's stock valuation rather perplexing. The company has a market capitalization of $1 trillion, more than the combined valuation of half a dozen leading car companies. In fact, it is more than 1.5 times the combined market capitalization of Toyota, General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Daimler.
Tesla's P/E and price-earnings-growth (PEG) ratios look high compared to those of other automakers.
Add to this estimate the fact that the top five automakers together sold about 40 million cars in 2020, compared to the roughly 500,000 Tesla sold, and the bewilderment of market analysts seems understandable. So, what should you, as an investor, learn from Tesla stock's impressive rise, and more importantly, how is Tesla stock likely to behave going forward?
One common argument given to justify Tesla's valuation is that it is more of a technology company than an automaker, and therefore should be valued that way. This argument does have a grounding in fact. Electric vehicles (EVs) are not new. They have been around for over a hundred years. But the abundance of gasoline and the constant development of internal combustion engines have limited the commercialization of electric vehicles. It is generally accepted that electric cars began to make a comeback in 1997 with the introduction of the Prius from Toyota.
However, even after that, for almost two decades, no major automaker was able to produce (or even interested in producing) electric cars on an industrial scale. In 2003, Tesla, as a start-up company, took on this daunting task. It is to this company's credit that its improved technology has made electric cars mainstream. If we look at Tesla as a technology company, its valuation makes some sense.
While Tesla's forward P/E ratio is higher than even leading technology stocks, its forward PEG ratio seems more sensible. The forward PEG ratio takes into account the company's projected growth in addition to earnings. Therefore, it gives a more accurate picture when comparing businesses developing at different rates. This brings us to the next factor that supports Tesla's stock growth.
Tesla expects an average annual growth rate of 50% in vehicle deliveries over the "multi-year horizon." Indeed, Tesla's growth rate is achievable as it starts from a much smaller base. In the last quarter, its revenues grew about 98%, which wasn't even the fastest growth in the last quarter. But in the three years leading up to the second quarter of 2021, its quarterly revenues grew at an average annualized rate of more than 50%.
By comparison, over the same time period, the highest average growth rate among the leading automakers was 6.4 percent for Volkswagen. Similarly, in the third quarter, Tesla's revenues grew 57% year over year. By comparison, revenues at Ford, General Motors, and Volkswagen declined year-over-year in the third quarter. Moreover, Tesla's operating margins in recent quarters are also higher than most of its competitors.
Tesla's operating margin rose to 14.6 percent in the third quarter. Tesla is well-positioned to continue its revenue growth in the next few quarters. It is increasing its production capacity to meet growing demand. This, in turn, should support its stock price in the coming quarters.
In the long run, Tesla's stock price may rely on its ability to make money beyond selling cars. The biggest potential area of focus, of course, is software for Full Self-Driving (FSD).
Despite all that Tesla has accomplished in producing cars, the valuation of its stock takes into account what the company could potentially achieve, especially in the area of autonomous driving. Tesla enthusiasts see several other areas of growth - auto insurance, battery, and power supply manufacturing. But none of these seem potentially as big as FSD.
Tesla buyers can now join the beta testing of the company's FSD software. The company plans to offer it only to select customers based on their past driving performance. The company has a treasure trove of data on Tesla drivers, covering such things as sharp braking, aggressive cornering, etc. Tesla continues to gradually enhance its autopilot and FSD features. As it rolls out features to more customers, it gets more data flowing into its machine learning models, thereby further improving the software.
If Tesla can implement autonomous driving features that are better than its competitors, its stock price could rise in the long run. Looking at its track record to date, Tesla stands a good chance of accomplishing this feat.