Tesla: In-Depth Fundamental Analysis 1M (Apr. 29)X FORCE GLOBAL ANALYSIS:
Tesla is an American Electric Vehicle (EV) company with a disruptive presence in the automotive industry. TSLA is one of the most hyped stocks of NASDAQ, with avid supporters of the company itself, as well as its leader - Elon Musk. Due to the nature of the stock, technical analysis can be used to identify strong support and resistance zones, but fundamental insight is required in order to grasp the tremendous value this company has to offer. Thus, in this analysis, we take a purely fundamental approach in analyzing this stock.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for Q1 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla has enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share (EPS). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has 2billion miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
- They have been hit with the coronavirus, slowing down production in their gigafactories, but their fundamentals remain strong nonetheless
What We Believe
In summary, Tesla is not for the average Warren-Buffet-style fundamental investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the Masayoshi-Son-style investors who values the company by future expectations. We believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes can take this company to record highs.
Trade Safe.
Tslalong
Cybertuck Go Crash? (TSLA)Woah, woah, woah hey now!
It's ya big homie coming at you with another one of these fire TA 🔥
I got the daily pulled up on the big wild beast TESLA.
Elon could be calling up his A.I. hedge fund from Mars right now telling them to go short.
Or is Elon hoping in his Cybertuck to go fuel up the rocket?
We got the compression showing indecision.
Let's factor in the run from the recovery process.
Lots and lots of green.
When the compressed doji crosses over the green brick under it. Strong sign of a short.
We at the indecision stage.
I say fire short here at $725
With roughly a 3 - 5% stop 750 - 760 / Reverse target hit than go long
A break above $760 I think would lead to a massive surge.
Crack $700 I think it sells off
Based on the fact that if you look at like a 6 hr chart. It's overall pattern on these style of timeframes look like a massive cup. Which is bullish. I just think we are a little to overextended and could cool a little bit.
If I had to put price targets.
If it goes short I think next we can shoot for the $640
If it broke long than really the only next level is $900.
Break those targets, well than you are looking at a strong trend continuation
Those will be very important levels.
Right now we are at that sweet spot. Zone in on it.
Why TSLA will make New HighsHi Traders! Hope everyone is just as excited as I am with the opportunities the markets are giving swing traders these days.
Today, we are going to begin analyzing TSLA and its bullish case and how TSLA may be the trigger that leads to true capitulation in the stock markets.
Above you see the long term weekly view of TSLA. It is creating a rising channel that we can start to take seriously. If you had this channel drawn out you would have perfectly timed out the low the week of June 3, 2019.
The next image I examine instances when TSLA stock was at extreme overbought conditions. These are common during wave 3's. Wave 3's are typically the longest/strongest waves during a cycle. The wave that preceding impulsive wave 5 normally undergoes a divergence, signaling the trend is slowing.
What is happening now?
A wave 5 ending diagonal. Currently TSLA maybe consolidating into a wave 4 that could propel it to $1200 - $1500. The reason why I am beginning to think this may be an ending diagonal is the manner in which wave 4 has overlapped wave 2. You only see that in diagonals.
What am I looking for next?
If TSLA begins making new highs, there is a risk price is getting out of control and I'll be looking at this as a wave 5 extension and aiming at the top of the channel range for exhaustion. On the other hand, if TSLA continues consolidating in waves of 3, it is conceivable that it could be within a triangle consolidation.
Short term bullish on TSLA. Thank you for reading my analysis. Like, comment and follow if you enjoy this analysis and would like more content!
TSLA LONG SET UP ON PULLBACKGet READY FOR A ROCKET
A Peek Into Tesla's Price/Earnings Ratio
Looking into the current session, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is trading at $494.45, after a 5.64% drop. Over the past month, the stock decreased by 34.02%, but over the past year, it actually went up by 84.67%. With questionable short-term performance like this, and great long-term performance, long-term shareholders might want to start looking into the company's price-to-earnings ratio.Assuming that all other factors are held constant, this could present itself as an opportunity for shareholders
"SpaceX identified a valve motor on the second stage engine behaving not as expected and determined the safest and most expedient path to launch is to utilize the next second stage in line that was already at the Cape and ready for flight."
TSLA Think it can keep pushing its way to 650 area which will be an interest zone for me to watch. Around 650 is the 50% retrace with the overall market drop. It is also the area where wave theory would align with a-b-c wave c up to be completed.
If it rejects around there, I’ll lean to downside and look for a small position short. If it breaks through, could indicate this is an impulse wave up and could have continuation higher.
I only try and limit myself to small trades on TSLA due to the volatility but it can be traded if you take your time on it
Only noobs are shorting TSLA here. It will go above 1000.First of all I like to emphasize how extremely happy I am about this rally.
The shorters really had it coming. The incredible amount of arrogance they displayed just had to be punished. And a severe punishment they did receive.
Now of course everyone is thinking that this here has been the top. However, if it would have been the top, the correction would have been much more severe.
Instead, we saw a correction pattern in a huge continued rally.
It really is very similar to the huge runup in 2013. Therefore I think we'll continue up above 1000, much to the dismay of the poor shorters, who are really poor now
in the truest sense of the word.
Anyone who doesn't understand why Tesla has this rally, why they are so disruptive, why they will grow much more, should really do some reading on disruptive
technologies and Kondratiev cycles. This company marks the beginning of a new era of rapid innovation. Tesla is much more than a car company. They build
solar arrays. They build energy storage batteries for renewable energy farms. They are also a software company. They are soon an autonomous carsharing fleet
company. They have the most advanced AI neuralnet, years ahead of anyone else. They have by far the biggest supercharger network. The lead to the other carmakers
who are struggling to even build the first generation Model S, is just INCREASING, not decreasing.
Tesla is going to change the world. It already is doing so. Anyone who doesn't understand that, should really do some proper research, and not only read CNBC clickbait news
headlines and FUD.
TSLA TSLA gave up demand zone around 500. Next demand zone only being 30 minutes I think will react a bit but don’t think enough buyers there, pointing to my price target to watch around 430. Right now staying out of any trades here. Giving up 500 demand zone I think really opens the gap between next strong supply/demand zones = too much chop/uncertainty.
TSLA long entry.TSLA long entry. The analysis shows a closing value ATR symmetry. This is indicated by a yellow thin rectangle. This means that the wave motion tests the closing values symmetrically. This is an indication that the exchange rate has entered an accumulation phase. It can also be seen that the correction range of daily D1ATR was not lost by the decrease. From these two signals, I conclude that the exchange rate is moving north from the lower D1ATR correction level (814.71usd). Since the correction level is from the bottom rather than the 50% level, it is possible to have a lateral movement or build a wider accumulation range. But this level, in my opinion, might be suitable for taking a long position. Target Price: 1144.10usd.