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𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID. 𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs. 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets. $NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
NShort
by KobesyTrades
TSLA, the king of all meme stocksYesterday, Q1 earnings call. Stock misses earnings by 30% on already reduced expectations of 0.38. Had it been earnings expectations from a week before (which was 0.434), it would've missed by around 45%. Still, the stock manages to rebound from mid 220s up to 257 in a single day (around 10%). It's impressive, but still looms a ceiling just up ahead (258-260) which I think is the perfect opportunity to short. Will be invalid if it manages to push up above 267.6 which is the local resistance line and a major historic resistance also. That said. I think the odds are good in shorting around 258-260. Expecting a fall towards low 200s and even towards high 170s.
NShort
by Caprison
1
Breaking: Tesla Up 6% In Premarket Albeit Q1 Profit Drops 71%Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock surged 6% in early premarket trading on Wednesday amidst missing expectation, Q1 profit drops 71%. Tesla investors breathed a sigh of relief after CEO Elon Musk said he would refocus his attention on the electric automaker, but that promise did not entirely dispel worries that his right-wing shift had irrevocably damaged the company's image. The automaker's shares (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ), rose about 6.5% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Musk said he would cut back, opens new tab his work for U.S. President Donald Trump to a day or two per week from sometime next month after the automaker posted a 71% slump in net income and a sharp drop in automotive revenue. Since hitting a record high in December, Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) have lost about half its value reducing its market capitalization by more than $500 billion, largely on concerns that brand damage could hurt sales for a second straight year. Tesla said it will a review of its full-year delivery forecast amid shifting global trade policies in the second quarter earnings update, which is expected in July. While Tesla is less likely to be affected by global tariffs than legacy automakers, it still expects an outsized impact on the fast-growing energy storage business that uses battery cells from China. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:TSLA shares are up 6.5% in premarket trading. The asset is undergoing a bullish reversal pattern after bouncing off from the critical support point of $218. TSLA shares are aiming for a 118% surge should the asset break the key Fibonacci levels highlighted on the chart. With the last trading session's RSI at 46, NASDAQ:TSLA is well primed for a bullish campaign since consolidating late December, 2024 losing almost 56% of value, TSLA shares are looking to capitalize on that.
NLong
by DEXWireNews
TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data: ────────────────────────────── MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI  – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum.  – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242.  – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade.  – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop. • Gemini/Google  – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization.  – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias.  – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed. • Claude/Anthropic  – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50).  – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range.  – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price. • Llama/Meta  – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts.  – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play.  – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others. • DeepSeek  – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts.  – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75.  – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT Agreements:  – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75.  – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning.  – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization. Disagreements:  – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable.  – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead.    ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION Overall Market Direction Consensus:  Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure. Recommended Trade:  Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA. Trade Parameters:  – Instrument: TSLA  – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT  – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE)  – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support)  – Entry Timing: At the open  – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium)  – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract  – Confidence Level: Approximately 65%  – Key Risks & Considerations:   • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245.   • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes.   • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NShort
by quantsignals
May TSLA, CRSH and burn in Gehinnom - My Short Against TSLAToday, I will be fully committing to a long-term mutli-asset short against TSLA, albeit using a non-conventional approach. Rather than simply short selling TSLA shares and going into debt, I plan to hold, maintain and build positions in CRSH, TSLQ, TSLL, and TSLY using a combination of share and option spread in both directions. Taking advantage of the speculative, high volatility nature of this massively overpriced stock and reinvesting those short term profits, whenever the technicals and fundamentals are in favor of a short. It's important to remember, that short positions should be generally be short term, and maintaining them is more about managing risk, position size and dynamic hedging than it is about fundamentals, technicals or even sentiment on the company and people For example, I currently have Bull Put Spread on TSLL, which is a bullish leveraged ETF on TSLA, the credit from this position funds the purchase of shares in CRSH, which is 1x short on TSLA and pays a monthly dividend. Depending on the price movement and the greek changes on the options, I can close the short put legs or exercise the long puts, going short shares on a leveraged bullish etf... Furthermore, I've done the math and the dividend from TSLY or CRSH can offset either the losses from the options on the short end of the trade or pay margin maintenance on CRSH or TSLQ whenever I choose to increase/decrease the pressure of the overall long-short portfolio . I won't go into further specifics on the proprietary short portfolio I plan to build against TSLA over the next 4 years, however I will state this is not purely emotional. Using the Kelly Criterion, the ETFs mentioned, the dividend as well as options spreads will give me a very wide net to cast in order to chokeout this Neo-Nazi company to the ground. When it comes to "hidden fundamentals" and macro economics related to a TSLA Short, it's entirely possible that the US trade war may result in the German Giga factory being shut down entirely . German Criminal Code (§ 86 and § 86a StGB) could be applied to Elon Musk as well as his employees at the German TSLA plant as it explcitly prohibits dissemination of Means of Propaganda of Unconstitutional Organizations, Use of Symbols of Unconstitutional Organizations. This law explicitly prohibits the sharing of people, groups, and organization utilizing pro-nazi salutes such as the one display by Elon. Video of using these symbols to glorify unconstitutional organization weren't just shared widely on the propaganda site X, but were likely shared among TSLA employees in Germany... There is also the very serious issue of Elon Musk has directly funding far-right political organizations, including the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, which is under surveillance by German domestic intelligence for suspected extremist activities. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has publicly condemned Musk’s association with such groups, describing it as "completely unacceptable" and a direct challenge to Germany’s democratic values. Any additional threats of sanction against Germany, the EU may only serve to motivate German politicians to enforce these laws against TSLA. This factory has production rate of 5,000 vehicles per week in March 2023, which if you've ever read Elon's book, you'd understand the strategic importance of this goal and this factory. Beyond this, there are in fact several other smoking guns in the German factory, including but not limited to the use of unlicensed commercial software, used to operate TSLA's commercial hardware. Brownie points if you can spot this in the public video "Flying Through Giga Berlin". Though this video is 2 years old, it is never the less, video evidence of TSLA's violations of multiple German laws beyond the one mentioned above. Though it remains to be seen exactly to what extent these issues, if any have been resolved to date. I have no obligation to disclose or update people on this position. However, I plan to post most article on these assets throughout the year.
AMEX:CRSH
by livingdracula
Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct 🚨 Tesla has experienced a significant and rapid price rally recently, creating a potential imbalance in the market. However, this chart highlights a few key areas that traders should watch for potential corrections: 1️⃣ Gap Formation: A noticeable gap formed during the rally (highlighted on the chart). Gaps often act as magnets, and markets tend to revisit them over time. This suggests the possibility of Tesla retracing to this level. 2️⃣ Resistance Zone (~$420): The price is currently testing a resistance zone after the recent pullback. If Tesla fails to break and sustain above this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum. 3️⃣ Potential Targets: First Target (~$360): If the bearish move begins, this level, marked as a prior area of support, could act as the next stopping point. Second Target (~$316): A deeper correction could bring Tesla back to a more balanced price range, aligning with longer-term support zones.
NShort
by Charts_M7M
11
Sliding In December: Is Tesla (TSLA) Losing Its Spark? As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it: Losing all its spark? Nah. But, we see a correction for TSLA happening this December, starting within the next 1-2 days. Why? - It’s currently bumping into price levels we last saw in 2022, which served as a strong ceiling back then and might trigger profit-taking now. - It's well into a Wave 5 Elliott Wave, signaling exhaustion in 4h/8h/1D timeframes. - Overbought. Additionally, many are noting that Tesla’s valuation feels stretched compared to its earnings and growth prospects. Analysts point out that its current price may rely on overly optimistic assumptions about future market share, tech breakthroughs, and profitability. Some also highlight that competitors are catching up, which could eat into Tesla’s premium valuation. Meanwhile, skeptics argue that the stock’s recent run has simply gotten ahead of fundamentals, and a correction might be due as more realistic expectations set in. We see a 10% slide to the $360 range. Let's see what December brings. Be Alert. Trade Green.
NShort
by JC7USA
Tesla - False Bullish Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is almost back below resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Last month, Tesla finally managed to close above the resistance trendline of the long term descending triangle continuation pattern. However over the past couple of days, Tesla stock then tumbled and is now trading below the trendline, potentially creating a false breakout. Levels to watch: $160, $220 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NShort
by basictradingtv
2
Tesla at a Crossroads: Breakout to $271 or Breakdown to $191Good morning, Trading Family! Tesla’s price is idling in neutral, stuck between a potential breakout to $271 or a breakdown to $191. It’s like watching Elon flip a coin—will it blast off like a SpaceX rocket, or will the bears run out of juice and send it rolling downhill? This kind of consolidation feels like the calm before the storm. Traders, keep your seatbelts fastened—whether it’s full throttle to the upside or a hard brake toward lower levels, this chart promises some action ahead. Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for. – Mindbloome Trader
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by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla Video Analysis on the Monthly and Weekly Bearish ? Good morning everyone MB Trader here Hopefully everyone is gearing up for a great week of trading: Based on what we are currently seeing some current levels we will be hitting lower down to 150 range possibly lower if this market breaks down further. Let me know what you think of the video; hate it , love it , want me to make more videos on something in particular let me know Happy Sunday MB Trader
NShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
9
TSLA daily chart shows clean channels for trading this week.NASDAQ:TSLA has clean channels on the daily chart, both to the upside and downside, for trading this week. TSLA closed just below the daily 10 SMA, which is the next key supply it must reclaim before going higher and potentially testing the daily 325 SMA and daily 50 SMA just above that. If it can reclaim the daily 50 SMA, along with NASDAQ:QQQ building a strong base above its own daily 50 SMA, then TSLA will be in a strong position to push higher to the daily upper Bollinger Band, while continuing higher on the C to D leg of the Gartley harmonic discussed previously. Alternatively, if QQQ continues to reject the daily 10 SMA and loses the daily 50 SMA demand, TSLA may lose its daily 200 SMA. This would invalidate the Gartley harmonic and TSLA would trade down to the next daily demand, which is the rising daily 100 SMA. I continue to be positioned long into next week, because I believe the upside potential is stronger on this name; however, it is important to always be prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios in order to execute with confidence during the trading day.
NLong
by DMT_Doctor
2