Tslashort
$TSLA Tesla Head & Shoulder c'mon Elon!$TSLA TELSA
I have been waiting so patiently for TESLA to meltdown and it just keeps showing strength and pulling through.
Elon fans are still strong while Elon is out frolicking on a boat shirtless with skin that hasn't seen sunlight since the pandemic looking for baby mama number 5.
As you can see above, TESLA has formed a head & shoulder pattern on the larger time frames, the monthly shows it best.
Head and shoulder criteria:
1. Buying volume is diminishing and showed most strength on the left shoulder.
2. The head is much higher then the left shoulder.
3. The neckline fits the description of a proper head and shoulder pattern.
4. We are beginning to form the right shoulder currently as Tesla broke out of the pennant to the upside after printing solid earnings and sharing its sale of BITCOIN.
Tesla hasn't even shown signs that it is breaking down yet, it hasn't capitulated or showed strong signs of weakness in this bear market.
I will be waiting patiently like a snake in the grass for my buying target near the Gap (red bar).
Tesla Fundamental, Technical and IdeasTSLA—Tesla Fundamental and Price Chart Analysis ( Concluding and comparing historical financial health, stability, growth and value of company to current and future projections to help make investment decisions. )
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TSLA Fundamental Analysis
Income Statement
- Income, Earnings and profit margin for Tesla all increased over past 5 years
- Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings for company for the past 4 quarters
Balance Sheet
- Increasing Assets and liabilities with a shrinking Debt-Asset Ratio
Cash Flow ( Value of the Company is ALWAYS a reflection of FREE CASH FLOW )
- 2018-2019 Tesla free cash flow growth risen by 442.2%.
- 2019-2021 Telsa free cash flow growth is still increasing but by smaller percentages. Since 2019
Tesla free cash flow growth decreased by -455.04%.
- Trailing Twelve Month free cash flow for TSLA is nearly 70% higher than free cash flow ending year 2021.
Source: tradingview.com
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TSLA Price Chart Analysis
Tesla decreased more than 50% in value since November 4, 2021 bringing the value of the company near 52 weeks low between 790.00 - 640.00 on Daily timeframe. Largest movements to downside are near Company Earning Announcements ( though Tesla has reported higher than expected earnings for 4 consecutive quarters, the growth rate between the both has been declining.
*Tesla is expected to announce lower than previously forecasted and actual earnings ( @ 1.81/per share ) and
revenue ( @ 16.5 billion ) report today July 20, 2022 during after market hours.*
Sub-chart indicators demonstrates indecision in direction of price with 750.00 being close to the highest price investors are currently willing to pay for stock. Near 790.00 is assumed to be safest and most profitable position to enter a short term sell entry.
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Sentiment for TSLA:
-Short Term Bearish
- Mid Term Bullish
Entry and Exit Levels for TSLA:
-Short Term SELL - up to 2.5 months Holding period )
- Limit 790.00
- Stop Loss 900.00
- Take Profits 400.00
- Reward-Risk 3.50/1.00
Mid Term BUY - up to 5 month Holding period )
- Limit 500.00
- Stop Loss 400.00
- Take Profits 1000.00
- Reward-Risk 5.00/1.00
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TSLA short term sell signalTSLA Financial Analysis
Income Statement
- Income, Earnings and profit margin for Tesla all increased over past 5 years
- Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings for company for the past 4 quarters
Balance Sheet
- Increasing Assets and liabilities with a shrinking Debt-Asset Ratio
Cash Flow ( Value of the Company is ALWAYS a reflection of FREE CASH FLOW )
- 2018-2019 Tesla free cash flow growth risen by 538.85%.
- 2019-2021 Telsa free cash flow growth is still increasing but by smaller percentages. Since 2019
Tesla free cash flow growth decreased -455.04%
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TSLA Price Chart Analysis
Tesla stock has been decreasing in value since November 4, 2021 losing more than 50% of yearly gains.
Largest decrease in value is near Earning announcements. ( Though Tesla reported higher than forecast earnings—Tesla earnings growth has been declining )
*Tesla forecast to report lower earnings and revenue compared to previous quarter results for the first time in 5 most
recent earning announcements.*
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Sentiment: Short Term Sell - Long Term Buy/Hold
$TSLA TESLA Motors Bearish Pennant vs Bear Flag$TSLA TESLA
I wouldn't ignore this bearish pennant on the 1 Day - daily.
It had a death cross on daily at the end of MAY. This is generally a lagging indicator and it appears it might be ready to show out after printing a bearish consolidating pattern.
Support levels are marked below. Also a GAP marked in RED.
I am wishful hoping the gap will fill because I would love to load up on shares but I'm not sure if it will go that low ever again.
TSLA: Tesla will get into trouble because of Elon Musk - 19%Today we're here to talk about TSLA
Today: Tesla shares are trading at 649.95. And the company looks clearly worse than the market. It is obvious that the company is highly overvalued and therefore the market needs a correction. I believe that Tesla shares need to be corrected by another 19% of the current value over the past 2-3 weeks, and then their price will be quite market. Thus, the shares need to fall down to the level of 535 - 500 dollars per security. And this is in the region - 19% of the current level. At what, as I believe, the fall will be quite sharp . And it will be mainly caused by public accusations against Elon Musk on manipulations with cryptocurrencies. After all, the fall that is now developing in the cryptocurrency market makes it possible to assume that Elon was engaged in exchange manipulations and at the same time warmed up the audience by selling goods and services from Tesla . Already, a wave is rising in the press, which will hit the value of shares up to - 19%, which will cause its sale.
Based on the above, I recommend:
If you want to go short:
It is better to open short positions from the level of 700 - 680, but limit your losses.
If you want to buy:
Buying now is too risky. It is better to refuse them or take them at a price of 535 - 500 dollars per paper.
If you are not in the market:
You can try to go short from the 680 level or wait until the market bottoms around 535 - 500 and then buy.
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Upcoming TSLA earnings are the downward catalystRecession is on the cards. China is locked down due to covid. TSLA earnings gonna take a pitfall because of it. -25% highly probable in next 3 months.
But before that,
- the current support around 620$ needs to be broken,
- move to 550$ and a retest of 620$ resistance. SL is confirming above 620$ level.
- If above two conditions are satisfied, it's a green flag to short TSLA.
- Finally on its way towards 470$.
TESLA short position ❌🧨Hello 🐋
based on the chart, the price is close to important support area and red trend line middle of the descending channel ✔️
if
the price break the red support area to the upside, we will see more correction at least to our channel support ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
TSLA weekend reviewHere is the same chart from last weekend as a reveiw. See how the predicted Orange oval area played out & $TSLA challenged both the current down channel (White) as well as the one from NOV (Blue lines)?
We played calls on $TSLA on Tues & Wed for nice gains, and remained flat on the stock for the remainder of the week. I will work up a new analysis for next week on TSLA as soon as the Volatility Range Algo is finished computing
LONG $F , SHORT $TSLAAlthough I am a huge fan of Tesla and believe they are way ahead of the competition, I think they are in for a pretty major correction. Best case $540, more realistically around $350 IMO. Especially if we head into a recession, which it looks like we might. In the meantime, I think Ford looks pretty cheap around here and will gain some significant market share.
-TSLA currently at 95 P/E ratio
-Ford at ~4.7 P/E
TSLA to 600! The Sell off Continues Soon!TSLA like much of the market will again resume selling soon.
We are looking some very minor bullish (buying) activity for the week. Maybe more so hoping for it to help prop (position) our short opportunities.
(875-900)
However we are Bearish on Tsla to 600 Minimum before we start seeing some real buyers stepping back into the market.
We do believe big picture we are in(heading into) a recession. We do not expect 600 to be the final level for TSLA.
However at 600 we can see a bounce back into the 750-850 range before selling off and back down to 300.. yes 300... very. bearish on TSLA.
Lets not get ahead of ourselves.. right now we have 600 in the scope. We are trading right below resistance and within a bearish pennant that would net the move.
TSLA is going to 500! (maybe. this is how it might get there) I believe Tesla will retrace to hit the anchored VWAP from '20 low, as well as the 618 fib from the same low, and these also align with a massive support trendline off of the log chart going way back. The timing of the current rally, Fed meetings and Tesla earnings are taken into consideration. Curious to see how this plays out, feel like this will be the last block to take a hit like this but as much as I respect the stock, it's hard to see it sliding through without that final major drawdown and what better way than a four-touch culminating in a double top?
TSLA $800 area possible target near termFibonacci levels and Elliott Wave targets stacking up near the $800 level as a possible destination in the near term.
TSLA appears to be starting its C Wave down of an ABC corrective sequence that started from 11/4/21 all time highs.
C waves require a 5 wave structure. This current move down may be the 3rd wave of the C.
If so, the 1.618 of wave 1 has a target of 813.
Multiple fibonnaci levels and a Demand zone block are converging in the same area $800-815, and could provide support for a bounce once the target is hit.