Tslashort
TSLA - Possible more downside, but buy any gap upMorning traders,
We can see that tesla is in a falling wedge ending pattern, and that there is still a potential 5-6% downside in this asset. However with Musk buying shares and being towards the end of the wedge, I'd be careful loading shorts here.
There is potential for more downside as mentioned, but I would not hold any contracts longer than a week.
My trading plan will be to buy any gap-up days with month out contracts as is standard for me.
Be careful next week in any longs, and as always, hit that like and follow button
TESLA - BEARISHTesla has broken out of the bullish channel and is now looking very bearish.
Blue triangle indicates the current range.
Green box is buy.
Red box is sell.
Blue line indicates potential support/resistance .
Red line indicates t/p.
This is a log chart.
This is not financial advice. All charts shown on my page, including this one, are just for fun.
If you enjoy my ideas please give this post a like and follow my page if you would like to see future posts! :)
This chart is made using fib channels.
Don't open any long position yet, just shortsTesla has been on a downtrend for a while. it is under the 26 SMA and under the SMA 70 (the baseline). MACD has crossed down (a long time ago) and is under the zero line. It will have a pullup, but the overall trend is down, don't take any risk yet if you are a bull.
If you are a bull, wait for at least 3 - 5 blocks to close over the SMA 70 that could signal an uptrend, but wait till that happens to make the proper analysis.
If you are a bear keep enjoying the downtrend.
Trade safely and good profits for all.
Short TSLALooking to catch a larger TF move, keeping a tighter stop as a bounce is possible. Setting short orders around $323 may present the best risk/reward, but may not get filled. This is a lowered risk play if you are looking to enter here. Waiting for the dust to settle after open is likely the smart approach though. If the market moves price down after open then do not take the trade at a less desirable entry.
TSLA - Short Swing TradeTSLA has been in a range and a pattern is repeating itself.
R/R: 2.44
Duration: Days-Weeks
Tip:
For more confidence wait for signs of price weakness.
Good opportunities for better entries, more confirmation and better R/R.
Good luck and be patient.
Remember to have small risk, (I usually stick to 0.1-0.5%) It's better to be comfortable taking a loss than not taking it at all.
This is not a financial advise, just expressing my own opinion.
Leave a comment or a like if you agree.
Naturex
Elliott Wave View Expects Tesla Rally to FailElliott Wave view in Tesla (Ticker: TSLA) suggests the rally to $352.09 ended wave ((2)). This suggests the stock is in an impulsive Elliott Wave structure to the downside. Wave ((3)) is in progress and the subdivision unfolded also as a 5 waves Elliott Wave impulse of lesser degree. Down from $352.09, wave 1 ended at $343.8 and wave 2 ended at $351.5. Wave 3 ended at $281.69, wave 4 ended at $290.61, and wave 5 of ended at $279.28.
The entire move lower from $352.14 to $279.28 ended wave (1) of ((3)). Tesla is now correcting the decline from $352.09 in wave (2). The correction looks to be unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from $279.28, wave W ended at $298.52 and wave X ended at $287.75. The stock has scope to extend higher towards $307.16 – $319.20 area to end wave Y of (2).
Afterwards, it should extend to the next leg lower or at least pullback in 3 waves. As far as pivot at $352.09 stays intact during the correction, we expect the rally in Tesla to fail and the stock to extend to the downside.
Bear flag is surely forming = BEAR trend has begunIf you look carefully at the last 2 days what do we see? Inverted hammers. Price resistance 350.
My fractal was off, because of holidays, but basically it, this was the fractal event. Which will spiral Tesla into the ABC pattern, and begin an actual bear for it or rather it will force the price to touch a major support line at 250 and 200 respectively.
TESLA is extremely desperate for cash. They increase efficiency at the price of lowered stock price. That is a fact. They grew to where they are now, but now is the time to become a better oiled machine, and that my friends will require more pain. Which will translate into more price decline.
We may still hover between 315 and 300, but one thing is for sure, Bears will be hungry for blood here, and bulls will be scared especially if price dibs below 300. If we close below 300, SHORT the living crap out of TSLA it is heading straight to 250 in a matter of days. Obviously i am no oracle, but you have to agree, this thing is so volatile.
As price will decline back to 250, and ER is fast approaching, all eye will be on it. Here is what i think is going to happen: Good sales, targets reached, BUT insane cash burn. So price jumps initially, but then the details emerge such challanges, and cashflow or god knows what. Causing the price to drop back and decline past 250 into 200 Territory for the first time.
TSLA is a pioneer, they have inspired other and they did incredible things. BUT, and a BIG BUT, all companies, without exception, go through correction phase.
So unless ER is epic, expect a MASSIVE SELL OFF. This will affect all other EV companies.
For those that need to be reminded about the bear flag:
www.tothetick.com
Good luck everyone ;)
**LEGENDS**
BLUE = Bear/Resistance
Yellow = Bull/ Support
~Explore the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~
/*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/
If you want your coin to be analyzed, JUST ask.
If you got a question, ASK away!
And please keep those Stop losses in place!
Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation - vertical lines!
Thank you,
Ajion
TSLA Approaching Major Top at $420 (Elliot Wave 5)Although I personally am a big fan of Tesla and the cars, this analysis is not about my love of the cars but rather the balance sheet and technical analysis. It is no secret that Tesla (TSLA) is the most shorted stock in the United States right now. The balance sheet and cash flow make no sense (burning through billions of dollars in capital each quarter, constant net losses and never made a net profit for the last 10 years, and yet the stock price keeps going up). Despite all this, Elon and his magic make people believe (can anyone say "behavioral finance"?)
However, if you look at the Elliot Wave macro outlook, it looks like TSLA is approaching wave 5 (which would mark the top, then a ABCD correction would follow) - and if the waves tell us anything, the "top" wave 5 would appear to be around $420 - the exact price Elon tweeted he would take his company private at today.
This is not a recommendation to short TSLA stock - everyone who has done that for the last 10 years has lost money. Rather, it is an observation that $420 may indeed be the market top for TSLA, even if they do end up being a solid car company for many years to come.
Was Tesla the Canary in the Coal Mine for the Stock Market? After the SEC went after Elon Musk, we saw the stock drop 30%, but the chart already showed that a big reversal was in store for Tesla with a bearish divergence and a swing high failure on the RSI on the daily chart as well as the weekly chart.
We also see that magical Canfield Fibonacci level show up at 17.944 as the top for Tesla.
I debuted these fibonacci extensions in my last post here if you'd like to learn more about them and how I calculated them:
This was the same level that Gold and Bitcoin were rejected at.
You will see that Tesla hit the 17.944 Fibonacci extension and formed a massive bearish divergence and a swing high failure that we’ve seen on the Dow Jones, Amazon, Apple and many of the other charts I highlighted.
AMAZON CURRENTLY FACING THE 17.944 with the same bearish divergence.
Dow Jones facing the same bearish divergence.
After this bearish divergence, Tesla had one more run back to the 17.944 before getting rejected and is currently retracing to the 11.09 Fibonacci extension.
We saw a 50% fall from it’s all time high around $383 for a bounce around $194.
Do the other charts and indexes I highlighted have the same fate in store?
Monday will be a big day for stocks as they’ve already had one of the worst downward slides since May of this year.
Bitcoin is still in undecided territory and I have highlighted both a bearish and a bullish scenario.
Let me know what you guys think of the new Canfield Fibonacci levels and if they're helping you with your analysis.
Monday will be a very interesting day...
TSLA Short; Weekly Close under Heffae Clouds - MTF Analysis TSLA is closing underneath the Weekly Cloud bottom for the first time since inception.
I believe this means more than consolidation, as the path-fitting has given extremely valid signals on bottoms running up the Monthly so far.
This is an extremely strong signal given the prior path validity and being a longer time frame in agreement with repeated signals from shorter timeframes on Heffae Clouds.
The Monthly provides a target for closing short at 217:
Hybrid Timeframe is showing resistance at 285.
Ideal Entry: 295-300
Target: 218